

| | 逐點擊破21點
其實閒家和莊在每一個點數當中,加牌會爆的可能性都能以機會率計算出來,各位可參考表一及表二而決定在每個點數加牌與否。舉例來說,你拿十六點,莊家牌面為七點,如何取捨。是否因你加牌有61.5%機會爆煲而不加牌?答案是不,因為莊家一定要加牌至十七點,惟有莊家爆牌,你才能獲勝,可是莊家在七點爆牌的機會只有25%,即表示有75%你會輸,故寧可加牌增大15%的勝率。
基於以上數據及經驗,我們可以得知在何點數時有甚麼舉動,各位可以此作玩21點的參考。
表一
莊家點數 |
莊在17-21點會停止的% |
莊會爆的% |
A |
82% |
18% |
10 |
77% |
23% |
9 |
77% |
23% |
8 |
76% |
24% |
7 |
75% |
25% |
6 |
57% |
43% |
5 |
57% |
43% |
4 |
60% |
40% |
3 |
62% |
38% |
2 |
70% |
30% |
表二
閒家點數 |
閒選要牌不會爆% |
閒選要牌爆煲% |
11或以下 |
100% |
0% |
12 |
69.4% |
30.6% |
13 |
61.5% |
38.5% |
14 |
53.6% |
46.4% |
15 |
46.2% |
53.8% |
16 |
38.5% |
61.5% |
17 |
30.7% |
69.3% |
18 |
23.0% |
77.0% |
19 |
15.5% |
84.5% |
20 |
7.7% |
92.3% |
以下數表是玩21點的基本策略,只要依照下表去玩21點,你便可以把賭場的優勢削至最小.
H=要牌;S=不要牌;D=加注
SP=分牌;Soft 13=A+2(其他如此類推)
閒家牌面 |
莊家牌面
|
|
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
A |
5,6,7,8 |
H |
H |
H |
H |
H |
H |
H |
H |
H |
H |
9 |
H |
D |
D |
D |
D |
H |
H |
H |
H |
H |
10 |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
H |
H |
11 |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
H |
12 |
H |
H |
S |
S |
S |
H |
H |
H |
H |
H |
13,14 |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
H |
H |
H |
H |
H |
15,16 |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
H |
H |
H |
H |
H |
17,18,19,20 |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
閒家牌面 |
莊家牌面
|
|
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
A |
Soft 13,14 |
H |
H |
H |
D |
D |
H |
H |
H |
H |
H |
Soft 15,16 |
H |
H |
D |
D |
D |
H |
H |
H |
H |
H |
Soft 17 |
H |
D |
D |
D |
D |
H |
H |
H |
H |
H |
Soft 18 |
S |
D |
D |
D |
D |
S |
S |
H |
H |
H |
Soft 19,20 |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
閒家牌面 |
莊家牌面
|
|
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
A |
A-A |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
2-2,3-3 |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
H |
H |
H |
H |
4-4 |
H |
H |
H |
SP |
SP |
H |
H |
H |
H |
H |
5-5 |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
H |
H |
6-6 |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
H |
H |
H |
H |
H |
7-7 |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
H |
H |
H |
H |
8-8 |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
9-9 |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
SP |
S |
S |
10-10 |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
S |
H=要牌;S=不要牌;D=加注
SP=分牌;Soft 13=A+2(其他如此類推)
|