By Sean Holton and Jeff Kunerth
of the Sentinel Staff
Published in The Orlando Sentinel on November 19, 2000
Machines are neither Republican nor Democrat.
But on Election Day in Florida, the best vote-counting
machines may have turned out to be a secret weapon for
Republicans. And those machines may make the crucial
difference that puts George W. Bush in the White
House.
Counties with the pen-marked, precinct-tabulated voting
system that consistently produced the most complete
results also usually favored Bush, an Orlando Sentinel
analysis of results from 67 counties shows. That meant
Bush was able to squeeze just about every available
vote out of more-friendly territory.
Al Gore, meanwhile, started out behind because his
strongholds also happened to be in a few big counties
still equipped with outdated, punch-card systems with an
overall rate of unrecorded votes nearly five times higher
overall, the newspaper found.
One way of looking at the numbers suggests this: If all
67 counties had been using the same type of system with
an identical overall reliability rate, Gore might have gone
ahead of Bush in the totals for Nov. 7, by a margin of
more than 1,700 votes. This scenario emerges whether
voters used the most reliable system or the least reliable
-- as long as it was used uniformly statewide.
The analysis also indicates that two strongly pro-Bush
counties that only recently upgraded from punch-cards
to the more reliable system may have helped tip the
balance in Florida to the Texas governor.
"I don`t think it`s inherently unfair for a candidate. Who
it`s unfair for are the voters," Poe said. "After all I`ve
been through this week, there is one prediction I`m
willing to make. And that is that Florida will have the
most sophisticated ballot system on the planet by the
year 2002."
About 180,000 of the 6.1 million ballots cast statewide
Nov. 7 had no presidential vote recorded. That amounts
to about 2.9 percent, slightly higher than the so-called
"drop-off`" rate in Florida`s previous two presidential
elections.
How many of those voters had their ballots ultimately
recorded may have hinged simply on which of these
three types of systems was used:
» Pen-marked, precinct-tabulated ballots: Producing by
far the most complete results, this vote-counting system
recorded votes for more than 99 percent of ballots cast.
Because problematic ballots are kicked back from
machines to voters immediately, they can be corrected
or re-done on the spot. Most of the 17,537 ballots with
no votes in these counties were uncorrectable absentee
ballots or those deliberately left blank, officials said. The
25 counties with this system favored Bush by 52.9
percent to 44.6 percent for Gore.
» Punch cards: Counties using these systems recorded
no votes for 3.9 percent of ballots cast, accounting for
144,985 of the unrecorded presidential votes. Problem
ballots are not discovered until they`re run through
tabulation machines at a central location. The 25
counties with this system included Gore`s biggest
strongholds, and favored him overall by 51.8 percent to
46 percent for Bush.
» Pen-marked, centrally tabulated ballots: Counties with
this system recorded no votes for 5.7 percent of ballots.
But because these 15 counties tended to be smaller, that
percentage accounted for just 15,958 unrecorded votes,
favoring Bush by 54.6 percent to Gore`s 43 percent.