THE ANTECEDENTS OF THE PRESENT PROCESS IN ARGENTINA 1989-2000

 

THE INTERNATIONAL CONTEXT 1955 - 1973

After the second world war, EE UU. left fortified and was transformed into the first power in the field of the capitalism one. On the other hand, they were found clearly weakened, Great Britain, that had been hegemónica since mediados of the century XVII, France and above all, the ones that had constituted the block nazi fascista: Germany, Japan and Italy.

As of 1932, in United States, being president Franklin Roosevelt began to be implemented the Welfare State, a new political, social, and economic model of the capitalism one. This new plan, that suplantaba to the liberal, responded to the economic ideas of Keynes. The model one benefactor, after finished the SecondWar   will be expanded for the capitalist world and will dominate, in the three following decades.

The U.R.S.S., under the direction of José Stalin, that had left triunfadora of the war, although devastated material and humanly, recuperated quick. Besides, a socialist field was formed, being added to the Soviet Union a block of States of Europe Oriental, some freed by the contribution of the Red Army and other, that they had defeated to the fascismo with their own strengths, as Yugoslavia and Albania. Further on, they will join with this block Korea, Vietnam and Chinese. After the XX Congress of the P.C.U.S., in 1956, began in the U.R.S.S., directed by the revisionismo ,  a process of desmantelamiento of the socialism that was going to affect to the international communist movement.

The war had produced the debilitamiento of the control that exercised the nations capitalistas dominant upon the dependent towns. This circumstance permitted that was untied an oleada of revolutions and of national movements of liberation developed after 1945. These processes were conducted in some cases by the working class and in other by the national bourgeoisie. Thus, in 1949, it is born the Popular Republic China, a short time before there was herself independizado the India, while in 1954 succeeds the national revolution - democratic in Vietnam.

In many countriesof   America Latina, the world crisis of the capitalism one initiatedin   1929 first and then the Second War, they created conditions so that a process of industrialization was initiatedby   sustitución of importings. The national bourgeoisies of industrial character were expanded thus and also grew, notably, the working class. The State was fortified for acting like an agent impulsor of the national capitalist model of development. In Argentina, for example, themselves estatizaron several businesses of the area of public utilities (telephones, railroads), while they were created other (Aerolíneas Argentinas, Gas of the State, Y.C.F., Water and Electric Energy) and also they were prompted some preexistentes as AND. P. F. Perón in Argentina ,  Vargas in Brazil, Ibáñez in Chile, Cárdenas in Mexico, Arbenz in Guatemala, the revolution of 1952 in Bolivia with the conduction of Peace Stenssoro and Siles Suazo, are clear examples of these processes. Few years later, in January of 1959, succeeded in Cuba a democratic revolution and antiimperialista, conducted by Fidel Castro. The theory of the revolutionary focus, based on the Cuban experience, will provoke deep deviations in the revolutionary movement, in individual that of America Latina.

Before the advance of the popular masses, privately in Europe, Asia and America Latina, the States imperialistas were dedicated, in a first moment, to achieve the political and economic recuperation of the powers weakened.

EE UU., once recovered the States of the block imperialista, lideró the process of reconquistar the markets lost in thecountries   dependent, with the objective to liquidate the autonomous capitalist intents of development. In that context should be fit in the blows against Arbenz in 1954 and that of Argentina in September of 1955.

In the same year ,   wascelebrated in Indonesia the Conference of Bandung. They participated twenty-nueve African and Asian states,  many  Ofthem   recently they had achieved their independence. By Africa they concurred Egypt, Sudan, Ethiopia, Coast of Gold (Ghana), Liberia and Libya. Among the leading politicians were emphasized Nehru of the India and Chou In Lai, responsible for the foreign affairs of the Popular Republic China. In the majority of the speeches was claimed to prompt a capitalism independent one. For it it wasproposed   to develop the industry, the transportations especially themaritime   and the banca national .  These States, the majority ofthem   economically dependent of the large powers capitalistas ,   theypresented, in the relative thing to the political outside, to be maintained neutrales in the conflictamong   the U.S.S.R. and EE UU. The national bourgeoisies were esperanzadas in which this enfrentamiento would maintain occupied to the dominant powers and time would give them to reach a high capitalist level of development. In this meeting was born the Movement of Countries done Not Align .  

Under the direction revisionista, the U.S.S.R. was transformed of socialist country in a superpower imperialista that disputed with United States the control of the world. Its domination extended by Europe Oriental, Asia, Africa and America Latina. Cuba, little after the triumph of the revolution, was incorporated to the dependent assembly of states of the socialimperialismo Soviet.

To end of the fifties and principles of the sixty, the international communist movement itself escindió, before the accusation against the revisionismo that headed the Party of Job of Albania and the Communist Party Chinese, directed by Hoxha and Mao respectively.

Few years later, thetown   of  Vietnam ,   continued   its long fight by the south social and national liberation of the territory. To mediados of the sixties, the National Front of Liberation confronted an enormous American army to the one that achieved to defeat. The democratic revolution and antiimperialista succeeded in 1975.

The towns of Africa, after the Second World War, they initiated a deep fight against the colonialismo, that will culminate, in 1975, with the independence of the continent.

The boom ofthe   of movements of liberation of the towns of the dependent countries, that had begun intensely after 1945, had declined thirty years later.

THE NATIONAL PROCESS 1955 - 1976

THE GENERAL CHARACTERISTICS IN THE LAST HALF OF THE CENTURY XX

Since the fall of the peronismo some tendencies in the evolution of the national political, social, and economic process can be indicated.

They continued being expanded the relations of production capitalistas, what implied a growth in the number of laborers and asalariados in general.

Parallel, also enlarged the exploitation of the working class, that suffered a constant deteriorationof   the salaries and of the conditions of job.

At the same time, the small bourgeoisiesuffered   a significant one pauperización that obliged, to many of his integrantes, to increase the rows of the asalariados.

The economy himself desnacionalizó, passing by hand of the monopolios foreign, many associated times with the great bourgeoisie Argentina. This transferencia occurred ,  in a first moment, slowly, to then accelerate, above all since principles of the ninety, to practically concluding to end of the century XX. This centralización monopólica implied the disappearance of the State businessman and the almost liquidation of the national bourgeoisie. This social class, that had had an enormous importance to mediados of the century, each time was differentiated more. While a sector evolucionó until reaching to be defined as great bourgeoisie and was intertwined with the capital foreigner ,  having a significant weight in several branches of the production ,  its portion mayoritaria declined of a way each more apparent time.

The American imperialism went clearly dominant during the second half of the century. However, in the last decade, above all during the process privatizador, the monopolios European, they disputed it the hegemony.

The external debt, in individual the public, grew sostenidamente until reaching, to end of the century, extraordinary values.

The political conduction of the process, in general, was in the hands of the alliance of the imperialism, mainly American, with the great bourgeoisie Argentina.

 These tendencies advanced for phases and themselves did not they develop in a lineal way. In some cases, the advance was deep and  Veloz, very few times suffered a relative backward movement.

  

1955 - 1976

The blow of September of 1955 indicated the beginning of the desmantelamiento of the model of capitalism national that had articulated Perón.

The Fund Monetario International began to acquire, in our country,  Greater   ingerencia in the economic elaboration of politics. This agency ,  has required, since 1957, a program that, in many of its guidelines, still today continues in force; among others: to reduce the fiscal deficit, todiminish   the tariff protection, toreduce   the real salaries and to promote the endeudamiento external.

The open phase as of 1958, with the desarrollismo, showed the local expression of a new phase in the evolution of the imperialism. The capital that they were invested  in the dependent countries, without stop producing matters cousins for the large powers, as themselves came carrying out since their start, they sought also the aprovechamiento of the internal market. The capital financial one American, now clearly hegemónico, had displaced to the English,that   I dominate since the century XIX to the decade of the forty. This sustitución of a principal power by another he will import for Argentina a serious difficulty to be inserted in the world market. Great Britain, while he was dominant, he absorbed great part of our farm production. On the other hand, EE UU. did not acquire ours main merchandise of exportation and, including, a serious competitor in the world market will result.

The government of the Radical Civic Union, among 1963 and June of 1966, he implied a tepid intent of the national bourgeoisie to resist the advance of the capital one monopólico. Example of this went the annulment of the petroleum concessions.

In 1966, the dictatorship of Onganía retomó the course and marked a leap of quality in the course of the process. Themselves agudizaron the concentration and the centralización of the capital one and they acquired more importance the investments foráneas. In 1969, the 100 main businesses industrial foreigners produced almost the 20% of the total of Argentina, while in 1957 their participation had been of the 11,8%. Considering to the assembly of the foreign businesses, their proportion had raised itself of the following way: 18,2% in 1955, 24,7% in 1962, 26,8% in 1966 and 31% in 1972. By then, the hegemony of the capital one turned out to be clear American. In 1969, more than the half of the industrial production carried out by foreign businesses they corresponded to filiales American, the 15,7% to British and the 10,8 to Frenchwomen.

Also itacquired   greater importance the influence of the Fund Monetario International in thedesign   of the economic politics.   

The national bourgeoisie was differentiated each time more. A sector of her evoluciono having a significant weight in several branches of the production as diet and  wines.

The capitalist relations of production were followed expanding in Argentina. The growth of the mass of asalariados is a good one indicador of this phenomenon. If in 1947 the workers in relation of dependence represented the 68,1% of the total of the population occupied, in 1970 had raised to the 70,8%.

The working class, in its fights against the dictatorship, begins a significant political and organizing growth. Rebellions as the Cordobazo and the Viborazo will do to tremble to the state. This it will be seen obliged, little later, for sortear the crisis, to seek an electoral exit.

The great bourgeoisie Argentina, directed at first by Perón,  Charge of the conduction of the political process among 1973-1976 is done, resisting very weakly the pressures of the monopolios and achieving to deviate the revolutionary course that the masses had initiated in the previous dictatorship.

In turn, the working class, that had conducted the fights against the dictatorship in narrow alliance with other popular sectors, privately estudiantiles, achieved certain concessions. For example, the real salary was elevated in the bienio 1974/1975, in a 25% regarding 1970 .  however, to mediados of 1975, the government of Isabel Martínez was entrusted, blow inflacionario by means of, of recomenzar the increase of the rate of exploitation.

The participation of the state businesses in certain areas of the P. B. I. still was prominent. In 1975 they produced the 53% of the electricity, gas and water, the 48% of mines and quarries, the 40% of transportations and communications and the 35,8% of finanzas, sure and goods real estate.

THE INTERNATIONAL CONTEXT 1973 - 1983

The crisis of the petroleum of 1973 can be considered like the moment in which began the long economic phase of depression that affects to the capitalist world system to our days. Thecrisis   of sobreproducción of thecapitalism one   generated a gigantic mass of merchandise and of capital parasitario that, in great measurement, was placed in the dependent countries, provoking in them the destruction of the industries linked to the internal market and a vertical growth of the external debt

The economic school keynesiana, that had dominated since the decade of the thirty, began to to be replaced by the doctrine neoclásica, dominant in the whiteness of the imperialism.

The   governments of Great Britain, directedby   Margaret Thatcher,  And of EE UU. , headline by Ronald Reagan,  they were leaders in the application of  this orientation, being initiated, in this way, the international process of liquidation of the called State  Of Welfare. The conquests of the working class began to to be trimmed, permitting that the monopolios wereappropriated   of a greater rate of plusvalía that compensated the tendency declinante of the rate of profit. At the same time, the state businesses were delivered gradually  To the capital financier. It was born  Thus a new model of capitalism that, then, was called neoliberalor   neoconservador.

The neoliberalismo extended for the world quickly, displacing upon exhausting benefactorismo. The process, though generalized, developed of uneven way. More pausado in the countries monopolistas ,  more acceleratedand   deep in the dependent countries.

In this framework, the imperialism, to brake the popular advance and to begin to apply the new model one neoliberal, prompted a wave of coup d'etats in various countries of America Latina (Chile, Bolivia, Uruguay, Argentina).

THE NATIONAL PROCESS 1976 - 1983

In our country, the dictatorship had as one of its main objectives to finish to liquidate a revolutionary process of ascent of the popular masses, whose date of start can be located in the Cordobazo of May of 1969. To defeat to the popular movement was necessary to deepen the economic line anticipated :   tostimulate the concentration and the centralización of the capital one in the hands of the monopolios foreign associates to the great local bourgeoisie and to create conditions that to permit an increment in the exploitation of the working class and in the proletarización of the small bourgeoisie.

The first one of these aspects implied the transferencia by hand of the groups monopolistas of the capital of smaller importance, being deepened a persistent liquidation of the national bourgeoisie linked to the internal market.

The dictatorship began to open the customs borders permitting the introduction of the excedente industrial of the dominant States, the ones that competed with advantage with the local production. A process was initiated of desindustrialización. The national merchandise of elaboration by similar articles were substituted imported, affecting preferably those branches linked to the capital national one.

The external debt Argentina grew brutally. Toward 1975 it patrolled the or$s 10.000 million, to reach, to the end of the military dictatorship, an I mount that rotated around the or$s 50.000 million. The payment of the interests of this debt will weigh seriously upon the effort of the Argentine town, privately of its workers.

The organic composition of the capital one had grown uninterruptedly since 1950/54 (3,89) to 1971/73 (5,36). At the same time the rate of exploitation (P V) does it to a greater rhythm almost being duplicated in the same interim (passes from 0,76 to 1,41). As consequence of this last excessive increase the tendency is compensated to decline of the rate of profit (P/c+v) that is elevated from 0,19 to 0,26.

Though the increment of the rate of exploitation of the working class Argentina, as arises of the previous paragraph, is not new, exist certain indicadores that permit to describe its extraordinary growth as of 1976. In effect, just as is shown with the following picture, in the first year of installation of the dictatorship genocida, diminished the real salary a 33% regarding 1975. When it finished this phase had descended still more.

Picture 1

Variation of the real salary 1975/1993 Index 1975=100

Year                                Salary

1975                               100,0

1976                               66,4

1977                               51,3

1978                               53,9

1979                               57,7

1980                               66,3

1981                               61,9

1982                                53,6

1983                               63,6

1984                               76,5

1985                               68,8

1986                               64,1

1987                               58,7

1988                               59,6

1989                               54,5

1990                               49,3

1991                               46,8

1992                               48,7

1993                               49,1

Fountain: Azpiazu - Nochteff

On the other hand, the growth of the pauperización relative of the working class regarding the bourgeoisie, can be detected considering another indicador: the participation of the asalariados active in the Internal Rough Product (P.B.I.) Thus, for example, while in 1974-75 was of the 44,1%, descended perpendicularmente in 1976 to the 27,9%. At last in the segmento 1977-1980 went of the 31,4%, importing a repunte facing the sharp decrease of 1976, but being maintained very under the level of 1975.

The general picture indicated in the previous paragraph is maintained incorporating the participation of the asalariados passive, understanding that the retirements and pensions imply the restitución of part of the plusvalía appropriated by the bourgeoisie to the working class. Himself constata, in the picture that follows, that the total mass of asalariados (active and passive) in 1974/75 reached the 48,9% of the P.B.I., while in 1977/82 had diminished to the 36,4%, that is to say a cercenamiento nearby to the 30%.

PICTURE 2

Participation of the asalariados in the income (in percentage)

Period   Asalariadosactive         AsalariadosPassive     Total asalariados

1974/75               44,1                                   4,8                       48,9

1976 27,9                                   3,6                       31,5

1977/80               31,4                                  5,0                        36,4

Fountain: Susana Torrado, work cited, Pág. 266.

The following picture shows that, since 1976, the rates of unemployment and subocupación rotated in something less than the 10%, being elevated, lightly, toward the end of the dictatorship. Thus, it can be concluded that the decrease of the real salary and the consequent increase of the rate of plusvalía were not condicionados, in this phase, by the growth of the army of reservation that, as was anticipated, was maintained stable. Because of it, the dictatorship was seen obliged to drive since the superestructura state to achieve the decrease of the salary level, prompting measured of distinct nature to defeat the foreseeable opposition of the working class. Itappealed   to the terrorismo directed in individual toward the popular militants. Upon this base, arranged a legal assembly of dispositions, that operated so much in the collective right of the job (prohibition of the strikes, modification of the union law, congelamiento of the collective conventions of job, fijación of the salary increments under the index inflacionario, among others) as in the land of the individual labor relations (modification of the Job Contract Law).

PICTURE 3

Idle and subocupados in Argentina 1974-1995 Wave month of May.

Total year Population Pob. Econ. Ac. Idle   Subocupados    Total

1974          25.241.297              40,6           5,0                   5,4             10,4

1975          25.695.640              40,0           3,5                   5,3            8,8

1976          26.157.162              39,9           5,2                    5,3             10,5

1977          26.629.009              38,8           3,9                   4,1            8,0

1978          27.108.131              38,8           4,2                   5,5            9,7

1979          27.596.281              38,2           2,6                   3,9            6,5

1980          29.949.480              38,3           2,6                   4,5            7,1

1981          28.340.773              38,5           4,2                   5,0            9,2

1982          28.737.544              38,2 6,0                   6,7             12,7

1983          29.139.869              37,4           5,5 5,9            11,4

1984          29.547.827              37,8           4,7                   5,4             10,1

1985          29.961.497              37,9           6,3                   7,5             13,8

1986          30.380.958              38,6           5,9 7,7            13,6

1987          30.806.291              39,5            6,0                   8,2             14,2

1988          31.237.579              38,7           6,5                   8,9             15,4

1989          31.674.905              40,2           8,1                   8,6             16,7

1990          32.118.354              39,1           8,6 9,3            17,9

1991          32.608.687              39,5           6,9                   8,6             15,5

1992          33.005.209              39,8           6,9                   8,3             15,2

1993          33.406.552              41,5           9,9                   8,8             18,7

1994          33.812.776              41,1         10,7                  10,2             20,9

1995          35.223.939              42,4         18,6                   11,3            29,9

Fountain: RAFFAGHELLI RAFFAGHELLI