WorldCity Essays
Discussing World Economy and Finance

 
An Inconvenient History

By Anne Williamson

 
As newspapers blast details regarding what will prove to be the tip of a Russian money laundering pyramid, U.S. policymakers and the West's Russian advisers are tap-dancing madly across America's editorial pages in order to stay one step ahead of public accountability. Professing to be as shocked as Claude Raines ever was by the goings on in the Russian casino that their careerism, opportunism and criminal stupidity built with taxpayers' billions, this crowd is simultaneously adopting a world weary and sophisticated attitude.

After all, everybody knew, or so they imply, that corruption is rampant in contemporary Russia. What could self-advertised market wizards or earnest public servants possibly do to restrain the Russians' destructive behavior? Conveniently -- just days before the revelations of Aug. 19 -- a profusion of well-tailored journalistic memoirs recalling seven years of Russian reform inspired by the anniversary of Russia's Aug. 17, 1998, meltdown appeared. All the big papers ran major articles. Two of these efforts in particular deserve a close look.

The Washington Post trotted out eminence grise, Robert Kaiser, the Post's Moscow bureau chief in the early 1970s, whose piece did get its headline right, "Pumping Up The Problem." The New York Times shrewdly hired the job out and imported a Brit for their write up. John Lloyd, who was the Financial Times' Moscow bureau chief from 1991-1994, delivered a drab story with no new information, a real disappointment coming as it did from one of journalism's most astute observers of Yeltsin's Russia. Worse, the Time's story showed just how clever Western handlers were to keep their "eager young reformers" available to potentates of the self-reverential "quality press." Ironically, the one Lloyd selected for his story's bittersweet coda turned out to be none other than Konstantin Kagalovsky, a well-known opportunist and Russia's first representative to the IMF, whose connection to the $15 billion Bank of New York money laundering operation the Times was compelled to report on its front page just four days later.

Kaiser, however, being an eminence grise, did contact two now retired State Department officials, E. Wayne Merry and Thomas Graham, who reported sordid details regarding U.S. policymakers' ends over means approach to Russia. They told how cables filled with information of what was really going on in Moscow were blocked by higher-ups at the Moscow embassy and by emissaries from Washington. Lloyd reminded the public of Albert Gore's nixing of CIA reports detailing Russian corruption involving his best Russian pal, Viktor Chernomyrdin, and that Sweetheart of Harvard Yard, Anatole Chubais. Thomas Graham told Kaiser that the Gore-Chernomyrdin Commission was "Sovietized" immediately, meaning its success was declared mandatory. Diplomats, policymakers, pundits, aid consultants and contractors were told to put a happy face on all aspects of U.S. policy.

Western journalists in Moscow played along, using the government's basic methodology; any information that questioned the success of the reform effort was squelched, ignored or downplayed. Any alarming developments were massaged away by members of the "aid community" in Moscow, and by assistance/policy/government retreads stashed at various think tanks in Washington and Moscow. Journalists built their stories based on quotes and information from these active players and shapers, from whom their editors, in turn, sought their views in published editorials. Russian dissenters were tagged with the "Communist" label and dismissed. In these ways, the party line was woven into a web of almost seamless propaganda despite none of Russia's complicated reality actually corresponding to the parallel universe U.S. policymakers, Washington pundits and collaborating journalists inhabit.

But the Post's and the Times' stories were important as signals; it is now permissible to discuss U.S. failure and the collapse of the "Washington Consensus." About bloody time. Having been given many billions and years of freedom to pursue their ideas without scrutiny or accountability, Clinton's foreign policy apparat has delivered the world a debacle. But citizens should be cautious in evaluating today's increasingly unavoidable revelations; many shoes are left to drop. As one CIA man put it, "Clinton made sure they all got something and then they all stole something more, so nobody wants to get to the bottom of what really happened."

The current spin is to fob blame onto the banking oligarchy whose members the "reformers" in the Kremlin selected and whose development Western lending fed and nurtured. It's helpful too to hurry past the crime of voucher privatization, which Harvard economist Jeffrey Sachs and his team designed in cahoots with Anatole Chubais in 1992. Better to focus on the secondary stage of privatization, the loan-for-shares scheme, an insiders' feast of Russia's juiciest assets, which was cooked up mostly by the Russians themselves. Most especially, a wise memoirist skips any discussion of Russia's market in short-term government bonds, GKO instruments.

The improbable yields (290 percent on three-month paper at one point) on Russian GKOs were paid with U.S. taxpayers' money via IMF loans. Guess where all investment went? By yielding those kind of non-market returns, the bond market insured that all the country's resources and all that it was capable of attracting went to the support of the state, just as Czarism and Communism had done previously.

So lush were the bond market's rewards that dubious market participants included the Russian Central Bank itself through an off-shore firm known as Fimaco. The involvement of the Harvard Institute of International Development's (HIID) honchos in the same conflict-of-interest activities has already been admitted publicly and remains the object of a Boston grand jury's scrutiny. The Harvard Management Corporation, which invests the university's endowment, was also an avid purchaser of Russian bonds, a dubious and unsettling history since there is no legal separation of HMC and the university itself. According to the Russian Interior Ministry's Department of Organized Crime, Western employees of Russian banks, Western bankers and consultants, Russian bankers and anecdotal evidence, other likely participants include certain employees of the U.S. Treasury, of the multilateral agencies (most especially the World Bank's Moscow offices), of bilateral aid agencies, and policy and program consultants acting through accounts established in their wives' maiden names with non-U.S. reporting brokerages in Moscow. Even the Ford Foundation's Moscow office sponsored its own internal Russian bond shop for which the unthinking Russian managers once asked this reporter to drum up U.S. investors. But Russia needed direct investment, not speculative debt traders. Why then did international lending and bilateral aid programs work overwhelmingly to the international debt merchants' benefit? Actually, all aid programs are meant first to advance globally the Fed's money monopoly through IMF lending and the private banking sector and secondarily, the subsidized expansion of U.S. firms into foreign markets.

Unsurprisingly, it was George Bush who got the money monopoly's ball rolling in Moscow. In early 1992, the "Bankers Forum" project was wheeled into place by a former New York Fed chief, Gerald Corrigan, who at George Bush's direction sent in a group of experts from the Fed, commercial banks and the Volunteer Corps on an off-the-books mission to teach the Russians at the Central Bank the bond game. The Western banker who explained the project's background remarked, "Basically, when Corrigan asks, I guess no one turns him down, because people reacted instantaneously. It was done by private investors, who were doing a public service, who were asked by a person you can't say no to" (my emphases).

But from the first day of Clinton's presidency, the new president's administration worked aggressively to capture the political support of the financial sector, offering up heretofore unseen gobs of government favor. (A disproportionate number of firms receiving Overseas Private Investment Corporation guarantees, Export-Import bank lending, and participation from International Finance Corporation and Russian Enterprise Fund were high-dollar contributors to both Clinton campaign coffers and the DNC.) The basic formula was simple, it's not rocket science as Russia's Harvard advisers would like the public to believe: The bread and butter of all equity markets are bonds. Wall Street wanted a debt market. You build it and we'll come, they said.

The aid program delivered best it could what was in reality a flimsy contrivance, which -- in turn -- was really only an exotic venue through which to pass public funds to select Russians of the Clintons' and HIID's choosing and to Wall Street investment banks the Clintons hoped to entice permanently into their orbit of supporters and contributors. In short, the Russian bond market was influence peddling at the highest levels, not unlike the Arkansas Development Finance Authority, a public fleecing machine the Clintons built to benefit their political supporters and contributors years ago in their home state.

The Clintonites' new spin admits that many Russians have the idea their current misfortunes are the intentional work of the U.S. Allowing that the Russians' theory "is built on a certain logic," Kaiser still managed to conclude that the "catastrophe was probably made inevitable by the policies adopted by the last Soviet government, but Russians rarely grasp the subtle points of economics."

Say what? Subtle points of economics? Looting and political racketeering are hardly subtleties apt to confuse any Russian, though American taxpayers were certainly misled successfully.

The Clinton apparat is quick to whine that somebody had to keep the communists at bay. But there were no communists in Russia by late 1991, only nascent investment bankers looking to nail down a stake any which way. Communism had evaporated by late 1987, the year in which the Russian people were allowed to hold convertible foreign currencies. Overnight, the power of money displaced the power of ideology.

Bill Clinton's foreign policy is best understood not as a collection of new era efforts at "nation building," but instead as an utterly irresponsible form of colonialism. It's mind-boggling just how opportunistic U.S. economic policies were in Russia.

What a free lancing Harvard economics professor, Jeffrey Sachs, and his team of flying graduate students managed to set in motion in 1992 insured that absolutely nothing was ever going to work to the Russians' benefit no matter what they tried. The possibly intentional sabotage of Russian reform was the result of three egregiously wrong-headed policies; a forced inflation, tariff reductions and voucher privatization.

In late 1991, vast amounts of gaseous blathering were published regarding something called "the ruble overhang," describing the burden of it and the urgent necessity of doing something about it. This was all nonsense, of course, since the dreaded ruble overhang was nothing more insidious than the collective national savings held by Russian households. The Soviet economy focused almost entirely on the defense sector, leaving nothing for the people to buy. Therefore, the Russian people had accumulated a large stock of savings.

In July 1991, the Supreme Soviet passed legislation mandating the privatization of the Russians' national legacy. Despite that, the Harvard-connected advisers reasoned just months later that since there was nothing to buy immediately, the national savings -- that pesky "ruble overhang" -- would have to be eliminated. Free market types went blue in the face pointing to the national property fated for the auction block as the most useful and appropriate sponge for the people's savings, but to no avail.

Hang on, free market economics Harvard-style gets even nuttier. Yegor Gaidar insists to this day, John Lloyd was good enough to remind us, that "he had no choice but to let prices rise to increase supply and to scrap trade barriers so that foreign commodities could begin to fill store shelves."

Say, huh? The Soviet Union was economically self-sufficient except for bananas, coffee and coconuts. Foreign commodities weren't required to fill Soviet shops. And even though the ruble was not convertible, that characteristic had nothing to do with the sudden shortages in late autumn 1991, which were only slightly worse than those normally encountered in the last sputtering years of Gorbachev's perestroika.

No one had stopped producing, so why were shops suddenly nearly empty? Producers had begun hoarding, as had fearful consumers, but why? Yeltsin did announce in November 1991 that the government intended to free prices, but he also announced the exact date on which prices would be freed. Predictably, producers withheld their product from market and rubbed their hands together like flies awaiting the coming feast which Yeltsin's newly announced policy guaranteed. Within a week of the ill-considered speech, Muscovites' needs were being rationed.

However, Gaidar really was under pressure, but the pressure was coming from the West to open Russia to unrestricted imports in return for multilateral lending. Gaidar soon delivered a trade policy that was 100 percent back-to-front, accommodating as it did the self-serving demands of both the West and Russia's nascent banking oligarchy; Russian manufacturing was to take the brunt of unrestricted foreign competition, but domestic banking was to be protected from competition! Even Russian Central Bank Chairman Viktor Gerashchenko protested, but Yeltsin's boys got what they wanted and the IMF continued lending. So much for the "leverage" foreign policy elites claim foreign assistance programs provide the U.S.

In 1991, there was no hope whatsoever that wheezebag Soviet industries could compete with the West's shiny, alluringly-packaged and, to Russians, exotic products. For decades, prices were set by Gosplan (State Ministry of Central Planning), any enterprise profits were claimed as Soviet tax revenues, all customer bases were guaranteed and therefore no enterprise had a financial incentive to compete. Without competition, there was never any need to improve quality.

How could freeing prices alone change this equation? Free prices only work to the benefit of consumers when producers compete with one another in the marketplace to satisfy customers' demands, leaving consumers positioned to reap the most benefit at the lowest price. Clearly, an equitable and transparent privatization that would have delivered property widely to Russia's many eager hands should have preceded the freeing of prices. And during privatization, native producers should have enjoyed some protectionism at least, as did developing American industry and manufacture in the 19th century.

But why was banking alone protected from foreign competition? Could it have been because the former Communist Youth League or "Komsomol" leaders who'd been selected to become the captains of Russian banking were the private-sector allies and beneficiaries of Yeltsin's "eager young reformers" and their HIID advisers?

Competent advisers would have known Russia never did develop an effective banking sector and system of credit in 1000 years of her history. The story of Russian banking -- ancient and modern -- always has the same plot, only the names and the dates change. S.Y. Borovoi's easily obtained history of 18th century banking outlines a typical episode involving a certain "Suterland, who received 2 million pounds for transfer to London, but instead lent the sums to Prince Potyomkin (800,000), Finance Minister Vyazemsky, Foreign Minister Bezborodko and even to the future emperor Pavel. The debt of these honorable people was, according to the custom, forgiven and paid by the state."

Certainly eager Western banks should have been given admission to Russia. By working initially with more developed and well-capitalized Western banks and later by competing with them, Russian banks could have developed quickly and today be mediating capital responsibly and profitably. No good economic purpose was achieved by foisting subsidized billion dollar loans onto Russia for the purchase of Western consumer goods and the sustenance of Yeltsin's Komsomol pirates and parasites. When Chubais and his Harvard pals belatedly turned their attention to privatization, no one asked how it would be possible to privatize property in a country without property rights. (A similar error was once made by the Soviet aid establishment, which trained railroad engineers for Laos, a country with no railroads.) In fact, it wasn't possible.

There was no privatization, but instead a very expensive, exhausting and destructive program of paper title transfers. At best, a manager could gain personal control of an income stream, but he could not function as a responsible proprietor. Consequently, asset-stripping was and is rampant. And Yeltsin, a Soviet usurper masquerading as a democrat, saw to it that the paper property titles were transferred to key citizens, institutions and long-term cronies so they would have a vested interest in sustaining his power.

But what about that troublesome "ruble overhang"? Jeff Sachs let the cat out of the bag on a spring night in 1991 when he told a colleague from the Hoover Institution and his wife that it was his and Yegor Gaidar's intention to remove from the market all "competing claims," meaning the people's savings. How then to do it?

Easy. In the Soviet Union's monopolistic economy, freeing prices guaranteed that state monopolists would raise prices without restraint. On Jan. 2, 1992, Yeltsin freed prices throughout all of Russia. Poof! The subsequent 2,500 percent inflation Russians suffered in 1992 dissipated those noisome "competing claims" with an efficiency that the Russians hadn't seen since Adolf Hitler's blitzkrieg 50 years earlier. Tellingly, property auctions gained steam only in 1993.

The only investment capital of which any country can be certain is the national savings. Why then did Harvard-connected advisers set about building a market economy by first removing the only money Russians had to participate, thereby leaving foreign and Russian criminal wealth to command the new market? And why was the follow-on to put the Russian Federation's property, the legacy of the long-suffering Russian people, up for sale to a population made kopeckless by the four-digit annual inflation the Harvard advisers' first reform initiated? Imagining the consequences isn't necessary; impoverished Russia is reeling still.

Yabloko leader Gregory Yavlinsky once mused aloud, "Any child could see what would happen. Why then didn't the Harvard professor?" Good question. Rocket science, anyone?


Anne Williamson has written for the Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, Spy magazine, Film Comment and Premiere. An expert on Soviet-Russian affairs, she is currently working on a book, "Contagion: How America Betrayed Russia."

© 1999 by WorldNetDaily.com
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