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Today&Future Forecast Summary

Currently @9:16 PM, 33F, dp 19F, 56%, 1017.8 mb, w 5, clng unlimited ft, vis 10mi, clear, none

Damn, I should eat my words from last night. The storm that looked to be trending "farther" south, is now looking stronger and more north. I'm still skeptical to these model changes however. Several times this season 48 hours prior to a storm meteos have started forecasting a chance/likely for snow. When actually, hardly anything occurs. The nature of this storm will be fast moving. Therefore, only a few hours of heavy precip would occur somewhere. If this storm were too slow down, which no signs are currently pointing towards, then some places could get walloped. That's the pessimistic view. Optimistically, if we look at the storm that happened 2 Sunday/Monday's ago, that storm ALSO was forecasted to move rather quickly and produce no more than a maximum of 8" of snow. Guess what, that one dumped nearly 20" in NEPA and SENY. So, don't rely on any current forecasts. In Mount Holly's recent discussion, they left the door of uncertainty cracked pretty wide open. They mainly were just hinting at the developing "possible" threat for snow across PA/NJ/DE/MD. If the ETA were PERFECT right now with the final solution S PA and C NJ would get 3-6" of snow. S NJ would get up too 10". That would be VERY sweet. But, you can't let your hopes get in the way of reality. The models and observations are the reality. We all can dream up any possible scenario derived from our hopes when looking at the MANY varying outputs from the models.

I'm going to stay on top of this baby. Let me think of a name for it. "SLIM SUPERSTORM 2002" haha yeh right. No superstorm here, however the heaviest snow totals will cover a "slim" area as areas to the south of the Mason Dixon line look more likely to mix with sleet/rain blah. Check back tommorrow for another update, which could get pretty damn long...8^)...Ev