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NYPD DEA badge Meg's Grand Theory of Olivo

Editor's note: The length of time passed since Denby's "death" makes it nearly certain that the new writers of the series intended everything they wrote to be take at face value so far as they were concerned with the Denby/Diane/Danny story arc. Nonetheless, Meg's theory, as outlined below, shows only one of the many possibilities inherent in the situation following Diane's shooting of Denby, courtesy of the inconsistencies in the scripts written by the new writers. Consequently, fans of this story arc are still free to believe that the characters of Denby and Danny did not die.


Preliminary research on my Theory of Olivo:

This is the dialogue dealing with the issue of WHEN the pickup is supposed to happen and WHO is supposed to be the new distributor:

  1. Olivo on the time of the controlled delivery:

    TO DANNY--

    Olivo: Joint task force is planning a controlled delivery any time now on a shipment of heroin sitting in a warehouse in Brooklyn...Task force's got a DEA agent's infiltrated the Colombian organization...(shipment was supposed to go to Yvonne)...Now we don't know who's comin'.

    TO ANDY--

    Andy: Your man give you any sense when this pickup's going down?
    Olivo: Shipment come through last night. Usually within 36 hours.

  2. On the other hand, notice how specific Jose and Denby are:

    JOSE TO DENBY--

    Jose: Hey, Denby, thought we were making this tomorrow.
    Denby: Tomorrow? Oh right, I just stopped by to check on some things. (Jose has apparently been told who is going to be the new distributor, and has been told that this new distributor, Denby, will be coming Wednesday--whereas Olivo says they don't know who is coming, or when)

    DENBY TO DIANE:

    "This delivery was supposed to be a test...smack comes into the country on Monday, we (evidently he and Yvonne) were set to pick it up on Wednesday, my plan was to steal it on Tuesday, sell the whole thing to a Chinese group."

    So Denby here confirms Jose's story that he was supposed to pick up the heroin on Wednesday, and then confesses to Diane that he decided to drop the whole distribution network project ('widening the network") he and Yvonne had been working on for so long and instead show up on Tuesday to intercept the heroin and sell it, I guess, to some Chinese distributor.

    So, why the disconnect between the control booth and what's being said on the floor? Why does Jose (and one assumes his partner, the undercover cop Manuel) have information that is more specific and features Denby more centrally than does Olivo? Why does Olivo not tell Diane that Denby is expected the next day? Why does Olivo pull Diane and Andy in at just exactly the time when Denby "unexpectedly" shows up?

P.S. Speaking of which, when I watched the warehouse scene to get Denby's exact words, when Diane asked Denby "What happened with Yvonne?" the camera immediately cuts to a lingering shot of Officer Manuel. Suggests that Manuel may have something to do with the whole Yvonne thing.

THE GRAND THEORY OF OLIVO:

  1. WHY OLIVO SHOWS UP

    Once the 1-5 starting tracking the murder of Yvonne in relation to the Citi-Wide drug ring, and not concentrating on Denby, that's when suddenly Olivo turns up and asks the 1-5 to get involved with running Denby to earth.
    My theory is that Olivo was upset that when Andy and Diane turn up at the loading dock, they do not even interrogate Denby, much less arrest him. They go for the other guy and his info about a drug ring. Even though Olivo has been leaving clues that implicate Denby, Diane has ignored them and gone straight for the drug-ring angle. That's when Olivo implicates Denby in the drug-ring, in the hopes that Diane and Andy will take Denby as a serious suspect. He also makes an effort to re-inforce the possibility that Denby murdered Yvonne. It is Olivo who wants to take Denby out, using the 1-5 as his method. Denby is some kind of thorn in Olivo's side, he is getting in the way of Olivo's plans. So it's true that Denby is getting in the way of Olivo's plans, but these are criminal plans, not police plans.

  2. WHY DENBY SHOWS UP

    My theory is that Olivo set things up so that Denby arrives earlier than expected at the warehouse, surprising Jose and Manuel, who expected him the next day. I think this has to do with Olivo taking over this shipment of heroin, rather than taking over the whole drug-distribution operation--in other words, Olivo intended to do what Denby says he was going to do--steal this one shipment worth five million on the street and sell it to some dealer and make a big one-time profit. It seems as if Olivo set this up through information he got from someone associated with Yvonne--possibly Jose, possibly Manuel. So Olivo is using the info he got from the undercover Manuel not for police purposes but for his own purposes. Although Olivo obviously did not anticipate the hostage situation. I think he assumed Manuel would be dead, which would make it impossible for Denby to negotiate with Diane. Did he plan that, after the killing of Jose and Manuel, Denby would be apprehended and handed over to the 1-5? Or, more likely, that the invading platoon of armed-to-the teeth ESU guys would manage to kill Denby as well in all the confusion? Or was the confederate supposed to kill Denby, having demonstrated to the 1-5 that Denby was a bad hat? One has the feeling that, if Denby doesn't stage his own death, somebody else will see to it that he is dead for sure. So my view is that Denby had to do some fast thinking and some fast talking to outwit Olivo.

  3. THE ROLE OF THE 1-5

    Jose obviously thinks Denby is taking over the distribution now that Yvonne is gone--he expects Denby the next day. Andy and Diane also assume that Denby is taking over for Yvonne, but it doesn't seem to concern them that much (as if they know he is undercover). Olivo, on the other hand, suggests Denby is not a big-time operator, but a small-time crook. But for that to be the case, then Diane and Andy were wrong in assuming Denby was taking over the distribution ring and they were wrong in not concentrating in on Denby as Yvonne's murderer. But the thing is, in the Blue world, the 1-5 is never wrong when it comes to their detective work. The whole idea of the show is that the members of the 1-5, while having sundry personal problems, still function as excellent detectives. So I assume the 1-5 was right and that Denby did not kill Yvonne and her husband, and that he did intend to take over distribution.

    When Olivo talks to Diane, Diane tells him that they are not 100 percent sold on the murder-suicide. Olivo is the one who introduces the name of Denby and says he was seen coming and going out of Yvonne's apartment. Diane counters by saying she thought Denby was taking over the distribution--she does not say they figured Denby killed Yvonne--she mentions him only as a drug-distributor not as a suspect in the murder. It could be that, as part of his continuing undercover work, Denby WAS taking over the distribution ring, which he would do to continue "widening the net" that will capture more and more players in the drug ring. Olivo, however, is determined to demote Denby to someone trying to make his move in the wake of Yvonne's death, and sets him up for a fall in the warehouse because Olivo didn't want Denby messing up his good deal. He needed Denby out of the way, and he needed the 1-5 to stop snooping around Citi-Wide, so he set things up so that both these factors would no longer be around to interfere with his plan to steal the heroin himself.

--Meg


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