Under Construction
In a 2000 American Perspective Article, Where Have You Gone, Franklin Roosevelt?, Michael Nelson says:
In 1948 Professor Arthur M. Schlesinger, Sr. called on 55 of his fellow historians to grade each president (excluding the incumbent, Harry S. Truman) as either "great," "near great," "average," "below average," or a "failure." When Schlesinger averaged each president's grades, Abraham Lincoln, George Washington, Franklin D. Roosevelt, Thomas Jefferson, Woodrow Wilson, and Andrew Jackson scored as great presidents, Ulysses S. Grant and Warren G. Harding were rated as failures, and the rest fell in between.
In his second survey in 1962, Truman ended up in ninth place as a near-great president in the company of John Adams and Theodore Roosevelt. Dwight D. Eisenhower ranked 22nd. Republicans howled that Schlesinger had packed the jury with Democrats.
His son, commissioned a study in 1996. Eisenhower's stock has risen since the 1960s (he now regularly shows up among the top 10) but less because of any new appreciation of what long was thought to be his passive style of leadership than because of recent archival research that shows him to have been a deceptively strong "hidden-hand" leader.
Rankings are based on averages of 6 quantitative rankings by groups of scholars from 1996 to 2005 as listed at Historical rankings at WikipediA, with the scores summarized in a 10 pt. rating (10 - Great, 1-Failure). *
No. | Name | Pty | State | Dates | Rat- ing | Previous |
1 | Washington, George | F | VA | 1789-97 | 10 | General |
2 | Adams, John | F | MA | 1797-1801 | 7 | VP - Founding Father from MA |
3 | Jefferson, Thomas | D-R | VA | 1801-09 | 9 | Founding Father from VA |
4 | Madison, James | D-R | VA | 1809-17 | 7 | Founding Father - Representative from VA - "Father of the Constitution" |
5 | Monroe, James | D-R | VA | 1817-25 | 7 | VA Senator |
6 | Adams, John Quincy | R/W | MA | 1825-29 | 6 | MA Monroe's Secy of State |
7 | Jackson, Andrew | D | TN | 1829-37 | 8 | TN War of 1812 General |
8 | Van Buren, Martin | D | NY | 1837-41 | 4 | In Jackson's cabinet |
9 | Harrison, William Henry | W | IN | 1841- | 2 | Governor of IN |
10 | Tyler, John | W | VA | 1841-45 | 2 | VP |
11 | Polk, James | D | TN | 1845-49 | 8 | Congressman from TN |
12 | Taylor, Zachary | W | MS | 1849-50 | 3 | Mexican War General |
13 | Fillmore, Millard | W | NY | 1850-53 | 2 | VP - Succeeded |
14 | Pierce, Franklin | D | NH | 1853-57 | 1 | NH Senator |
15 | Buchanan, James | D | PA | 1857-61 | 1 | PA Senator and Polk's Secretary of State |
16 | Lincoln, Abraham | R | IL | 1861-65 | 10 | IL Congressman |
17 | Johnson, Andrew | D | IN | 1865-69 | 1 | TN Senator, VP succeeded |
18 | Grant, Ulysses S. | R | OH | 1869-77 | 2 | Civil War Union General |
19 | Hayes, Rutherford B. | R | OH | 1877-81 | 4 | |
20 | Garfield, James | R | OH | 1881-81 | 3 | Ohio Senator |
21 | Arthur, Chester | R | NY | 1881-85 | 4 | VP - Succeeded |
22, 24 | Cleveland, Grover | D | NY | 1885-89, 1893-97 | 6 | NY Governor |
23 | Harrison, Benjamin | R | IN | 1889-93 | 3 | Senator from Indiana |
25 | McKinley, William | R | OH | 1897-1901 | 6 | Congressman, OH Governor |
26 | Roosevelt, Theodore | R | NY | 1901-09 | 9 | NY Governor - VP Succeeded |
27 | Taft, William H. | R | OH | 1909-13 | 5 | Roosevelt's Secretary of War |
28 | Wilson, Woodrow | D | NJ | 1913-21 | 8 | NJ Governor |
29 | Harding, Warren | R | OH | 1921-23 | 1 | Governor of Ohio |
30 | Coolidge, Calvin | R | MA | 1923-29 | 4 | MA Governor |
31 | Hoover, Herbert | R | IA | 1929-33 | 3 | Coolidge's Secretary of Commerce |
32 | Roosevelt, Franklin D. | D | NY | 1933-45 | 10 | Governor of NY |
33 | Truman, Harry S | D | MO | 1945-53 | 8 | Senator from MO, VP Succeeded |
34 | Eisenhower, Dwight | R | TX/ NY | 1953-61 | 8 | General - President of Columbia U. |
35 | Kennedy, John F. | D | MA | 1961-63 | 7 | MA Senator |
36 | Johnson, Lyndon | D | TX | 1963-69 | 7 | TX Senator, VP Succeeded |
37 | Nixon, Richard | R | CA | 1969-74 | 4 | CA Senator, VP |
38 | Ford, Gerald | R | MI | 1974-77 | 4 | MI Congressman, VP Succeeded |
39 | Carter, Jimmy | D | GA | 1977-81 | 4 | GA Governor |
40 | Reagan, Ronald | R | CA | 1981-89 | 7 | CA Governor |
41 | Bush, George H.W. | R | TX | 1989-93 | 5 | VP |
42 | Clinton, William J. | D | AR | 1993-2001 | 5 | AR Governor |
43 | Bush, George W. | R | TX | 2001-08 | 2 | TX Governor |
43 | Obama, Barack | D | IL | 2009- | | IL Senator |
Average: Republicans - 4.7, Democrats - 5.3
* To compute the 10 pt. rating I basically did a linear distribution of averages of the 6 most recent rankings, placing breaking points (e.g. between 9 and 10) where there were gaps in the averages. It might have been better to use a bell curve, since you would expect more average (5 & 6) presidents than extremely good or bad ones (10's or 1's). Actually the natural breaks came up with only three 10's and three 9's, where a true linear distribution would have had 4 of each.
George W. Bush's would have been a 5, based on a 2002 poll from Siena Research Institute (SRI) and a Federalist Society poll in 2005 published in the Wall Street Journal, since then his public approval rating (see below) has dropped because of the Iraq war and economic crisis.
By the end of 2008 his approval rating was down to 20-27%
See American Research Group and Gallup polls.
According to CNN he is "the most unpopular president in modern American history."
The TimesOnline ranked him 37 out of 42 in October 2008.
Pty - Party: F- Federalist, D-R - Democratic-Republican, R-W National Republican/Whig, W - Whig
R - Republican, D - Democrat
The top ten based on individual ranks from 1-43 are:
Rank | President | Range |
1 | Abraham Lincoln | 1- 3 |
2 | Franklin D. Roosevelt | 1- 3 |
3 | George Washington | 1- 4 |
4 | Theodore Roosevelt | 3- 5 |
5 | Thomas Jefferson | 2- 7 |
6 | Harry S. Truman | 5- 8 |
7 | Woodrow Wilson | 6-11 |
8 | Andrew Jackson | 6-13 |
9 | Dwight D. Eisenhower | 8-12 |
10 | James K. Polk | 9-14 |
| John Adams | 9-16 |
| John Kennedy | 8-18 |
The Times Online includes Ronald Regan (8) instead of Andrew Jackson.
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Princeton University political scientist, Fred I. Greenstein, focuses his 2000' book The Presidential Difference on "emotional intelligence"--a president's ability to "manage his emotions and turn them to constructive purposes." Greenstein also looks at five other, less important, leadership traits.
He judges three of FDR's five Democratic successors to be deficient in emotional intelligence (Lyndon B. Johnson, Jimmy Carter, and Clinton), but faults only one of the five modern Republicans (Richard Nixon).
Tops with a positive score in all five leadership traits was Nixon. Eisenhower, Ford, Regan and Kennedy also had an overall positive score in that order. Truman, Johnson, George H.W. Bush, Clinton and Carter had a negative average.
Nelson says "Although Greenstein claims to have "avoided presidential rankings,". Surely the historians were right to place Kennedy, Johnson, and Truman above Nixon and Ford, in contrast to Greenstein's arrangement. But they were wrong to rank Reagan with the average presidents (as they did in Schlesinger, Jr.'s 1996 survey), just as Greenstein is right to rate him more highly."
The greatness of the presidents in Landy and Milkis's ("Presidential Greatness") hall of fame--Washington, Jefferson, Jackson, Lincoln, and FDR--has less to do with power than with purpose. Great presidents are "conservative revolutionaries" who in uncertain times "teach the nation about the need for great change but also about how to reconcile change with American constitutional traditions and purposes.
Midterm Approval Ratings

See: George W. Bush Approval Ratings at Gallup
and a summary of other rankings at the Roper Center
Links:
Where Have You Gone, Franklin Roosevelt? by Michael Nelson for the American Perspective Nov., 2000
Historical rankings of United States Presidents at WikipediA
Historical rankings of United States Presidents at Answers.com
Gallup Public Poll
What Makes a President Great?, 2005 poll for the Federalist Society by James Lindgren, published in the Wall Street Journal
Books:
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last updated 9 Nov 2008
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