• Match to 3 White (0) vs. Red (0)
Position posted by Dean Gay [101503]
Pip counts: White: 81, Red: 63
• Red to play 
• Equities 3-ply, cubeful [grandmaster/Kazaross Met]
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11/5 2/1 |
+0.506 |
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79.3% 0.4% 0.0% 20.7% 0.5% 0.0% |
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11/5 3/2 |
+0.470 ( -0.036) |
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77.6% 0.3% 0.0% 22.4% 0.3% 0.0% |
I think 11/5 2/1 is slightly better than 11/5 3/2 because blot leaving numbers of 6-1 and 6-4 next time cover the blot on the 2-point.
-- Rodney Lighton
3/2 feels better for the race, which is far from gin, but the tactics favor 2/1.
Aces would be duplicated after 3/2 for hitting 5/4* and covering 4/3.
There are more relatively safe hits after 2/1:
1-1, 2-1, 4-2, 2-2, and 4-4 or 8/36 versus just 1-1, 2-2, and 4-1, or 4/36.
Also, 4-4 leaves a shot after 3/2.
-- Douglas Zare
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• Match to 7 White (0) vs. Red (1)
Position posted by Alex Zamanian [101503]
Pip counts: White: 153, Red: 168
• Red to play 
• Equities 3-ply, cubeful [grandmaster/Jacob & Trice Met]
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bar/21 13/9*(2) 12/8 |
- 0.165 |
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46.3% 10.7% 0.2% 53.7% 13.7% 0.4% |
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bar/21 13/9*(2) 7/3* |
- 0.290 ( -0.124) |
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44.0% 10.2% 0.3% 56.0% 16.6% 0.7% |
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bar/21 13/9* 7/3*(2) |
- 0.303 ( -0.137) |
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42.3% 12.8% 0.4% 57.7% 16.9% 0.9% |
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bar/21 13/9*(2) 6/2 |
- 0.330 ( -0.165) |
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43.0% 9.5% 0.2% 57.0% 17.0% 0.7% |
B/21 13/9*(2) 12/8 stands out to me.
I'm in no position to blitz, and I can easily see White having some timing issues getting stuck behind my four-prime.
-- Dean Gay
Trying for some kind of semi-blitz with a one or two-point board is the wrong approach. This position appears to be a battle of outside primes.
-- Neil Kazaross
B/21 13/9*(2) 12/8 looks solid. I don't think that hitting loose on the 3-point gains much with White's anchor and I wouldn't break the 7-point to hit on the 3-point.
-- Rodney Lighton
I took some time with this one. I didn't like hitting loose on the 3-point, since it doesn't do too much, but I thought it might be right to blast my way through the position with B/21 13/9* 7/3(2)*.
Apparently that's way wrong, which I still don't understand.
I did however manage to play the correct B/21 13/9(2)* 12/8.
-- Alex Zamanian
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