Khairul Akmaliah Adham
Kamisah Osman
Fakulti Pengurusan Perniagaan
Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia,
43600 Bangi,
Selangor

Date: 25 October 2001
Time: 4.00-4.30
 

Trend extrapolation, precursor trends, scenarios, the Delphi method, and relevance trees are techniques that could be adopted for forecasting new technologies. This paper intends to describe the use of the Delphi method in forecasting new technologies. First, the use of the Delphi method in various fields is examined. This is followed by a discussion focusing on research using the Delphi method in forecasting new technologies. In addition, other methodologies used for forecasting new technologies are also explored. Third, the paper will outline the procedures used in implementing the Delphi method in conducting a study on the future of instructional technologies in the Malaysian tertiary education system.