http://www.canoe.ca/TorontoNews/904n1.html
September 24, 2000
Oil crisis: Call it the Curse of Saddam
By ERIC MARGOLIS -- Toronto Sun
As oil climbs toward US$40 per barrel, motorists and truckers across Europe
are in open insurrection,
demanding fuel taxes be slashed. If petroleum prices keep rising and shortages
develop, Americans, and
even usually passive Canadians, may also stage a modern version of a medieval
peasants' revolt.
No wonder politicians on both sides of the Atlantic are running scared. The Curse of Saddam has struck.
Western consumers take for granted that cheap oil is theirs by divine right.
For them, "normal oil prices"
means a return to the good old days before
1970 when tame Mideast puppet rulers gave away oil at $2 per barrel in
return for protection, and
blondes.
"How dare those Arabs raise the price of our oil!" is what many people
angrily mutter - unaware, of
course, that most of North America's imported oil comes from West Africa
and Venezuela, not the
Mideast.
Angry western demands that oil producers lower prices are pure, unabashed
economic imperialism. The
Mideast, for example, imports over 50% of its food and 95% of its medicines
from western nations -
commodities even more precious and imperative than oil. Do we see our farmers
lowering prices of grains
or meats sold to the Mideast? Or Detroit, Silicon Valley or drug firms
slashing export prices of goods they
sell to oil producers? Of course not.
We are simply demanding by right of might that exporting nations, many
of whom rely on oil as their sole
source of income, cut their prices so it costs us less to tank up our road
hogs. The U.S. produces over six
million barrels daily: why are there no calls for American producers to
slash their wellhead prices?
Amidst all the finger-pointing over who is to blame for high oil prices,
and inevitable pre-electoral threats
by the Clinton administration to bomb the usual Iraqis, it is simply amazing
that no one has asked the most
obvious question: does the 10-year embargo of Iraqi oil play a role in
this mess?
The answer is: of course. Before Saddam Hussein's invasion of Kuwait, Iraq,
which has the Mideast's
second largest proven oil reserves after Saudi Arabia - 120 billion barrels
- exported over three million
barrels per day and was expanding its petro-infrastructure to export up
to five million barrels a day by
2000.
Today, under the decade-old UN sanctions, Iraq is allowed to export 2.3
million barrels daily. Iraq is
supposed to get half the proceeds from that oil for food and medicine;
the rest goes to the UN's
bureaucracy and to Kuwait.
INDUSTRY CRUMBLING
But Iraq's actual exports are considerably lower because the U.S. has steadily
blocked or delayed Iraq's
purchase of equipment and spare parts for its crumbling oil industry.
Now, ironically, western governments fear Saddam may throw world oil markets
into a new crisis by
halting Iraq's modest oil exports. World petroleum consumption has hit
76 million barrels daily. Oil is so
scarce right now that even a minor reduction could trigger an international
panic that could spill over into
financial markets. In short, the West's punishment of Iraq has come home
to haunt us.
Another nice irony: during the made-for-TV Gulf war, Americans thrilled
as they watched armadas of
macho armoured vehicles sweep across the desert. This ignited consumer
lust for tough-looking,
road-warrior vehicles. A friend, psychiatrist Dr. Clotaire Rapaille, conducted
in-depth studies of post-war
American auto consumer psyches for Chrysler and discovered that both men
and women wanted
"aggressive" looking vehicles.
BOOMING ECONOMY
The result: the enormous upsurge in huge, menacing RV's and now, paramilitary
Humvees - both major gas
guzzlers. With nearly half the vehicles on the road getting 12-13 mpg,
and with booming economic times, is
it any wonder gas prices are sky high?
If Iraq's oil industry was quickly refurbished and allowed to export at
full capacity, there would be no
shortage, and prices would fall sharply. This column predicted way back
in 1991 that oil shortages would
ensure if Iraq was kept out of the market. And so they have.
But Iraq's Arab oil "brothers," Iran and Russia, don't want Iraq to resume
exporting because prices would
drop. Kuwait knows Saddam thirsts for revenge. Israel exerts intense pressure
on the Clinton
administration through its American lobby to keep Iraq bottled up. Britain
wants Iraq shackled to protect
its lucrative Gulf markets. No American politician wants to risk being
called "soft on Saddam" or letting him
out of his cage.
None of the above care much that 5,000 Iraqi children die each month from
disease and malnutrition
mainly caused by the cruel western embargo. U.S. Secretary of State Madeleine
Albright says that's "a
price worth paying."
This column heartily disagrees. It would be far cheaper and more humane
to lift the embargo, let Iraq
export oil and bribe Saddam to be good, as Washington has done with nuclear-armed
North Korea.
Instead, consumers in Europe and North America are paying the cost, via
high gas prices, of sustaining
Iraq's long imprisonment and prolonging the suffering of its people.