Navigation
Papers by Melberg
Elster Page
Ph.D work

About this web
Why?
Who am I?
Recommended
Statistics
Mail me
Subscribe
Search papers
List of titles only
Categorised titles

General Themes
Ph.D. in progress
Economics
Russia
Political Theory
Statistics/Econometrics
Various papers

The Questions
Ph.D Work
Introduction
Cost-Benefit
Statistical Problems
Social Interaction
Centralization vs. Decentralization

Economics
Define economics!
Models, Formalism
Fluctuations, Crisis
Psychology

Statistics
Econometrics

Review of textbooks

Belief formation
Inifinite regress
Rationality

Russia
Collapse of Communism
Political Culture
Reviews

Political Science
State Intervention
Justice/Rights/Paternalism
Nationalism/Ethnic Violence

Various
Yearly reviews

Philosophy
Explanation=?
Methodology

 

[Note for bibliographic reference: Melberg, Hans O. (1997), The value of fictional literature for the social sciences - A case study of Gogol's Dead Souls, http://www.oocities.org/hmelberg/papers/970707.htm]

 

The value of fictional literature for the social sciences
A case study of Gogol's Dead Souls

by Hans O. Melberg

Nikolaj Gogol
Døde Sjeler ("Dead Souls") ("Mjortvyje dushji")
Translated by Erik Krag
Oslo, Gyldendal Pocket, 1994 (Original Russian: 1842)
252 pages, ISBN: 82-05-18665-0


Introduction
Fiction should primarily be read for its own sake and pleasure. Nevertheless, a social scientist may use fictional literature in at least three ways: to illustrate, to prove, and to discover. The first - to illustrate - is simply to use literature as a heuristic device; a way of improving our explanations. Since this use of literature is relatively uncontroversial, I shall not discuss it further. The second use of literature - as evidence to prove an argument - is more contested. For instance, is it good social science to use literary quotes to prove that the Russians have a certain cultural trait (being honest, religious etc.)? Finally, literature can be used as a source of inspiration - to discover new mechanism that the author consciously or sub-consciously has described in his work. In the following I shall use an examination of Gogol's Dead Souls to explore the last two uses of literature: to prove and to discover.

Before I start, I must admit that I am no expert in the world of literature. Thus, the following should not be read as a review of the literary qualities of the book, although I cannot avoid making some comments in that direction. The main focus, however, is on how the book could be read if we as dry social scientist wanted to "steal" ideas and quotations from the logically and empirically less constrained authors of fictional works. lastly, I must add that the quotations are highly imperfect translations. I read the Norwegian translation of Dead Souls, thus the quotations have been translated twice: first from Russian to Norwegian, and then from Norwegian to English. Even if I had been able to translate perfectly from Norwegian to English (which I am not) the quotations would still loose some of their flavour in each step. I apologise for this imperfection, but hope that the meaning is still conveyed without too many problems.

The book
The plot of the book can be summarized quite easily. Pavel Ivanovitsj Tsjitsjikov - the leading character - enters city N.N. in order to buy serfs that have died, but who are still in the official registry (which is only updated every ten years). This plot gives Gogol the chance to paint greatly exaggerated and very entertaining of various Russian arch-types. As he tries to buy dead souls Tsjitsjikov meets Manilov (polite, good tempered but rather uninterested in the daily work on the estate), Korobotsjika (suspicious, slightly stupid, but quite thrifty), Nozdrjov (a notorious liar), Sobakjevskitsj (solid but bad-tempered), and Pljusjkin (extremely tight-fisted). In addition to the detailed portrait of these personalities, Gogol uses the plot to explore the driving forces of a small Russian town - corruption, scandals, and the eternal competition for social status.

In my amateurish literary opinion, I found the story to be highly entertaining. The plot generates suspense since the reader is made curious about why Tsjitsjikov wants to buy the dead souls - what is the use of owning dead serfs? The answer comes towards the very end of the book. It turns out that serfs can be pawned for 200 rubles as long as they are registered, dead or alive doesn't matter. Tsjitsjikov's plan is thus simple: To become rich by pawing dead souls that he buys cheaply. In this way, Gogol might be interpreted as saying something about a typical Russian attitude: To become rich by using as little effort as possible - and certainly not by hard work.

A good plot itself does not make an interesting book unless it is matched by good execution - or style as we may call it. Gogol's style is marked by exaggeration, humour and meta-speculation. As an example of exaggeration we may cite Gogol description of how the village-elite almost start to believe that Tsjitsjkov is Napoleon in disguise who is trying to abduct the daughter of the governor, buying dead souls in order to divert their attention. Less grand, but still humorous, is the description of how our hero is woken up when he inhales a flee that landed on his skin while he was asleep. As for the meta-speculative style, I am less convinced that this device makes for good reading. To interrupt your story by inserting your own thoughts seldom make for good reading, although I have to admit that in this book it seemed to fit (unlike several other books I have read). Finally, as far as I can judge the language is very good; the choice of words is usually fresh and striking.

Gogol and the Russian culture
Academic authors writing about culture frequently quote famous fictional authors to convince the reader that a culture is characterized by a certain trait. For an author searching for evidence to this effect, Gogol can certainly be recommended. He frequently makes more or less plausible claims about the distinctness of the Russian national character compared to the other nations. Here are some minor examples:

Starting in the second chapter Gogol writes that "despite his Russian nature" he wants to be "systematic like a German" and describe his characters in depth (p. 13, see also p. 243, and especially p. 135). Two pages later, Gogol makes another generalization about the Russian national character, when he writes that "nothing attracts a Russian more than being in touch with people who are even just one step above him on the social ladder ..." (p. 15). In the same way Gogol continues: The Russians are especially "quick to take action" (p. 36); They are "far ahead" of their neighbours in the art of treating people differently according to status (flexibility of language) (p. 44); They bear no grudges after a fight - being able to meet as friends as if nothing had happened afterwards (p. 67); They are surprisingly adaptable (p. 154); And the Russians are very inventive in times of trouble (p. 235). In short, Gogol frequently points to traits which he claims are particular to the Russians.

Sometimes, the claims about Russian distinctiveness are not very convincing. Consider, for example, the following three examples: "no Russian wants to admit to being wrong" (p. 86); "The Russians are very wise - afterwards" (p. 207); And, "the laws of hospitality are unviolable in our country" (p. 118). These seems to be universal human or national characteristics. Few people - Russian, French or German - wants to admit mistakes; Most people find it easier to be wiser after an event than before; And, hospitality seems be a norm in most countries. With these arguments I do not want to claim that Gogol is wrong. He is writing a piece of fiction, not a treatise on Russian cultural traits. Moreover, he is not drawing an explicit comparison (saying that Russians are reluctant to admit mistakes does not necessarily imply that they are more so than other peoples). I simply want to point out that these casual statements cannot be used as proofs for a Russian national character.

A more serious, and less casual claim, is the following:

"We, the Russians, do not manage to hold representative meetings. If not one strong hand takes command, then all our meetings ... will inescapably descent into the most hopeless confusion. The reason for this is difficult to tell, but it undoubtedly lies to the nation." (p. 200)

This is an often-repeated claim (see for example my Review of Hingley's The Russian Mind (text) and my article Russians about Russians (text)), but I remain sceptical about the argument that a strong man suits the Russian culture more than democracy. I have earlier pointed to some reasons for my scepticism, however the persistence of the claim calls for an explanation.

I believe an explanation for the popularity of the claim can be found in two circular arguments. First, Russia has often been ruled by a strong man, so a strong man must be the form of government that best fits the Russian culture. Not only is this inference invalid (a country can be ruled by a strong man for reasons other than culture), it is also partly self-fulfilling. If you (wrongly) believe that Russia needs a strong man to lead it, then you might be willing to support such a strong man in power - thus enabling strong men to continue to rule. Second, as soon as some people have argued in favour of the strong man thesis, other authors start quoting them to give their arguments credibility. Soon it is repeated in many works, and the very frequency of the statement makes us believe it. For example, reading Dead Souls I sometimes caught myself thinking "This is exactly what Hingley wrote about the Russian culture. Maybe there is something to this ..." For example, like Gogol also Hingley writes about the great hospitality of the Russian nation and the Russian love of scandals and scenes (see p. 87 in Gogol). However, my initial joy of having found a parallel - a "connection" - was checked by a growing doubt. Hingley's statements were not independent of Gogol. Somewhat caricatured and simplified the process was as follows: Hingley read Gogol and wrote about the Russian culture. I read Hingley and was relatively unconvinced. I then read Gogol and became more convinced. However, this is like buying a second copy of a newspaper to confirm a fact you read in the first copy (Wittgenstein, Elster) - it is wrong and useless, but it is nevertheless quite widespread.

What are the general conclusions on the use of fictional quotations based on these few observations on Gogol's Dead Souls. In my opinion, the value of using quotations from famous authors to prove a cultural trait, is very limited. It is too easy to search for exactly the quotations that fits your argument; to ignore fictional evidence to the opposite; and to be convinced by an evidence which is really a repetition of a previous evidence. This being said, I must also admit that there are different and more reliable ways of using fiction to prove cultural traits. For example, F. Ganeslen has analyzed about 1000 conflicts as described by authors in China, Japan, USA and Russia. His analysis shows how the Russian culture is less individualists than the American culture (since the individual opposing the majority wins less in Russian fictional conflicts than American fiction). He also gives evidence which shows that the fictional conflicts correspond to reality (for more on this see Culture and decision making). Thus, I am not opposed to the use of literature to prove points in the social sciences, only the use of a few well-selected quotations.

Using fiction as a source of inspiration
In the social sciences we are searching for mechanisms that can be used to explain facts and events. An example of a mechanism, is cognitive dissonance reduction. This mechanism can be used to explain why people working in dangerous industries might wear too little protective equipment (they underestimate the danger in order to reconcile their belief in their own rationality with the kind of work they are doing). Although a mechanism is not a social law, it is a causal pattern which can be found in more than one instance. Hence, we may use literature to search for possible mechanisms, although we usually have to see whether the pattern is generalizable (find more real-life examples) before the suggestion can be called a mechanism. (For more on mechanisms, see the first chapter in Jon Elster's Political Psychology.)

In Gogol's Dead Souls I found examples of several types of well known mechanism. For example, the problem of adverse selection is clearly implied when the village discuss the wisdom of buying serfs. One person then argues, "no land-owner sells good and able people." (p. 155). This immediately sent my thought back to Akerlof's article about adverse selection, for example when the market for good second-hand cars breaks down for exactly the same reasons as the market for good serfs: adverse selection and informational asymmetry. (Note this is not an analogy, the causal mechanism is the same).

A somewhat more detailed mechanism, is similar to that of Grouch Marx - he who did not want to be a member of any club that would accept him as a member. For example, Korobotsjika is reluctant to sell her dead serfs, precisely because Tsjitsjikov so eagerly wants to buy them. In other words, eagerness to buy leads to reluctance to sell because the person fears that he is being cheated (assuming a world of uncertainty). The very desire to buy demonstrate that the good has some value for the buyer, and since this value is unknown to the seller, he might prefer not to sell (see, especially 101).

A third interesting mechanism is suggested by Gogol in one of his interrupting meta-speculations, this time about how weak academic beliefs and assumptions mistakenly turns into strong convictions over time - just like initial gossip hardens into almost truths as more and more people repeat it. "The learned gentlemen are very careful to begin with ... starting with a careful question." (p. 189) As he proceeds, "he cites many of the old authors, and as soon as he finds a suggestion, or what looks like a suggestion, ... his courage increases considerably ... Now he thinks he understands everything, it is all obvious and clear" (p. 190). The mechanism seems to be that starting with a few facts and initial uncertainty, people tend to search for meaning until they have invented a pattern of their own which seems to explain the facts. This is then taken to be the truth, ignoring that the process of searching for meaning is highly unreliable in a world of so many factors and uncertainty: The explanation one person finds is only one of many possible explanations of the fact.

For example, to make sense of Gogol's act of buying dead souls (which they do not even know what is), the villagers "invent" the theory that it must be an attempt to distract their attention from his real purpose which, they infer from almost no evidence, is to abduct the daughter of the governor. I found this description of how mistaken beliefs and collective stupidity arise very suggestive, and I think the pattern is generalizible. Indeed, even in this very article I mentioned how easy it was to (mistakenly) become more convinced about a matter when the same piece of evidence was repeated over and over again.

I have so far tried to discuss mechanism that could explain the failure of potentially profitable trade (adverse selection), and how weak beliefs are transformed into apparent truths (inventing additional facts which makes the belief look more convincing and repeat the story). A fourth mechanism I learned about, maybe the most interesting one, originated from the following comment by N. Kantor:
[NOTE: The following discussion is an excerpt from my article Russians about Russians)

"Through the entire novel Gogol illustrates two opposed principles: on the one hand, a kopeck as a symbol of work and transformation, and on the other, "a hundred thousand roubles" received without effort and, therefore serving no useful purpose either to the recipient or the state." (p. 107 (in Kantor's article), boldface added).

This argument is unconventional, and rich on interesting implications. It is unconventional in the sense that it is not compatible with traditional economic theories (Permanent Income Hypothesis, Life-cycle hypothesis). First, in these theories the source of your income does not affect which goods you want to buy with your income. Second, the speed of how you acquire your income is not a large determinant of the speed by which you spend your money. An example might clarify the issues. First, Gogol would argue that if you received $100 000 from a lottery, you would spend the money on different goods than if you made $100 000 by hard work. Second, receiving $100 000 suddenly affects you consumption-pattern differently than receiving $10 000 in ten yearly instalments. (In fact the relationship between income and consumption is a bit more complex: We have two variables: the time profile of you income and its source. Using these variables we want to explain the time profile of consumption and the boundle of goods consumed. Now, the source of income may affect both the time profile of consumption and the consumption boundle. In the same way a change in the time profile of income may affect both the boundle consumed and the speed by which you spend your money.)

The implications of the argument above are striking. A system of government - in this case one which is relatively open to rent-seeking - encourages an activity (rent-seeking). Income from this activity, Gogol argues, is not spent the same way as income from hard work. Instead of investing the income in entrepreneurial activities, it is spent mainly on luxury and even more rent-seeking activities. Thus, we have an evil circle: rent seeking creates ever more rent-seeking and wasteful consumption. This is interesting for at least two reasons. First, the circle may be used to explain why some countries fail to produce economic growth. Second, it suggests a cure: To create a system of government which minimizes the possibilities for rent-seeking activities (by, for example, non-discretionary rules and constitutional provisions).

Altogether Gogol presents a very interesting chain: Sudden income create impatient consumers and impatient people are not good entrepreneurs. Rent-seeking may produce quick incomes, but they also create a type of personality which engage in luxury consumption and more rent-seeking. Together this suggests (but in no way proves) how a society may be locked in a sub-optimal equilibrium. One may also add that whether one blames the system or the culture depends on how far back one wants to go in the causal chain (remember Gogol's famous question: Who is to blame? We ourselves or the government? (p. 196)). The culture of impatience and rent-seeking is created by the system, thus the immediate cause is culture, but the ultimate cause is the system.

After this detailed discussion of some mechanism implicit in Gogol's novel, one might speculate about the use of literature in general. Does literature occupy a special place among the various sources that may inspire people to find mechanisms. For instance, in a previous article (Culture - An explanatory variable or an interpretive approach?) I argued that fruitfulness was not a good criteria on which to judge theories since it was inherently subjective. For some taking a bath could be a useful way of getting new ideas, new suggestion for generalizable mechanisms. While this is true, I think my argument was a bit extreme. Literature deals with the same topic as the social sciences - human interaction and psychology. It is impossible to write a book and avoid suggesting some mechanism. The same cannot be said for taking a shower. Moreover, literature has a role which historical examples cannot fulfil - to describe what might have been (or what might become). For example, Orwell's 1984 can be seen as a literary prophecy - an attempt to describe how existing tendencies and mechanisms had the potential to create a horrible society.

Conclusion
I started by arguing that fictional literature could be used in three different ways in the social sciences: to illustrate, to prove and to discover. What unifies these three is that literature gives us examples (of preference formation, belief formation, social interaction and its consequences). It is these examples which can be used to illustrate, prove and discover. However, the special nature of literature - it is, after all, fiction constrained only be the author's imagination - means that it is difficult to use literature as proofs. I think, however, that literature has quite a large role as a source of inspiration, but only in conjunction with a search for real life examples of the hypothetical mechanisms described in fiction. In any case, these uses of literature is - and certainly should be for the author if he wants to create good literature - a side effect of the main use of fiction: to give us pleasure by telling a good story.



[Note for bibliographic reference: Melberg, Hans O. (1997), The value of fictional literature for the social sciences - A case study of Gogol's Dead Souls, http://www.oocities.org/hmelberg/papers/970707.htm]