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INFID, November 11, 2004

INFID's Short News Overview No. 32: November 5-11, 2004

Minal Aidin Wal Faizin. Mohon Maaf Lahir dan Batin.

Wishing you Peace, Happiness and A Blessed Idul Fitri!

INFID Related Issues

Autopsy Report for Human Rights Activist Munir handed over

The Dutch Foreign Minister confirmed that report on the autopsy, conducted on the body of the late Munir has been handed over to the Indonesian Foreign Office by the Dutch Embassy in Jakarta today (Nov. 11, 2004). Munir had died on a flight bound for Amsterdam on Sept 7, 2004 (see INFID's SNO No. V/23: September 3-9, 2004). According to the Dutch official it is due to international diplomatic rules that the report was not handed over directly to the widow of the Human Rights activist, who claimed the right to be the first to read the report. According to unconfirmed reports from NGO circles in Jakarta the Indonesian Foreign Office is presently withholding this report maintaining that the Co-ordinating Minister for Politics, Law and Security has to grant permission to hand over the report to the widow. The long time that has passed since the autopsy took place in mid-September and the extreme care applied by Dutch authorities in the preparation of this report have already sparked intense speculations about the actual cause of the Munir's death. The manoeuvres of Indonesian authorities could further fuel this speculation.

Source: HOM, den Haag

European Countries Offer Debt Swap to Indonesia

A deputy of the chief economics minister Jannes Hutagalung said that four European donor countries have offered to Indonesia a debt swap agreement. Under the agreement part of the Indonesian debts will be cut and used to help finance development programs in the country. A memorandum of understanding will be signed with Britain, France and Italy, Hutagalung said. The Netherlands also has indicated its interest in signing a debt swap agreement, he said after the signing of a debt swap agreement with Germany on Monday. Germany has offered to swap Indonesian debt with a grant to finance environmental development, offering to cut more Indonesian debt for a similar purpose.

Source: AA 9/11

Indonesia Utilizes Only 44.6% of Loan from Donors: Report

The country has succeeded in utilizing only 44.6 per cent or US$1.24 billion of US$2.9 billion in loans from the donor consortium of Consultative Group on Indonesia (CGI) in 2004, an official report said. Altogether in the first three quarters of 2004, only 41.44 per cent or US$5.98 billion of US$14.45 billion in foreign loans available for the year have been used, the National Development Planning Board (Bappenas) said.

In 2004 project loans used so amounted to US$1.19 billion or 49 per cent of the project loans available and program loans used amounted to 452.5 million or 39.35 per cent of the amount available. Bappenas secretary Koensatwanto said project loans have been more donor-driven, with the donors requiring that basic material and technical consultant be provided by the donor countries.

Source: AA 9/11

Govt to seek debt write-off program: Finance Minister

Finance Minister Jusuf Anwar said the ratio between the country's foreign debt and its gross domestic product has now dropped to 60 percent from over 100 percent a few years ago. He said the government would not only strive to reduce the amount of the country's foreign debt but also lower the costs such commitment fees.

"Commitment fees we have to pay to the World Bank alone amount to US$1.5 billion and to the ADB US$2.3 billion per year while we have yet to receive the loans," he said.

He said the government would try to reduce its credit-fee burden by conducting a review of its pospecctive loans in which it would decide whether to relocate, close or waive those loans altogether. The goverment would also seek to obtain debt write-off programs or swap its debts with environment, city bus and public housing programs, he said.

Source: AA 5/11

General News

Economy Better, Investment Uncompetitive: WB

The World Bank said it has revised its forecast for gross domestic product (GDP) growth in Indonesia for 2004 to 4.9 pct from 4.5 pct previously. The government forecast is for GDP to grow 4.8 pct this year. The bank also revised up its forecast for 2005 GDP growth to 5.4 pct from 5.0 pct, in line with the government's projection.

The Bank said the economy grew by 4.7 percent during this year's first semester, while the unemployment rate in May was down to 7.4 percent from 8.5 percent in August 2003. The government had set an economic growth target of 4.8 percent for this year. Newly elected President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, however, is expecting to be able to reach a GDP growth of between 5 percent and 7 percent, and an unemployment rate of 6 percent for the country's 212 million people, in the next year.

While projecting a pickup in growth, the World Bank reiterated its concerns on the poor domestic investment climate. The World Bank pointed to its recent Doing Business Survey 2005 report, which shows that it takes 151 days for investors to start a business in Indonesia -- five times longer than in Malaysia or Thailand.

The full WB report can be found at: http://lnweb18.worldbank.org/eap/eap.nsf/All/2DA786CAE06BE84885256F460013F284?opendocument

Sources: AFX 9/11, JP 10/11

Cut Fuel Subsidy: WB

The World Bank has recommended that the government cut fuel subsidies, as they have done nothing to alleviate poverty. World Bank senior economist for Indonesia Jehan Arulpragasam said that the rationale behind the subsidies was questionable as, in general, they benefited the rich five times more than they did the poor, and had created distortions in the fuel market. Arulpragasam explained that the distortion in fuel prices had lead to widespread fuel smuggling to neighboring countries, and worsening air pollution problems due to the public's excessive consumption of fuel.

The new government of Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono is under pressure to cut down costly fuel subsidy spending as oil prices have surged to record levels. The oil hike has inflated the 2004 fuel subsidy allocation from the planned Rp 14.5 trillion to Rp 59.2 trillion, a huge sum when looked at in the light of the Rp 70 trillion allocated on development spending.

The government has decided not to raise fuel prices during the remainder of this year as people prepare to celebrate the year-end festivities at Idul Fitri, Christmas and the New Year. But officials have acknowledged that fuel prices might have to be increased next year in line with developments in the international oil price in a bid to ease the pressure on the state budget.

Fiscal Policy Strangles Indonesian Economy: http://www.infid.be/fiscal_policy.htm.

Source: JP 10/11

Buyat Bay Contaminated: Environment Minister

The joint team for handling the case of Buyat Bay, North Sulawesi, found that there was arsenic contamination in the waters. But announcement of the findings would have to wait for a ministerial coordinating meeting that will discuss follow-up policies; the meeting will be attended by relevant institutions

Minister of Environment Rachmat Witoelar said on Nov. 8 that some parameters like the arsenic level in the sediments, community wells and fish on the sea bed were potentially harmful for Buyat residents' health. In the ministerial meeting, they would synchronize findings from other sectors in order to find a technical mechanism to address Buyat case. He admitted that there were indeed some abnormalities in Buyat Bay, as indicated by diseases suffered by the locals such as skin diseases.

Despite the results, PT Newmont Minahasa Raya maintained on Nov. 9 that the bay was free of contamination. Dave Baker, Newmont's senior vice president for environmental management, said that elevated levels of arsenic were to be expected in the tailings solid because of the mineralogy of the ore body. "The tailings system was designed so that the arsenic would be in a safe chemically stable form that is locked into the sediment and not released into the environment," he said in a statement. Baker claimed that the system has worked as designed.

"It is confirmed by multiple previous scientific studies as well as 8 years of PT NMR monitoring data that show arsenic concentrations in seawater to be well below Indonesian and international seawater standards," he said.

Newmont, which operated in the area for six years up until Aug. 31, disposed of its tailings in Buyat Bay. It has maintained that the tailings had been detoxified.

Sources: MC 9/11, JP 10/11

Resume Military Ties with US: Expert

The reelection of President George W. Bush is expected to offer a greater opportunity for the resumption of Indonesian military ties with the United States and to clear the way for more aid to help in the domestic fight against terrorism.

Bara Hasibuan, a former congressional fellow and the National Mandate Party (PAN)'s director of international relations, said that for the sake of his global campaign against terror, President Bush would persuade the U.S. Congress to lift its embargo on the Indonesian Military. According to Bara, Bush had in fact sought to end the military embargo on Indonesia after he took power for his first four-year term.

Bara said that the new Bush administration would also keep disbursing aid to the Indonesian government to help it with the antiterror drive. "But the Indonesian government must be proactive in reaching out for it and leave its passive approach behind," he added.

Foreign Minister Hasan Wirayudha after meeting President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono on Nov.4 Hasan told reporters that Indonesia also hopes that the US government will strengthen bilateral relations, particularly in military cooperation, and increase cooperation in the war on terrorism.

He said that at the government level for the past several years the US administration wanted to better military relations with Indonesia. He said the obstacle was not in government but in Congress.

A Win for Indonesia Military: http://www.infid.be/military_awin.htm.

Sources: JP 6/11, BWM 4/11

House endorsed Ryamizard as TNI Chief

In a move that could worsen its relationship with President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, the House of Representatives' defense commission said it had endorsed Army chief Gen. Ryamizard Ryacudu's nomination as new Indonesian Military (TNI) chief.

"We have endorsed the nomination of Ryamizard (as TNI chief). We hope the President will install him soon," House Commission I chairman Theo L. Sambuaga said.

House Commission I had been assigned to discuss former President Megawati Soekarnoputri's letter on the appointment of Ryamizard as acting TNI chief following the resignation of Gen. Endriartono Sutarto.

Susilo sent a letter to House leaders last week to withdraw Megawati's letter, but they ignored his letter, arguing that Megawati was the legitimate president when she submitted the letter.

"Legally, Gen. Ryamizard has become the new TNI chief, but the inauguration will depend on President Susilo," commission member Happy Bone Zulkarnaen said.

General Endriartono Sutarto has reiterated he would not quit as head of Indonesia's armed forces unless the president asked him to do so.

TNI Polemic Shows Military's Political Clout: http://www.infid.be/military_political.htm.

Sources: JP 6/11, AFP 7/11

Ex-E Timor Governor Acquitted of Human Rights Violations

Indonesia's Supreme Court on Nov. 4 acquitted the former governor of East Timor of charges of gross human rights violations in 1999 when its people voted to separate from Indonesia.

In the ruling the five-member panel said they "did not find the defendant guilty of committing crimes as accused."

In the judicial review filed by Soares soon after he was sentenced to three years in jail, his lawyers submitted new evidence to show his innocence and to secure his release. Among the new evidence was a statement, signed by all members of the East Timor parliament. The statement said Soares "was innocent, because at the time of the incident, the power was in the hands of the Indonesian military and police" and that he "had no power to prevent the incident from happening." There was also a letter from East Timor President Xanana Gusmao, declaring him "a figure of peace and reconciliation."

In Indonesia's legal system, a judicial review filed with the Supreme Court is allowed as long as the defendant can show new evidence for his or her case.

The decision, which follows the quashing of convictions against others implicated in the violence, means that among 18 people sentenced by an Indonesian human rights tribunal for East Timor atrocities, none remain behind bars. Rights groups say the tribunal was a sham. Both the United States and the European Union said the trials fell short of justice. Although the latest ruling was made independently of newly elected President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, it is unlikely to reflect well on his pledges to clean up the country's graft-riddled judicial system.

However, Attorney General Abdul Rahman Saleh said on Nov. 9 that there was still a chance that prosecutors could build new cases and name new suspects for crimes against humanity in the former Indonesian province. Abdul Rahman was responding to a demand from two human rights groups, the Commission for Missing Persons and Victims of Violence (Kontras) and Imparsial, which called on his office to find new suspects for the human rights abuses in East Timor. Kontras and Imparsial said in a joint statement that the acquittal of former East Timor governor Abilio Soares of human rights violations coincidentally opened up a new legal avenue for bringing those responsible for the bloodshed to justice.

Sources: Kyodo 4/11, JP 5/11 10/11

Regional News

Aceh

November 1

A number of ministers arrived in Aceh to seek input before deciding on whether or not to extend the state of civil emergency in Aceh which will end on November 19. The delegation included the Coordinating Minister for Political, Legal and Security Affairs, Widodo AS, the Coordinating Minister for Social Welfare, Alwi Shihab, the Minister of Home Affairs, M. Ma'ruf, Indonesian Police Chief General Da'i Bachtiar and Attorney General Abdul Rahman Saleh. Upon arriving in Aceh, the ministers immediately held a closed meeting with local government officials, which lasted some two hours.

November 2

Coordinating Minister for Political, Legal and Security Affairs, Widodo AS said the civil emergency in Aceh might be extended. The state of civil emergency in Aceh will end on November 18. Following this it could be extended for the entire province, part of the province or be reduced [to a state of civil authority], he said.

November 5

A military spokesman Ari Mulya Asnawi said Indonesian soldiers killed seven suspected rebels in two gunbattles in Aceh. Troops gunned down four alleged members of the Free Aceh Movement in the eastern Aceh district of Pidie on Nov. 4. Four others were killed near the provincial capital, Banda Aceh, he said.

Acehnese Want Peace: http://www.infid.be/aceh_peace.htm.

Sources: AP 5/11, Indoleft 2/11

Documents

Paper on Post-Election Indonesia

The INFID Liaison Officer, Klaus H. Schreiner gave a presentation at a seminar jointly organised by the German-Indonesian Society, Hamburg and the HSH Nordbank, Hamburg. Among the speakers were Dr. Rüdiger Machetzki, Institute for Asian Studies (Hamburg) and Dr. Matthias Umlauf, HSH Nordbank (Hamburg). The following text presents a first assessment of the political situation in post-election Indonesia.

Quo Vadis Indonesia? Bestandsaufnahme und Perspektiven nach den Präsidentschaftswahlen: http://www.infid.be/Quo-Vadis-Indonesia.pdf.

Abbreviations

AA Asia Pulse/Antara
AFP Agence France-Presse
AP Associated Press
DPA Deutsche-Press Agenteur
JP The Jakarta Post
MC miningindo.com
 


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