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There are many kinds of argument about the way
of intervention for regional conflicts. They can be mainly
classified with the structural and the strategic analyses.
What kind
of organization can be effective for intervention?
By
International Organization or Regional Organization?
Although UN is the only organization that can
authorize intervention, there are many kinds of multi-national
interventions. In the case of multinational intervention in the
former Yugoslavia, several kinds of multinational organizations: the
regional organization, EU and WEU, the trans-regional security
organization, NATO, and the international organization, UN, have
operated intervention. Each organization has got involved into the
civil war through its own way as shown above. Given difficulty in
solving the current regional conflicts, many scientists argue for better
commitment to the emerging conflicts. Some see regional
organizations as more effective in the future even though they are still
immature. Some favor UN reform because only UN can handle the
emerging regional conflicts. NATO is positioned at the middle of
the current multinational regional organization.
Regional Organization-financial problem and regional
powerpolitics (Weiss et. al.)
International Organization-financial problem and disinterest of
participants (Carpenter)
Multi-national Committment-difficulty in making consensus
(Walter)
Thomas G. Weiss, David P. Forsythe, and Roger A. Coate
(1994) believe that multinational organization can handle the emerging
complicated regional conflicts more appropriately than unilateral
intervention. From their point of view, international
organization, UN, is the most effective organization for the future
regional conflicts.
They argue that there are two advantages of regional
organization to handle regional conflict in theory. One is their
more seriousness of regional security issue than international
organization's because regional confrontation in neighborhood directly
impact on regional economic and social stability. For example,
military confrontation within the region can be an obstacle for economic
transaction, and refugee causes financial burden for the regional
governments and racism in the civil society. In addition,
resolution of regional hostility needs understanding of cultural and
historical background, which regional organization has advantage of.
UN article also encourages regional organization to make an effort to
solve regional security
issue before informing to UN. Another is financial crisis of UN
due to opposition of the great power. UN has expanded its role and
operation over more regions; therefore, peacekeeping cost is
tremendously increasing. However, because the United States
hesitates to pay its financial sharing, which is much more than any
other countries. The amount of US debt causes the current UN
financial crisis. Thus, regional organization seems to be more
appropriate than international organization.
However, they also argue that, although regional
organization would work better in theory, it does not have capability in
practice. Its disadvantages are partisanship, resource shortage,
and local rivalries. In addition, regional organization has had
neither military capability nor diplomatic leverage. Its
seriousness about resolution of conflict can be disadvantage as well.
Because countries near chaotic region suffer from the consequence, they
more or less try to influence for making their favorable circumstance.
And, they are often not third party as intermediators but active
participants, which makes the situation more complicated.
Moreover, intervention by regional organization brings its own financial
crisis. The example Weiss, Forsythe, and Coate also show is
African regional organization. They see that confrontation in
Organization of African Unity (OAU) was caused by financial crisis due
to long time intervention of OAU. As seen that political
disagreement in the former Yugoslavia between Germany and France became
a cause of failure of its strategy, intervention by regional
organization tends not to be inclusive. Thus, Weiss, Forsythe, and
Coate point out disadvantages of regional organization and regard more
broad international organization, UN, as the most favorable for
intervention.
On the other hand, Ted Galen Carpenter (1997) sees collective
security system as impractical. He does not think that UN can be a
fair organization. For example, veto powers of UN shows its unfair
structure, which is power politics. From his point view,
intervention can rely on more or less power of the region; therefore,
regional or subregional organization should handle that conflict because
it would be more possible that regional great powers can dampen
conflict. Regional countries must have an incentive created by
consequence of maintenance or change of regional power balance. In
addition, it is not realistic to expect that distant and disinterested
countries concern about other regional conflict. Although he also
understands that the current regional organization has been still too
immature to handle regional confrontation, he believes that intervention
by regional organization is more preferable.
Although Barbara F. Walter (1997) agrees that intervention by the
third party can be an important
factor to solve conflict, she argues that limit involvement and sharing
responsibility through multinational institution could be harmful for
intervention if it shows unclear will, which regional organization tends
to have. She believes that possibility of success of intervention
depends on credibility of will of the third party, especially will of
enforcement; therefore, if the third party shows unwillingness of full
extent commitment or disinterest in solution, mutual trust between
hostile groups can not be built, and civil war can not be neutralized
easily. In addition, she does not agree with necessity of
neutrality of the third party because enforcement for cease-fire
guarantee is indispensable. Neutrality is preferable, but it is
not necessary. The purpose of intervention is cease-fire, and the
foundation of peaceful society is the second step. Although
peaceful social condition is important, the process on the way to
foundation of such a circumstance should be the first concern for
successful intervention. In short, if multinational structure is
harmful for credibility of peace enforcement by the third party, from
her point of view, such structural system should not operate
intervention.
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