Prognosticating is scary sometimes. Frus-trating hours can be wasted stewing over what statistics to use, while fundamental skills escape you. The Pitcher's Hit formula was such a case until, after many difficult failures, I discovered how to combine the batter's average and the X-CHART ratings. You will be pleased to know the this month's formulas - for Pitcher's Double, Triple and Homerun are simple. They are highly reliable, more than 95 percent accurate.
FORMULA #17:
PITCHER'S DOUBLE
psomD=((D*216)ITBF).90
pitcher's som DOUBLE equals ((doubles
yielded times 216 ) divided by Total Batters Faced) minus 90
FORMULA #18: PITCHER'S TRIPLE
psomT=((T*216)ITBF)~15
pitcher's som TRIPLE equals ((triples
yielded times 216) divided by Total Batters Faced ) minus 15
FORMULA #19:
PITCHER'S HOMERUN
psomHR = (( HR* 216)ITBF) - 50
pitcher's som HOMERUN equals ((homeruns
yielded times 216) divided by Total Batters Faced ) minus 50
How it works: These formulas take the extra
base hit and multiply it by the 216 chances appearing on both cards. Then
the figure is divided by the pitcher's Total Batters Faced. The result
is then subtracted by the amount of double, triple, or homerun subchances
appearing on the average batter's
card. The 90, 15, and 50 in these formulas
are the defaults to be used in the absence of more precise league-wide
data.
For advanced-side ratings, remember to
run the formulas 4 ways - leftyAL, rightyAL, leftyNL, and rightyNL. For
pre-1990 cards, or if double and triple data is not available (get US Today's
Baseball Weekly), use these older formulas for deter-mining psomD and psomT:
old FORMULA #17:
PITCHER'S DOUBLE
psomD = psomHR * 1.8
pitcher's som Double equals pitcher's
som HomeRun times 1.8
old FORMULA #18:
PITCHER'S TRIPLE
psomT = psomHR * .4
pitcher's som Triple equals pitcher's
som HomeRun times OA
How it works: These formulas were 95 percent accurate for the pitcher's elementary cards until 1990. It's still essential to have the pitcher's HR and TBF.