The Cosmic Mirror
By Daniel Fischer
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A German companion!
(SuW version)
Current mission news: MGS (latest pictures!) + Cassini + Galileo + NEAR

Comet Hale-Bopp is still active, 2 billion km from the Sun: ESO Press Release, SC.
Update # 220 of March 14, 2001, at 20:30 UTC
Radio emission from a Brown Dwarf / How Mir will come down / Pluto mission comeback / X-33 gone / 'Small comets' won't die

Surprisingly bright radio emission from a Brown Dwarf

has been discovered with the VLA: LP944-20 had shown a "shocking" X-ray flare (see Update # 196 story 4), and now quiescent and flaring radio emission has been discovered from this source. This is the first detection of persistent radio emission from a brown dwarf - but with luminosities that are several orders of magnitude larger than predicted from an empirical relation between the X-ray and radio luminosities of many stellar types. LP944-20 apparently possesses an unusually weak magnetic field in comparison to active dwarf M stars, which might explain both the null results from previous optical and X-ray observations of this source, and the deviation from the empirical relations.
Paper by Berger & al., now published in Nature, NRAO and CalTech press releases and coverage by the NYT (ignoring an embargo!) and Space.com.

Earth's magnetic field was 3 times stronger 100 Myr ago - the dinos might have seen bright aurorae: Univ. of Rochester Press Release, BBC.

The end is coming later - and much quicker

Mir's mission control is now planning to bring down the space station with three de-orbit burns over just 4 or 5 orbits (or 6 to 7.5 hours), on the day its average orbital altitude has fallen to 215 to 220 km: This new plan, markedly different from the earlier scenario with 4 burns spread out over several days, has been confirmed to the Cosmic Mirror by leading experts of the German space agency DLR and the European Space Operations Center. The main reason for both the delay and the speeding up of operations is, as reported before, the need to keep Mir in a steady attitude during the de-orbit procedure, and that could had become too fuel-intensive under the old plan, with Mir struggling against the ever-increasing air drag for days.

The disadvantage of the faster scenario is that there remains less time between the burns to check Mir's new orbit for their accuracy: The first two burns will come during two subsequent orbits, the last one either during orbit 4 or 5, depending on the selection of the actual impacting trajectory (every window for dumping Mir offers about 3 suitable subsequent orbits). On March 13th, Mir's orbit was shrinking by 2.2 km per day, and when it will have reached 220 km, it'll decay by 4 km per day. This crucial mark will be reached on March 21 (+2,-1 days), according to the Trajectory Report #55 of March 14 - and flight controllers now believe that they'll take Mir down on March 22 at 6:21 UTC. Even if left alone, Mir would be gone by March 28th +/- 3 days: The station is history by month's end even in the (unlikely) case all control would be lost.

Story filed March 9th

Mir de-orbiting shifts to about March 20

Russian space officials have decided to postpone the deorbiting of the Mir space station to around March 20 to save the propellant onboard the Progress ship. On March 10 Mir's average altitude will reach the 250-km mark when, according to earlier plans, the deorbiting maneouvers would have begun. However officials have now decided to let the natural atmospheric drag degrade Mir's orbit for a few extra days: As a result, less propellant would be required to deorbit the station, and the savings will give the mission control more flexibility in case of unexpected problems during Mir's final hours in orbit. The new critical mark is 220 km, to be reached around March 20: The day before, the whole station will be turned so that the Progress' engines are pointed into the direction of flight, and on the 20th the engine firings begin. In the meantime, Russian Aviation and Space Agency, Rosaviacosmos, announced that it negotiated with three Russian insurance companies the purchase of a $200-million policy to cover a potential damage caused by the falling debris from Mir.

Story filed March 6th

Mir to reach 250 km on March 10 +/- 1 day, but deorbiting won't come before March 17

According to Interfax on March 6, "the final order for deorbiting the Mir space station and sinking it in the planned section of the South Pacific will be given between March 17 and 20" - that would be a week or more after reaching the 250 km mark (on March 10 +/- 1 day, according to the TsUP trajectory report # 47). After that point mission Control will start planning the trajectory of its descent. Meanwhile the Russian Space Agency has gone shopping for an insurance policy to cover any damage to third parties: According to Itar-Tass and Interfax, the RSA is now going through the necessary formalities to obtain coverage within a few days. Without insurance, it would have to pay any damages incurred within the borders of Russia, and should damage occur in other countries then the Russian government would be responsible for any financial compensation.

Story filed March 4th

Mir to be history by March 15, Russia calculates

Every day now new dates for the critical last steps in Mir's turbulent 15-year history are announced: by Russian officials, by the German space agency at a news conference, by veteran cosmonauts on TV. Everything hinges on the day on which the orbital altitude has fallen to 250 kilometers: Up to that point, it's only friction at the Earth's atmosphere that lets the station slip lower and lower - and since the atmosphere's density varies with the daily changes in solar activity, no precise date can be given for that crucial day. According to a Russian space control centre spokesman on March 1st, the 250-km mark will be reached between March 7 and 12, which would correspond to the actual de-orbiting taking place between March 10 and 15.

On reaching the altitude of 250 km, three de-orbit (breaking) impulses will be performed by the special Progress ship docked to Mir since Jan. 27, over a period of 2 to 3 days to lower the station's orbit to approximately 220 x 150/160 km with the perigee above the planned final impact point in the southern Pacific. The final de-orbit impulse (approx. 20 m/sec) will be carried out within the 3 days immediately following completion of the three initial impulses. The final impulse (lasting approximately 800 sec) will be initiated in the area of Africa and will be completed over Russia, with a predicted impact point (to be reached approximately 45 min later) to the southeast of Australia at approximately 47 degrees south 140 degrees west.

Mir reentry information by the Russian, British and German space agencies (here is the TsUP's latest Trajectory Report), by the Australian government [SR], the United Nations and Heavens Above.
Mir news pages by SpaceRef, Space Today, Space.com and RP. And Mir websites plus info pages from the Aerospace Corp.
News releases and coverage of March 14: Interfax, RP, SPIEGEL. 13: DLR Status Report, NaviSite Press Rel., Mir Trackers' Journal, SC, SD, CNN, Interfax. 12: NYT, Newsweek, USN&WR, BBC, Interfax, AP, SC, RP, SPIEGEL. 11: Interfax [SD], FT. 10: Science@NASA, Interfax. BdW (stupid). 9: Pacific Islands Forum, SPIEGEL, Reuters. 8: EMA Release, Interfax (with some - hard? - numbers), SN, AFP (other story), CSM, Astronomy, SPIEGEL.
News releases and coverage of March 7: RSC interview, AFP (other story), Interfax, AP, ST, BBC, AP, UPI, RP. 6: AFP, Interfax, RP, CNN, Reuters, WELT. 5: SD, SPIEGEL. 4: AGI simulation of Mir's destruction, SC, Boston Herald. 3: WELT. 2: DLR, U.S. State Dept., SPIEGEL, SC, BILD (a German tabloid - and AFP on the Russian reaction). 1: Mission Control [SR], U.S. SpaceCom, AFP.

ISS Update

The mission of Discovery to swap the ISS crew is underway since March 8 but is overshadowed by the latest ISS funding crisis (see last Update story 3) and the fears that the final station will be a mere shadow of earlier plans. STS-102 Press Kit, NASA Release, Mission Page, Mission Status and Journal. MCC Status # 13, 12, 11, 10, 9, 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1.
Coverage on March 14: Science@NASA, SN, BBC, Reuters, SC, RP, SPIEGEL. 13: SN, Gannett, HC ( earlier), AN, SC. 12: SN, BBC, HC, AN, SC, SPIEGEL. 11: SN, CNN, AP, FT, HC, SC. 10: SN, AFP, AN, BBC, SC, SPIEGEL. 9: SN, CNN, BBC, AN, AP, SC. 8: Launch Pictures (nice dawn atmosphere, including again a weird shadow effect!), SN, CNN, FT, SD, HC, SC, AN, RP, SPIEGEL.
Coverage on March 7: SC ( other story and another one), HC, NYT, Reuters, FT. 6: SN (earlier and other story), AFP, FT, ST, SC ( other story), USA Today [SR]. 5: CNN, AN, HC, BBC, SC ( other story), AP. 4: CNN, ST, Russian SpaceWeb. 3: FT (other story). 2: CNN.
First science experiment running on ISS - the German Plasma Crystal Experiment is operating on the ISS since March 4: Homepage.
Atlantis & Columbia are back in Florida after lengthy transfer flights: SN, pictures, CNN.

"Yuri's Night"

Worldwide parties to celebrate the 40th anniversary of Gagarin's flight next month are being organized: central website.
Chinese astronauts ready for space - a rare newspaper account of orange-suited astronauts riding flight simulators and training for zero gravity could have come straight out of the movie The Right Stuff: AP, SN, SD. Dreams of big rockets: AFP.

NASA Pluto mission alive again - kind of

The apparent decision to kill the just-revived Pluto mission (or rather the competition for a possible mission; see last Update story 3) has been reversed again! "NASA has been requested to allow the AO proposals to be submitted" by some high-ranking member of the U.S. Congress, Colleen Hartman, NASA's Outer Planets Program director has told SPACE.com: "If the Congress appropriates funds for the Pluto-Kuiper Belt mission, we [at] NASA will proceed with funding of a winning proposal, if there are any. But all those proposing should be aware that the [Bush] administration does not support this course of action," Hartman added. According to Space.com, Senate Appropriations Committee staff notified NASA that both majority and minority appropriations members would object to a termination of the Announcement of Opportunity (see Update # 213). Meanwhile solar physicists are fighting to save the terminated Solar Probe mission as well.
SD, SC (also on the Solar Probe and general trends), SN, ST, AN, PS. And the NYT and AP on the Hayden Pluto issue ...

Will Pioneer 10 phone home one last time?

The longest operating deep-space probe is getting at least one more chance for life as project managers have secured observation time with radio antennas to try to contact the spacecraft for the first time since last summer: SN, AP, SF Gate.

NASA trashes X-33 and X-34 and starts from scratch

Almost a billion dollars of public money has been sunk into the X-33 project since 1996, and Lockheed Martin has burned another $360m of its own money - but a flight-tested model of a possible successor for the space shuttle the result was not. Already last year NASA threatened to abandon the program but allowed it to compete for Space Launch Initiative funds with other concepts - not anymore: "NASA determined that the benefits to be derived from flight testing these X-vehicles did not warrant the magnitude of government investment required and that SLI funds should be applied to higher priority needs." What those would be has not been announced yet, but one thing is clear: Any decision on an STS successor (and thus that vehicle itself) will now come at least 5 years later than hoped in 1996, and the space shuttle is likely to serve as NASA's only own manned access to orbit until 2015 the least. The X-34 is also gone, BTW.
NASA Press Release.
Coverage by FT, SC (also on leaked SLI contracts and the end of engine testing), CNN, SN, HC, NYT, AN, AFP, WSJ, SPIEGEL.

Big projects unlikely in NASA's near future

America's manned spaceflight program was shaken to its foundation at the end of February as all of its major efforts were called into question: FT, AN, Wired.

The 'small comets' raise their head again - do they?

Ever since the idea that a rain of 10-meter-sized comets is pummeling the Earth's atmosphere 20 times a minute had been discussed and widely rejected during the famous "snowball fight" more than three years ago (see Update # 66 story 3), few people had still cared about that bizarre hypothesis, staunchly defended by one respected geophysicist and rejected by about everyone else. But both this scientist and his critics had carried on with yet another test of the hypothesis: The small comets, if they existed, should be detectable as faint point sources in space, before dispersing above the atmosphere. The Iowa Robotic Observatory (IRO) was put to the task of searching for exactly those objects.

In December of 1999 the verdict was in, or so it seemed: "University of Iowa astronomy professor Robert Mutel announced today that an eight-month search using an Arizona-based telescope has failed to detect evidence supporting a 13-year-old theory that small comets composed of snow are continually bombarding the Earth," a press release said - but on March 1, 2001, the very same service has now reported that "University of Iowa Physics Professor Louis A. Frank says that he has found new evidence to support his theory that the water in Earth's oceans arrived by way of small snow comets," by spotting nine samples of 'his' objects on 1500 IRO images. Experts on the matter contacted by the Cosmic Mirror have already expressed their doubts and think that - once more - the data presented are just noise: The debate will go on for some time ...

University of Iowa Press Releases of Dec. 16, 1999 and March 1, 2001 [SN], plus Frank's IRO pages, presenting the best(?) "detections". Judge for yourself ...

Chondrules explained?

A model in which the chondrules (that give the chondrite meteorites their name) form in the inner circumsolar disk and are then expelled might have been proven by new lab analysis: Stanford Press Release, PSRD, SC.

NEAR leaves its handlers beaming

Final thoughts in the NYT and the final Weekly Status.

Mysterious Cosmic Infrared Background component emerges

The cosmic background at 1.25 microns and 2.2 microns is significantly higher than integrated galaxy counts, suggesting either an increase of the galaxy luminosity function for magnitudes fainter than 30 or the existence of another contribution to the cosmic background from primeval stars, black holes, or relic particle decay: paper by Cambresy & al.

Chandra Deep Fields continue resolving the X-ray background into distant active galactic nuclei (as already reported in Updates # 212, 209 and 167) - millions of seconds of exposure time have been devoted to specific sky fields: Chandra, ESO and JHU Press Releases, SC, Reuters, CNN, RP, SPIEGEL (früher).

2dF low-density Universe results now published in Nature: paper by Peacock & al., AAO Release, BBC, Astronomy, SC - the result that the density of the Universe is only 0.3 of critical was already mentioned in Update # 213 small items.

Metal abundance variations in globular clusters

have been discovered with the VLT, especially for the common elements Oxygen, Sodium, Magnesium and Aluminium - this phenomenon has never been seen in Sun-like dwarf stars before and might be evidence of "ashes" of earlier stars embedded in the younger ones: paper by Gratton & al., ESO Press Release.

Adaptive Optics find close companions to 2 planet-bearing stars

An adaptive optics (AO) imaging survey of extrasolar planetary systems has detected stellar companions to the planet bearing stars HD 114762 and Tau Boo: paper by Lloyd & al.

The age distribution of earth-like planets can be calculated from the evolution of the star formation rate of the Universe, the metallicity evolution of the star-forming regions of the Universe and the most recent observations of extrasolar planets: paper by Lineweaver.

Mars' Volcanoes May Have Melted Ice

Two of the oldest volcanoes on Mars, which have been active for 3.5 billion years, are surrounded by the largest and greatest numbers of channels associated with any Martinan volcano, indicating that there was a lot of water around when they were forming, though there doesn't appear to be any around now: Univ. at Buffalo Press Release, BBC, SPIEGEL.

Observations of Mars from mid-Jan. to mid-Feb.: CMO, Parker, Hernandez.

New pictures of Ganymede by Galileo: PIA 0321... 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. And a new HST view of Jupiter's aurorae.

British Lords demand asteroid action

The science minister was urged to do more about Near Earth Objects than just promise further studies: full transcript of the speeches, BBC coverage and comments.

Flora, fauna rebounded quickly after the K/T impact

Life was irtually wiped out for a period of time after the big impact 65 Myr ago, but then reappeared just as abruptly only 10,000 years after the collision, most likely a single catastrophic impact: CalTech Press Release, coverage by SC, SPIEGEL.

How special will the "Space Jump" be?

A parachutist is causing some excitement with the announcement to jump from 40 km altitude (about half way to space) in March 2002 - but already in 1960 (!) Joseph Kittinger has jumped from a comparable altitude of 31 km, and already this October Cheryl Stearns ("the most decorared skydiver in the world") is planning to jump from 40 km as well: Kittinger's bio, another one, jump details and a 1998 FT story, Stearns' homepage and her Stratoquest, the new announcement [SD] and coverage by BBC, SPIEGEL, AP.

ULDB flight ends early again

This time the Ultra Long Duration Balloon failed to regain its proper daytime pressure and was brought down over the coast of Australia rather than allow it to float out over the ocean: Hot News, Wallops Release (earlier), AFP, CNN (earlier), BBC, AP (earlier ).

First, direct observational evidence of a change in the Earth's greenhouse effect

There has been a significant change in the Earth's greenhouse effect over the last 30 years, a finding which is consistent with concerns over so-called 'radiative forcing' of the climate - previous studies have depended on theoretical simulations, but now data sets collected by two different earth-orbiting spacecraft in 1970 and 1997 unequivocally establish that significant changes in greenhouse gas emissions from the Earth have caused the change to the planet's greenhouse effect over this time period: Imperial College Press Release, Reuters.

Microbes flying across the Galaxy aboard meteorites? There is a slim chance that microbes could be carried from one solar system to another on rocks blasted from terrestrial planets by asteroid impacts, spreading life across the Galaxy: New Scientist.

  • The 75th anniversary of Goddard's breakthrough, the first liquid-fuel rocket launch, is coming up on March 16: GSFC Special Page and announcement.
  • "The Dish" tells unusual Apollo 11 story about an Australian radio antenna that became NASA's only hope for giving the world live images of mankind's first steps on the moon: review by the NYT.
  • Lunar Prospector provides a world of data - the cheap mission "has revolutionized our view of the Moon": LANL Press Release.

  • IMAGE satellite snaps first pictures from space of Earth's double aurora, the pretty curlicues and shimmering curtains of the electron aurora and the more diffuse proton aurora: Berkeley Press Release, SPIEGEL.
  • A detailled Chandra image of a compact galaxy cluster shows remarkable detail and complexity in the central region of HCG 6: Chandra Release, SC, CNN.
  • The mass of the Central Engine of Centaurus A has been measured as 200 million solar masses: paper by Marconi & al., ESO Press Release, SC, RP, SPIEGEL.

  • An HST picture of M 82 highlights the star burst processes in this prototypical starburst galaxy: ESA HST and STScI Releases [SN], CNN. Hubble in and out of safe-mode: SR, SC.
  • The 9th launch of the Ariane 5 was another success on March 8: SN, SC, AFP - the CM now regards the vehicle "operational" and will from now on only report on special events in the program or unusual payloads.
  • SETI interrupted by copper thieves who cut a cable important for SETI@Home; service back online now: ST. Earlier: IDG. How to recognize an alien signal: SC.


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Compiled and written by Daniel Fischer
(send me a mail to dfischer@astro.uni-bonn.de!), Skyweek