There's two ways a medical school can use the waiting
list. Many medical schools will put a select number
of people (eg. 40-50) on the waiting list. Many of
the applicants they have accepted will end up
declining their acceptances in favour of another
school. At this point, the medical school looks at
the highest-ranked person on the waiting list, and
sends them good-news in the form of an acceptance
letter. If this is how your medical school operates, then you've got a decent chance.
However, other medical schools have been known to put
every applicant who was not accepted onto the waiting
list. In this case, your chances drop dramatically,
since the pool of wait-listed "potential acceptees" increases markedly.
Unfortunately, I don't know which system that school uses and
they almost certainly won't tell you if you ask.
Rankings on the waiting lists are one of those things
that are almost universally kept confidential. I
understand your frustration; us med students refer to
it as "mailman tag" where you try to intercept the
mailman at the mailbox, and frantically flip through
all the useless junk mail... and wouldn't you know it,
son of a gun and damnation, but there's no news.
We've all been through it, and it sucks.
What I can tell you, in case you aren't accepted this
year, is that you are in great shape for next year.
You now know that you are academically (GPA and MCAT)
competitive, to gain the interviews. And when you
think about it, there is pretty much no difference
between the last applicants accepted, and the
following people put onto the waiting list. In that
year, you can work on all the little intangibles, and
you'll have a very good chance at being accepted next year.
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