Future Time
(years after
A.D. 2000)
|
Tentative Event
|
10,000 years18
|
Our sun exits the local interstellar cloud it is currently passing through. (See
diagram at reference #18 webpage, below.)
|
12,900 years1
|
Earth's axis has precessed 180°, giving us a whole new North Star.
|
27,700 years
|
The southern hemisphere binary Alpha Centauri, or Rigel Kentaurus
(now 4.35 light-years distant, with an apparent magnitude of -0.29), will
reach a minimum distance from Earth of 2.84 light-years and should then
be the second brightest 'star', with an apparent magnitude of -1.2.
|
59,000 years
|
Sirius A (Alpha Canis Majoris, aka the Dog Star), has an apparent
magnitude of -1.46 but because of the relative motions of this star and
the Sun then this should rise to a maximum value of -1.67. Sirius
is now 8.64 light-years distant and has a luminosity 26 times greater than
that of the Sun.
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100,000 years10
|
The Orion Nebula complex, including the Horsehead nebula, disperses away.
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300,000 years15
|
Long-dead spacecraft Pioneer 10 passes within 3 LY of Ross 248, 10.3 LY away.
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1-1.4 million years16,17
|
Gliese 710, a red dwarf star currently 63 LY away, swings in to within 62,000±9,000 AU
(<1 LY) of our sun. No danger to us, except for some dislodged Oort Cloud objects.
|
1,250,000 years2
|
Delta (d) Scuti, prototype of a whole
class of rapidly pulsating variable stars, takes the helm as the brightest
"star" in the northern sky.
|
1,550,000 years2
|
Gamma (g) Draconis, aka the orange giant
Eltanin star (the presently 2nd-magnitude nose of the constellation Draco),
becomes the sky's brightest star, as bright as today's Sirius.
|
1.7-2 million years15
|
Pioneer 10, if still intact, passes near Aldebaran, 71 LY distant.
|
3,500,000 years2
|
Omicron (o) Herculis becomes the brightest
star when it swings in from 350 to about 45 light-years from our sun.
|
4,600,000 years2
|
Beta (b) Cygni, aka Albireo or the beak
of Cygnus, takes the brightest-star title. Depending on whether it's
a true binary and its orientation to us, it could appear to the naked eye
as a tightly-bound 2nd-magnitude blue star around a zero-magnitude gold
star.
|
15 million years
|
The Solar System will reach the minimum distance of 27,600 light-years
(perigalacticon). It's in the outer regions of our Milky Way galaxy,
orbiting at a mean distance of 29,700 light-years with an orbital eccentricity
of 0.07. The present distance from the center is 27,700 light-years.
|
40 million years5,6
|
Phobos, its orbit slowed by tidal forces resulting from orbiting
Mars faster than Mars rotates, falls into Mars. (Future human intervention
might be able to prevent this.)
|
100 million years11
|
The Dwarf Sagittarius galaxy, about .1% the size of our galaxy, passes through the
Milky Way again.
|
500 million years14
|
Due to increasing solar temperatures, enough carbon dioxide (CO2) is absorbed
and trapped as limestone that plant life, and by extension animal life, dies out.
|
750 million years12
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The Dwarf Sagittarius galaxy, torn and stretched, gets absorbed into the Milky Way.
|
1-2 billion years3,14
|
The sun's luminosity has increased enough to evaporate Earth's
oceans and sterilize the planet. The water vapor that was our oceans escapes into
space. Mars slowly becomes relatively more hospitable.
|
3-7 billion years3,8,12,13,19
|
The Milky Way and Andromeda galaxies collide and merge, eventually forming a giant
elliptical galaxy. Supernovae explosions may occur so frequently as a result that the
night sky may be bright enough to read by.
|
5 billion years3,5
|
Sun leaves main sequence, swelling into a red giant. In time,
the strong solar wind and decreased solar mass will push Earth's orbit
out nearly to where Mars' is today.
|
7 billion years3,5
|
The sun, a red giant nearly as large as Earth's orbit, now puts
out enough heat to melt the ice on Jupiter's moons Callisto, Ganymede,
and Europa. Earth's crust is totally molten and featureless.
|
10 billion years12,19
|
Two more of the Milky Way's satellite galaxies, the Large and Small Magellanic Clouds,
merge into it.
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35 billion years7
|
The sun evolves from a white dwarf into a "dead" black dwarf.
|
50+ billion years5
|
Assuming the Earth-moon system is still intact, Earth becomes tidally
locked with the moon. The lunar month and Earth day are now both
equal, about 50 present days long.
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100 billion years3,4
|
Large galactic clusters evaporate galaxies through chaotic interactions.
|
100+ billion years3
|
Over the next few trillions of years, galactic clusters will coalesce
into "supergalaxies."
|
1 trillion years3,4
|
Stars cease to form from nebulae; all massive stars have become
either neutron stars or black holes.
|
10 trillion years3
|
The longest lived of stars shining today, red dwarfs, use the last
of their fuel and become white dwarfs. For a few billion years at
the end of their lifetimes, they may have appropriate luminosity &
temperature to allow for life on nearby planets.
|
10-100
trillion years3,4
|
Universal hydrogen reserves are drained. The last of the
red dwarfs die out. All star production shuts down forever, and the
universe goes dark.
|
1015-17 years3,4
|
Stellar collisions and near-misses detach dead planets from dead stars.
|
1016 years9
|
Lone stars are occasionally formed by the collision of brown dwarfs.
|
1017 years4
|
White dwarfs cool to black dwarfs at 5° K. Proton decay
(if any) will keep dwarfs at this temperature for 1030 years.
|
1019-20 years3,4
|
Dead stars (brown & black dwarfs, and neutron stars) and planets
evaporate from supergalaxies via chaotic interactions. (90-99% of all stars will
evaporate; 1-10% will collect in galactic centers to form gigantic black holes).
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1019 years4
|
Neutron stars cool to 100° K.
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1020 years3
|
Up until now, two brown dwarfs would on rare occasion merge to
form a red dwarf. Beyond this time they're simply scattered way too
far apart.
|
1021 years9
|
One-solar-mass black holes begin to evaporate as the cosmic background temperature
becomes cooler than them.
|
1020-24 years3,4,9
|
Orbits of planets and close binary stars decay via gravitational
radiation.
|
1023 years4
|
Dead stars evaporate from supergalactic clusters. (Black
dwarfs are at 5° K and neutron stars at 100° K due to proton decay;
background radiation has cooled to 10-13° K.)
|
|
At this stage matter consists of about 90% dead stars, 9% black
holes and up to 1% atomic hydrogen and helium.4
|
1025± years3
|
Any remaining dead stars and matter still in orbit around galactic
centers spirals in from orbital gravitational decay.
|
1025 years3
|
If dark matter can be accounted for with WIMPs (weakly interacting
massive particles), black dwarfs will accrete them. WIMP annihilation
inside black dwarfs can keep them heated to 64° K for around 1030
years.
|
1030 years3
|
Black holes accrete remaining black dwarfs & neutron stars
at the galactic level.
|
1030 years9
|
106-solar-mass black holes begin to evaporate as the cosmic background
temperature becomes cooler than them.
|
1032+ years4,9
|
Protons decay (according to SU(5) GUT).
|
1032+ years4,9
|
Dead stars evaporate via proton decay (GUT). Neutron stars pass through a brief
white dwarf stage as neutrons & electrons lose degeneracy, before degrading to hydrogen ice
and evaporating.
|
1033 years3
|
Black holes accrete remaining black dwarfs & neutron stars
at the galactic cluster level.
|
1034 years4
|
All carbon-based (indeed, atom-based) life forms become extinct
due to a lack of atoms.
|
|
At this stage most matter in the universe is in the form of e-,
e+, n,`n, g (electrons, positrons,
neutrinos, antineutrinos, & photons).4
|
1035 years9
|
109-solar-mass black holes begin to evaporate as the cosmic background
temperature becomes cooler than them.
|
1045+ years3,9
|
Virtual-black-hole mechanisms in quantum gravity allow protons
to decay.
|
1065 years4
|
Ordinary matter liquefies due to quantum tunneling.
|
1065-67 years4,9
|
Solar mass black holes evaporate via Hawking process.
|
1073-85 years4,9
|
In closed and flat universes (respectively), most e+ and e-
form positronium with atomic radii far larger than our present-day universe.
(In open universe most e+ and e- remain free.)
|
1083 years3
|
Million-mass black holes (106 Msol) evaporate
via Hawking process.
|
1099 years3,4
|
Galactic mass black holes (1011 Msol) evaporate
via Hawking process.
|
10106+ years3
|
Some positronium formation and decay occurs in an open universe.
|
10117 years4
|
In flat and closed universes, positronium decays via cascade, releasing
1022 photons per positronium atom.
|
10117-141 years4,9
|
Supercluster mass black holes (1017 Msol)
evaporate via Hawking process.
|
10122 years4
|
Protons decay via Hawking process (if not from SU(5) GUT or other).
|
10140-150 years9
|
Tunneling between different vacuum states in the electroweak theory
allows protons to decay.
|
1010-1000?? years9
|
A cosmological phase transition reconstructs the universe, rewriting the laws of physics,
changing universal constant(s), and/or collapsing a spacial dimension.
|
101500 years4
|
If ordinary matter survives decay via GUTs or Hawking process (rather unlikely),
it decays into iron.
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:
:
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:
:
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101026 years4
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All iron collapses into black holes.
The universe is huge, empty, and desolate beyond imagination.
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