Inside Saddam's Iraq
After a decade, sanctions take a terrible toll on Iraq's people but leave
Baghdad's durable dictator as
comfortable as ever
By Kevin Whitelaw and Warren P. Strobel
BAGHDAD–It hardly seems like the capital city of a country under siege.
Posh Arasat Street is lined with
designer perfume stores, brand-new art galleries, and chic interior decorating
shops that would be at home
on the Champs-Elysée. A massive wall of Korean televisions fills
the plate-glass windows of an electronics
store. Nearby, a drive-through takeout joint has recently opened, offering
burgers and gyros, and
entrepreneurs are building a large new restaurant in the shape of a castle,
complete with a drawbridge.
But Fortress Saddam is as impregnable as ever, despite a decade of U.S.-led
sanctions. Saddam's vast
security apparatus retains its vise grip over all aspects of Iraq's society.
The Iraqi leader and a wealthy elite
in Baghdad have not only escaped the effects of sanctions but are actually
profiting
from them. This year alone, Iraq's oil smuggling has nearly quadrupled,
producing a massive financial windfall for Saddam to keep his several-thousand-strong
circle of sycophants
happy. Iraqi businessmen are flouting the sanctions by signing new deals
with foreign companies as
international support for sanctions erodes.
Bold boasts. Ten years after Iraqi troops invaded Kuwait, it is tempting
to wonder: Is Saddam winning?
Yes, if winning means survival–and for Saddam, it does. "Today, we are
breathing much better than
yesterday. Tomorrow, we will be breathing much better than today," boasts
A. K. Al-Hashimi, a veteran
regime figure. "There is no limit to how long we can hold."
Perhaps so for the privileged few. For most, though, the past decade brought
little but misery. U.S. officials
repeatedly insist that the sanctions are not targeted at ordinary Iraqis,
but they are its only true victims.
Away
from the glamour of Arasat Street, the embargo is devastating the bulk
of
Iraq's 23 million citizens, who are shell-shocked by the daily grind of
scraping by. The United Nations
oil-for-food program, now in its fourth year, has eased the suffering by
providing at least a minimum amount
of food and medicine. But child mortality, while stabilized, remains high.
One in four children is
malnourished. Children are dropping out of school to help support their
families. "There are no dreams
anymore," says Jassan Abdul-Hassan, a 23-year-old shop clerk living in
Saddam City, a seething slum of 2
million people outside Baghdad. "We just work to get enough food for the
next 24 hours."
Iraq blames U.S.-led sanctions for the misery; American officials retort
that Saddam is failing to spend his
considerable resources on his people's basic needs. They are both right.
Sanctions have destroyed Iraq's
once-prosperous middle class, along with its formerly prestigious universities.
A world-class health system
has disintegrated to Third World levels. And while Saddam can find the
money to construct ornate new
buildings for government ministries and a giant palace complex in downtown
Baghdad, he relies almost
exclusively on UNICEF to rebuild his country's schools. Meanwhile, some
$4.5 billion in revenues from the
oil-for-food program lies unspent in Iraq's bank account in New York.
Not everything is rosy for Saddam. The new U.N. weapons inspection agency
is preparing to send teams
back to Iraq to resume the search for chemical and biological weapons facilities
halted at the end of 1998.
Saddam is unlikely to permit their return, which could provoke another
crisis with Washington. And while
the 63-year-old Saddam's grip on power seems as sure as ever, the regime
may be rotting from the inside.
Increasingly reclusive, the man from Tikrit rarely appears in public. His
inner circle is aging, enough of a
worry that the ruling Baath party recently purged officials to make way
for new blood.
U.S. policy has succeeded in one key area: Saddam's military, while still
formidable, is under severe strain,
lacks spare parts, and is much less threatening to its neighbors. Its air
defenses are bombed regularly by
U.S. planes patrolling the no-fly zones in the south and north. Despite
10 years of daily patrols, the Iraqi
military has never downed a U.S. plane. The no-fly zone in the north prevents
Saddam from controlling large
tracts of his country, effectively creating a booming Kurdish territory
beyond his reach.
Still, the sanctions have missed their target as badly as Iraqi antiaircraft
fire. They haven't broken Saddam's
regime but have beggared what was a pro-Western middle class. Anti-Western
sentiment could last
decades. "The sanctions created two classes. One is up and one is down,"
says Fuad Abdulridha, 60,
whose Yaqoot auction house used to be the only one on a section of 14th
Ramadan Street. Now there are
20, he says. Cash-starved Baghdadis put their antiques, appliances, carpets–even
house doors–up for bid
almost nightly. The best merchandise is long gone: The goods now are often
homely, and prices low.
A four-person U.S. News team spent two weeks in Iraq, traveling throughout
Saddam-controlled territory,
in the company of Ministry of Information "minders," and Iraqi Kurdistan
in the north, where rival Kurdish
parties are the de facto rulers. Portraits of Saddam that adorn Baghdad
corners and hang in every office and
store disappear along the road north from the oil city of Kirkuk, replaced
by the yellow flag of the Kurdistan
Democratic Party. People there are quick to criticize Saddam, who has not
ruled the region since 1991.
Saddam "is the worst leader all over the Arab homeland," says Azad Youssef,
sitting in his small PlayStation
video arcade in the regional capital of Irbil. In the north, TV satellite
dishes (which bring a six-month prison
term in Baghdad) peek from the rooftops. Radio stations and newspapers
flourish. And every major city has
at least one Internet cafe, with open access to anybody (box, Page 56).
Controlled society. The rest of Iraq is monitored by a network of secret
police and informers. Dissent brings
punishment, sometimes death. Domestic broadcasting is state controlled;
Baghdad's Voice of Youth FM
station attempts to draw young people away from outside alternatives, such
as the Voice of America, with
pop hits and country tunes such as "She Thinks My Tractor's Sexy (It Really
Turns Her On)." Baghdad
opened its first public Internet center in late July to help the business
community communicate with foreign
companies. But the wary regime bans access to unmonitored Web-based E-mail
systems.
The north, buffered from the full brunt of the sanctions, is clearly more
prosperous. The U.N. is allowed to
distribute food and medicine itself, in cooperation with local authorities.
At a simple, but clean,
UNICEF-funded health care center in Irbil, mothers hold children waiting
to receive vaccinations and be
checked for malnutrition. Of the 80 children examined on one recent day,
only two were malnourished.
"Now, we are seeing fewer cases," says nurse Najiba Hamed Amin.
Blood and tears. In contrast, Baghdad insists on handing out food rations
itself and still refuses to let most
private aid groups operate in the area it controls. "They are spies," says
Iraq's health minister, Umid Midhat
Mubarak. "I won't let them in." Food has become more plentiful in the past
year now that Iraq is allowed to
sell as much oil as it can under the U.N. oil-for-food program.
But supplies of medicine remain uneven and hospitals are suffering from
a severe lack of blood bags for
transfusions. Hospital wards in the south are still filled with cases of
chronic malnutrition and serious diseases
like leukemia. Abdul Kareem Subber, the deputy director of the Basra Pediatric
Hospital, describes how on
a typical day, he has enough antibiotics for only four of the six people
he operates on. And sometimes, he
must operate by flashlight, using the same rubber gloves for multiple patients.
Life is perhaps toughest on the children. UNICEF estimates that up to half
of the schools in the south are
unfit for teaching. And enrollment is plunging. Only three of Suhilla Hattam's
seven children are still in school.
The rest work in the market every day selling nylon bags and other goods.
She has sold all her furniture;
only a stove and television remain in her crumbling house in the southern
city of Basra. And fun is a
particularly rare commodity. In one ramshackle amusement park, only two
of the 24 bumper cars still
function.
Nature has added to the hardship, with much of southern Iraq suffering
from the worst drought in memory.
The land around the village of Zurfat on the Euphrates River that used
to produce wheat, barley, vegetables,
and six kinds of fruit is now largely barren, save for its famed date palms.
The river level is 45 percent below
normal, and farmers often have less than one hour a day of electricity
for irrigation pumps. "Our children are
slowly dying, like our plants," says Safi Abed-Salman, head of the village's
tribe.
The long-term effects of the sanctions on the Iraqi people are difficult
to calculate. Western observers report
that this year nearly double the number of children participated in the
Saddam Hussein Fighting Cubs, a sort
of summer camp for sports, recreation, and military and political training.
"You should lift the embargo
because you are creating a generation of people who hate America," says
Nazar Ali, a father of four in
Basra. But, a professor says, most Iraqis distinguish between the American
people and the government. "So
we treat you as a friend."
Iraqis are turning more often to religion. Mosque attendance at prayers
has risen sharply, partly as a result of
a Faith Campaign led by Saddam. Iraq was formerly a proudly secular state,
but Saddam needed the
political support of the religious community after the embargo obliterated
the middle class, the original base
for his regime. The seven-year campaign has transformed Iraq with a ban
on public drinking. Top
government and Baath party officials take courses on Islam. And prisoners
can get their sentences reduced
by memorizing passages of the Koran.
Saddam has also built at least four new mosques in each of Iraq's 18 provinces
and some 30 in Baghdad
alone. And in a ritzy Baghdad neighborhood, construction has begun on the
mammoth Saddam Mosque,
which will be one of the largest in the Middle East. But this campaign
strikes even some of his own people
as hypocrisy. "It is not by words; it is by actions that you are a believer,"
says Sheik Majid al-Hafeed. "If he
was a real Muslim . . . you should not harm people. [Saddam] is harming
20 million people." Al-Hafeed can
criticize–his mosque is in Sulaymaniyah, inside the Kurds' northern autonomous
zone and, for now, beyond
Saddam's wrath.
Significantly, Iraq's oil industry is back on stream. Both pipelines and
refineries were heavily damaged during
the Gulf War. In recent weeks, Iraq's oil production neared pre-Gulf War
levels, putting Iraq–whose oil
reserves are second only to Saudi Arabia's–squarely back among the world's
leading oil exporters. But a
lack of spare parts means that much of the equipment has been patched together
and is deteriorating. "They
performed miracles," says Roger Diwan, a managing director at Petroleum
Finance Co. in Washington,
D.C. "But it's not sustainable."
In many other ways, Iraq is not well prepared for the embargo to end. Most
Iraqis depend entirely on the
food ration provided through the U.N. program. Salaries range from $2 to
$10 a month. And the financial
system is woefully inadequate. The largest bill is a 250-dinar note, even
though the exchange rate is 2,000
dinars for each dollar. Moneychangers literally use balances to weigh wads
of money bound together by
rubber bands.
And that's the way it may stay. "There are signs that the status quo suits
a lot of people," says one diplomat.
Iraqis are completely dependent on handouts from the government, which
remains firmly in power. The
oil-for-food program provides enough food and medicine to prevent starvation,
leaving Saddam free to
spend his oil-smuggling profits on his first priority–the survival of his
regime. The Kurds in the north enjoy
unprecedented political autonomy under the protection of U.S. fighter jets.
And Washington is able to boast
that Saddam is kept "in his box," without being drawn into repeated crises
that erode the international
resolve on maintaining the embargo.
Handling hardship. Iraqis have little choice but to carry on. The women's
federation in the southern city of
Na- siriya runs a twice-weekly health clinic and offers self-help courses
that teach women "how to make
everything themselves, not buy it," says the group's president, Rabab Daib.
In Baghdad's hard-luck Fadhwat Arab district, Lamy'a Abdul-Sattar shares
a house with eight other
families. She quit her nursing job, overwhelmed by the pain and death of
cancer victims. Her husband,
Mahmoud Abdullah, returns home with poison to kill the rats infesting their
one-room dwelling. His auto
body work brings in $15 to $17 a month; of that, $5 goes to rent. A second
child (son Ra'ad is 7) is out of
the question. Blame seems beside the point. Lamy'a looks toward a day when,
one way or another, life will
improve. "We are suffering 10 years," she says. "When is this day?"