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Project: Business Plan
Financial
Plan
We want to finance growth through a combination of long-term debt
and cash flow. Purchase of the larger facility and equipment will require
approximately eighty percent debt financing. Additional technology will be
primarily financed with cash-flow. Inventory turnover must remain at or above
four or we run the risk of backing up orders and jeopardizing our freshness
guarantees. We have had no problems with accounts receivable and we expect to
maintain our collection days at 30 with thirty percent of sales on credit.
In addition, we must achieve gross margins of forty-five percent
and hold operating costs no more than fifty-five percent of sales.
Important Assumptions
Important
assumptions for this plan are found in the following table. These assumptions
largely determine the financial plan and require that we secure additional
financing.
|
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
Plan Month |
1 |
2 |
3 |
Current Interest Rate |
14.00% |
14.00% |
14.00% |
Long-term Interest Rate |
9.00% |
9.00% |
9.00% |
Tax Rate |
45.58% |
47.00% |
45.58% |
Other |
0 |
0 |
0 |
The
most important factor to COYO .Inc. anticipated growth is the procurement of
necessary financing. The size of the orders currently requested by importers are
larger than what can be produced given our present plant capacity.
The
following chart shows changes in key financial indicators: sales, gross margin,
operating expenses, collection days, and inventory turnover. The growth in sales
goes above thirty percent in the first year, twenty percent in second, and back
to thirty percent in year three after which it will settle. We expect to
increase gross margin but our projections show a decline in the first two years
following the purchase of the new facility. This is due to the facilities not
being run at maximum capacity. The projections for collection days and inventory turnover show that we
expect a decline in these indicators.
Benchmarks
Click to Enlarge
The
break-even analysis shows that COYO.Inc has sufficient sales strength to remain
viable. Our break-even point is close to 7,300 units per month and our sales
forecast for the next year calls for almost 8500 units per month on average.
Projections are detailed in the following table.
Break-even Analysis
Click to Enlarge
Monthly Units Break-even |
7,333 |
Monthly Revenue Break-even |
$1,774,667 |
|
|
Assumptions: |
|
Average Per-Unit Revenue |
$242.00 |
Average Per-Unit Variable Cost |
$212.00 |
Estimated Monthly Fixed Cost |
$220,000 |
We
expect to close the first year of production in the new facility with ($BRL)
26,260,416 in sales and increase our sales to more than ($BRL) 33 million in the
second year and ($BRL) 46 million in year three. Net earnings will average ($BRL)
2.4 million.
|
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
Sales |
$26,260,416 |
$33,021,600 |
$46,126,400 |
Direct Costs of Goods |
$21,242,400 |
$26,712,000 |
$37,312,000 |
Production Payroll |
$300,396 |
$316,884 |
$331,912 |
Other |
$300,000 |
$345,000 |
$410,000 |
|
------------ |
------------ |
------------ |
Cost of Goods Sold |
$21,842,796 |
$27,373,884 |
$38,053,912 |
Gross Margin |
$4,417,620 |
$5,647,716 |
$8,072,488 |
Gross Margin % |
16.82% |
17.10% |
17.50% |
Operating Expenses: |
|
|
|
Sales and Marketing Expenses: |
|
|
|
Sales and Marketing Payroll |
$225,492 |
$128,150 |
$136,521 |
Advertising/Promotion |
$144,000 |
$165,000 |
$165,000 |
Travel |
$21,000 |
$22,500 |
$24,000 |
Miscellaneous |
$24,000 |
$26,500 |
$28,500 |
Other |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
|
------------ |
------------ |
------------ |
Total Sales and Marketing Expenses |
$414,492 |
$342,150 |
$354,021 |
Sales and Marketing % |
1.58% |
1.04% |
0.77% |
General and Administrative Expenses: |
|
|
|
General and Administrative Payroll |
$119,400 |
$130,228 |
$173,377 |
Sales and Marketing and Other Expenses |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
Depreciation |
$216,000 |
$216,000 |
$216,000 |
Leased Equipment |
$50,400 |
$50,400 |
$50,400 |
Utilities |
$36,000 |
$36,000 |
$36,000 |
Insurance |
$72,000 |
$75,000 |
$78,000 |
Rent |
$305,250 |
$300,000 |
$300,000 |
Other |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
Payroll Taxes |
$58,076 |
$51,774 |
$57,763 |
Other General and Administrative Expenses |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
|
------------ |
------------ |
------------ |
Total General and Administrative Expenses |
$857,126 |
$859,402 |
$911,540 |
General and Administrative % |
3.26% |
2.60% |
1.98% |
Other Expenses: |
|
|
|
Other Payroll |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
Contract/Consultants |
$18,000 |
$24,000 |
$30,000 |
Other |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
|
------------ |
------------ |
------------ |
Total Other Expenses |
$18,000 |
$24,000 |
$30,000 |
Other % |
0.07% |
0.07% |
0.07% |
|
------------ |
------------ |
------------ |
Total Operating Expenses |
$1,289,618 |
$1,225,552 |
$1,295,561 |
Profit Before Interest and Taxes |
$3,128,002 |
$4,422,164 |
$6,776,927 |
Interest Expense |
$262,644 |
$214,159 |
$161,392 |
Taxes Incurred |
$1,299,147 |
$1,977,763 |
$3,015,582 |
Net Profit |
$1,566,211 |
$2,230,243 |
$3,599,954 |
Net Profit/Sales |
5.96% |
6.75% |
7.80% |
COYO.
Inc expects to manage cash flow over the next three years with the assistance of
a loan supported by the Central Bank of Brazil of ($BRL) 2,700.000. This
financing assistance is required to provide the working capital to meet the
current needs for the construction of the new production facility and additional
personnel, distribution costs, and other related expenses.
|
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
|
|
|
|
Cash Received |
|
|
|
Cash from Operations: |
|
|
|
Cash Sales |
$26,260,416 |
$33,021,600 |
$46,126,400 |
Cash from Receivables |
$137,250 |
$0 |
$0 |
Subtotal Cash from Operations |
$26,397,666 |
$33,021,600 |
$46,126,400 |
|
|
|
|
Additional Cash Received |
|
|
|
Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Received |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
New Current Borrowing |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
New Other Liabilities (interest-free) |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
New Long-term Liabilities |
$2,700,000 |
$0 |
$0 |
Sales of Other Current Assets |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
Sales of Long-term Assets |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
New Investment Received |
$0 |
$650,000 |
$650,000 |
Subtotal Cash Received |
$29,097,666 |
$33,671,600 |
$46,776,400 |
|
|
|
|
Expenditures |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
Expenditures from Operations: |
|
|
|
Cash Spending |
$1,400,401 |
$1,524,093 |
$2,133,911 |
Payment of Accounts Payable |
$20,136,432 |
$29,123,331 |
$39,159,844 |
Subtotal Spent on Operations |
$21,536,832 |
$30,647,424 |
$41,293,754 |
|
|
|
|
Additional Cash Spent |
|
|
|
Sales Tax, VAT, HST/GST Paid Out |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
Principal Repayment of Current Borrowing |
$144,000 |
$175,000 |
$200,000 |
Other Liabilities Principal Repayment |
$27,600 |
$25,300 |
$25,300 |
Long-term Liabilities Principal Repayment |
$305,250 |
$294,636 |
$294,636 |
Purchase Other Current Assets |
$60,000 |
$75,000 |
$85,000 |
Purchase Long-term Assets |
$2,700,000 |
$0 |
$0 |
Dividends |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
Subtotal Cash Spent |
$24,773,682 |
$31,217,360 |
$41,898,690 |
|
|
|
|
Net Cash Flow |
$4,323,984 |
$2,454,240 |
$4,877,710 |
Cash Balance |
$5,318,244 |
$7,772,484 |
$12,650,194 |
As
shown in the balance sheet in the following table, our net will grow from
approximately ($BRL) 935,626 to more than ($BRL) 1.48 million by the end of 1999
and to ($BRL) 3.46 million by the end of the plan period. The monthly
projections are in the appendices.
|
|
|
|
Assets |
|
|
|
Current Assets |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
Cash |
$5,318,244 |
$7,772,484 |
$12,650,194 |
Inventory |
$1,780,800 |
$2,239,329 |
$3,127,952 |
Other Current Assets |
$303,936 |
$378,936 |
$463,936 |
Total Current Assets |
$7,402,980 |
$10,390,750 |
$16,242,082 |
Long-term Assets |
|
|
|
Long-term Assets |
$3,221,650 |
$3,221,650 |
$3,221,650 |
Accumulated Depreciation |
$316,000 |
$532,000 |
$748,000 |
Total Long-term Assets |
$2,905,650 |
$2,689,650 |
$2,473,650 |
Total Assets |
$10,308,630 |
$13,080,400 |
$18,715,732 |
|
|
|
|
Liabilities and Capital |
|
|
|
Current Liabilities |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
Accounts Payable |
$4,375,408 |
$4,761,870 |
$6,667,185 |
Current Borrowing |
($86,000) |
($261,000) |
($461,000) |
Other Current Liabilities |
($27,600) |
($52,900) |
($78,200) |
Subtotal Current Liabilities |
$4,261,808 |
$4,447,970 |
$6,127,985 |
|
|
|
|
Long-term Liabilities |
$2,796,750 |
$2,502,114 |
$2,207,478 |
Total Liabilities |
$7,058,558 |
$6,950,084 |
$8,335,463 |
|
|
|
|
Paid-in Capital |
$525,000 |
$1,175,000 |
$1,825,000 |
Retained Earnings |
$1,021,611 |
$2,587,822 |
$4,818,065 |
Earnings |
$1,566,211 |
$2,230,243 |
$3,599,954 |
Total Capital |
$3,112,822 |
$5,993,065 |
$10,243,019 |
Total Liabilities and Capital |
$10,171,380 |
$12,943,150 |
$18,578,482 |
Net Worth |
$3,250,072 |
$6,130,315 |
$10,380,269 |
Standard
business ratios are included in the following table. The ratios show an
aggressive plan for growth in order to reach maximum production within three
years. Return on investment increases each year as we bring the new facility to
maximum capacity and production. Return on sales and assets remain strong and
cost of goods decreases based upon efficiency projections. Projections are based
on the 1997/98 selling price.
|
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
Industry Profile |
|||
Sales Growth |
43.14% |
25.75% |
39.69% |
-4.40% |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Percent of Total Assets |
|
|
|
|
|||
Accounts Receivable |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
22.10% |
|||
Inventory |
17.27% |
17.12% |
16.71% |
15.60% |
|||
Other Current Assets |
2.95% |
2.90% |
2.48% |
26.00% |
|||
Total Current Assets |
71.81% |
79.44% |
86.78% |
63.70% |
|||
Long-term Assets |
28.19% |
20.56% |
13.22% |
36.30% |
|||
Total Assets |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Current Liabilities |
41.34% |
34.00% |
32.74% |
26.20% |
|||
Long-term Liabilities |
27.13% |
19.13% |
11.79% |
18.00% |
|||
Total Liabilities |
68.47% |
53.13% |
44.54% |
44.20% |
|||
Net Worth |
31.53% |
46.87% |
55.46% |
55.80% |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Percent of Sales |
|
|
|
|
|||
Sales |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
|||
Gross Margin |
16.82% |
17.10% |
17.50% |
33.10% |
|||
Selling, General & Administrative Expenses |
11.04% |
10.35% |
9.90% |
20.70% |
|||
Advertising Expenses |
0.55% |
0.50% |
0.36% |
1.90% |
|||
Profit Before Interest and Taxes |
11.91% |
13.39% |
14.69% |
2.80% |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Main Ratios |
|
|
|
|
|||
Current |
1.74 |
2.34 |
2.65 |
2.23 |
|||
Quick |
1.32 |
1.83 |
2.14 |
1.40 |
|||
Total Debt to Total Assets |
68.47% |
53.13% |
44.54% |
44.20% |
|||
Pre-tax Return on Net Worth |
88.16% |
68.64% |
63.73% |
6.50% |
|||
Pre-tax Return on Assets |
27.80% |
32.17% |
35.35% |
11.60% |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Additional Ratios |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
|
|||
Net Profit Margin |
5.96% |
6.75% |
7.80% |
n.a |
|||
Return on Equity |
48.19% |
36.38% |
34.68% |
n.a |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Activity Ratios |
|
|
|
|
|||
Accounts Receivable Turnover |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
n.a |
|||
Collection Days |
0 |
0 |
0 |
n.a |
|||
Inventory Turnover |
12.00 |
13.29 |
13.90 |
n.a |
|||
Accounts Payable Turnover |
5.60 |
6.20 |
6.16 |
n.a |
|||
Payment Days |
58 |
57 |
51 |
n.a |
|||
Total Asset Turnover |
2.55 |
2.52 |
2.46 |
n.a |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Debt Ratios |
|
|
|
|
|||
Debt to Net Worth |
2.17 |
1.13 |
0.80 |
n.a |
|||
Current Liab. to Liab. |
0.60 |
0.64 |
0.74 |
n.a |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Liquidity Ratios |
|
|
|
|
|||
Net Working Capital |
$3,141,172 |
$5,942,779 |
$10,114,097 |
n.a |
|||
Interest Coverage |
11.91 |
20.65 |
41.99 |
n.a |
|||
|
|
|
|
|
|||
Additional Ratios |
|
|
|
|
|||
Assets to Sales |
0.39 |
0.40 |
0.41 |
n.a |
|||
Current Debt/Total Assets |
41% |
34% |
33% |
n.a |
|||
Acid Test |
1.32 |
1.83 |
2.14 |
n.a |
|||
Sales/Net Worth |
8.08 |
5.39 |
4.44 |
n.a |
|||
Dividend Payout |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
n.a |
|||
|
|||||||
COYO.
Inc. deal exclusively in green coffee, grown in the southern states of Brazil
and one-hundred percent Arabica. Beans in parchment are purchased directly from
growers and are de-husked and packaged into 60kg sacks in the COYO.Inc' plant.
The final product is suitable for sale and exportation.
In
order to differentiate our product, coffee, which is a commodity, from the
product offering of competitors, all beans are guaranteed fresh and are shipped
within seven days of preparation. In addition all beans are sorted at
ninety-five percent screen 18 and above compared to the industry standard ninety
percent screen of 17 and above. The beans shipped by COYO.Inc are therefore
larger than most and are guaranteed fresh. In addition, all of the farms from
which COYO.Inc purchases coffee adhere to environmentally sound farming
practices and avoid the use of pesticides and chemicals in crop production.
There
are approximately ten competitors who offer a product similar to ours. Our
research indicates that with the additional capacity we would become one of the
top four, in terms of quantity, providers. We have the advantage of established
distribution channels and reputation. In addition, improvements to our marketing
efforts will further separate us from the larger market and from our close
competitors.
COYO.Inc
currently works with two importers in the United States who handle all of our
shipments. Likewise, we have dealt with the same Brazilian wholesalers, for
internal sales, each year. Sales to this point have been handled through
personal selling. Additional sales literature will include a website, direct
mail to specialty roasters and importers, and print advertising in several trade
publications including Coffee Times, a monthly publication which targets
American business dealing with issues relevant to the coffee industry.
Both
the existing and the proposed facilities are ideally located in Ouro Fino, in
the state of Minas Gerais. Minas Gerais is the largest coffee producing state in
Brazil and beans produced in the region are of the highest quality. With
additional financing, we would be able to buy larger volumes at lower prices. We
now buy from one or more of six private growers or grower cooperatives.
Contracts are secured six months in advance of harvest.
Improvements
in technology will include the use of partially automated selecting machines
which will allow for increased production capacity with a lower
machine-to-operator ratio than we currently employ. Additional storage
capabilities will decrease shipping charges and will reduce the need for
permanent shipping employees by thirty-five percent. High-technology information
system upgrades will improve all aspects of business, especially inventory
control, tracking of shipments, and communication with clients in import
countries.
Alternative
to the Arabica bean, Coffea Robusta, though it shares some similarities with the
Arabica bean, is very different. Coffea Robusta is grown at lower elevations and
has a higher yield per plant as well as being more resistant to disease. It also
has up to twice the caffeine level as it's cousin the Arabica Bean. Due to the
lower cost and larger market amount of Robusta coffee, it is found primarily on
supermarket shelves. The Arabica species grows at much higher elevations, better
soil rich areas, and is the source of the worlds finest coffees.
By
providing the finest species of coffee, COYO.Inc has taken the first step
towards a differentiated product. To further distinguish our coffee, we adhere
to higher quality standards than approximately ninety-five percent of the
market. In addition, all of our beans are of the Bourbon Santos variety. The
"Bourbon" strain is considered one of the finest Brazil has to offer.
It is grown in the mountains surrounding Sao Paulo and is highly sought after by
specialty roasters from around the world. We have assumed the position of a
specialized provider of this exceptional coffee. Our customers, American and
Brazilian specialty roasters, recognize COYO.Inc for our ability to provide the
type of beans they require to produce award winning coffee.
Releference:
COYO.Inc( Export Coffee Business Plan)