First Meeting of the
Legislative-Executive Development Advisory Council

10:10 - 11:54 a.m., 16 February 1999
State Dining Room, Malacañan

SUMMARY OF DISCUSSIONS AND AGREEMENTS

Presiding Officer

With His Excellency, President Joseph Ejercito Estrada presiding, the first LEDAC meeting was called to order at 10:10 a.m. Vice-President Gloria Macapagal-Arroyo led the opening prayer.

Attendance

The following officials attended the meeting:

A. Executive Branch

1 His Excellency, Joseph Ejercito Estrada
2. Her Excellency, Vice-President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo
3. Executive Secretary Ronaldo B. Zamora (OES)
4. Secretary Felipe M. Medalla (NEDA)
5. Secretary Antonio H. Cerilles (DENR)
6. Secretary Benjamin E. Diokno (DBM)
7. Secretary Edgardo S. Espiritu (DOF)
8. Secretary Jose T. Pardo (DTI)
9. Secretary Alexander P. Aguirre (National Security Adviser)
10. Secretary Fernando C. Barican (Presidential Spokesperson)
11. Secretary Leonora V. De Jesus (PMS)
12. Secretary Jose Jaime C. Policarpio (PLLO)
13. Undersecretary Ronaldo V. Puno DILG)
14. Undersecretary Feliciano M. Gacis (Rep. Sec. O. S. Mercado)

B. Senate

15. Senate President Marcelo B. Fernan
16. Senate President Pro Tempore Blas F. Ople
17. Senate Majority Floorleader Franklin M. Drilon
18. Senate Minority Floorleader Teofisto T. Guingona

C. House of Representatives

19. Speaker Manuel B. Villar
20. Deputy Speaker Daisy Avance-Fuentes
21. House Majority Floor Leader Manuel A. Roxas III
22. House Minority Floor Leader Feliciano R. Belmonte, Jr.
23. Congressman Ralph G. Recto

D. Local Government Units

24. Atty. Lotgardo Barbo League of Provinces

E. Other Officials

25. Dep. Dir-Gen. Raphael Perpetuo M. Lotilla (NEDA)
26. Undersecretary Salvacion Z. Perez (PLLO)
27. Undersecretary Conrado V. Apacible (PLLO)
28. Asst. Secretary Sergio A. Andal (PMS)
29. Asst. Dir.-Gen. Ofelia M. Templo (NEDA)
30. Director Ronald R. Golding (Senate PSG)
31. Director Irah Ruth B. Borinaga (Senate PSG)
32. Director Bernardino E. Sayo (PLLO)
33. Director Victoria V. Quimbo (NEDA)
34. HEA Victor Emmanuel S. Dato (NEDA)
35. HEA Nelson A. Victorino (PLLO)

F. NEDA/LEDAC Secretariat

36. Director Virgilio V. Salentes
37. Mr. Aureo P. Castro
38. Mr. Archimedes C. Lazaro
39. Mr. Ronald Jeffrey G. Manulid
40. Mr. Jose Ma. J. Palabrica
41. Mr. Ricardo R. Sunico
42. Ms. Myrna N. Cacpal
43. Ms. Marlene M. Vegafria

G. PLLO

44. Atty. Jonas M. Lamorena
45. Ms. Genevieve Cortazar
46. Ms. Teresita Sumangil

H. PMS

47. Ms. Margie A. Jorillo
48. Mr. Severino D. Del Rosario
49. Mr. Rudy N. Funclara
50. Mr. Reynaldo B. Mira

I. OTHER STAFFS

51. Atty. Nicon L. Fameronag (O/Sen. Ople)
52. Ms. Susan T. Bulan (CPBO)
53. Ms. Jean Encinas Franco (Senate PSG)
54. Mr. Jose L. Correa

Agenda

The meeting had the following agenda:

I. FOR INFORMATION

A. The Proposed LEDAC Common Legislative Agenda (CLA)

II. FOR DISCUSSION

A. Economic Situationer

B. Implications of the 1999 Budget

III. OTHER MATTERS

IV. DOCUMENTS DISTRIBUTED DURING THE MEETING

A. Proposed LEDAC Common Legislative Agenda

Implications of the 1999 Budget

Minutes

I. CALL TO ORDER

1.0 First LEDAC Meeting

1.1 After calling to order the 1st LEDAC meeting under the Estrada Administration and the prayer led by Her Excellency, Vice-President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo, the President remarked that this 1st LEDAC meeting formalizes what his Administration has been doing at the outset which is consulting and working together in setting and pursuing the priorities of Government.

He added that today’s agenda items are all inter-related, inasmuch as these should lead to policies and programs that will improve the lives of the poor. He reiterated that Government’s poverty eradication program is actually a declaration of war against poverty and the injustice it breeds in society. He finally stressed that the Council gives him confidence that the Executive and Legislature will remain allies in this war.

II. FOR INFORMATION

2.0 The Proposed LEDAC Common Legislative Agenda (CLA)

2.1 Executive Secretary Ronaldo B. Zamora informed the Council that the LEDAC Task Force on the Common Legislative Agenda (CLA) was convened last 21 January 1999 in response to a Presidential directive. The Task Force is composed of the Executive Secretary as Chair; the NEDA Director-General as Vice-Chair; the Presidential Legislative Adviser; the Senate Majority and Minority Floorleaders (as designated by the Senate President); the House Majority, Minority, and two Assistant Minority Floorleaders (as designated by the Speaker of the House).

Exec. Sec. Zamora explained that this proposed LEDAC Common Legislative Agenda (CLA) was culled from the respective legislative programs of the Senate, the House of Representatives and the Executive. The CLA includes measures consistent with the Administration's legislative agenda as laid down in the President’s 1998 State of the Nation Address (SONA) and Ulat sa Bayan.

He added that the Task Force identified ten (10) First Priority Measures targeted for enactment by the end of the First Regular Session. In addition, six (6) Second Priority Measures were also identified to complement the First Priority Measures. These Second Priority Measures are also targeted for priority consideration by Congress before its sine die adjournment in June 1999. The following are the status of the Top and Other Priority Measures:

Top Priority Measures

(a) Amendments to the New Central Bank Act (Bangko Sentral) - This measure is pending in the Senate Committee on Banks, Financial Institutions and Currencies, while its counterpart in the House is pending in the Committee on Banks and Financial Intermediaries;

(b) Amendments to the General Banking Act - This Bill is pending in the Senate Committee on Banks, Financial Institutions and Currencies, while its counterpart in the House is pending in the Committee on Banks and Financial Intermediaries;

(c) Development of Ecozones - The Senate version is approved on Third Reading while the House version is on Second Reading;

(d) Eradication of Racketeers and Powerful Syndicates – In the Senate, this measure is pending in the Committee on Constitutional Amendments while in the House, it is on Second Reading;

(e) Empowering the Local Government Units in the Administration and Operations of the Philippine National Police – The Senate version awaits approval on Third Reading while the House version is for Second Reading;

(f) Clean Air Act - In the Senate, this bill is in the Period of Individual Amendments while in the House, it is going through the final rounds of interpellation;

(g) Power Sector Restructuring – In the Senate, this measure is pending in the Committees on Energy, Public Services, Finance, and Ways and Means while in the House it is pending in the Committee on Energy;

(h) Securities Regulations and Enforcement Act - The Senate version is approved on Third Reading while the House version is on Committee-level;

(g) Anti-Dumping Act - The Senate version is approved on Third Reading while the House version is on Committee-level; and

(h) Domestic Industry Protection Act (subsidies and countervailing measures) - The Senate version is approved on Third Reading while the House version is on Committee-level.

Other Priority Measures

(a) Regional Area Headquarters (Incentives to MNCs Establishing Regional HQs) – Both Senate and House versions are pending at the Committee-level;

(b) Concurrence to a Proclamation Extending the Period of Application for General Amnesty – The Senate version is for Second Reading while the House version has been approved on Second Reading;

(c) Mandatory Use of Safety Belts - The Senate version is approved on Third Reading while the House version is pending at Committee-level;

(d) Amendments to the Organic Act of the Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao – In the Senate, this measure has been approved on Second Reading while in the House, it has been approved on Third Reading;

(e) Amendments to 1954 Retail Trade Law (R.A. 1180) – Both Senate and House versions are pending at the Committee-level; and

(f) Pre-Need Plans Code - Both Senate and House versions are pending at the Committee-level.

2.2 At the instance of the Executive Secretary, Senator F. M. Drilon informed the Council that earlier that day, leaders of both chambers of Congress, together with Defense Secretary Orlando S. Mercado and Presidential Security Adviser Alexander P. Aguirre, agreed to expedite the Amendments to the ARMM Organic Act which should be enacted into law 60 days prior to the ARMM plebiscite on the second Monday of September 1999.

He added that a joint Senate and House public hearing on the ARMM Amendments will be held on 25 February at Zamboanga City. Sen. Drilon then requested the President to certify as urgent the proposed Amendments to the ARMM Organic Act.

2.3 Likewise, Cong. M. A. Roxas also requested the President to direct the National Security Adviser, Sec. Aguirre, to help identify which of the three (3) House versions on the ARMM law is most amenable to the Executive.

2.4 On Vice-President’s G. M. Arroyo’s query on why the Visiting Forces Agreement (VFA) was not included in the LEDAC CLA, Sen. Drilon explained that this is a primary concern of the Senate only since the Constitution provides that all international agreements be ratified only by the Senate.

2.5 The Council agreed to adopt and pursue the LEDAC Common Legislative Agenda (CLA).

III. FOR DISCUSSION

3.0 Economic Situationer

3.1 On the 1998 economic performance, Secretary Felipe M. Medalla reported to the Council that the country’s Gross National Product (GNP) grew by 0.1 percent in 1998 which is out of the originally forecasted range. Meanwhile the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) reportedly grew at a negative 0.5 percent. The strong growth (12.9%) of the net factor incomes from abroad (NFIA), which accounts for the difference between GNP and GDP, enabled overall output to achieve positive growth.

During the fourth quarter of 1998, preliminary estimates show a drop in GNP of 1.2 percent while the GDP fell by 1.9 percent. The fall in GDP is lower than that of private sector forecasts and is expected to be the lowest among Asian countries with negative GDP growth.

Sec. Medalla further explained that the 1998 GDP contraction was caused by the 6.6% drop in agricultural production, and the decline of construction and construction-related manufacturing by 9.5 percent. Had agriculture posted a zero growth, GDP would have risen by 1.1 percent. And had construction and construction-related manufacturing turned in a similar zero growth, GDP would have grown by 0.3 percent.

In addition, the "El Niño" dry spell greatly devastated agriculture in the first three quarters. It was initially estimated that there will be a slower decline in the fourth quarter but apparently, the typhoons in October and pest infestations in some areas of the country did more damage. Palay, as well as other cash crops like coconut and sugarcane all posted double-digit declines in the fourth quarter. Sec. Medalla noted that the livestock subsystem remained strong, growing by 6.2 percent in the fourth quarter and 4.1 in the whole of 1998.

Meanwhile, industry was weighed down by the drop in construction and manufacturing, which contributed 0.5 and 0.3 percentage points, respectively, to the fall in GDP. Both construction and manufacturing were disadvantaged by the market-unfriendly environment, i.e., high interest rates and volatile exchange rate during the early part of 1998.

Food manufacturing remained one of the few bright spots in industry as its growth in 1998 (3.1 %) is in fact higher than in 1997 (0.8%).

With regard to services, Sec. Medalla pointed out that its growth remained steadfast led primarily by the transportation and communication sectors and domestic trade. The services sector, in fact, accelerated in the fourth quarter vis-à-vis the third quarter. The telecommunications sub-sector was driven by firm-level programs to meet roll out commitments.

On the demand side, Sec. Medalla explained that personal spending remained firm (growing by 3.5 percent) encouraged by the moderate movement in prices. Government consumption went up slightly by 0.8 percent, as the national government pursued a P50- billion deficit program.

However, despite the improvement in macroeconomic indicators towards the latter part of 1998, investors remained cautious. The durable equipment sector shrank by 18.4 percent as almost all type of equipment, except those for telecommunications, registered declines. Public construction was the only source of investment growth. Nonetheless, construction declined by 3.8 percent, compared to its 14.6 percent growth in 1997.

Sec. Medalla stressed that the weak performance of the economy highlights the need to immediately carry out measures to ensure recovery in 1999. Thus, he proposed the following policy imperatives:

(a) Policy reforms to enhance competitiveness and access to foreign financing - The executive branch will have to work closely with Congress to speed up passage of laws on the banking sector, power sector, and air quality reforms to hasten the release of the Miyazawa and other program loans;

(b) Support the recovery of agriculture through timely seed distribution by PhilRice; building up small irrigation/impounding facilities by the NIA; and the timely release and use of budget for rice and corn programs (PhP 1.6 B);

(c) Support for manufacturing and other industries by speeding up the release of Miyazawa funds for the private sector (US$ 500 M); allowing direct power sales to manufacturing firms, construction, transportation, telecommunications, power, tourism, and other services (schools, medical services);

(d) Pump-priming, primarily by speeding up direct releases of payments of accounts payables to private suppliers and contractors of the infrastructure program of Government (PhP 76 B); and

(e) Stronger export drive by implementing an action plan for more aggressive measures to promote product and market diversification in view of a possible US growth slowdown.

On the other hand, Sec. Medalla laid down the following prospects for 1999:

(a) Agriculture is expected to recover - In the first semester alone, the DA projects palay production to grow by 47.3 percent and corn by 102.3 percent. This will have multiplier effects on manufacturing and services;

(b) On manufacturing - initial capital investments of newly registered domestic stock corporations and partnerships with the SEC turned a hefty 42.1 percent growth in October 1998 due to infusions in manufacturing, utilities and mining and quarrying; and

(c) Government pump-priming activities - are expected to boost aggregate demand. The national government has programmed a P68.4 deficit this year.

Sec. Medalla stressed that if these prospects are realized, GNP is targeted to grow by 3.0-3.7 percent while GDP will expand by 2.6-3.2 percent. Agriculture is expected to rebound by 3.0-3.5 percent. This, in effect, will help in the recovery of industry, leading to a growth of 2.0-2.4 percent. Manufacturing is seen to grow by 1.7-2.1 percent. The expansion of services by 3.0-3.8 percent is likewise expected to continue as trade improves.

However, there are possible downside factors in the global environment that we have to watch out for. Among these are the protracted recession in Japan and the lingering question on the yuan devaluation in view of the slowdown in China’s export growth and Hong Kong’s recession.

Finally, Sec. Medalla said that the consensus for Asia in general, is that this year will see the start of recovery. For instance, the IMF’s projection for ASEAN-4 (-2.0 percent for Malaysia, -3.4 percent for Indonesia, 1.0 percent for Thailand, and 2.5 percent for the Philippines) indicates an improvement from –9.6 percent average GDP growth in 1998 to –1.4 percent in 1999. The continuing robust growth of the US, albeit at a slower rate than 1998’s 3.9 percent, will boost this recovery process.

3.2 Sen. Drilon informed the Council that the Senate will pass the Clean Air Act very soon and that the Amendments to the General Banking Act will be approved on Third Reading by the end of this month.

3.3 The Vice-President suggested that the LEDAC Task Force on the CLA identify the legislation conditionalities of the Miyazawa fund for discussion at a later time.

3.4 Cong. R. Recto noted that lower interest rates were not having an effect on the rural sector necessitating new government initiatives to improve agricultural productivity. Thus, he suggested that the Agri-Agra Law be considered for prioritization to spur long term growth in the rural agricultural sector.

4.0 Implications of the 1999 Budget

4.1 Secretary Benjamin E. Diokno reported to the Council that the 1999 budget of PhP 579.5 B is 10 % higher than the 1998 budget. As a percent of GNP it is only 18.7 % which is slightly less than what it was in 1998. The social sector accounts for the biggest share of the budget at 43.7% if IRA and debt service are netted out.

Agriculture, agrarian reform and natural resources will get a total of PhP 31 B or 8.5% of total budget net of IRA and debt service; Education culture and manpower development will receive an allocation of P112.6 billion or 30.7 percent of total budget; and Public order and safety, a priority program of the Estrada administration, will receive an allocation of PhP 40.8 B or 11.1 % of total the budget.

Sec. Diokno explained further that an increasing share of the budget is being set aside for the Internal Revenue Allotment (IRA) to local governments. The total amount of budgetary resources that will go to local government units is estimated at PhP 103.8 B of which PhP 97 B will be in the nature of the IRA grant. He explained that IRA use was supposed to be less than 10% of the national budget, however assistance to LGUs has now reached 18.8 percent of the budget. Thus, Government should try to influence local government spending so that the IRA will be spent in a way that supports national priorities.

According to Sec. Diokno, the national budget is based on and will support an economic growth of between 3.0 to 3.7% and an inflation rate of between 8-9 percent. The 1999 budget should be a critical tool for early economic recovery. Our success or failure to make this happen will depend on: (a) a fiscal stimulus package that will help perk-up construction and raise overall demand in the economy; (b) a sound revenue base; (c) a financing program that is less inflationary and that will not cause domestic interest rates to rise; and (d) a set of budget reforms that will speed up implementation, reduce graft, foster transparency, and improve public accountability of public funds.

He stressed that Government’s commitment to the IMF is the size of the deficit. However, the size of the deficit is nothing to be of major concern. The proposed national government deficit will be in the neighborhood of 2.2% of GNP while the consolidated public sector deficit - the deficit including those of the major corporations, the old Central Bank, and other public institutions – will only be 3.1% of GNP. This is in stark contrast to other troubled countries with a deficit-to-GNP ratio ranging from 5 to 7%.

As private aggregate demand continues to be weak during the first half of the year, Sec. Diokno stressed that Government has to pick up the slack through a program of stimulating government construction and payment of accounts payable; the revenue base has to be improved in order to support our plan to have a balanced budget by year 2001; and tax legislation should focus on broadening the tax base and improvement of tax administration.

Finally, Sec. Diokno stated that the Estrada Administration’s strategy for financing the budget deficit will rely more on foreign financing in order to avoid the rise in domestic interest rate.

4.2 Sen. T. T. Guingona noted that the regional allocations in the budget were still biased in favor of richer regions. In reply, Sec. Diokno explained that Departments can realign up to 30% of their non-personal services portions of their budgets to support regions with greater needs.

4.3 Atty. L. Barbo, representing the League of Provinces, requested the Council that functions devolved to LGUs be given adequate financial support from the national budget. As an example, he cited the Devolution Support Fund which is sourced from the IRA fund thus, defeating IRA’s very purpose.

5.0 Council Agreement

5.1 For the Council to adopt and pursue the LEDAC Common Legislative Agenda (CLA).

V. ADJOURNMENT

The meeting adjourned at 11:54 a.m.


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Legislative Executive Development Advisory Council
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