For US politicians, their dream of ditching
Iraqi President Saddam Hussein proved nothing less than a miscalculation
after 10 years.
Decade-long economic sanctions against Iraq
did not produce the result that the United States and its allies sought.
Iraqi President Saddam Hussein, a thorn in
the eyes of Americans, remains in power while Iraq's anti-US sentiment
heated up as harsh sanctions meant deprivation
of many of life's necessities for millions of Iraqis.
The sanctions, imposed after Iraq's 1990 invasion
of Kuwait, have also meant a lack of trade, draining the country's
economy and pushing Iraqis into further economic
turmoil.
While Washington repeatedly claims that its
embargo is targeted at Saddam Hussein and not his countrymen, the fact
is
the embargo is harming ordinary civilians.
But it has failed to render impotent "the vicious leaders of the Iraqi
regime,"
to use Washington's description.
Washington's connivance with Baghdad's opposition
parties to force Hussein to step down seems to become more
illusory as time goes by.
Each year, the United States spends at least US$2 million on average to try to contain Iraq.
In 1998, the US Congress made US$97 million
available to the opposition, mostly in the form of services and surplus
goods provided by the Pentagon.
Last year, it began its first, direct, although
modest and "non-lethal," military training of opponents of Saddam Hussein
at a Florida Air Force base.
Four Iraqis, including two former military
officers who defected from Hussein's forces, attended a regular
civilian-military training course for officers
from Arab and Central Asian countries near Pensacola.
Daniel Pipes, a veteran Middle East observer,
told Reuters he was struck by how little things have changed in Iraq over
the past decade.
His remarks were partially right. Baghdad has
changed little, and its leadership remains intact. But Iraqis are undergoing
untold suffering.
Sanctions did not bring the Iraqi people the benefits that Britain and the United States promised, such as "freedom".
Iraq's "human rights record" did not improve, but deteriorated substantially.
Five thousand Iraqi children die each month
from diseases and malnutrition because the sanctions have been a barrier
to medical supplies getting into the country.
Ordinary Iraqi citizens are more likely to fall prey to sanctions and military strikes. This is the hard truth.
Hansvon Sponeck of Germany and Dennis Halliday
of Ireland, the last two United Nations humanitarian co-ordinators
for Iraq, attest to what ordinary Iraqis have
suffered. They resigned last year under strong US pressure because they
shined a spotlight on the toll sanctions have
taken on Iraqi civilians.
Debate over whether sanctions are effective
was louder among US politicians during the 10th anniversary of US
military action against Iraq.
But it seems the issue is hardly mentioned by US presidential candidates.
Why?
The topic is so sensitive that candor or any
frank discussion might spell trouble. No candidate likes to comment on
something that has dim prospects.
US authorities are in a Catch-22 situation:
If the United States and its allies lifted sanctions which most UN members
oppose, it would constitute a tacit admission
that sanctions have failed.
This is the last thing US President Bill Clinton
wants. If they continue their containment policy, they must be
psychologically prepared to handle domestic
and foreign pressure.
Sentiment against sanctions has erupted into protests and even violence in even the United States.
Protesters from Illinois, Minnesota and New
Hampshire began a hunger strike several weeks ago in Baghdad to
commemorate the 10th anniversary of the imposition
of the crippling trade embargo.
Last week, 102 protesters demonstrated against sanctions in front of the White House.
Washington's containment policy is likened
by protesters to a similar catastrophe that shares this anniversary: the
United
States dropping the atomic bomb on Hiroshima
on August 6, 1945.
Clinton's strategy to weaken Saddam Hussein
whom he thought would then be toppled by internal forces did not bring
him to his knees.
US policy-makers believe the United States will ultimately win this "war."
But it seems that the United States has not learned that its containment policy is a failure.
The Cold War mentality still dominates the United States.
The containment policy was also carried out against Yugoslavia, which Washington is also loath to recognize.
US Secretary of State Madeleine Albright last
month asked Montenegro's leader to think carefully about a planned
boycott of Yugoslav elections over fears they
will be unfair.
In Washington's view, Montenegro could play
a key role in helping Serbian opposition unite to challenge Yugoslav
strongman Slobodan Milosevic.
Using the same tactics it applied in Iraq,
Washington channeled a lot of money to Belgrade's opposition parties to
overthrow Milosevic.
But only time will tell if this dirty strategy can help dump Milosevic, whom Washington brands "a dictator."
But unlike before, Washington appears to have toned down its rhetoric this time.
It has failed in Iraq, but it cannot bear to see its authority being challenged in Yugoslavia again.
Clinton is not willing to risk his carefully cultivated image as a world leader in Belgrade again.
But US authorities should ponder whether its containment policy works.
Washington's political ambitions have come at a high price for millions of innocent people.
Even though Iraq and Belgrade authorities have both made some very "bad" judgments, that happened in the past.
If Milosevic was as "bad" as US politicians have asserted, why is he still ahead in every domestic public-opinion poll?
Who should be the leader of Iraq or Yugoslavia
is a matter for the people of those two nations. It is not the business
of
the United States.