EDITORIAL

Terrorist Attacks and the American Response

THE REALITY OF THE "FIRST WAR OF THE 21ST CENTURY"


 

 THE INS AND OUTS OF THE EVENTS

 

At the moment they occurred, the attacks perpetrated against the symbols of American capitalism on September 11, left us stupified and incredulous. We immediately made an effort to grasp the reasons for this act of violence. With a little distance, such a murderous occurrence should not be the occasion for surprise: it is an integral part of the very foundations of a system that engenders only death and destruction. And that is precisely one of the primary reasons for which we combat it!

 

To grasp the reasons for such attacks, we must situate them in their global geo-political and economic context. The attacks do not concern Afghanistan alone, and still less just bin Laden, but rather have their roots in the whole region of the Middle-East and Central Asia -- a zone to which we already pointed as a future area of global destabilization at the time of the Balkan wars. It is a question of a highly strategic region, rich in gas and oil, and also constituting the hub through which energy will be shipped from Central Asia and the Caspian region to Asiatic and European markets. It is an economic space that stimulates local and international rivalries, and thereby involves economic and imperialist interests. Economic, inasmuch as the world's biggest oil producer -- Saudi Arabia -- and its oil-rich neighbors, as well as the republics of Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan, all rich in gas too are involved. Imperialist, inasmuch as these nations and their raw materials are either coveted by Russia or by American and European interests. It is in this strategic complex that Afghanistan is situated, and it is also around this strategic complex that international interests and local interests shaped by Islamism confront one another.

 

For many years, The US has pretty much had complete control over the countries of this region thanks to the submission of local pro-American governments or majority factions of the ruling class there. Nevertheless, that equilibrium has become increasingly unstable because of the global economic crisis which has put extreme pressure on fragile local economies, further impoverishing their populations and increasing social tension. As a result, certain factions of the bourgeoisie of these countries have been increasingly tempted to overturn American domination. Two opposed types of reactions can be seen on the part of the local bourgeoisie in these countries: there are factions which see their economic strategy exclusively within the orbit of the US, and those which seek to leave this orbit, and to challenge it. It is precisely this latter tendency that is expressed by the present Islamist movement, a movement that must not be seen as a mere archaic and retrograde ideological or religious current, but rather as a political and economic phenomenon seeking to fill the place once occupied by so-called socialist factions, which in the recent past sought to bring about the industrialization and modernization of their countries, and whose defeat gave a free hand to foreign investors. The Islamist current is indeed a movement led by elements of the ruling class and the local intelligentsia, even if it rooted in a population that economic conditions have plunged into a growing impoverishment. These radical Islamist factions are decidedly not expressions of a return to the past, but rather are determined to implement modern economic policies in their different states, all the more so as the crisis and international competition has exacerbated economic tensions and made control of energy resources still more crucial for the local powers.

 

The analysis of the Islamist current permits us to return to the events of September 11. When we seek to understand the motivation of the terrorists, it is plausible to advance the following hypothesis. Those who perpetrated the attacks (probably elements of the bin Laden group, but that is not too important) sought to act on two levels:

destabilize world capital and show that American hegemony was contestable;

thanks to the foreseeable and massive response of the US vis a vis the countries of the Middle-East, provoke a destabilization of the pro-American factions in power to the benefit of opposing factions defending more "national" interests. They hoped that the situation created by the American response would produce political and social chaos, allowing them to overthrow those in power locally or at least to mount a serious challenge to them. In the first place, their objective was the pro-Western regimes of Pakistan and Saudi Arabia, the former because of its military and nuclear arsenal, the latter because of its oil.

 

The causes of the attacks, then, have deep economic and political roots. They reflect the interests of factions of the bourgeoisie which seek to extricate themselves from American hegemony, retake control of their own energy resources, and even become direct competitors of the West thanks to their new-found economic and military trump-cards.

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INTER-IMPERIALIST ASPECTS

 

Besides the very important economic interests at stake, the region of Central Asia concentrates interests of a fundamental geo-strategic order. If one focuses on the inter-imperialist dimension of the situation several questions arise. Why has the American response focused on Afghanistan? What is the degree of cohesion between the US and its "allies"? Are we today perhaps living in a world without imperialist tensions; in the world of "super-imperialism" described by Karl Kautsky?

 

As we have already indicated, Afghanistan is situated astride a central point for the oil and gas pipelines linking Central Asia to the West. As a result, a more direct control of that country represents a trump-card on the economic as well as the strategic level. That was something well understood by the Americans at the time of the invasion of Afghanistan by the Russians. They supported and cultivated those who opposed the Soviet invader -- among them bin Laden and what became the Taliban. Since then, the situation has developed in the following way: the Taliban maintained the country in a condition acceptable to the Americans, even as bin Laden increasingly distanced himslf from the US. In attacking the Taliban regime and designating it as the party principally responsible for the September 11 attacks, the Americans found a scapegoat with little support in the region; it was the course of least resistance. The present military operation thereby permits an effective extension of American control in this strategic geographical zone. Ultimately, it can permit the US to increase its presence in Central Asia, and to encircle Russia even more. The collapse of the Soviet empire has created a void, and since 1991 the US has sought to penetrate the region and to reduce Russian influence as much as possible. The accord concluded between the Americans and Uzbekistan to utilize Uzbek territory as a base for military operations is a perfect example, and reflects the American hope to make this small republic a privileged ally and a counterweight to Russian influence. The military operation in Afghanistan will therefore permit the US to get a direct foothold in the region, and to establish a durable military presence and a base for the surveillance of Russia, Iran, and China. The present military operation can also serve as the occasion for the Americans to correct some previous "errors:" a segment of the American leadership sees an opportunity to bring to a successful conclusion the action in Iraq, begun with the Gulf war, by finishing off Saddam Hussein.

 

What is the degree of cohesion between the "allies"? For many states, the American reaction brings with it certain advantages. For example, countries like China, Pakistan, Russia, and Indonesia, see in it a green light to go ahead and crush movements seeking self-determination within their own frontiers. On the economic plane, the projects for the construction of oil pipelines frequently involve international consortia, and a more significant American presence in the region will guarantee a certain stability for Western enterprises dependent on new sources of energy. From the ideological point of view, this is an opportunity to attribute the effects of the present economic crisis on terrorist attacks, and to take the drastic economic measures required to deal with the recession. There is also the prospect of creating a state of permanent psychosis among the civil population, making it possible to intensify police controls and even creating a mentality in which cerain segments of the population seek shelter under the protective wing of their respective state apparatus. Outside of the submission of the "allied" powers to American hegemony, there are, then, also direct interests that are shared. It's also worth pointing to an indirect consequence of the present war: the temporary breathing-space that an increase in armaments expenditures can represent for the world economy. Besides these common interests, it is clear that the US has "purchased" the support of a series of countries: the collaboration of Russia in exchange for its membership in the World Trade Organization, and now in its request for integration in the European Union and cooperation with NATO. Just now, Russia has received a considerable benefit thanks to its sale of military equipment to Iran. China's support for the American military offensive has also had a similar price: further integration into the world economy, entry into the WTO,and increasing foreign investment.

 

Nonetheless, there is also dissent, and limits to the marge de manoeuvre available to the US in Europe and the Orient. The American air strikes and military operations have provoked bitterness in Muslim countries, and represent a risk of inflaming the situation there -- an outcome surely welcomed by extremist factions hoping for a destabilization of the factions in power in the Islamic world. While the Taliban regime has few friends in the Muslim world, American aggression against a "sister" community is not without its risks. The difficulty facing the leadership of Muslim regimes that support the US is real indeed: Pakistan faces violent civilian protests, Saudi Arabia has prudently taken its distance, as has Iran; Uzbekistan has hidden the American presence from its own population, while Egypt, the Sudan, and Nigeria have witnessed sometimes violent and murderous demonstrations. These reactions express the bitterness of the population to new manifestations of the limitless domination of the US, as well as the strategy of the Islamist factions which have taken advantage of the situation to attempt to destabilize the ruling groups in these countries. This is the case in Pakistan, where the secular and pro-American president, Musharraf, is having a difficult time confronting the pressure from the "street" and from Islamist factions.

 

In addition to these reactions, the positions that various countries take in the present war can also heighten old conflicts: thus, the opposition between Pakistan and India over Kashmir has been exacerbated following the virtually unconditional support offered by the Americans to the Islamibad regime. That opposition has been further enflamed inasmuch as India has never completely turned its back on Russia, and China --a foe of India's on the economic and military planes -- supports Pakistan.

 

Another element of instability in the region is the passing of the "old `monarchs'" in Jordan and Syria, together with the incapacity of the Saudi king. In a sense, social and political tensions, which had been contained by the old rulers, pro-American for the most part, are intensifying, making the situation harder to contain for the younger generation of rulers -- who are also under pressure to run their states in a more "modern" fashion. Finally, the abcess represented by the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, itself exacerbated by the catastrophic state of the economy in Israel, by the economic strangulation of the Palestinian territories, and the end of any political illusions there, are all elements that further add to the precariousness of the regional equilibrium.

 

On the side of the European "allies," if they are all singing from the same song-book as the Americans, it is not always the same tune, and the dissonance has grown from the get-go. Thus, if Great Britain has played its role as privileged ally by participating in military operations in Afghanistan, the Europeans have often distanced themselves from the overly bellicose Americans, urging moderation upon them. Their function is above all diplomatic; the European presidency has expended a great deal of energy to maintain support for the American strikes. It's scarcely possible to count the number of trips by the "European troika" to keep things in line or the pathetic speeches by Tony Blair. Moreover, European governments must also take into account public opinion in their respective countries. Even if the conflict opposes a professional military to what is presented as callous and brutal terrorists in a distant corner of the world, even if information about the conflict is disseminated in a controlled fashion, the incessant propaganda to which the local population is subjected, still has not left Europeans indifferent. A proof of that is the unprecedented ideological arsenal deployed in order to keep the populace in a state of fear that would serve to "justify" the ongoing, unjustifiable, military operation.

 

Finally, if for the moment, China, Russia, and the US, have common interests, one can only wonder for how long these competitors will be able to maintain their present entente, especially when it is a matter of the Americans permanently installing themselves in Central Asia.

 

The present unity among the "allies" should not make us forget the opposing economic and strategic interests of the different governments. If the bourgeoisie can find an advantage in deploying a united strategy, it is nonetheless riven by an ever more intense economic competition; and this latter will necessarily exacerbate imperialist tensions between rivals. The fact that these tensions do not at the moment express themselves in open warfare between opposed imperialist protagonists does not mean that we now find ourselves in a world in which such tensions have been overcome; an harmonious world, administered by a bourgeoisie unemcumbered by rivalies. The present world is anything but harmonious; anything but a world without imperialist tensions. Even if the globalization of the economy now pushes states to put some of their divergences on the back-burner, these latter are still very much present, exacerbated by the economic crisis, and indeed perceptible behind each conflict -- the Balkans, for example, or today, the Middle-East. Imperialism is one of the bases of the capitalist system, just like scarcity and competition!

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IDEOLOGICAL ASPECTS

 

This war has provided the ruling class with the opportunity to give us a lesson in how to wield ideology. This can be seen in two ways: with respect to the Muslim "allies" and vis a vis the Western population.

 

The ideological pressure exercised by the US (no bombing on the day of prayer, chances given to the Taliban to turn over bin Laden, delivery of foodstuffs, speeches stressing respect for Islam as a faith, economic aid to Pakistan, etc.) show that Bush has wielded the carrot as well as the stick, out of a fear of a backlash. That dual tactic is indicative of the fragility of the situation in Afghanistan's neighbors, of the hesitation of the Muslim allies to commit to war, and probably of opposition within the Bush cabinet between the supporters of military action and those who are more committed to diplomacy.

 

In the European countries, some anti-war demonstrations have occurred, but to our knowledge, despite the interest and the potential of certain reactions, nothing on a scale that would threaten existing governments has taken place. Nonetheless, the bourgoisie does not have alot of elbow room, as can be seen by the distance taken from the outset vis a vis the too bellicose reaction of the Americans. If anti-war demonstrations have not been massive, there exists within the population a generalized climate of criticism with respect to the American action. That distance is also a reflection of the tensions provoked by the politico-military domination imposed on Europe by the US in the face of the European desire to create its own common military force, and thereby assert a greater autonomy. In that context, the tension between the dollar and the euro has intensified.

 

It's also necessary to emphasize the sometimes very violent opposition movements and strikes that have occurred in Muslim countries: in Pakistan, Nigeria, Indonesia, Iran, Saudi Arabia. It is clear that despite the repression of those demonstrations, discontent has grown.

 

But, we must above all emphasize the phenomenal ideological campaign directed at the civilian populations. Whether it's the images of planes crashing into the Twin Towers of the World Trade Center, people jumping from its windows, the broadcast of the last telephone messages from victims to their families or the inordinate fear of new attacks or bacteriological warfare which are constantly played up by the media, we can only conclude that the bourgeoisie has already achieved a major victory. In the period before September 11, the media were full of images of anti-globalization demonstrators, and of police actions against them. It is clear that any potential that the anti-globalization movement had to threaten the functioning of the system has now been relegated to the back burner -- largely as a result of the emotional shock fed by all the tools at the disposal of the dominant ideology.

 

In addition, for quite some time the bourgeoisie has presented war as a humanitarian act for the liberation of oppressed people. Who could defend the infamous tyrant Saddam Hussein, the abominable Milosevic, or the Taliban and their war against women? War is no longer war, but the liberation of Kuwaitis whose land has been invaded, of Albanians who are the victims of ethnic cleansing, and now of starving Afghans. That vision, combined with "surgical" air strikes, is far from the image of trench warfare and horrific slaughter that characterized the two world wars. We must denounce this because that sort of argument now permits the bourgeoisie to masquarade as peaceful, obstructing the possibility of seeing the violent nature of capitalism, and preventing opposition to military actions. It is necessary to see the terrorists and the response to them as two sides of the same coin: the incredible violence generated by the capitalist system.

 

The present ideological campaigns have had an impact on the few open reactions of opposition to this war. We can point to the demonstrations in the European countries, which have by no means been massive. Yet, we can also point to the fact -- which is, indeed, positive -- that despite the media blitz justifying war, to which the European and American populations have been subjected, we have not seen the patriotic craze which the bourgeoisie has sought to foster. On the contrary, the atmosphere is rather one of a certain distance from the war, which means that the ruling class does not have the kind of ideological control that it seeks. So, why are we not seeing more and larger anti-war demonstrations? The demonstrations in Europe against the Austrian neo-Nazi, Haider, and the participation of his Freedom party in the government were more massive. But, that was opposition to a known quantity: the horror of Nazism and its death camps. The present war does not (yet) provide us with images of similar horror. That said, the constant ideological barrage does not in itself explain the lack of a popular reaction to the American strikes. We also need to acknowledge the difficulty that the working class has in articulating its own class perspective.

 

CONCLUSION

The world of decadent capitalism is increasingly violent and destructive. The attacks of September 11 are but one more example of what this system has in store for us. The analysis of the reasons for that attack make it possible to grasp the economic, strategic and ideological stakes at issue today. More than ever, it is clear that the very survival of humanity requires the destruction of the capitalist system and its replacement by a new society. The project of such a new society is borne by an international class: the proletariat, which has no specific economic, political or strategic interest, but which is the object of capitalist exploitation. While that class today faces numerous difficulties in perceiving its own community of interests, even in recognizing itself as a class, and in working out its own perpectives, the conditions of exploitation to which it is subjected, and the expressions of class struggle that have erupted since the beginning of the 1990's, indicate that the old mole of revolution is still at work.

ROSE

October 2001