The Rankin File: #28



Political Principals.

Wednesday 12 November 1997

The principal­agency framework, derived from economics, enables us to picture the flows of political power, both as they are and as they ought to be in a democracy (see Principals and Agents in Economics and Politics).

Figure 1 below shows how I think a democracy should work. The principals are the people, as sovereign citizens. The sovereign interest is the public interest. The people also express political power through their private class interests, which, as such, create conflict. Private interests can include a labour interest, a landed interest, and a capital interest. The latter - the capital interest - is clearly the dominant private interest in New Zealand and most other countries in the 1990s.

In a democratic party­system, the parties should be accountable to the people, on the basis of political class. This requires mass membership of the parties, and party candidate selection to be based on a process akin to the primary elections in the USA. Historically, by way of contrast, parties have been accountable mainly to the private interests.

In addition, a democracy requires that the people - all of the people and not just those in strategically placed electorates, play a role independent from the party machinery in electing a Parliament. This means a fair vote between parties, and a free vote for one's local MP. The vote for a preferred local MP should never compromise the party vote, as it always did in the pre­MMP era. In the old days, most people, by making a realistic decision to vote for the party rather than the person, were obliged to endorse the party choice, where the party choice was made by a narrow interest group.

Thus, a democratically elected parliament requires direct input from the people as citizens, and indirect input through the parties.

The Parliament is the key institution in a democracy. It can only control the inner Cabinet - the effective executive in New Zealand - if its makeup accurately reflects citizen opinion. A Parliament strongly biased towards one political class or one private interest group is easily controlled by its servant, the executive.

An executive that is a properly accountable agent of a representative Parliament is able to "run the country" with minimal risk of abuse. The public service, including the armed forces, are its agents. Through the bureaucracy, the executive rules the people as subjects. Thus the people are obliged to conform with the process of law, and are obliged to pay their taxes. Principal-agent analysis based on the ruler treated as principal can be applied to the ruler-bureaucrat­subject part of a democratic polity. The danger of this treatment is that the role of citizens and parliaments can be neglected, even dismissed as unimportant.

The opposite of a democracy is an autocracy. The main difference is that the top half of Figure 1 is missing in an autocracy. The people exist only as subjects, and not as citizen principals. Figure 2 shows that the ruler's position replaces that of the citizenry, with some kind of public service existing as the agents of the ruler.

In historical autocracies, the dominant interest groups were those of the landed nobility and those of merchants. They played key roles as agents of the ruler. Historically, public administration was seen as a duty of the upper social class. However, tax collection was often facilitated through a private arrangement known as tax farming. Indeed tax farmers were the predecessors of the modern capitalist class, and tax farming brought the upper echelon of merchants into the power loop.

In classical autocratic governments, the free people were mostly peasant subjects, and it was from them that most taxes were raised. In the more developed autocracies, there were also significant numbers of self­employed artisans in the emerging cities. They were free subjects.

Any additional labour requirements tended to be supplied by slaves, who were tradeable commodities rather than subjects of a ruler. Labour markets as we know them today only emerged when peasants lost their land, or were evicted from the land to which they were bonded. Free wage labour, as it emerged, took on the status of subjection to the monarch.

A parliament in an autocracy served as an agent of the private interests who were themselves nominally subject to the power of the autocrat. Such a parliament created laws that were administered by the bureaucracy and the judiciary, and whose duties were performed by the dominant propertied interest.

In his 1997 Robb Lectures, Immanuel Wallerstein's pessimistic scenario was that societies would reform on an autocratic basis, following a difficult and unstable transition. The logical outcome of that scenario would include the return of such institutions as tax farming (a privatised Inland Revenue Department?) and, eventually, slavery. The historical bifurcation, as he saw it was that states would move either in the direction of Fig.1 or the direction of Fig.2.

The overriding problem that Wallerstein presented was that, even if states moved towards democracy, the diminishing role of states in the world­system meant that governance was dominated by an international economy that had no constitutional principals, and, as such, looked more like Fig.2 than Fig.1.

Nevertheless, with the introduction of MMP, New Zealand, as a sovereign nation, took a huge step in the direction of Fig.1.

The democratic system works differently depending on the varying strengths of influence. Furthermore, the directions of influence can be reversed once certain conditions are met. The most obvious example is that a single party government, or a tight coalition, can recreate the conditions whereby the executive rules the parliament.

Indeed, given the absence of preferential voting for electorate candidates, we are likely to see the emergence of coalitions well before elections are held, with electoral accommodations being made to ensure that each coalition has only one strong electorate candidate in each electorate. Thus we are likely to continue our long tradition of adversarial politics, with one coalition or party becoming the executive Government, and the other coalition or party becoming the ineffectual Opposition.

Nevertheless, this kind of adversary politics is a vast improvement on the old kind of adversary politics. Previously, a private interest would dominate each single party, and just half a million votes would secure "the Treasury Benches" for that party. Today, the winner will need many more votes, making extremist politics very difficult.

Jenny Shipley has been made leader of the National Party for just one reason, so that National can win the next election on its own. Jim Bolger has shown that he cannot command more than about 600,000 voters. To achieve that goal, she will have to adopt a policy programme that is popular with the post Employment Contracts Act working class; the social class that occupies the middle strata of New Zealand society. She will only adopt New Right economic policies if the champions of the New Right can persuade the new working class that they are the best policies for New Zealand. She will not adopt such policies in the face of opposition from the voters she needs. If she lurches to the right, she will not be fulfilling her contract with her party.

Extremist politics can still occur however, despite having a well­constituted democracy, as New Zealand now does. Extremist interest groups can succeed by making a direct pitch at the mass of voters in the political centre. Voters from the middle economic strata of New Zealand society have in the past been seduced by minority agendas. With modern multiple­media techniques of persuasion, the key relationship in Fig.1 may turn out to be that between private interests and citizens; that of opinion formation, or as Noam Chomsky called it, "manufacturing consent". It is that relationship which forges political class, and it is political class - expressing informed opinions - that drives a democratic polity.

When there is no democracy, there is no need to manufacture consent, and there is no need for an informed citizenry. The existence of attempts by the interests to influence popular opinions is proof that democracy does exist.

The New Right, which still represents the agenda of organised capital in New Zealand, will seek to seduce the new centre. They will seek to create a political class that favours New Right policies. They will fail. They are more likely to be able to sell conservative ideals to Jenny Shipley's core constituency: welfare targeting, family values. They may even be able to sell support for public utility asset sales, but only if middle New Zealand becomes the beneficiary of those sales. They will not be able to sell a pure market agenda, and they will not be able to sell a globalisation agenda that includes a level playing field for foreign interests.

Whatever the complex dynamics coming into play, New Zealand is now sufficiently democratic to ensure that single­interest political programmes will be very difficult to implement. We have rediscovered our principals.

© 1997 Keith Rankin

{ This document is:             http://www.oocities.org/Athens/Delphi/3142/krf28-pprincipal.html
{ the above reference is to: http://www.oocities.org/Athens/Delphi/3142/krf26-pr_agent.html
                                   


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