USE Wiredbrain
pflaump
which are not
limited in content therefore is nonlinear and not fixed in time or
space.
-
Click
on
Synergy
Logo for default.htm
our current working page - today's comments on the synergy
Journal
www.multicrawl.com
for synergy site: use wiredbrain and "any
topic"
Example:
The Wonders of the mind
http://www.spaceports.com/~sparkg/wavs/pinky/battle.wav
http://www.spaceports.com/~sparkg/
http://www.ferretsoft.com/netferret/images/downloads4.gif
Ferret finds 1500
Wiredbrain "pflaump" web pages
COPERNIC searches all the main engines very
quickly
Make
PORTALS your home
page and use "wiredbrain" password "synergy" for
set-up start pages.
Alltheweb does as it claims to be fast and large
Most search engines now find about 30 % of the
350 million pages. So you need to check many engines. The Go networks
does a good job with 
MSN
now does the best
search
OUR
Social ergonomics
Individual
development, organizational change, and In the computer industry,
power comes not from the barrel of a gun but from the interface of a
protocol.
The
first true electric book
The
History of the Future:
Friday,
December 04, 1998
AE21,
Education for century twenty-one:
The
school of AE21 will have the following characteristics: Teaching.htm
Firm
foundation the Basics - high standard test scores 80% or
better;
Higher level thinking and problem solving;
Technology
and communications saturation - lots of links and free
enterpise
Inventive, creative - flexible - (
See John Dewey )
Small - stable - smart - un-graded -
individualized on-task focus of the one-room school house Mostly
private, religious, charter, voucher schools and a few public "site
based management" institutions (
See Fiske and Harlem schools in a school )
Human
resources are the critical prerequisite to the process of building
wealth, prosperity and the civil open society. The reasons for the
"Wealth of Nations" or the relative poverty of
"backwardness" has to do with the character and skills of
the population. Curiosity and a positive image of the future are the
reasons for the industrial revolution, first, second and third. The
religious and political changes in England and the Low Countries in
the 15th century made for the possibilities of the modern world.
What is
less well understood are the "qualitative" nature of human
abilities. There are the following stages, each not replaced by the
next advance but over-layered with each becoming dominate in turn but
not replacing previous models. As canals and bicycles still play an
important role in European transportation, augmented by trains, cars
and planes.
The
first level is the "skilled crafts" - a long apprenticeship
with hands on methods produces a high level of abilities - Cathedrals
with stained glass, Columbus, clocks, water wheels and the first
tools and factories of the first industrial revolution. Education was
literacy - Grammar schools and basic accounting, drafting and
organizing shills.
In the
19th century, higher education in the Agricultural and Mechanical
arts began to pay off. The newly unified Germany began to surpass
England because of excellence in technical training while Great
Britain stayed with the Classical educational process - founded on
Latin and Greek rather than Science and Math.
The
United States quickly adjusted to technical training but "trade
schools" have always have low status compared to "liberal
arts" college preparation. High level technical Universities
such as Georgia Tech, MIT, Cal-Tech, IIT, Stanford and Polly -tech
parts of the mega-universities have made extraordinary contributions
to economic welfare in this country and world wide. The second
industrial revolution of electrical, biological and chemical
engineering is based on formal training in math and science. The MBA
in business maybe useful in production of rational "corporate
people" and culture. The majority of mangers still come from the
technical, legal and accounting professions.
The
third level of human skill for Century twenty-one has to do with
creativity in a global communications technology. We still need
skilled craft people, we need to improve basic literacy and grammar,
enterprise, with science and technology in complex engineering tasks.
Computer
people carry the unhappy title of "software engineer"
because they are trying to fit into an older model of categories in
human resource management. Is someone who creates games and
innovative web practices doing arts or sciences or applied technology
? If you visit a trade show in the computer - consumer electronics -
communications business you find new younger people doing new things
with a "strange" mixture of backgrounds, including a lot of
"rock and roll music" nationalities - and very unclear
standards of higher education and training. Smart is as smart does -
and "stupid is as stupid does".
Japan
can not solve most of its basic economic problems.
Bank
reform requires a fundamental shift from combines of firms centered
around banks and holding each others shares to corporate capitalism
within trading groups and well as between trading groups. This
requires a change from the way Japan Inc. has worked since the
beginnings of modernization. The government is a committee of high
level administrators that work within the system and have very little
control of the system.
There
is no way to pay the costs of social security and medicare for those
currently in the labor force.
The
shift from income and payroll taxes to VAT ( consumption taxes ) will
help, the nationalization of education and medicine could help. What
would make a real difference is politically unlikely, what is
politically possible is unlikely to do any good. The American
political system can not take fundamental decisions in advance of
crisis and slow to respond to important changes in the society.
Alan
Greenspan, in his recent testimony to congress, repeated a lesson in
basic economics. The economy welfare of any nation depends on three
factors:
The
skill and educational character of the labor force,
The
capital stock the company and the society provides to make work
productive
The
ratio of fixed to variable costs of social overhead.
In a
fully developed industrial society the costs of social security and
health care are transferred to workers and the overhead of everything
produced. As the population shifts from a pyramid to a column the
social overhead costs become very high. The relative costs of work
shifts to less developed, labor rich areas.
The long
term investment in human and physical capital is the reason for
increases in productivity - better trained people working smarter
with better tools are the reasons for wealth or poverty. At the same
time the cost of payroll taxes alone becomes higher than world wide
base hourly wages.
How much
each person, each hour’s labor, how much each unit of input
produces in goods and services is directly related to the income from
work and the return on investment. The machine that digs increases
digging productivity and the wages of people with hand shovels or
power equipment, airplanes increase travel productivity and the wages
of wagon drivers or pilots, the word processor increases writing
productivity, the Internet increases communication productivity. The
cost per unit of computer power declines by half every 18 months (
Moore’s Law ) increases the whole of the economy’s
efficiency.
The
current period of growth with low inflation, where the labor force
has growth by 300,000 a month, 4 million a year ( 3 % ) has been
possible because of better trained women’s wide participation,
more women are now in college than males and minority workers acting
as a reserve along with moving jobs to lower costs areas of
production and immigration.
The
larger labor force has new and improved tools provided by the
"information" revolution. Productivity in some areas of
high technology have been very impressive. As we become more global,
the labor force becomes global. Low skilled occupations move to low
wage areas - China being the great labor pool.
Networks
of product design, original equipment manufacture (OEM), distribution
and marketing become more complex and integrated.
Three
central concepts:
Punctuated
Equilibrium In Action!
Complex system are slow when adapting to
changing environments and subject to periods of rapid degeneration
and extinction.
Inter-connections:
Direct connection on complex networks. The number of connections
increases exponentially on a global basis. Almost everything connects
to almost everything else. What you see is that the most outstanding
feature of life's history is a constant domination by bacteria. Very
complex systems decrease rapidly in times of environmental
instability and sudden change.
Disintermediation
Disintermediation
Disintermediation
Last updated on March 20, 1999
Details
and special cases:
The
Internet Revolution:
Disintermediation
The
future of established institution to control economic, social and
political events is very limited. The Political process everywhere,
national and international, can not keep pace with the rapid,
changing, complex, counter-intuitive, non-ideological, global policy
problems and issues. Among these issues are global warming,
international finance, trade, ethnic and class conflict, population,
education, health, welfare, pollution, warfare etc..
http://www.altavista.com/cgi-bin/query?pg=q&kl=XX&q=Disintermediation+middleman+intermediaries+intermediary&search=Search
The
demographics of the industrial world project a rapid decline in the
proportion of people in the labor force. The large differences
between rich and poor countries is becoming complex with higher
income pockets dispersed around the world. We need to focus on global
growth rates and interdependencies and how they play out in any
market for labor or products and services. A tight labor market for
skilled computer labor creates service centers in Barbados, India,
Ireland, and elsewhere.
While
the average age in the developing world is in the teens, the average
ratio of workers to retired persons is moving in the industrial world
from 1:15 to 1:3 or even less as the average age goes over 35. The
average years of retirement have grown from less than 5 to over 15.
Required education and training keeps more young people from the
labor market - highly skilled occupations such as medicine takes 12
years of higher education ( including specialties and internships )
so the productive years start in their 30s. If they retire after 30
years - at 62 ( 70 % of Social Security retirement is at 62 ) they
have an average 2/3 of their adult life or 20 years as consumers
without production being supported by earning from saving and/or
income transfers.
There
is no way to provide the wealth that can support large numbers of
retired from a fewer number of workers even with better public
policies, even with an historic increase in long term productivity.
Individuals and firms can do well with increased saving and
investment in even smarter systems and tools provided to a even more
highly skilled work force.
A
highly developed economy such as Japan has fewer way to maintain
rapid growth. They are better educated, are very competitive and
clever, they are cooperative and maintain a reasonable level of
fairness and stability, but face the same basic structural problems
that faces all developed nations. Their population is aging,
productivity gains are harder and harder to come by because all the
clear options have already been used. There is a increasing high wall
on the left of any distribution of complex systems.
What
has worked no longer is working very well, what was successful is now
fading and dying. The new success is in the process of being born and
growing up and also doesn't work very well yet.
For
examples of complex systems hitting a wall:
The U.S.
constitutional system of divided powers,
Japan Inc. of powers not
divided enough,
old and new international combines,
the
USS-was, from too much power to too little authority.
The
power elite everywhere are in denial, they will soon become angry, in
the slow realization of the death and dying of the "old ways".
The English crown discovered, tradition doesn't cut it with new ways
requiring new kinds of people and systems.
The
nature of change only becomes real when the effects are painfully
apparent. It's extraordinary rare for people or their institutions,
to change behavior because it's necessary, rational or prudent.
Behavior changes, if at all, only under coercion and crisis. The
American political system, the Japanese economy - corporate
administrative state - called Japan Inc., the Soviet Union - USS-was,
IBM, GM, et al are all examples of where things have to get worse
before they get better.
1997
- There is a financial crisis is South East Asia - a currency and
market crisis caused by "bubble economies" and patterns of
insider trading and special privileges called crony capitalism.
1998
- Japan, which is 2/3 of Asia's economy and China which is more than
1/2 of the remaining third, suffer from basic structural problems
augment by the continuing crisis in Asia and Russia. Japan's basic
problem is the same as the reasons for its success - an
administrative state where the political process does not have
control of the critical levers, tillers and maps. Control is in the
hands of interlocking networks of corporations, banks, and
bureaucrats that would have to change. The basic facts of modern
Japanese life would have to be different, and real market capitalism
given more space to operate.
1998
second half - The world markets are flooded with saving and low cost
goods from Asia, speculation fed upon speculation, pushing the world
into a global bubble, boom and bust cycles. The real economy
declines, commodity prices decline, while asset prices increase. The
U.S. political system is unable to provide leadership or respond in
any rational way to a growing world crisis and growing trade deficit,
Attention is distracted by meanness, pointless political squabbles
about scandals, spoils, money and power without focus. The people who
find they can not use the democratic process to gain satisfaction
turn toward extreme emotional appeals or drop out.
1999
- The beginning of a Global Depression, counter-revolutionize Eastern
Europe, extremism and nationalism in Japan, a closing of the European
Union into a defensive block, chaos in the Balkans, spreading unrest
in Mexico and Latin America.
The
direction of these forces is the fractured global society, made up of
patterns of smaller, more temporary organizations. The percentage of
the economy controlled by the top 500 firms continues to decline, the
average time firms stay on the list, the number of new entries
increases and on a global basis most are non-American and
trans-national. Little countries such as Finland, Israel, Singapore,
Hong Kong, Netherlands, have important international firms.
OPEN
HOUSE Visit Netscapes Virtual Office
at
http://wiredbrain.netscapeoffice.com/
We
are such stuff - As
dreams are made on, and our little life - Is rounded with a
sleep.
Since
other countries use the VAT, exports are taxed less ( don't pay VAT )
and imports are TAXED more. Also DO AWAY WITH THE IRS !
The
economics profession, the federal reserve, national planners, and the
stock market is just learning to deal with this change in economic
behavior. Microsoft Internet Explorer 4.0 and Netscape are working on
a Java Machine that
will be the core of most new computer applications. Suites of
application either on the "video" hard drive or on a
systems server will run on these virtual machines, so will autos, and
all kinds of "real" machines. This replaces Windows, Dos or
other OS and MS knows it. The communications industry, in fact all of
Information Technology (IT) will provide applications, voice, video,
data and word processing on the internet, intranets, extranets, are
all built on this CORE system which provides on demand applications.
This is the BIG picture. This is the central theme. This is the main
thing. Do you "get it" ?
Review
the technology with the central role of core systems clearly in
mind.
Themes:
Human
Evolution was for 300,000 years in troops - where everyone knew each
other, their names and the relationships. Any animal behavior in
their packs, troops, herds and their breading behavior is almost
impossible to change. The few species that became domestic have
patterns of status and "pecking orders" that allow humans
to "implant" themselves as dominant and in control. Most
species will not become domestic after thousands of years of efforts.
Zebras do not act like horses, Camels remain nasty, most animals are
subject to panic and some will not bread in zoos. Humans have evolved
with the same kind of behavioral "groves". Social
conditions that fit the groves of human
psychology and social-biological habits (Edward O. Wilson (1975).
Sociobiology: the new synthesis.)work better that conditions that
don't. "Human" urban conditions push humans beyond the
breaking point. Stable organizations must use "group
dynamics" as forms of extended families and clans, troops
and tribes to form nations.
The
functions of any society, group, class, school, business are:
1.)
Effective conflict resolution PATHOS
( feeling ) good rather than nasty
2.)
rational effective decision making LOGOS
- if people feel OK They can behave more reasonably
3.)
harmonious economic redistribution ( synergy ) ETHOS
- shared values and goods - not socialism but rational welfare
policy - makes one and two possible - Capitalism as Greed is
dysfunction - but so is free for nothing socialism
4.)
better technology
( the result of one, two and three ) plus
5.)
police and/or military power ( law and order )
6.)
large and productive territories by way of the the growth of US as
more and more others are included as US and less defense from them as
less and less outsiders are THEM.
Good
Religion and Politics should allows for more inclusion less
exclusion. All religion is not good, all values are not right or
useful, all politics is not bad, all education is not useful, all
business is not greedy, all women, blacks, Jews, et al is not
anything. Prejudice is not a rational guide to social or personal
wisdom.
The
inclusion of more and more people and their differences allows for
innovations, freedom of expression, democracy, freedom and
7.)
integration of smaller groups into larger wholes -
Donald
Tapscott, author of the books Paradigm Shift, The
Digital Economy and the forthcoming Growing
Up Digital, gives the introduction.
The
Politically correct visions of left and right often miss the
fundamentals of social history and science. The right forgets the
critical role of the "whole
systems" and the left forgets the requirements for standards
and clear returns on investments, where cost and benefits depend on
individual achievement motivation to go faster, further and higher.
Such motivation is best done in "collectives" families,
groups, packs, tribes, schools, factories, political parties,
churches, and other human life
forms.
Backwards:
From
argument to intrigue :
It happens all the time - in Universities,
in schools, in the U.S. Congress, in families and churches; and a lot
of companies. Honest discussion, freedom of expression, breaks down
and people turn to plots and personal agendas. Maybe this is the best
clue to future success or failure. I would invest in firms, or
societies where there is open
discussion of the issues.
What
happened to Apple was not mainly problems with markets and technology
but cultural. There is no magic from the great CEO from above - some
great idea or certain magic leader .. but a social system. Apple was
a great place that was (almost) destroyed by people who didn't
understand or care about relationships.
The
Sense and reality of Control:
Many,
if not most people, believe they can not control who they are
- they believe they are what they are and can't change their basic
character or personality.
We can control the inside more
than we can control the outside; so our ( Western ) belief system is
in constant conflict with external reality. In the grand scheme of
things, we mainly really only control our beliefs about reality and
our attitudes about what we can do about our future. The art of
"success" is the faith in the future, and our attitude:
Going
with the flow...not in a passive way but proactive get us down
stream. It is going along with the reality of ourselves and
the world around us in order to get along with ourselves and
the world around us. It releases energy if we are in the main stream
rather that fighting the flow of energy in self conflict. Fighting
with reality because the world is NOT what we think it is, is a
childish waste of time and kind of crazy in grown-ups.
Many
people, if not most people, believe they can and are responsible to
control the world around them. They know a lot of things are "out
of control" but they maintain a belief in control. This is what
it is "a belief". It causes a lot of frustration and
tension.
The
future does not exist. We can control our beliefs about who we are
and where we fit in. We are 100 "selves" parent, worker,
economic, political, romantic, soldier, sailor, beggar, thief, saint
and sinner, and 88 more including a god. We can select from these
selves those that will get us what we want and need. We can also
select our wants and needs to fit what we can get.
The
new technology is creating a "new world order".. like it or
not.
The
controlling Paradigm:
GEORGE
SOROS:
and common misconceptions:
the division between conventional wisdom and reality.
"In
any case, there is something wrong with making the survival of the
fittest the guiding principle of a civilized society. This social
Darwinism is based on an outmoded theory of evolution just as the
equilibrium theory in economics is based on Newtonian physics. The
principle which guides the evolution of the species is mutation, and
mutation works in a much more sophisticated way. The species and
their environment are interactive, and one species serves as part of
the environment for the other species. There is a two-way feedback
mechanism, similar to reflexivity in history, only in history the
mechanism is driven not by mutation but by misconceptions. "
The
controlling Paradigm:
George
Soros has make billions when the common knowledge, conventional
wisdom is out of sink with reality. His central point is that
"objective reality" is separate from the ideas that
describe or explain what is being observed. Whatever our ideas about
"science" the physical reality doesn't change. Our
"uncertainty" or viewpoint on physical quantum doesn't
change the phenomena itself.
On
the other hand, public and expert perceptions of human activities
changes the nature of the activities themselves. Our beliefs change
our behavior and common social habits and ideas change who we are and
what we do. This is a reflective feedback loop between perceptions
and reality. Political theory, religious faiths, economic
assumptions, mass media chatter, advertising, hype, hope, needs,
wants, passions or truths and lies all make social reality
"unknowable" and social action can not be based on just
objective reality and the facts.
Now
the social reality of the human population on planet earth is going
through a basic mutation, a major change in form, new forms of
business evolution; where common perceptions and conventional wisdom
is often disconnected from the situation on the ground. The mass
emotion on the death of Princess Diana, is unexplainable, so are
stock markets, the impacts of technology, political reform,
capitalism in China, and the major events of our lives. There can be
balanced judgments and clever analysis but nothing close to certain
knowledge.
The
Last Norman Conquest:
In the visage of Diana, Princess of Wales,
you can see the remains of Spencer, a Norman knight. Spencer as much
of the British nobility earned their lands and titles in the Norman
Conquest of 10 66. The ruling class in Great Britain has been for a
1000 years the remains of an Army of Occupation.
The
"people" spoke old German, the upper class spoke French and
they still speak different languages, in different accents. The
landed aristocracy lived in the manor, the landless peasants in the
villages. They still live in different places, go to different
schools, vote for different parties, read different newspapers, and
think about Diana, the Royally and power in very different ways.
England
has never had a social revolution. The weight of social class has
held back "the Modern world" as primitive religion has done
in other parts of the world, including the Bible Belt in America.
Maybe its time to change. Modern social class is built on technology
and the income that comes from *innovation, not ownership of land and
titles.
Diana
is a modern person. The creation of mass media. A character in a soap
opera. The "people" identified with the struggle of the new
with the old, the flow of modern communications vs. Traditions built
in grand isolation. The castle wall have fallen. Social space has
collapsed. The mass cultural mythologies and dreams overwhelm the
myths of royal past. The context is foggy passions the reality is
power of social control. The "establishment" can not
control the media, they have lost touch with the passions of the
people. The king is dead, long live the king !
Great
opportunities for a few Million good people
Microsoft
scours world for employees.
US
software giant Microsoft has announced plans to increase its US
workforce by 19 per cent over the next 12 months, maintaining the
west coast of America as 'the centre of the universe for the software
business'. The company plans to recruit 3,600 people, many of whom
will come from outside the US due to a shortage of good software
developers in the States. The Independent, UK. 18/07/97
There
is a current shortfall of 250,000 IT positions in the US costing
billions of dollars
IT
For example: The
demand for skilled foreign IT people : Salary increase 17 % per
year,
. The Information Technology Association of America, which
represents hundreds of companies from Intel and Microsoft to
consultants and recruiters, estimates there are already 190,000 high
tech positions standing vacant in American IT and non-IT companies.
"This can be considered a conservative estimate of the gap
between companies&rsquo growth needs and the current availability
of IT workers," says the ITAA study, "Help Wanted: The IT
Workforce
A powerful coalition of American IT companies say
these highly educated immigrants are a critical part of solving a
severe personnel shortage that is a drag on the U.S. industry. They
warn that they may be forced to take their production outside the
country if they can&rsquot hire more people from
abroad.
IEEE-USA Legal Immigration Policy Issue ... URL:
http://www.ieee.org/usab/DOCUMENTS/FORUM/ISSUES/immigration.html
Summary:
In 1990, partly in response to claims that the nation faced serious
shortages of engineers and scientists, Congress authorized
substantial increases in employment-based immigration to the United
States. Engineering unemployment increased from 2.1% in 1990 to an
all time high of 4.1% in 1993 when 73,000 engineers were out of work.
More Like This: Click here to perform a search for documents like
this one.
(
stories from Excite )
MS
great idea was not technological but social.
They
collected people and created synergy. What Microsoft has is not only
a great leadership but 1000's of motivated and talented creators.
They hired "people" and then found how they fit in - they
didn't create positions and try to fit people into jobs.
It's
the culture stupid. The shift is from material resources to human
talents.
Going
with the flow of the changes over the next 15 years:
The
Western ( white ) Industrial world is likely to decline in relative
terms from two thirds of Global Product (WGP) to 45 %. China will
move from underdeveloped to developing, from less than a $1,000 PCP (
per capita product ) to over $5,000 ( in current dollars ). The
developing world will grow from one third of the Global economy to
about half. Social, political power follows economic so the Global
Center of Cultural Gravity shifts from the Middle East and Asia in
the 15th century to Europe to America in the 20th century and from
America back to Asia in the 21st century.
The
second change is why the first is happening - the third wave
is technology, first was Agriculture from 6,000 BC to modern times,
second was Industrial, the third is
IT
Information
Technology which is already our biggest business. IT, computers and
telecommunication is bigger than transportation, construction even
government. The reason for growth without inflation is the major
shift in the means of production and distribution. Traditional
economic models based on physical assets and goods ( agriculture,
mining, manufacturing, wholesale and retail ) factory utilization,
inventory miss the changing picture of reality. Even The Federal
Reserve ( Greenspan ) has noticed the shift in economic activity.
They feel productivity of IT is having a important effect but aren't
sure how IT effects the basic economic structure.
The
means of production are now intellectual, value is distribution by
services such as educational, medical, financial, design, media,
telecommunications, electrical, and involve global relationships. The
shift is from "objects" to "forms", from things
to concepts and ideas. A big shift, example,
best explained by Fritjoe Capra in physics and Kevin Kelly in Biology
Living.htm see
also futures.htm
MISSION:
The
mission of the synergy network is to explore the range of
IT
-
Information Technology. The special talent of the human
species is
IT
Information
Transfer - The CATCH-ON
factor (Allen Wilson).
Skills
training started with better tools in stone, in metal, in hunting
and fishing. With agriculture knowledge came organizational ability
- SYNERGY - getting more from the group than the sum of the parts.
The MARS adventure is a wonderful example of team work,
communications, shared hopes and benefits. SOMEHOW the internet
should add to synergy, see packets,
to the numbers who catch-on.
IT
has
always taken more than just information. There has to be an
emotional base, ability to change - to see in new ways - to be open
to new experiences. There are enought clues on the Wiredbrain
for those who are interested. Those who are not interested there is
no way of meaningful communications. PATHOS
= caring - having the interest and doing something. What we value is
what we do, not what we say. LOGOS
= information, knowledge - the subject itself. ETHOS
= what do we do with
IT
?
KNOWLEDGE = information + understanding, being a different person
doing things in a different style. The human synergy shortage in
IT,
*
is
costing companies about $660 billion a year. The Synergy site style
is designed to conform and reinforce the learning systems of
IT.
For example:
-
Netscape,
Oracle, IBM, SunMicrosystems and Everyone else ( Corel, Novell ) see
"Internet technologies are creating an opportunity for new
"information utilities," but no one yet knows what they
will look like, Eric Schmidt, chairman and chief executive of
networking firm Novell (NOVL) said in a speech this morning at
Summer Internet World.
We
are not at the end, but at the beginning of this journey,"
Schmidt said referring to the evolution of the Web. "We have a
name, the Web, but we may not have a destination" CNET
NEWS
The
spirit in the world "deus ex machina",
C/net
We
now put the GWP at about $ 37 trillion global economy
A
Share of Global Income Over Time
Year
Richest 20% Poorest 20% Ratio of Rich/Poor
1960
70.2 2.3 30:1
1970
73.9 2.3 32:1
1980
76.3 1.7 45:1
1989
82.7 1.4 59:1
In
1960 the richest fifth of the world's population received 70% of
global income compared to 2.3% for the world's poorest 20%. By 1989
the richest 20% had increased their share to 82.7% while the bottom
fifth saw their share of global income shrink from 2.3% to 1.4%.6 In
Brazil the richest 20% earn 28 times as much as the poorest 20%. In
the US from 1977-89 the average real income of the top 1% increased
by 78% while the poorest 20% of the population saw their income
decrease by 10.4% A big shift. see networks.htm
http://www.ecdpm.org/ni/issue278/facts.html
Population
and Per Capita GWP ( gross domestic product ) est at $ 37 trillion
THE
USA has about 250 million people at $ 30 thousand = GDP/per = $ 6
trillion GDP
4
% of population but 16.5 % of the World's wealth
THE
INDUSTRIAL WORLD has 1 billion people with an average product of $
20 thousand per capita = $ 20 trillion
15
% of global population produces 67 % of Global Product GWP: Why ?
Not because of race or character but because of modern technology
and infrastructure ! There is industrial world in parts of the
developing world such as parts of Brazil, which has the worlds
fastest growing computer market. There are parts of the Industrial
world "underdeveloped" such as parts of the American Rural
south and many urban centers.
USA,
Western Europe, Japan, South Africa, Korea, Hong Kong and the other
tigers
THE
DEVELOPING WORLD
2
billion people with an average $5,000 per capita product = $ 10
trillion of the global economy is in parts of Asia, Eastern Europe,
Latin America parts of China and India, Middle East - these
populations have schools, hospitals, roads, airports, telephones,
TV, electric power, newspapers, and the structure for growth.
Somewhere around $7,500 the market takes off.
The
developing 30 % of the world produces 27 % of the GWP activity.
THE
LESS DEVELOPED 2 billion people with and annual production of $
1,000 per person totals $ 2 trillion, 30 % of the population produce
only 5 % of the global economy GWP. Why ? Because they use ancient
technology ! They don't have schools, phones, electric power, roads,
et al but depend on traditional agriculture.
We
now have to include most of CHINA in the underdeveloped world; with
a billion people with a per person product of $500.00 China only has
a 750 billion economy.
The
less developed ( really poor ) central Africa, parts of India 1.5
billion people produce less than 2 % of the GWP.
TOTALS
6.5
Global Population - $5,750 Per Capita - produce a $ 37 trillion
global economy GWP
(
Global World Product )
PROJECTIONS
15 years
Industrial
World 1 billion $30,000 Per capital = $ 30 trillion 15 % of the
population goes down in relative terms from 67 % to 45 % of the
earth wealth . Inequality increases and social stability declines.
Developing
world: Eastern Europe and Russia, Latin America, Middle East parts
of India and now includes most of China with a average of $ 7,000
per capita production now produces $ 35 trillion ( more than the
highly Industrial countries but less per capita . ) Social stability
increases - but revolutions come when things are getting better but
the new richer classes are held back by the old "powers that
be".
China
has an average per capita $ 5,000 = $ 7 trillion GDP.. will pass the
USA by the middle of the next century !
The
developing countries go up in relative terms from to 35 % to 50 % of
GWP
Less
Developed 1.5 people at under $1,000 each = $ 3.5 trillion still
lags and is unstable !!!
Averages
7.5 people at $ 7,500 = $ 70 trillion Gross World product
Freedom
and democracy depend on income distribution:
The
problem of the federalist papers #10 and #52
The
more freedom, the less equality, which then threatens freedom.
The
more "free enterprise" the greater concentration of power
which threatens competition. Power flows from the outside in, then
from the center out. The more the situation is forced the more it
gets "out-of-control".
Government
has to do more that protect an "even playing field " . If
there is equal opportunity some will do a lot better and some can't
make it at all. Government has to reduce the "hard"
results for the benefit of both winners and losers. This is SYNERGY
high moral societies as described by Benedict and Maslow.
Individuals,
families and firms act as sub-species and breeds, in ecological
space. Ecology more like chaos theory than a calm "balance of
nature". evolution
is best described as a highly dynamic and unstable network of
relationships on the edge of sudden change. Ecology tends toward
species domination, with a few communities setting the conditions
for survival of the whole system.
In
human communities dominant clusters can make arrangements among
themselves, so to protect their common welfare from each other and
outsiders. It is NOT just survival of the fittest but the welfare of
the well placed and connected. The ancient empires and modern groups
such as GM, IBM, et al never made the best product at the lowest
price but could control the market from unlimited free enterprise,
with or without, government assistance. Remember the government is a
committee of the ruling class for the purpose of the maintenance of
social stability and the status quo.
Political
and religious fundamentalist can't deal with dilemma, they are
either/or types. Political and social judgement depends on balance
of freedom and equality, free markets and constraints, mercy and
justice, truth and mythology.
The
most important action of public policy is in the area of education.
Education, as different from training, helps people see beyond the
prejudice and limits of their ruts. It helps with complex reality
rather than simple "wrong" ideas. Evils come from false
ideas and stupid actions ( sometimes with the best of intentions,
missionaries and foreign aid ). Education helps both freedom, of the
mind and soul, and equality of social power. Societies with real
education ( beyond training of skills ) will do a lot better in the
long and short run. Those "book" explores the dimensions
of learning, doing and social justice - and their business and
economic effects. It does come down the wise, smart morals, true
values - standards that all "civilizations" have supported
or they have become fallen, all people know and do, or they fail as
"people".
EXCITE
Search Chapter I
The
small stable school learning and doing in the electronic age
-
EXCITE
Search Chapter II
Learning
and Doing in the Global Economy - world class being and becoming
RE:
The price of everything:
"Pride
goeth before destruction, and an haughty spirit before a fall."
Hebrew Bible. Proverbs 16:18.
Do
we really care about the great European ( Greek ) Liberal Tradition
- freedom, individualism, the rights of women ( men), free
expression, religious and cultural tolerance ? Because there is no
natural market for these values in the "New World Order".
Virtue, freedom must earned by each generation. So rather than
lecture China, or puff ourselves up with false pride, we need to get
at it.
The
"Laws of supply and demand" have not been repealed but
must be re-interpreted. Global transactions are now different in
form and substance than conceived by neo-classical materialist
economic models. Geo-economics create new biological relationships
between politics and economics, especially on an international
scale.
Reasons
for a long period of growth, good labor markets and low inflation
include factors that have very little to do with public policy:
1.)
International capital markets efficiently redistribute capital.
Local capital going into local production can easily produce more
than the effective local demand. Trade wars or pump priming deficits
designed to increase demand will cause increases in the money
supply. More money with the same amount of goods means it takes more
money to buy the same goods, called inflation.
When
the Spanish empire imported gold from the New World but did not
increase production at the same rate, prices went up. Money is not
wealth. Now, global banking systems would quickly reinvest the
King's gold in profitable enterprises all over the globe as they do
for the King's of Arabia black gold, oil billions are well managed,
as are Japan's trillions.
Nothing
has been purchased more dearly than the little bit of reason and
sense of freedom which now constitutes our pride. Friedrich
Nietzsche (1844-1900), German philosopher. The Dawn, aph. 18 (1881).
2.)
The Rise of the Age of Asia:
Having
little or nothing to do with individualism or "democracy"
Asian models of competition and cooperation have created dynamic
pools for the production and distribution of wealth - somewhat like
the role of the Indies and the New World in the 18th and 19th
Century. The center of global transactions moved from Madrid, to
Paris, to London, to New York.. now to Hong Kong, Singapore, Tokyo,
Taipei, east to west to east.
He
who the Gods would destroy, they first make boastful...
Nor
was civil society founded merely to preserve the lives of its
members; but that they might live well: for otherwise a state might
be composed of slaves, or the animal creation . . . nor is it an
alliance mutually to defend each other from injuries, or for a
commercial intercourse. . . . But whosoever endeavors to establish
wholesome laws in a state, attends to the virtues and vices of each
individual who composes it; from whence it is evident, that the
first care of him who would found a city, truly deserving that name,
and not nominally so, must be to have his citizens virtuous.
Aristotle (384-322 B.C.), Greek philosopher. Politics, bk. 3, ch. 9,
sct. 1280 (c. 343 B.C.).
3.)
Family, work, honesty, loyalty, reverence, obedience, ( Self-
Disciple, Compassion, Responsibility, Friendship, Courage,
Perseverance, Faith - from William Bennett's - The Book of Virtues )
are traditional cultural values and good for business: The Vices
such as greed, selfishness, deceit, bad manners, T.V. mass cultures
of corrupt private, educational, religious and public institutions
are unfortunate for individuals, destructive to marriages and
families, destroy communities, businesses, and societies.
Knowledge
and competence have to be mentioned BUT as an effect not the cause
of good behavior. Skills training ( which is 90 % of American -
Value Free education ) can't work.. not without "practical"
virtues. Charter schools, vouchers, a great National Electronic
University, constitutional reform, disciple brigades, global
villages, and other new ideas must be started now before the decline
and fall of the West.
Do
we really care about the great European ( Greek ) Liberal Tradition
- freedom, individualism, the rights of women ( men), free
expression, religious and cultural tolerance ? Because there is no
natural market for these values in the "New World Order".
Virtue, freedom must earned by each generation. So rather than
lecture China, or puff ourselves up with false pride, we need to get
at it.
EXCITE
Chapter III, Mind, (thinking) body (doing) and soul (caring)
The
mind, body and soul of quality - more than a process
RE:
Power Shifting, shifting, leaning, turning, over turning...
The
crowd all moves to one side to see what is going on. They are
watching the new moon rise, the age of the rising sun as it begins.
A great cry, wail or moan blackens the sky, as the great ship begins
to tip. The great boat leans, tips, bends, drops, sags and slowly
begins to turn over. Those that were in control, lose control; as
new forces rise up, new powers rebel, new energy evolves, things are
changing fast...
The
executive captains of the ship, these privileged in the wheel house,
have felt the currents move under them. Politics, media, journalist,
professors, deans, mayors, members of the board - the powers that be
- have worried about the kids, the game playing wise guys, playing
with strange sounds and styles, video games techo-freaks, long
haired, hippies, billionaires who are screwiest late at night,
talking mysteriously in codes, and are strangely oriental in their
ways. Authority shifts as the "bosses" don't know what is
happening.
EXCITE
Chapter IV, Management and policy
RE:
Basics: Human Social geography
First
Wave:
Since
humans began to live in settled communities the technology has
shaped their habitat. To point out the obvious, town size was
limited by the transportation and storage of food, the requirements
of security, and construction materials and skills. Urban population
centers, because of plague and the lack of sanitation of waste which
contaminated the water supply, had higher death than birth rates,
therefore could not sustain themselves until the current century.
They required replenishment from the supporting rural area.
Second
Wave:
With
the industrial revolutions the West turned half urban only in the
last century, for most of human history 90 % of the population was
rural.
The
modern city has been shaped by trains, subways, bridges, sky-
scrapers, and mostly by the automobile. The walking town sprawled
out as the streetcar suburbs, then the complete sprawl of Los
Angeles.
Third
Wave Habitat:
Mountain
View, Redmond, campus wired; Singapore, Hong Kong, Global Villages
in Australia and New Zealand - How will the technology shape the
patterns of human habitation ? The industrial city was placed
between the water and rail - Chicago, London, New York, Tokyo, Hong
Kong, but now Utah, Colorado Springs, are just as likely growth
centers. The requirements are 1.) security - political stability 2.)
friendly legal and tax business climate 3.) natural climate, health
and beauty 3.) labor market - education cultural supports 4.) a good
airport 5.) trucks, trains, boats and wires, 6.) cost of doing
business
Well
what fits: Barbados, Ireland, NZ, Monaco, Spain, Greece, South
Africa, China.. ???
The
ecology of meaning - context and relationships
EXCITE
Chapter V, change trust and technology
The
technology of relationships; who we are depends on where we are -
RE:
Brave
new worlds
;
St.John's Wort,
Soma, the Mystery of the Far East.. "Huxley, Aldous Leonard,"
A
vision or the realization of a radically transformed human
existence, especially one in which scientific and technological
change has a strong, adverse impact on social, political, and
economic structures: "This brave new world of science . . .
offered broader opportunities for greater success to more people. At
the same time, it scarred those who could not reap its benefits"
(W. Bruce Lincoln). [After Brave New World, title of a novel by
Aldous Huxley (1894-1963).]The Doors of Perception (1954) and its
sequel Heaven and Hell (1956) deal with Huxley's experiences with
hallucinogenic drugs.
SOMA...
1.
The entire body of an organism, exclusive of the germ cells. 2. The
body of an individual as contrasted with the mind or psyche. 3. A
"happy drug" in Brave New World by Aldous Huxley, who
projects a world in the "Year of Our Ford" when people
will go not to the movies but to the "feelies," where men
will be attended by "pneumatic" girls (a word borrowed
from T. S. Eliot's poem "Whispers of Immortality") and
human reproduction will be controlled by the state
EXCITE
Chapter VI , the pathology of new visions
It's
not easy seeing in a new way - networks
A
few major ideas: Letters from the Future:
U.S.
White House's Office of Science and Technology Policy report titled
"Science and Technology - Shaping the Twenty-First Century."
"No
technology promises to affect our world more profoundly than the
rapid sweep of digital technology. Every sector of our economy -
manufacturing and services, transportation, health care, education,
and government - is being transformed by the power of information
technologies to create new products and services and new ways to
communicate, resulting in significant improvements in productivity
and knowledge sharing. "
Physical
Astronomy has discussed the space time continuum for 50 years (
since the Special Theory of Relativity ) but very few of us can
grasp the idea of curved space and time. Time warps, however, a
common experience. Israel, for example, is in a vortex of space time
where a few thousand years of social attitudes, from ancient tribes
to post modern, swirl in conflicts projected into a small space.
Washington D. C. can be seen as partly stuck in the 18th century,
partly in the 19th century industrial age, partly in the new deal,
and partly in the modern tele-communications age from the 1960’s.
In parts of Africa, if people could return after a thousand years in
the past, they would not find life much changed. In other places,
our grandfathers would find the current world as strangers in a
strange land. Queen Elizabeth II, was born into a royal world so
different, that cultural shock is a way of life to her and her
family. Of course they don’t "get it".
These
letters from the future are notes from one of the many space-time
locations that exist in reality someplace, and projections of other
locations that do not yet exist. There is no single future as there
is no single past. The past and the future do not exist in whatever
current space time place you now occupy but are projections, myths,
images seen darkly through a hall of mirrors - unknown and
unknowable. What we think about the past, our current fashions in
history, does shape our behavior and in the same way our
expectations for the future shape the present. Future studies is not
very different in style and method from history, if it is based on
first hand reports from those that are already there. There are
people and firms living in our future, in space time beyond where we
now believe ourselves to exist. Time space does bend and move at
different speeds depending on force fields around us.
The
history of human communities is a unstable but consistent
progression from smaller and provincial toward larger and more
universal.
From
family groups to clans, tribes, nations, empires, and inter-national
grouping and organizations. Time get faster, distance get bigger,
events and change speed up.
From
local spirits and myths of creation and a flat earth under a dome of
the sky to: A place where the earth turns, the Sun Stands Still, and
the ideas of basic astronomy promoted in the 16th and 17th centuries
are common knowledge.
The
18th century saw the separation of physical reality and science from
traditional faiths for the ruling classes but not for the mass
public. Modern humans become a part of natural history and evolution
for the intelectuals but not the bible belt. Objective science was
firmly established in the 19th century along with industrial urban
society but the old styles remain. The "church" really
likes the 13th century, the reform "church" the 17th.
In
our lifetime the solid earth has moved under our feet as great
plates move continents, mountains rise and fall.
In
our century, quanta theory allows material to go from here to there
without passing through the space between the objects. Mass and
energy become parts of general fields. Forces in Time-Space become
curved and black holes become the big bangs of more universes out of
our sight in a huge cosmos.
Life
forms have been found miles deep in the oceans and within the earth,
organic life forms live without light, water or air. Organic
microorganisms and genetic materials most likely exist widely in
space. Life is prevalent cosmically and not special to our little
corner of reality. The "real" world as we experience it is
only a special case, so our sense of space and time is very
provincial and solid matter is not what we think. These ideas are
now getting into 8th grade text books.
The
expansion of scientific thought has left the social, political and
religious paradigms out of sink. Industrial, management, educational
and psychological models which guide collective behavior no longer
fit the reality of events.
CASES:
An industrial school system and mega-Universities can no longer
match the information transfer technology and learning skills that
produce wealth and power. The role of education has declined as
social gate keepers, with the role of a many social institutions
designed to maintain the class status quo. It is getting harder for
the ruling class to pass on family advantages to their children.
Status Universities who take youth of promise and socialize then
into the ways and rules of the ruling class now really need to make
stronger connections between thinking and doing. Social Class
traditions have been weakened by new systems of mass media and
continuous learning.
A
small business, chamber of commerce, labor union model of political
parties doesn't relate to the changes in real power or the popular
life experience and concerns. The 18th century "balance of
power" constitutional structure and foreign policy doesn't work
in the global economy.
The
modern corporation is under great pressure as the "model"
organization for economic life. The paradigm is shifting from
industrial to biological, from mechanical to cybernetic information
systems, from bureaucratic to dynamic small groups and task forces,
from central command and control to clusters and cloud chambers,
from military campaigns to expeditions in unknown territories.
Management is moving from systems analysis to images of wholes and
probes of successive hypothesis and the analog of order in chaos.
NOT
EASY.
Copies
of the SYNERGY
JOURNALS sent by request: pflaump@wiredbrain.com
Peter E. Pflaum Ph.D. , Headmaster GLOBAL_VILLAGE_SCHOOLHOUSE 225
Robinson Road, New Smyrna Beach, FL 32169 (904) 428-1355
MSN
now does the best
search
We
are such stuff - As
dreams are made on, and our little life - Is rounded with a
sleep.
SEE
STOCKS GO INTO ORBIT
