BALANCE ON THE SITUACION NATIONAL DURING THE YEAR 2002

 

The Argentine events of the year 2002 are directly connected with what happened in the last part of 2001. The government of the Alliance itself fagocitó quickly the capital politician that had offered its opposition to the government of Carlos Menen. Not not once in the power did only that revert the process but deepened it (seven cuts of budget in two years of management); likewise, repeated the worst practices of the previous decade (the labor law of reform number 25.250 was voted under bribes). This last it showed two things: on the one hand the continuity of the model with all its characteristics; and by the other, the complicity of the imperialism with the corruption. The model of convertibility of the currency went only viable , since 1995, by external financing. The bourgeoisie obtained extraordinary returns during ten years as astronomical interest rates product and absolute liberty to emigrate when thus him to believe convenient.

To maintain the convertibility and to avoid the cessation of payments, among end of 2000 and beginnings of 2001, argentina he contracted not new loans but time limit of wait (through the “armor and the “megacanje”), super change of rates usurarias. Nevertheless , he could be predicted that the end of the above-mentioned model one was fence. During the year 2001 became question of masses the indicator of the “risk country”; this was increased permanently at the same time that the capitals “swallows” initiated the exodus. The minister of economy of the Alliance radical peronista, Sunday Cavallo, intended toward July of 2001 that industrious assets and passive they financed of cash balance every faltante through the perpetual adjustment that implied the law of “deficit zero” (n º 25.453).Esto was thus because themselves supeditaba the payment of assets and retirements to the collection operated in each period. Of such form was permitted to adjust the recurrent fiscal deficit (generated by a system in crisis terminal) at the expense of salaries and benefits previsionales without need to count with new legal instruments.

With all these antecedents, the capitalism one, in its neoliberal version, began to seriously to be questioned in argentina. The electoral shift of the 14 October of 2001 was constituted in a leap of quality in the conscience of the company. Among the abstention and the negative vote (white, nulos), eight million Argentines challenged the model in force from the middle of the ç70 and, jointly with such challenge , they expressed their repudiation to the assembly of the political leadership (including the “izquierda”). The electoral result signified an ultimatum for the government that did not see to see or did not want to see. From that moment a revolutionary situation will be opened generated by the fact that the dominant class no longer could advance on the same course, and the workers and the town did not be still in conditions to be become alternative to be able.

In that context the end of the convertibility approached; closed the external sources of financing the banking deposits were the last guarantee of said model. On a total of 66.000 million dollars , among February and November of 2001, they had fled of the banking system (and of the country) near the half (in their large majority you count). The government to avoid that continued the sangría and the model decayed tried to confiscate the banking deposits of the small and medium ahorristas. From there a popular rebellion of an almost unprecedented magnitude in the history would be registered Argentina; on the 19 of December of 2001, thousands of desperate, in their oppressing idle industrious majority for years and desprovistos of social and economic every cover , they were thrown on the supermarkets to be tried food. Wanting to take advantage of the situation agents of the party peronista together with elements of the services of intelligence and the complicity of the police, they stimulated remove you them to destabilize to the government. Parallel, the small bourgeoisie and industrious of almost all the important cities of the country, many of these esquilmados by the confiscación, they initiated a spontaneous protest at the same time that finished a speech televised of the president Of The Rúa in which denounced that the situation of chaos was generated by alborotadores and announced the state of place. Then the demonstrators were directed to the Plaza of May or the headquarters of the most maximum authorities in the other cities. December 20 next to groups remanentes of the previous day, appeared and took the initiative in the streets a mixture of students , industrious youths and idle of the federal capital. With these they appeared also militant of left remote and without any organization. Before the repression the masses more than being scattered itself enfurecieron and although they withdrew several times insisted in occupying the Plaza of May there is these heights launching stones on the police. The renunciation of the minister of economy I do not calm the demonstrators and time later the president surrounded in the house of government I opt for fleeing in helicopter. The balance of the day went of more than thirty dead persons and scores of injured among the rows proletarias, together with almost about ten police, some vehicles set on fire among them a patrol and destructions in the building of the Congress and the Department of Economy to which also I try itself to set on fire.

From there five presidents took turns itself in few days: Of the Rúa , Door, Rodriguez Saa, Caamaño and finally Duhalde). Of these Rodriguez Saa and Duhalde also they faced you protest massive, alone the I finalize resisted. Set against the collapse of the convertibility (situation that was always fictitious given that the value of a currency in the capitalism one It is aforesaid, in finalizes instance, by the wealth and the activity of a country), the dominant class appealed to other two variant to continue the spoils of the workers and the town: on the one hand, the confiscación of above-mentioned deposits and by the other, the devaluation of the currency. These two mechanisms permitted the great bourgeoisie to be guaranteed its rate of profit. The it called “corralito” financial confined , mainly, the money of small ahorristas. Eight of each ten ahorristas had (when the measure was decreed), lower accounts to the 25.000 dollars, many of which compensations by dismissal were opened to protect. The devaluation generated, in combination with the increases of the merchandise of first need, a significant decrease of the investment in capital variable. At present, the Argentine salaries are, on the average, the lowest of Latin America (little more than 100 dollars).

A novel fact of organization of the popular resistance the popular apparition of assemblies in the neighborhoods of the main cities of the country went. Such phenomenon went contemporary to the order of masses inaugurated the own one 19 of December: “that go all”. Of such form, the company repudiated to the totality of the leading class showing the evident union and partisan exhaustion of structures that dominated the history Argentina of the century XX. Some they intended to believe that only the sectors media had become “asambleístas forgetting that such sectors for a very long time had seen precarizarse their material conditions of life. Nevertheless, the assemblies had barriales had their limit and progressively they went themselves extinguishing. One more time remained in evidence the organizing and ideological orphanhood of the wage earners and other popular sectors.

One of the priorities of the government peronista went that of controlling the protest of the idle. For them it destined 150 lecop (national bond whose quotation intended equivalent to the weight), for 2 million stopped what I imply an annual investment of 3600 million pesos (approximately 1000 million dollars). Such investment was financed for the breach of the external debt. In reality, Argentina paid (with reserves), in spite of the depression, the marginality, the poverty and the foreign exchange restrictions, 4300 million dollars. But the expirations were of 11 thousand million dollars. The savings among it certified (OR$S 4300 million) and what to should have certified (OR$S 11000 million ) explains, among others things, the financing of the asistencialismo to the idle and also, that despite the important national public emission of bonds and provincial (cuasimonedas), the inflation was not greater.

The government of Duhalde combined, to control the social protest, the Plans of employment referred with the open repression. In such sense , they multiplied them processed politicians showing an official strategy of judicializar the social conflict.

On the other hand , the repressive mechanisms of the state were greased, extending such assignment to the forces of gendarmería and prefectura. On the 26 of June of 2002, from time to time of a protest of the sector piquetero more combative (Coordinating Aníbal Verón, were murdered for the Police of the Province of buenos aires two demonstrators. In a first moment , the official communiqué maintained that the deaths had been the product of a clash among the own piqueteros. Before the evidences in opponent, the government should assume the responsibilities of the security forces revealing to its greater plan. Finally, in September, the president of the Plaza Grandmothers Association of May Being it Carlotto , suffered an attack in its residence few days later if there is supported a serious accusation against the Police Bonaerense.

In May of the 2002 they were abrogated, to asked of the imperialism, the economic laws of subversion and of bankruptcy. The first one, directed to free of penal every responsibility to the boards of directors of the banks. And the second , aiming at to facilitate the process of concentration (and extranjerización ) of the economy.

Argentina at present is a country devastated economic and socially. Since it was put in practices in open form the neoliberal model (1976) to May of 2002, the external debt passed from 8.000 million dollars to 140.000 million, to what one must add that they entered 40.000 millions by the state privatization of businesses. Meanwhile, the unemployment passed from the 3% to the 21,5%; the extreme poverty of 200.000 persons to 5 million; the poverty of 1 million to 14 million; the illiteracy from the 2% to the 12%.

According to the last report of the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC ), in October from 2002 the unemployment had fallen to the 17,8%. Such decrease obeyed almost completely, to the incident of the Chief plans and Jefas of home destined to the idle to the ones that reference was done but up. This it happens because for the official agency the idle that receive the above-mentioned subsidy are you considered occupied if comply with some against labor installment (In the origin of the plan the idea was that each beneficiary to correspond with work to that state aid. Nevertheless, according to the own one INDEC if itself was not counted of the plan referred the index of unemployment have climbed to the 23,6%. The quantity of people occupied rose from 4.170.000 to 4.543.000 persons. But of these 373.000 new jobs, 272.947 cases are explained for the ¨ occupation ¨ of the beneficiaries of the social plans; as for the remainder (approximately 100.000 new jobs), they swelled the army of Industrious done not they register of jobs of very low incomes, while the index of employment registered continued falling.

In spite of the ¨ fall ¨ of the unemployment, among May and October of 2002 they continued being increased the indices of poverty and poverty: of 49,7 % to 54,3% the first one, and from 22,7% to 24,7% the second. In the most it populated zone of the country (Capital Federal and Great buenos aires), on almost 12, 3 million inhabitants I am reached a new record 6.672.000 poor, of which 3.035.000 are indigent, always according to the official data of the INDEC. With regard to May of 2002, there are 600.000 new poor, of which 245.000 are new indigent. And in comparison with October of 2001, the poverty enlarges in 2,3 million persons, of which the half are new indigent, to poor new reason of 200.000 for month. The data separated mark that in the Capital the poverty rose from the 13,4% to the 14,6%, while in the Great one buenos aires I climb from the 59,2% to the 64,4%. On the other hand, the poverty under of the 6,3% to the 5,7% in the city of buenos aires and increase in the conurbano from the 27,9% to the 30,5%.

The family type turns out to be indigent (marriage and two children) that earns less than for month, equivalent 324,70 pesos to the cost of the basic food. On the other hand turns out to be poor, the family type that earns less than 717,60 pesos for month , that is the cost of a basic basket of food and services. The INDEC did not bring to light the indices of poverty and poverty in the remainder of the country. But if the percentages in the average zones to every argentina are projected, the poverty that in May of 2002 was of the 53% would patrol now the 60% of the 36 million Argentines with almost the half in the poverty. Thus there would be 21.600.000 poor, of which a little but of 10.000.000 serian indigent.

The growth of the poverty is explained because, in spite of the asistencialismo official, the subsidy is absolutely insufficient to cover the basic basket of food. In the meantime, the growth of the poverty obeys, basically, to that the incomes of the workers occupied enlarged a great deal less than the inflation. Thus, the prices of the basic food rose the 28,2%, while the salaries of the workers, by the improvement of the 100 pesos for the employees registered barely they rose the 7,2%, while the retirements and pensions remained frozen. It is estimated that the 75% of the workers earns less than 717 pesos that is the limit of poverty of a family type.

All in all the increase of the poverty and poverty owes to that continuous falling the acquisitive power of the retirements, salaries and incomes of the account propistas. Neither the new they occupied neither the beneficiaries of the Chief plans / jefas of Home could revert this tendency, in the First case due to the the low salaries, and in the second, to the destitute social aid.

The deep crisis that affects to the capitalism one everywhere continues being reflected with absolute clarity in Argentina. Less in the exporting sector (less than the 10% of the Internal Rough Product), the sales and the profits have descended in all the commerce and the industry. This it will continue being intensified unless the system believes the conditions so that aumente the consumption; for it do not there would be but remedy that to generate the conditions so that the ones that have money they recover the confidence, the ones that have lost permanently to be able acquisitive they see to enlarge its salaries and the ones that do not have work they obtain one. To reach such conditions appears as utopian as the flags that agitated during 2002, so much the small bourgeoisie (with its order of ¨ that go all), as the idle and the parties of ¨ left ¨ (by a ¨ Argentinazo, by a Constituent Assembly, etc.) To the extent that advances the crisis is done more notorious the need to build a truly revolutionary organization; this alone one can originate of the most conscious elements of the industrious class in activity. The wage-earning assets continue representing, numerical the immense majority of the company. Up to now in Argentina (as in good part of the world) have resigned political prominence. Nevertheless it can be predicted that from 2003, they will begin despabilarse what will permit to present the only discussion that up to now themselves has not been presented: that of the need of the open fight against the bourgeoisie after the construction of the socialism.