EKDIDONAI


EKDIDONAI


The following analyses attempt to detect any irregularities in the 2004 presidential election. The method of analysis was inspired by the work of Kathy Dopp at http://uscountvotes.org. Sources are given on the Summary page of each spreadsheet. Analyses of more states will be uploaded in the coming days.


2000
State Bias Partisanship Adjustment
  FL 10.73% 87.56% Gore wins FL by 4.53%
2004
State Bias Partisanship Adjustment
AL Voter registration by party not available
  CA 4.62% 78.46% No change
  FL 22.64% 84.81% Kerry wins FL by 3.93%
GA Voter registration by party not available
  IA 2.90% 61.24% No change
  OH -67.80% 31.67% No change
  NC 67.89% 83.16% Kerry wins NC by 14.08%
  NH -38.20% 61.72% Bush wins NH by 10.49%
NM Voter registration by party not available
  NV 5.61% 82.63% No change
  NY 13.22% 72.31% No change
  PA 10.14% 89.25% No change
TN Voter registration by party not available
TX Voter registration by party not available
WI Voter registration by party not available


Bias: The difference between %Chg Rep and %Chg Dem. Positive bias represents bias favoring the Republican candidate; negative bias represents bias favoring the Democratic candidate.

%Chg Rep & %Chg Dem: The difference between the percentage of votes each candidate received and the percentage of votes each candidate 'should' have received based upon (a) percentage of registered Reps/Dems in the county, (b) number of registered voters in the county, and (c) turnout percentage.

ES&S: Until 1995, the Chairman of ES&S (Election Systems & Software, Inc.) was Charles Hagel, now Republican Sen. Charles Hagel of Nebraska. He won by a surprising landslide in 1996, under suspicious circumstances considering that his company made all the voting machines used in the election.

Partisanship: The percentage of voters in the state who are registered as either Republicans or Democrats. The usefulness of this method of analysis is directly proportional to the partisanship of a state (e.g. in the case of Ohio, this analysis seems to me quite meaningless).


ekdidonai@yahoo.com
last updated: 11.22.2004