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The Jakarta Post


The Jakarta Post, March 15, 2006

Entrepreneurs of conflict at play in Poso

Philips J. Vermonte, Jakarta

The most recent violent incident in Poso - the bombing of a Hindu temple on March 10 - was widely reported.

The choice of target was significant. It was intended to expand the conflict in Poso, a conflict that has been perceived primarily as a one between Muslims and Christians. Some maintain, however, that religion is merely being used as a galvanizing factor by the warring parties.

Scholars have tried to analyze the various conflicts that have happened around the country, such as those in Poso, Ambon, Sambas and Sampit. Most of the scholarly works on conflict have focused on the big picture and root causes. While important, such a focus tends to neglect one simple fact: A conflict never occurs naturally, but is instead somehow activated by agents with various agendas.

In his seminal work Men, the State and War (1959), Kenneth Waltz argued that any conflict had two types of cause: permissive cause and immediate cause. "Permissive cause" refers to its general context - social, economic and political contexts. In this regard, poverty and the unequal distribution of resources and power are the most commonly cited.

However, drawing on the big picture of a conflict is not always sufficient. Ashutosh Varshney (2002), for example, has shown that two different places that share similar economic, social and political characteristics might experience different paths: One may remain peaceful while the other may become trapped in a long and protracted conflict.

This suggests that a more micro explanation is needed. Explaining the immediate causes of a conflict provides an entry point for this. The immediate causes of conflict include events during which long held grievances reach their boiling point. Such events rapidly transform a latent conflict into an open and violent one. This transformation can suggest that a facilitating factor, such as the presence of a "conflict entrepreneur", is at work.

Conflict entrepreneurs are individuals or collectives who, using sermons, pamphlets and other oral and print media, mobilize a sense of identity among members of a particular social group. Once present, they use this identification to encourage conflict between different parts of a society.

Conflict entrepreneurs deliberately create a strong in-group feeling that reinforces the "us-them" identification. However, it must be noted that the term does not necessarily suggest that conflict entrepreneurs seek personal or material benefits from the conflicts in which they are involved.

In some cases, such as the conflicts in Ambon and Poso, conflict entrepreneurs may exist in religious groups that need leaders to defend against attacks from other groups. Therefore, a conflict entrepreneur may exist for a collective purpose.

As a result, community or religious leaders could be considered conflict entrepreneurs. These leaders, through their speeches, are critical and galvanize the sense of solidarity among people within their own group, as well as inflame the sense of animosity toward their opponent.

In other words, to borrow a term commonly used in international relations, these leaders serve as "securitizing actors" who convince their people that another group is threatening the survival of their own.

The Malino agreements, which have laid important foundations to end the violent conflict in Poso, acknowledge the important role these leaders can play to achieve peace. But then why do incidents like the recent bombing continue to occur?

Stephen John Stedman (1997) suggested that in order to attain a long lasting peace in a conflict area, state authorities must give special attention to the so-called spoilers of peace -- those who believe that the results of peace negotiations threaten their own power, world view and interest. They might use violence to undermine attempts to achieve peace.

It seems that it was these spoilers of peace who carried out the bombing in Poso a few days ago. There might be elements within the warring parties in the conflict who are dissatisfied with the outcome of the peace process. These sorts of elements are highly likely to obstruct the peace process, either independently or with assistance from outside the warring parties.

To deal with this, according to Stedman, state authorities need to fully understand that all parties involved in a conflict seek three things: Greater protection of their interests, fairness and justice, and recognition of their position.

Therefore, to better deal with the conflict in Poso, the authorities, both at the national and local level, need to continuously address the concerns of all parties in the conflict in a more delicate way. This means that if the authorities are to exercise their power to implement the peace agreement, it must be based on a sound and balanced judgment of the situation.

The writer is a researcher at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) Jakarta and a graduate student at the Department of Political Science, Northern Illinois University, U.S.

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