KLOFFE'S KLSE CI FUTURES(FKLI)
WEEKLY MARKET COMMENTARY

June 5, 1998

Volume and Open Interest (1 year window)wpe1C.jpg (16199 bytes)

Daily Price Movements (20 day window)wpe1D.jpg (18148 bytes)



MARKET MOVEMENT

The Kuala Lumpur Composite Index  Futures (FKLI) was traded from a high of 534.7 to a low of 495.6, a different of 39.1 index points. The direction of the market was largely influenced by the  1.8% drop in GDP in first quarter of 1998 and the progress of Malaysia Asset Management Company (AMC).

Telekom and Tenaga, two of the most market capitalization stocks shed further which dragged down the cash and futures market.

The reasons of this unfavorable scenario were caused by both weak local and regional sentiment.

After the announcement of fragile figures from Bank Negara Malaysia, both forex market and stock market turned sour as investors predicted a longer period for Malaysia to recover for the crisis. The annoucement of AMC didn't help much during the mid week as any uptrend was being incorporated into selling pressure. The Ringgit closed at 3.9850 on Friday.

In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index was just able to settle slightly above 8,550 level this week while Japanese Nikkei 225 closed at 16,323. Regional sentiment remained weak due to the instable of Japanese Yen and other regional currencies.

June futures closed low at 499.5, a discount of 5.55 index points compared to the underlying of 505.05. This is the lowest closing price for the spot month contract after the double festive season early this year.

To recap,  total contracts traded for the week were 16,488 contracts, an daily average of 3,297 contracts. The 20-day volatility stayed below 50% level. Total open interest stayed at 20,000.

MARKET OUTLOOK

The market is likely to remain neutral to bearish. For June futures, resistance would be at 543, 523, and 512 while support can be seen at 462, 483, 490 levels. 




DISCLAIMER
The weekly market commentary has been compiled by Shu, Meng Chan (article writer) for private views only. The weekly market commentary articles are being released for the interest of Shu, Meng Chan only and should not be considered investment advice. There is no warranty or representation expressed or implied by Shu, Meng Chan as to the the accuracy or completeness of the commentary herein. The content of the articles will not reflect the general view point of the described (KLOFFE)Futures Exchange. Shu, Meng Chan will not be liable for any action taken by viewers upon reading Shu's Corner KLOFFE's Weekly Market Commentary.
(mshu@tm.net.my)
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