In the span of four short days during the summer of 1914, the entire world held its collective breath while everything that Europe knew about itself came crashing down. The Great War was beginning. It was a war that no one really wanted, and yet no one could stop from happening. Over the next four years, millions of men would give the ultimate sacrifice for ideas that many never really understood. In the end, the horrors of a new type of warfare, that of the trench system, unthinkable only a generation earlier, would permanently ingrain themselves on a collective consciousness. Ironically, the war never had to happen, at least not on the scope that it came to be. Any one of the major powers could have backed out before it ever started. Some hesitated, but in the end, the web of alliances which had been forged over the years leading up to the struggle was simply too much for anyone to overcome. They simply took a life of their own, and dragged nations down with them.
For almost a century after the fall of Napoleon in 1815, Europe had been largely peaceful. There were a few local exceptions, such as the Franco - Prussian war, the revolutions of 1848, and the systematic dismantling of the outer reaches of the Ottoman Empire, but, on the whole, it was a century of relative serenity. Behind this complacency, however, the winds of change were blowing. They came from a new source, one where they hadn't been seen in a long time. Central Europe was growing up. During the 1860s and 1870s, the emergence of two new powers was to shake the very foundations of Europe forever.
In 1871, after over one thousand years of political bickering and jostling, the Germanic states finally unified behind one flag. Led by the will of Prussia's "Iron Chancellor", Otto Von Bismarck, the German Reich accomplished in a less than a decade what had taken the rest of the major European powers hundreds of years: world notice. It was the fastest rise of a true world power in modern history. In southern Europe, Italy unified during the same period. While not the economic or militaristic power of the new Germany, the Italians still held an important position in the balance of power. That balance was precarious and constantly shifting. The alliance system grew out of the need for nations to preserve the balance. It can be looked at in two distinct periods: during and after Bismarck.
According to Dr. Henry Kissinger, the unification of Germany created a dilemma.
… the powers at the edge of Europe - Great Britain,
France, and Russia - had been exerting pressure on the center.
Now for the first time, the center of Europe was becoming sufficiently
powerful to press on the periphery.
Bismarck realized this shift, and its consequences. Almost immediately, he set about creating a system of alliances. They were designed primarily to prevent war and maintain the status quo. In the process, they would also isolate France, which since the humiliation of the Franco - Prussian war, had been bent on revenge. In order to ensure that any balance would be in Germany's favor, Bismarck had to ally with at least two of the four other great powers of Europe. Obviously, France was out of the question. Great Britain and Russia held promise, perhaps to be courted at a later time. Austria - Hungary was the most logical choice. Although German unification had partially come at her expense, the empire had a large contingent of Germanic people. She had long been a European power. The problem was that the Austrians and Russians didn't get along too well. Bismarck, though, believed in himself. Improbable as it seemed to many at the time, he was able to bring the two camps into an alliance in 1873 called the Three Emperors League. It emphasized their commonality and conservative views. The challenge of how to deal with two partners who were at each other's throats was too much, however, and the league was not renewed. Bismarck then focused on Austria alone.
In 1879, Germany and Austria signed a treaty which produced the "Dual Alliance". Its principal provision obligated either country to come to the aid of the other if attacked by Russia. Bismarck saw it as a purely defensive move, but the Austrians regarded it as giving them a free hand Europe's political hot spot: the Balkans. This area would come to dominate European interests for the next forty years.
Originally part of the Ottoman Empire, the Balkan states had either declared independence, come under the manipulation of, or been directly annexed by other empires during the nineteenth century. All of the major European powers had, or came to have, strong interests in the area. If Turkey, "the sick man of Europe" had been strong enough to repel these advances, perhaps the alliance system would have been useless, and the Great War may never have started. The Ottomans, however, were in the last days of greatness. Internal strife, coupled with outside forces, was in the process of bringing the once lofty empire to its knees. Two powers had particular interests in the region. Austria -- Hungary, with its cultural ties to the near east, stood opposed to Russia, who saw herself as the protector of the Slavic people who inhabited the area. During the Russian campaign of 1877 in the Balkans, Dostoyevsky wrote,
Ask the people; ask the soldier; why are they arising?
Why are they going to war and what do they expect from it? They
will tell you, as one man, that they are going to serve Christ
and to liberate the oppressed brethren … We shall watch over
their mutual harmony and protect their liberty and independence,
be it even against all Europe.
According to M. N. Katlov, the Russian Tsar was, "… more than the heir of his ancestors; he is the successor of the Ceasars of Eastern Rome … with the fall of Byzantium, Moscow arose and the greatness of Russia began." Russia also saw the opportunity to achieve its objective of having control of a warm water port as a reason to stand her ground.
After the existence of the Dual Alliance became known,
Russia turned to Germany for some assurances. Bismarck knew too
well that he was caught in a squeeze. Germany was situated between
Russia and France. As R. W. Seton - Watson puts it,Bismarck needed at all cost to prevent a Franco - Russian
alliance such as might force Germany to fight on two fronts, at
all costs to avert any situation in which it might be necessary
for Germany to choose between Russia and Austria - Hungary, since
a contest between these two powers might result in a war …
as would be excessively dangerous to Germany.
Bismarck proposed a revival of the Three Emperors League. His thinking was that he could diffuse the potential problems in the
Balkans through alliance rather than through confrontation. The
tsar was receptive due to what he perceived as the prospect of
isolation for Russia if he didn't accept. In 1881, Germany, Austria
and Russia pledged to remain neutral in the event that one of
them were engaged in a war with a fourth nation. Bismarck's brilliance
had, once again protected Germany from the possibility of a Franco
- Russian alliance against her, which would have precipitated
a two - front war. In the process, he had diffused the crisis
in Europe's "powderkeg".
In 1882, Bismarck reached out towards another thorn in Austria's
side. Italy joined the Dual Alliance to create the Triple Alliance.
Austria - Hungary was now assured that if the Three Emperors League
fell again and relations with Russia once again became strained,
the Italians would not box them in from the south. Italy was given
the opportunity to participate in great power diplomacy for the
first time, giving its government legitimacy both at home and
abroad.
In the end, however, the great balancing act was too much to handle,
even for Bismarck. Tensions in the Balkans between Austria and
Russia threatened to flare up at any time. Alexander III, who
assumed the throne in Russia in 1881, distrusted Bismarck. He
felt that Germany's ties were too strong to Austria. In any conflict
between her and Russia, Alexander was convinced that Germany would
stand by the Austrians. A crisis in Bulgaria brought the tensions
to the breaking point. A new kingdom was created under a German
prince, who Bismarck immediately supported. It looked like Germany
was moving in on what had been, at least in her eyes, Russian
dominated territory. Two years later, Russia decided not to renew
the Three Emperors League. She did, however, sign a "Reinsurance
Treaty" with Germany. It kept Germany and Russia neutral
in each other's affairs, unless Germany attacked France or Russia
attacked Austria - Hungary. Although shallow on the surface, the
treaty kept the lines of communication open between Berlin and
St. Petersburg. Bismarck was convinced that he had once again
saved the day. It was to be one of his last major achievements.
William II came to the throne of Germany in 1890. He was determined
that he, not Bismarck, would call the shots. On March 18, he dismissed
the "Iron Chancellor". Five days later the government
decided not to renew the Reinsurance treaty. It was a decision
which sealed Germany's fate. Bismarck's fears of a Franco - Prussian
alliance were about to become reality.
France had long stood by and watched in horror as her former ally
was wooed by Bismarck into alliances and treaties. Once Germany
committed to Austria, however, she saw her opportunity. Russia
realized that Germany would now stand in her way of domination
in the Balkans, and she needed France to help her combat any German
threat. France realized, rather painfully, that she was no match
for Germany alone. In 1894, a military convention was signed.
It pledged Russia and France to mutual support if one or the other
was attacked by Germany (or Austria with Germany's help). The
Franco - Russian alliance and the Triple Alliance had taken care
of four of the five great European powers, plus Italy. Only Great
Britain stood alone. Under Bismarck's theories, she would carry
the difference. The English, of course, knew this as well. After
nearly a century of isolation, however, England was not ready
quite yet to choose a side.
British concerns stretched around the globe, from the European
continent to the Middle East to India and China. She had the largest
empire, and the largest navy to back it up. As the dominant independent
power, she crossed paths with everyone. In the Middle East, she
went up against Russia and Turkey. In Africa, She battled France,
sometimes to the very brink of war, as in the case of Egypt. Germany
had her eye on the Far East and central Africa. As long as the
alliance system was at a standstill, and she remained out of it,
England was assured that her navy could keep the other powers
in check.
Germany offered the most hope for friendship, but the most danger
as well. The rapid growth of the German economy and its expansion
into overseas markets adversely affected British economic interests.
This directly led to a German naval buildup, as it was needed
to protect her interests in shipping. The Germans developed a
policy which built her navy up to be the second largest, behind
Britain. Some Brits even called for an Anglo - German alliance,
especially with regards to England's long standing advisory: Russia.
Instead of Germany, however, the British found another partner
with which to break the isolation, one which had no cause to ruffle
the feathers of the other Great Powers of Europe. The sun was
rising in the east. In 1902, Britain forged an alliance with Japan.
Europe was stunned. In retrospect, however, it made perfect sense.
The treaty called for mutual intervention only in the case of
an attack on either one of the two nations by two advisaries.
Britain thus assured itself of a way to contain Russia without
having to attack it herself. Japan stepped onto the world stage
in a big way. Three years later she proved that the Russians were
no match for her new westernized fighting force. The Anglo - Japanese
Alliance also insured that Japan could fight Russia without interference
from France, which feared a potential war with England if she
acted. The British knew, however, that their differences with
France would have to be settled. To do that, she would have to
deal with Russia as well.
In 1903, France and England began a series of systematic discussions
of their colonial issues. Disputes over Africa and the Far East
had been a source of tension for many years, sometimes bringing
the two to the brink of war. Both were determined to put them
to rest. The focal point of the conferences was the threat of
Germany. Lansdowne, the British Foreign Secretary wrote,
… the most serious menace to the peace of Europe lay in Germany,
that a good understanding between France and England was the only
means of holding German designs in check, and that if such an
understanding could be arrived at, England would find that France
would be able to exercise a salutary influence over Russia, thereby
relieving many of our troubles with that country.
The discussions culminated in the Entente Cordiale of 1904. It
was an informal agreement at first, but it opened the door for
an alliance with France. Now Britain turned to Russia.
The Russo - Japanese war in 1905 put an end to Russian ambitions
in the Far East. Japan's easy victory over the Russian army also
showed the Russians that she could not compete against a high
- powered military without help. The English and Russians slowly
worked on putting their colonial differences behind them. By 1907,
relations were finally serene. It took give and take on each side.
The Triple Entente came into being. With each new German challenge,
its bonds grew tighter. The two camps had solidified. Everyone
waited for an incident to touch off a crisis. Naturally, it came
from the Balkans.
In 1908, during the "Young Turk" revolution in the Ottoman
Empire, Austria - Hungary saw an opportunity to force the annexation
of Bosnia and Herzegovina into the empire. This move brought about
a series of vigorous protests from Russia and Serbia. Russia demanded
an international conference to settle the issue, while Serbia
appeared ready to go to war. Both sides eventually backed down,
but the legacy of mistrust lingered. Four years later, the first
of two Balkan wars was started. In their aftermath, Turkey had
to be saved from destruction by the European powers, who couldn't
decide how to split her up amongst themselves. The new Balkan
states were caught in the middle of it all. Although supported
by different sides in the contests, they were really out for only
themselves. Serbia especially, wanted to play with the big boys.
She knew that any move she made would be backed up by Russia and
opposed by Austria. It was a precarious position to be in. The
fuse on the powderkeg had been lit.
On June 28, 1914, it exploded. A young Bosnian revolutionary shot
and killed Archduke Francis Ferdinand, heir to the throne of Austria
- Hungary, and his wife as they visited Sarajevo, capital of the
Austrian province. Austria suspected Serbia of being behind the
assassination, and decided that they had had enough. Needing to
know Germany's support could be counted on, the Austrian ambassador
to Berlin visited the Kaiser on July 5. The next day, William
issued the following statement.
Austria must judge what is to be done to clear up
her relations with Serbia; but whatever Austria's decision, she
could count with certainty upon it, that Germany would stand behind
her as an ally.
This fateful statement, known as the "blank
check", was just what Austria wanted to hear. On July 23,
an ultimatum was delivered to Serbia demanding they allow Austrian
intervention, on the pretext that the Austrians needed to investigate
the assassination from inside Serbian borders. They replied in
a conciliatory tone, but refused to give up their independence.
The British, sensing that this was the final showdown, proposed
an international conference to settle the dispute. Austria would
have none of it, and on July 28, declared war on Serbia. By the
end of the week, all the Great Powers were involved (with the
exception of Italy, which decided that it really wanted out of
the Triple Alliance when it came down to it). Joining them were
Serbia, Luxembourg, Montenegro, and Belgium. Before the end of
August, Japan had declared war on Germany and Austria. In November,
Turkey joined the Central Powers (Germany and Austria). The alliance
system, which had kept Europe out of war for so long, had forced
it into one. Millions of graves would be dug before it was over.
Trench warfare and technological improvements such as mustard
gas, the machine gun, airplanes and tanks would give new meaning
to the horrors of war. In the end, the alliance system was simple
too much for anyone to handle. It took on a life of its own, and
nearly crushed Europe's.
Bethmann - Hollweg, German Chancellor under William
II. Statement issued July 16, 1914. Reprinted in Diplomacy
by Henry Kissinger. New York: Simon and Schuster, 1994, p. 209.
Blum, Jerome. The European World - A History.
Unknown publisher, 1967.
Catlin, M.N. Editorial of September 7, 1882. Reprinted
in Diplomacy by Henry Kissinger. New York: Simon and Schuster,
1994, p. 143.
Dostoyevsky, F.M. Editorial. Reprinted in A Source
Book for Russian History: From Early Times to 1917. Edited
by George Vernadsky. New Haven, Connecticut: Yale University Press,
1972, p. 681.
Kissinger, Henry. Diplomacy. New York: Simon
and Schuster, 1994.
Lansdowne, Marquess of. Letter to Sir E. Mason of
July 2, 1903. Reprinted in Diplomacy by Henry Kissinger.
New York: Simon and Schuster, 1994, p. 189.
Setson - Weston, R.W. "A Trois in a World Governed
by Five". Reprinted in Otto Von Bismark - A Historical
Perspective. Edited by Theodore S. Hammerow. Lexington, Massachusetts:
D.C. Heath and Company, 1972, pgs. 92 - 96.