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Topic: Will the degree of soccer gambling increase greatly in HK after legalization?     

1.                Background:

In these 2-3 years, the number of reports of illegal soccer gambling has been increasing rapidly. Both the government and the society have shown their concern on this issue.

This year, the government asked for public opinion on the possibility to legalize football gambling. This has evoked the public's discussion, that some people are expecting a considerable gamble tax and the income from the sale of licenses to private firms, thinking that they will be helpful to our economics depression; and the others believe that the legalization policy will change sport into gambling, juveniles will be then encouraged to try betting and finally the society will deteriorate.

2.             Objectives:

1)      To find out variables that will affect times of gambling activities

2)      To find out variables that will affect increase of gambling activities after legalization

3)      To make prediction on degree of increase of soccer gambling in HK after legalization by more theoretical method, difficult from surveys like some political parties and pressure groups

3.              Research question:

1)      Older people will gamble less. The age of people is negative correlated with degree of increase of gambling after legalization. Just like the below diagram.

Approach 1

2) The middle class will gamble more. The nearness of middle class economic power is positive correlated with degree of increase of gambling after legalization.Just like the below diagram.

Approach 2

3) Illegal gambling activities before legalization of gambling is negative correlated with the degree of increase of gambling after legalization. If there are less illegal gambling activities, the increase of gambling after legalization is great.