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ABC AUSTRALIA


ABC AUSTRALIA, 03/10/2005

LATELINE

Young JI attracted to new extremist special forces, says expert

Reporter: Tony Jones

TONY JONES: We're joined now by the South-East Asian director of the International Crisis Group, Dr Sidney Jones, widely acknowledged to be one of the best-informed analysts of jihadist extremism in Indonesia and the region. Yesterday Dr Jones talked about intelligence of what she called a "new super-secret special forces unit" being put together by Islamist extremists and which is attracting very young people from Jamaah Islamiah and other organisations. If that's true, who's behind it? Sidney Jones, thanks for being here.

SIDNEY JONES, INTERNATIONAL CRISIS GROUP: Thank you.

TONY JONES: Now, this does sound like a very worrying development. What's the evidence for it, for this new group attracting these very young people?

SIDNEY JONES: We've had a number of different sources who have talked about this organisation. We don't know yet whether it's a splinter of JI and there's actually been a formal break with the organisation or whether it's a militant wing that's gone off on its own, but either way from different sources who couldn't have communicated with one another, we've learned that this organisation exists. The name of it is actually a word that's been used by JI in the past to describe special forces unit, but this is different from its usage before.

TONY JONES: Is this potentially a source, an ongoing source, of young people who are prepared to kill themselves as suicide bombers?

SIDNEY JONES: I think that it's certainly the case that this unit seems to be directed toward undertaking attacks that involve suicide bombing. It doesn't mean that this is the only group that could recruit people for that purpose. I think it's important for your viewers as well to look at the bombing that took place in central Sulawesi in May, only a few months ago. There were no foreigners killed there, but 22 Indonesians were killed, and they used bombs that were just TNT and nails. That was a group that wasn't JI. We don't know exactly who was responsible, but suspicion points to a group called Kompaq and Kompaq is another one of these off-shoots of Jemaah Islamiah in some ways, that grew up in the Malaccas, in the fighting in Ambon. That also could be a factor here in this bombing.

TONY JONES: What do you think is motivating these splinter groups? I mean, are they now operating under a series of separate discrete leaderships or is it possible that Dr Azahari and Noordin Top are in fact directing the activities of this clique of new groups?

SIDNEY JONES: I don't think that Noordin and Azahari are directing a whole coalition of organisations, but they've shown themselves capable of mobilising individuals for specific operations. So in the case of the embassy, they had a couple of people from East Java and the Jemaah Islamiah operation there. They asked one of the people from East Java, "Who do you know who is a committed mujahid who might be willing to find us recruits?" And they came up with the name of somebody who was in West Java in a completely different organisation. That's how these things work, through different personal networks. Who do you know who might come into the operation? Who did they know who might come into the operation? So you can put together a team that's actually outside any one organisation, but certainly, Noordin and Azahari are critical to the success of those operations. It's Noordin who is the major strategist. Azahari is not the mastermind, he is the technician.

TONY JONES: Are these networks becoming much more informal, so that it sounds like from what you're saying, they're not connected to specific pesantren as they have been in the past, Islamic boarding schools, but actually, as you say, a personal series of network?

SIDNEY JONES: Often the networks that they go to, are linked in some ways, either to schools or to shared experience in military training, for example, the people who trained together in Mindanao or the people who trained together in the Malaccas or central Sulawesi. They may also share affiliation with a particular school and the schools can be one of a number of different places. One particular one to watch is a school in Solo in Central Java called Universitas Anur, it's a higher education unit that produced some of the people involved in the network for the embassy bombing.

TONY JONES: Do you have any idea - I mean, we understood right back to the first Bali bombings that some very radical pesantren or other schools were producing jihadists, almost at will, that they were coming out of these places virtually brainwashed and ready to go. Is that actually still happening, or has there been some attempt by the government to genuinely crack down on those places? I mean, it seems strange to me, for example, that you can put your finger straightaway on one particular place and yet the government doesn't seem to be able to do that.

SIDNEY JONES: The problem is that it's very difficult to point to criminal activity going on in these schools. If there were activities that were in direct violation of Indonesian law, then the government could move. I think they feel very reluctant to move against places where, even if you went into the school and listened to the teachings, you might not be able to come out convinced that you were seeing people in the process of being indoctrinated to become suicide bombers. There is a process of recruitment, there is a practised teaching that goes on where people are assigned to specific schools after graduation, and as the directors of these schools say, we can't control what our graduates do, and in fact it start as lot earlier, but it would be very difficult for the Indonesian Government just to close the schools.

TONY JONES: And from what you're saying, the real training actually happens offshore, as it were, quite often, or in one of the conflict zones, and specifically, I suppose, a lot of this training has happened in southern Philippines?

SIDNEY JONES: Some of the training has happened in southern Philippines but a lot of it is just home-grown. I would be surprised, for example, to learn that the suicide bombers in this particular bombing were trained in the Philippines, 'cause you don't want to expend valuable resources who've had that kind of training. You want to save that for something larger or for a more significant role. The people who actually give themselves up, or become martyrs in their view, are usually more expendable, often they're poorer, although not always, and sometimes, they feel they've been made to feel as though what they're doing is something extraordinary, that they've been specially chosen, and this is reinforced to the point that it becomes a positive act of religious faith in some ways to go and detonate that bomb.

TONY JONES: Does it seem to you that since three of these valuable assets were expended in one series of bombings, where relatively few people were actually killed, in spite of the horror of the whole thing, that there may in fact be a larger pool of many more?

SIDNEY JONES: I think there are a couple of possibilities. I think that there are more, and I think that the Prime Minister is right, that there will be more attacks. I think at the same time that the organisations themselves and the infrastructure that they work within has become much weaker than it was before. It doesn't mean that we're not going to see an ongoing problem and the fact that an organisation like JI is weaker doesn't mean that we've made a lot of progress in eradicating the problem of terrorism. It just means that we have to look beyond JI per se.

TONY JONES: What is the evidence that there has genuinely been a real split in JI and what caused it, assuming that it happened?

SIDNEY JONES: I think that the evidence comes from testimonies, and from interviews that we've conducted. And in those interviews, people talk about how for a number of reasons, they don't believe that bombing is an appropriate thing to do. They believe, first of all, that to bomb Western targets on Indonesian soil is a misinterpretation of jihad, because according to their understanding, jihad should only take place when you are being attacked and you then retaliate against your attackers. You have a defensive war against your attackers. And that clearly is not taking place here. They also believe that it has resulted in serious damage to the organisation, and that it's not an appropriate - it's no longer an appropriate thing to do. They would like to see a long-term strategy of 20 or 30 years aimed at constructing an Islamic State in Indonesia. But these bombers clearly have lost sight of the need to construct an Islamic State and are putting all of their energies in going after western targets.

TONY JONES: If it's true that Azahari and Noordin Muhammad Top have effectively set up their own military wing now, what are their aims if they differ so radically from what JI wants?

SIDNEY JONES: Well, I think that it's important to see that it's not just those two, that is, there are other people also who have a background in JI and among them I would mention the head of JI's military operations, whom we believe to be part of the same group. But their aim is to follow in some ways the al-Qaeda line, of going against the United States and its allies in retaliation for the deaths that they have caused in Afghanistan, Iraq, Chechnya, Palestine and you can go on and on and on. But it's avenging those deaths and it's weakening the superpower in the only way they know how to fight. They see it very much as a war, and it's not clear when victory would be achieved.

TONY JONES: The assessment of the Australian Prime Minister immediately after the attacks was that these bombings are actually aimed at destabilising Indonesian Government. It sounds like your analysis is rather different?

SIDNEY JONES: Yeah, I don't think it's at aimed at destabilising the Indonesian Government. I don't think they think in those political kinds of terms. Nor do I think that their aim is to undermine a democratic system per se. I think they very much see the world in these black and white terms of us against them, Muslims against infidels, that the infidels led by the United States as part of a Christian-Zionist conspiracy are out to persecute and attack and eliminate Muslims around the world, and therefore, we have to fight back.

TONY JONES: In that sense, it does sound like a Australians in Bali could easily be identified as targets by these people? SIDNEY JONES: I don't think they select people by nationality, though. I think probably the reason that Bali was chosen this time round again is because after the last two bombings in Jakarta, it was mostly Indonesian Muslims that died and at least in Bali you have a chance of getting a few foreigners. I doubt very much whether they had the intention of going after Australians per se.

TONY JONES: Just finally - do you think the links, maybe the ideology is similar to al-Qaeda. Do you think the links are there? After all, many of these leaders actually served in Afghanistan, where Osama bin Laden obviously became famous. Many of them actually knew him, in fact. Hambali and Mukhlas and probably Azahari himself would have all known, or very likely known Osama bin Laden.

SIDNEY JONES: Yeah, it's a question that we can't answer at this stage, but I don't think we can say that these attacks needed al-Qaeda support. I think it's perfectly possible for the ideology of al-Qaeda to be accepted without any further material or financial or logistic support. This is something that they can do on their own.

TONY JONES: Alright. We thank you very much once again for taking the time to talk to us tonight.

© ABC 2005


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