The Rankin File: #26



Principals and Agents in Economics and Politics.

Friday 7 November 1997

One of the most important analytical constructs of modern microeconomics is that of the relationship between "principals" and "agents". In economic theory the construct is applied in particular to the owners of firms (principals) and their hired agents (managers, employees, sub­contractors). Thus, it is recognised that a central form of market failure is the "principal­agent problem", meaning the difficulty that principals have in getting their agents to pursue the interests of their employers ahead of their own private agendas. Principals incur "transaction costs" in getting their agents to comply.

The principal­agent framework is central to the "rational choice" school of political economy, and is applied to political rather than economic "actors". A normative form of rational choice is known as "public choice". Here governments are assumed to be, at best, monopoly bandits, and the analysis is very much directed towards the establishment of enduring legislation and public institutions that limit the damage. (Legislation such as the 1989 Reserve Bank Act, the 1991 Employment Contracts Act, and the 1994 Fiscal Responsibility Act owes much to public choice thinking.)

To its credit, the public choice perspective at least accepts that a monopoly banditry is less damaging than an anarchy of competing bandits. But it is never quite clear whether the monopoly bandit is the parliament, the chief executive, or the bureaucracy.

Rational choice models are quite amoral in character. They simply seek to analyse the different strategies of the various actors who must engage with each other to maximise their bargaining power. Niccolò Machiavelli could perhaps be classed as the founder of rational choice, whereas Adam Smith is claimed by public choice theorists as the founder of their minimal­government version.

An interesting example of rational choice political economy is the book Rule and Revenue, by Margaret Levi (1988, University of California Press). It is a blend of principal­agent theory and neo­Marxism, which presents case studies ranging from ancient Rome to 20th century Australia.

Levi's central thesis is that all polities have a predatory "ruler" - an autocratic monarch or a chief executive such as a president - who is the principal of that polity. She acknowledges alternative frameworks; eg that in which a Prime Minister is an "agent­ruler" - an agent of Parliament. The ruler is constrained by various agents and constituents, including foreigners who interact through diplomacy and trade. Rulers, along with all other agents and "constituents", are assumed to be amoral strategists, seeking to maximise bargaining power and to minimise constraints on their autonomy.

The strengths of the framework are that (i) it acknowledges both market and political failure as intractable issues of political economy, (ii) it acknowledges that power is very much a part of economics as well as politics, and (iii) it provides a way of analysing both the prevailing power relationships and the political failures which prevent power relationships from being what they ought to be. It is possible to turn to a separate literature of moral and political philosophy to provide a basis for the "ought" question, leaving the principal­agent framework to operate in a strictly amoral fashion. (Hence public choice, unlike rational choice, is a comprehensive package - a doctrine - that combines both moral philosophy and strategic action.)

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What is the political philosophy that defines western democracy? It is a citizen­based philosophy, a legacy of, in particular, the American and French revolutions of the late 18th century. Constituents are, in essence, citizens. Their role as citizens predominates over their role as subjects of their respective polities. Constituents, as citizens, are principals by definition, with their role as citizens being central to representative democracy. Parliament is an agent of the citizenry, and the executive is an agent of Parliament. The public service is an agent of the executive. Constituents, as subjects, are bound to comply with the process. In particular, they are obliged to pay taxes levied upon them. The executive is both agent of the people as citizens (through Parliament) and ruler of the people as subjects (through the intermediation of the bureaucracy).

In a non­democratic society, the ruler rather than the citizenry is the principal. Parliaments, where they exist, are agents of the chief executive. The key relationship is that between the executive and the parliament. In an autocracy, which may be a monarchy or an oligarchy, the chief executive rules the parliament. In a democracy, on the other hand, Parliament rules the executive.

In order to determine whether one's own polity is a democracy or an autocracy, one must do more than read the formal language of the political constitution, assuming there is a written constitution. Rather, it is necessary to do a principal­agent analysis to try to observe the direction in which power really flows.

In addition to a parliament that controls the executive, an effective democracy requires a genuinely representative parliament. If parliament does not function as an agent of the people then it is open to capture by an executive that is meant to be Parliament's agent. Or, it is open to capture by political parties with their own agendas that in many cases would never be sanctioned by the people.

Parties nevertheless play an important role in creating a representative parliament. This is because parliament must be representative in two different ways: representative of our geographical communities, and representative of our ideals (ie of our philosophical and ideological communities; of political class). Parties are required to ensure ideological representation, and not to impose agendas by making a run for single­party government.

By joining the parties which we identify with, it becomes possible to make the selection of party candidates itself a highly democratic process; a process not unlike the primary elections in the USA. In other words, the election of MPs is very much a two­tier process; the primary election of party candidates, followed by the general election between parties.

An agent­parliament that is in fact truly representative of its principal - the people - can be regarded as the principal in the practical business of politics. An efficient parliament is one that can safely be thought of as principal rather than agent. Its efficiency has nothing to do with its financial cost; rather its efficiency is a measure of the extent to which the interests of Parliament coincide with the interests of the people.

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There are three constitutional events relevant to current New Zealand politics that should be considered in terms of rational choice principal­agent analysis: (i) the agitation by some people for another change in our electoral system, (ii) the agitation for a reduced size of parliament, and (iii) the "Cullen Bill" which seeks to curb the constitutional rights of MPs to act autonomously from their parties.

With respect to (i), Labour's Phil Goff seeks a shift to the former FPP system (Sunday Star­Times, 19 October), while Act's recent recruit Ruth Richardson favours the Supplementary Member system (NZ Herald, 1 November); a system which would in fact destroy her own party. Given that both of these voting systems were soundly rejected in the 1992 referendum, the continued advocacy of rejected voting systems does not give much confidence that either Goff or Richardson are motivated by anything other than power. When Richardson tells "the [Act] conference that MMP was an unmitigated mistake" (Sunday Star­Times, 2/11/97), we start to feel that MMP really is part of the process by which citizens are claiming their status as principals.

Certainly, under FPP, Parliament was blatantly unrepresentative of the population. Because of political failure in the citizen­to­parliament relationship, Parliament was able to operate on its own account to some extent. That is what political failure means; political agents operating on their own accounts.

The extent that parliament used to operate on its own account under FPP was minimal however. With the government caucus dominating parliament, the ministry dominating the government caucus, and the inner cabinet dominating the ministry, it was the inner cabinet that operated on its own account, as the principal, as the seat of power in New Zealand politics. Or, perhaps, operating as the public face of a hidden principal?

The SM electoral system that Richardson favours would be a complete disaster. Under MMP, the list MPs create balance in the parliament; very few are from the largest party. Under SM, almost all of the list MPs would be from the two parties that dominate parliament. It would be worse than FPP, in that the parties would have even more power over the composition of parliament than they did under FPP. On the other hand, under MMP, the party lists cannot be used to featherbed unpopular MPs, because the dominant party cannot be sure of any, let alone many, list seats.

Under the former FPP electoral system, the small size of parliament and the large size of cabinet aggravated the problem of executive dominance of Parliament. Under MMP, this problem is not as bad, but it is by no means absent. Any move to reduce the size of Parliament relative to the size of the executive (defined as Ministers inside and outside of cabinet) must give more power to the executive. Having noted this, it cannot be argued that raising the size of parliament will give parliament significantly more power over the executive. The change to proportional representation was vastly more important than the change in the size of parliament, as a means of making the executive accountable to the people through a representative parliament.

With respect to the provisions of the Cullen Bill, parties become power sources in their own right when they have an effective veto on the actions of the MPs they helped into parliament. The distinction between electorate MPs and list MPs is unimportant. All MPs except Independents are party selections. As Margaret Levi notes (p.30): "In the responsible party system of Britain ... the party had considerable leverage in relation to the Members of Parliament."

Under the "Westminster System" the parties have always been principals rather than simply catalysts for achieving accurate representation. That in itself is wrong for a democrat, who, by definition, subscribes to the view that citizens and only citizens are true principals.

It is also wrong in that parties can become vehicles for covert power; they may become the agents of interests other than the citizenry. Just as the executive wing of government may be "captured" and become an agent for some extra­parliamentary interest, so can political parties become agents for covert agendas. Part of the strength of MMP is its emphasis on mass­membership parties. A large membership minimises the risk of a party not playing its proper part in the democratic process. As a part of that process, parties should be vehicles for getting a diversity of MPs into Parliament, and not the source of veto power over individual MPs during the course of a parliament.

It should also be noted that the Labour Party would appear to be disingenuous, in using senior spokespeople to speak out in favour of non­proportionality (eg Goff, Clark), while using others from the front bench (eg Cullen) to promote a bill "designed to protect the proportionality of an MMP parliament" (ref "Bill to curb MPs proceeds", NZ Herald, 23 October). Does Labour really wish to promote the principle of proportionality? Or is it seeking to increase its already too­tight party discipline?

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If in fact, on investigation, we find that parliament continues to act as an agent for the executive, as it did under "First­Past­the­Post", then this would constitute a continuation of political failure, in that our constitution is meant to work the other way around. Given such political failure, who is the real principal? Could it be that the executive is in fact the agent of someone else; of an interest that has no constitutional basis for being principal?

Such a covert principal is most likely to be an oligarchy; a government by the few over the many. Indeed, in the capitalist system, the natural order of Government would seem to be a plutocracy. This is certainly the view of Immanuel Wallerstein ( Immanuel Wallerstein on the Crisis of the World System), who sees western polities as liberal states rather than as democracies. The real principal is capital as an economic class, and capitalists as a social class. In the world system, the real principal is international capital, which treats national governments as its agents.

The challenge for the "Rainbow Coalition" - the global political force which Wallerstein sees as a necessary prerequisite to genuine democracy - is to assert the constitutional role established by the French Revolution. The challenge is to establish citizen government. We become true citizens when we crack the principal­agency problem of political economy; when the people as nominal principals become the real principals. When that happens, the revolution which started in France in 1789 will have been completed.

© 1997 Keith Rankin

{ This document is:             http://www.oocities.org/Athens/Delphi/3142/krf26-pr_agent.html
{ the above reference is to: http://www.oocities.org/Athens/Delphi/3142/krf18-imm_waller.html


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