WASHINGTON INVESTING
A Stock Spike With the Flavor of Global Intrigue
Jerry Knight Washington Post Staff Writer
September 13, 1999; Page F7
Strange things have been happening to Cel-Sci
Corp., a little Vienna biotech research company that is working on
several promising new drugs. First an attorney in Argentina put
out a press release saying a client on the Caribbean isle of
Tortola was offering to buy Cel-Sci for $7.75 a
share -- when the stock was selling for $2 a share on the American
Stock Exchange.
Then an "investment opinion" from England hit the
Internet, predicting that Cel-Sci stock could top
$105 a share within a year.
Cel-Sci stock jumped 50 percent -- to $3 a share --
after the Aug. 18 offer from Argentina and leapfrogged past $3.75
after the Aug. 27 "strong buy" from Britain.
Now the stock is trading at about $2 a share, closing Friday at
$2.68 3/4. Nothing has come of the Tortola takeover talk, and
nobody can find the British firm that issued the $105-a-share
prediction.
The phone number on the press release issued in London by Gateway
Capital Partners turns out to be an answering service in the
little English market town of King's Lynn, Norfolk, about 100
miles north of London.
"This is no longer their phone number," said James
Little, who manages the answering service. In a transatlantic
telephone interview Friday, Little said he stopped forwarding
calls for the company because "they booked themselves and
then they didn't pay their bill."
"They're in Panama," Little said. "At least they
sent me a fax from there."
While he hasn't heard from his one-time customer, Little said he
has been interviewed by Scotland Yard.
Geert Kersten, chief executive of Cel-Sci, said:
"I've never had any contact with Gateway Capital."
As for the Tortola takeover offer, Kersten said, "We told
them to show us the money." Cel-Sci still is waiting
to see it.
Kersten, who was unable to get the Argentine attorney on the
phone, said Cel-Sci sent a fax saying it would
consider the offer if shown evidence the purported buyer could
come up with $124 million to pay for the stock. The attorney,
whose phone went unanswered last week, responded with another
press release reiterating the bid, but has not given Cel-Sci
any financial information to authenticate the offer.
Kersten said any decision to sell shares would be made by the
company's board, but he is not interested in selling the 5.8
percent of the company he controls through stock, options and
warrants. "Our data is so good right now that I'd be stupid
to sell at $7.75."
"Do I know if it's real?" said Kersten, a lawyer by
training. "It's so crazy maybe it is real. . . . Any day
these guys could be filing tender offer documents. Then suddenly
what doesn't seem real, could become real."
The American Stock Exchange says it is investigating both
developments. The Securities and Exchange Commission, as is its
policy, won't comment. If the commission's enforcement division
isn't on the case, SEC Chairman Arthur Levitt needs some new
watchdogs.
Despite obvious questions about the veracity of the buyout bid and
the British "buy" recommendation, almost 8.5 million Cel-Sci
shares changed hands during 10 tumultuous days of trading.
Somebody made some money in that frenzy, but it's impossible to
calculate how much. Most of the volume occurred when the stock was
selling for $2.50 to $3.50 a share, Kersten said. In that case,
it's hard to imagine anybody could have netted more than a couple
million bucks from inflating the stock price.
That's a puny score, even for a penny stock manipulation, but
putting out a phony press release is a low-budget caper. It cost
the people in King's Lynn -- or Panama or wherever -- less than
$1,000 to distribute the announcement via the Business Wire, based
on that service's standard charges.
As usual in this age of online investing, the Internet played a
big role in the Cel-Sci stock spike. Cel-Sci
shares have a regular following on three online investment sites
frequented by folks who like to play with penny stocks -- Yahoo.com,
SiliconInvestor.com and Raging Bull.com.
When the two mysterious press releases hit the World Wide Web,
witless -- or perhaps witting -- participants encouraged the
stampede.
From the message traffic on the three sites, it's clear that some
of the participants are day traders whose game is to buy stocks
when the price jumps and dump them as soon as they make 50 cents
or $1 a share. Traders' efforts to talk up the stock are so
transparent that it's amazing anyone would take them seriously.
The Yahoo bulletin board for Cel-Sci is so
frequently flooded with phony information that "Impostor
Alert" messages appear often. One of the more reliable
regulars signs on under the screen name
"savvywageslave1." Every so often there are messages
signed "savvywageslavel." If somebody squints at the
screen enough to see there's an "L" instead of a
"1," alarms go off.
But even when people aren't posing as someone else, the
information on Yahoo is about as believable as a Ouija
board.
Consider: The prediction that Cel-Sci stock would
rise to $105 a share from $2 was issued by Gateway Capital
Partners Inc. The "Inc." was the first tip-off. As Yahoo
posters pointed out, that's an Americanism. British companies
hardly ever are "incorporated."
The absurdity of the "price target" was another clue.
"You don't set a target price of $105, that's not
credible," Kersten said.
Nor is the one-year time frame. Cel-Sci is studying
several drugs to treat malaria, allergies, herpes, AIDS and
cancer. The most promising, an anti-cancer compound called "multikine,"
is in the second phase of government-mandated three-phase trials.
"Everything right now looks very good," Kersten said.
The Phase 2 trials, however, aren't over yet, and those trials
will be followed by Phase 3. "By the time you put it all
together it may be two or three years."
The smart people posting messages on the Yahoo Cel-Sci
investor bulletin board pointed that out, as did participants in a
more serious discussion of the company's research at a separate Cel-Sci
"club" on Yahoo.
Many of the comments on Yahoo are -- if not outright
dishonest -- at least downright dumb. For example, a hunt for
Gateway Capital Partners using Yahoo's Internet search
engines didn't turn up any firm on the other side of the Atlantic.
But search engines are dumb. Many of them don't recognize the
order of words in a phrase, as long as all three words are
together.
Instead of Gateway Capital Partners, Web searches yielded Capital
Gateway Partners, which happens to be in Bethesda. Since Bethesda
is the home of the National Institutes of Health, incubator of
medical entrepreneurs, the Yahoo lemmings proclaimed this
somehow validated their delusions.
Searching a little deeper, someone found -- and posted for all the
other Internet naifs to see -- that Capital Gateway Partners is a
corporate affiliate of Hines Interests, the Houston real estate
empire. Since Gerald Hines is a certified zillionaire, once taken
to tooling around Texas in a Ferrari, some of the Yahoos
still wanted to believe. Or at least they wanted other people to
believe they believed.
Any investor who loses money because of such transparent Internet
nonsense gets what he deserves, but the phony investment
recommendation slipped onto the Net from offshore raises far more
troubling issues. Stock manipulation is rarely prosecuted as a
criminal offense and extradition doesn't apply to civil cases. The
most effective weapon for market regulators probably will be to
freeze any U.S. accounts that are involved -- if they can find
them.
Since this appears to be a penny ante caper, there may not be much
of an investigation. Independent counsel David Barrett spent
upwards of more than $9 million to investigate former Housing and
Urban Development secretary Henry Cisneros on a misdemeanor charge
that carried a $10,000 fine, but the SEC doesn't have such
unlimited resources. And stock market games worse than this are
being played on the Internet all the time.
IT'S A MYSTERY
Shares of Cel-Sci Corp. of Vienna have spiked twice
because of inexplicable announcements from overseas that triggered
an investigation by the American Stock Exchange. A prediction that
Cel-Sci stock could jump to $105 from $2 was traced
to an answering service in a small city in England. A mysterious
$7.75-a-share buyout offer came from a lawyer in Argentina.
* Aug. 27: A previously unheard of "investment firm"
issues a report from London predicting the stock could hit $105 a
share.
* Sept. 16: $2.68 3/4
SOURCE: Bloomberg News
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