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LBR
TRADING ROOM PHILOSOPHY!!
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LBR TRADING ROOM PHILSOPHY!!
Welcome to our real-time futures
analysis and trading via the internet. We comment on the analysis
and trade setups that we take for our own accounts as well as various
exits and trade management strategies.
Our trading consists of a mixture of
the S&P daytrading and short-term swing trading (1-2 days) in the
futures markets. As we post our dialogue and commentary throughout
the day, please keep in mind that these are trades that we take for our
own account and are not intended as trade recommendations. We hope
you find it informative and educational!!!
We login at 8 AM EDT and start
pre-market commentary at 9:15 EDT.
The membership fee for our room is
only $350.00 (US Dollars) per month. The room is open to all the
first trading day of each month for trials.
Please contact Laura for questions
concerning joining or billing at: 888-LIMITDN (888-546-4836), or email lbondurant@worldnet.att.net
. You can also sign up on our secure
site.
Hope you enjoy!!
Happy Trading...
Sincerely,
Linda and the LBRGroup
Team
Chris, John, James, Laura
Our Philosophy:
Starts by using market
orders for entries when initiating trades in a trending market, if you are
doing larger size put the trade on in two units, scale out in two units, if
you do a single contract, exit on our first exit. Don’t over-trade,
all that is needed is one trade a day in the SP's, you must have patience to wait for
the higher probability trade.
Must trade only when there is liquidity. What
defines liquidity? A ten-lot market order in the SP should not have
slippage of more than ½ point. We have to see potential for 3 points in
a trade, We assume there will be a minimum of ½ point slippage in and
½ point slippage out. For short skirt scalps, risk should be three
points. The longer you are in a market, the more risk you have. If you
have a quick profit, lock it in by tightening your stop loss.
Even if you don’t trade
every day, it is never a waste because you learn the patterns and are
constantly training your eye. If you don’t see the trade don’t take
it. We are trying to teach you to see these things for yourself. If you
don’t know what to do with a position you shouldn’t be in it. When
in doubt get out. Execution skills count for half the profits, but this
is an area that can only improve with experience and practice.
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- What is a Short Skirt Setup?
- How do you enter Short Skirt Trades?
- What is a "Grail" Trade?
- What is an "Oops" Trade?
- What is an "Anti" Setup?
- What time frames do you look at?
- What are the main indicators you use on your
charts?
- What is the 20-period EMA?
- What is the "Breakout Mode"?
- How do you measure market breadth, put call ratio,
and volume?
- How do you watch so many markets?
- Why do you look at so many stocks when you aren't
trading them?
- What size account is appropriate to trade?
- Please define TICK, TIKI, TRIN, VIX.
- What data feed and software programs do you use?

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A SHORT SKIRT trade is a very
quick scalp off the 1-minute chart in the SPs. A setup will occur after
the SP has made a sharp "impulse" move. The setup pattern most
often looks like a continuation flag, following this sharp initial
thrust. It is called a "Short Skirt" because the trade usually
lasts between 3 – 10 minutes. The concept is quick in and out without
getting caught.
We can point out ahead of time
when a Short Skirt setup will occur. However, you will be most
profitable if you can start to train your eye to see these patterns as
they occur. You will then do best if you decide to enter them on your
own instead of waiting for us to say we are taking the trade. Sometimes
the window of entry can be quite small, and if you wait until we say we
have entered the position, the entry window might have passed. Know how
much of a delay there is in your own data feed. Some feeds can get a bit
backed up in the first half-hour.
We try to look for Short Skirt
setups that have the potential for a minimum of three points in the
trade.
We always assume that we will
have at LEAST a minimum of ½ point slippage in and ½ point slippage
out. We put a resting STOP order 3 points from our entry price. We look
to exit as the market makes a retest in the direction of the trend. The
majority of the time the market will go on to make a new high or low.
When it does so, we say that the Short Skirt has reached it’s
objective.
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We
watch for a price retracement of 1 ½ to 3 points from the most recently
formed swing high or low. For an untrained eye, it may be useful to
watch the 20-period exponential moving average on a 1-minute chart,
though the price does not always retrace that far. Sometimes the
reactions that go sideways instead of back to the EMA can be the best
trades. The initial price retracement lasts about 5 minutes. When the
reaction back starts to stall, we enter our order "at the
market". It is ideal to enter
The trade BEFORE the price
starts moving back in the direction of the original trend. You are never
going to get the high or the low of the price retracement. The idea is
to enter within a general range where the initial 3-point stop will not
get hit.
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| The "Holy
Grail" trade was originally described in my Street Smarts book. The
setup occurs when the market’s trend has been strong enough to cause a
14-period ADX to rise above 30. When the price then retraces back to the
20-period EMA, odds favor a retest of the most recently formed high or
low. |

| "Oops"
is an expression originally coined by Larry Williams. The setup occurs
when the opening price gaps outside the previous day’s range. A buy
(or sell) stop is placed just inside the previous day’s range in case
the market then closes the gap, indicating a reversal. The trade is
exited by the close. This pattern has no long term forecasting value. |

| The
Anti looks like a small bull or bear flag pattern that occurs in the
middle of a trading range as opposed to a trending market which has
already broken out. Another way of thinking about it is to look at it as
the middle retracement of an A-B-C pattern. |

| Our initial
nightly analysis is always done off the daily and weekly time frames.
During the trading day, we look at the 30, 60 and 120 minute charts in
combination with each other. For the SP’s, we also look at a 1, 5, and
15 minute time frame. |

| We
use the same indicators on all markets, all time frames. We use a
20-period EMA (exponential moving average), a price oscillator, and a
14-period ADX. The oscillator that we use is the difference between a 3
and 10 period simple moving average. We also run a 16-period simple
moving average of the 3/10 on top of it. We rely quite heavily on bar
chart patterns, and have found that most traders do best when they can
read bar charts without the use of indicators based on a derivative of
the price. |

| When
we refer to the EMA, we will always be referring to a 20-period
exponential moving average. This serves as a "regression to the
mean" in a trending market. It has little value in a trading range
market. |

| We use a
"breakout" mode strategy when the market has had some form of
range contraction. A trend day, or large range expansion day,
often follows periods of range contraction, or small average daily
ranges. We use a strategies to try to enter IN the direction the
market is moving, instead of a counter-trend strategy. |

| Market breadth is
monitored by looking at the number of advancing issues minus the number
of declining issues. Put call data is provided by the individual
exchanges. We look at the equity only put call ratios, in addition to
the put call ratios which include index option volume. |

| The majority of the
time, we watch a quote board which gives us last price instead of
watching charts on each individual market. This way we can monitor
numerous price levels in addition to various market indexes and market
internal indicator. If we want to look at the charts on a particular
market, we pull up a screen that has the 30, 60 and 120-minute time
frames. The SP’s and occasionally the bonds are the only markets we
consider worthwhile to day-trade. Most other positions are entered with
the intent of carrying a winning position over night. |

| Stocks that are market
leaders can often turn before the stock index futures do, especially
when they are higher beta momentum stocks. Monitoring individual sectors
and relative strength can add valuable information regarding the overall
technical condition of the market. |

| We fell that it is up
to each individual to assess their overall risk profile and know their
individual net worth before determining proper account size. Our service
is for educational purposes and can provide a valuable educational forum
regardless of account size. However, as a general guideline, it is
possible to trade the SP E-mini contract with $5,000. It is advisable to
have a minimum account size of $20,000 before trading a SP futures
contract. We feel that keeping leverage low is a key to good money
management. |

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Tick: This is the net
change on stocks on an uptick minus stocks on a downtick. +/- 1,000
ticks tend to be an extreme readings. |
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Tiki: This is the
difference between all DOW stocks on an uptick minus all DOW stocks on a
downtick. Plus 24 or minus 24 tend to be extreme readings. |
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Trin: This should
technically be known as the ARMS Index after it's creator, Dick Arms. It
is computed as follows: (Advancing Issues/Declining Issues) x (Up
Volume/Down Volume). We watch the direction this Indicator is
moving to indicate the overall trend of the market. If the Trin
goes from .80 to 1.00, it would indicate selling is coming into the
market. |
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Vix: This is the Volatility
Index that represents the implied levels on the at the money OEX puts
and calls |
| Most data feeds transmit the above
indicators. However, different data feeds may use different
symbols. If you have any questions regarding symbol code, please
contact your data vendor. |

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SP Comstock (800) 431-2602
via Satellite |
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ESignal
(800) 815-8256 via Internet |
| Software
Programs*: |
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Aspen
Graphics (800) 359-1121 |
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TradeStation Technologies (Formerly
Omega Research) (800) 422-8587 |
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Insight
by Bristol Financial (949) 240-0990 (Insight
specializes in analytics on equities and is used by many stock
day-traders ) |
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Neovest
First Alert (800) 859-9718 |
| *We
do not have any commercial or monetary affiliation with any vendor
or software products |

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CHAT PAGE PROTOCOL |
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Please DO NOT private us during the morning, and when the markets are
active. This way we can give full attention to the
markets at hand.
We try to schedule classes twice a month. If you have technical
questions that can wait until a scheduled class, please write them down and post
them to us then .
We
request that you do not ask any questions during the morning. The best avenue
for us is if you e-mail any questions to us and we answer them after
the market is closed.
Please do not ask us about our account size or trading size. These
matters are totally irrelevant to your own trading. We work hard to look for
setups in markets that can accommodate size. We consider liquidity conditions to
be one of the more important issues in trade execution.
Please do not ask us questions about why we do or do not take a trade.
Please do not ask for consultation on an individual
trade.
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| Disclosure
Statement:
*THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING
COMMODITIES CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL, YOU SHOULD THEREFORE CAREFULLY CONSIDER
WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL
CONDITION. |
LBRGroup
Inc.
Copyright © 2001 [LBRGroup, Inc]. All rights reserved.
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