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T.O.C.

PCNs 
January, 2008


Doggie Fortress
Wednesday, January 2, 2008 2:29 PM
T.O.C.

It's snowed quite a bit. Yes, the wooly bears were right, its a big snow year. Well, I guess I just felt like going with it, and maybe the kids and the doggies will be having fun in the new snow fort, or "castle"... 2 pictures are attached.

There is a 3 foot wall to keep the dogs in that is already 70 or 80 feet long, and the front wall of the castle is underway. The castle will be the area behind where you currently see the opening in the castle wall at the bridge. The bridge and doorway are about 3 feet off the ground.

Golly, I'm just like a kid again! :-)

Cheers -

Mark



A provocative Hillary point
Sunday, January 6, 2008 10:03 PM
T.O.C.


"The Tyranny of Super-Delegates"
http://www.commondreams.org/archive/2008/01/05/6189/

Hillary is presently the dem leader, with less "people votes" than either Obama or Edwards. Gallup also has Obama by 13 points in NH.

The question in my mind is... Will the Washington superdelegates tip the election in the face of the American people if they go another way?

Naturally, Huckabee swept Iowa, wqhich is 60% evangelical. Since 2000, the republican party appears to have become a truly religious experience!

With Ron Paul, you wouldn't have to worry about it! He got 10% of the rubs, against Huckabee and Romney... IN IOWA! He's good for 20% in NH, I'd wager. He also has the largest support of any candidate from US military personnel (where only democrats are rising otherwise)
http://www.capitaleye.org/inside.asp?ID=300
The non-active duty folks are way beyond that, too.

Cheers!

- Mark :-)



Rumour of VA benefits deadline - Jan 17, 2008
Sunday, January 6, 2008 10:16 PM
T.O.C.


Unfortunately, this is a rumor at this point, and I can't say I've gotten to the bottom of it, but it's spreading at its own rate, apparently started by one fellow - Jesus something or other.

One vet appears to have found a cut-off of VA benefits for certain types who had not enrolled by Jan 17, 2003. This is possibly a typo, but off the VA website.

If it isn't just a rumor, then get your DD214 processed ASAP if you have not done so already.

And please let me know if you know better.

TIA!

Mark



The Bad News
Monday, January 7, 2008 7:19 PM
T.O.C.


I bumped into an interesting site today, from New Hampshire... http://www.democracyfornewhampshire.com/

As a search result, it brought me to how we're doing with voting machines. Not good.

I once wrote software for ATM machines, and can only say that I am glad I wasn't working with Diebold directly. 

You see, a diebold tabulator, for example, is a Windows PC with a dial-up connection, and an MS Access DB with tabulated voting results in it. These tallies can be easily brought up in an Excel spreadsheet, changed, and there is no paper trail. If that happened, no one would know. The company tech comes in the day after the polls and collects the harddrives from the machines, so the polling station has no evidence of any kind.

The dial-up aspect is the troubling thing. The people in the polling stations don't have to know how this stuff works, really, so if there are dial-up accounts on the PC, then they are not likely to remove them. Where such an account is still on the machine, a single person from a single point could get on the phone and dial in to a wild diversity of such tabulators, modify their vote totals, and log off. The only record of such an event that I can think of would be telephone records.

The polling machines themselves are also junk. If a system like these machines were ever produced by a hardware/software provider, it would go immediately out of business because nobody would buy the product. The security is the worst I could even imagine. If it were any company I have worked at, the department would be dissolved for the production of a miserable failure.

I can also assure you that Diebold ATMs are very secure. Just like Fujitsu and the rest. They work very well, and when there is an error, there is an elaborate trail for follow-up investigations. My code runs on Diebold ATMs, and I probably couldn't even crack it - too much protocol over the wire. (All I would get for Christmas would be an investigation)

This is the stuff they're talking about all over their front page for tomorrow's NH vote (link above).

Cheers -

Mark



The Good News 2
Monday, January 7, 2008 8:06 PM
T.O.C.


From the same site as last, I linked to a very heart-warming site, by representative Wexler of congress and a couple others.

http://www.wexlerwantshearings.com/

In setting up the above petition for votes for the impeachment of Dick Cheney, which by the letter of the law is just too easy of a thing to do, Wexler recieved 100,000 signatures in 5 days. I hope this can continue to spread as much and as quickly as possible. I would guess, based upon the petitions that I have seen, that when we hit a million signatures, it's going to get serious...? Well, who knows, but there's at least a foot in the door.

I encourage anyone and everyone to add their signature to this petition, because Dick Cheney's facial expression is all-too-often not symmetrical, and this may indicate a corrupted internal condition, and could lead to corruption in politics if left unchecked.

Actually, he has done bad things, by personally running all US intel through his office and creating not only the Iraq war, but for his rediculous attempts at creating an Iran war, and for his failure to intercept hijacked aircraft on the morning of 9/11 (for 50 minutes) as the NORAD commander (with Norman Mineta in the white house basement telling us of the crime).

Cheers -

Mark



Fwd: Fw: Ya gotta love kids!
Wednesday, January 9, 2008 11:17 AM
T.O.C.


LOL!  And what tickles me even fancier is to imagine
these as adults!

Cheers -

Mark

....Ya gotta love kids!

This is one of the better e-mails I have received in a long time! I hope this makes its way around the WORLD several times over!!!!!



Impressions of the Candidates
Wednesday, January 9, 2008 2:04 PM
T.O.C.


Stream of consciousness - impressions of the candidates are forming for me...

It seems we know Obama as change.

And Hillary as the democratic party (establishment).

And Ron Paul as countercultural/constitutional complex.

And Huckabee as the evangelical baptist.

And Romney as a straw man/presidentiality complex.

And the republicans who are in part supportive of unpopular aspects of the current administration (establishment): Giuliani and McCain...

Giuliani has experience as the boss (9/11), and he likes to wear lipstick and a bra.

And McCain has Washington experience, and he puts matters of war foreward as matters of personal passion.

And I can't keep track...

Oh, yes, Edwards speaks for the little guy.

And now I really lose track. Oh, yes. Actor Fred Thompson didn't make my radar. Steak without the sizzle. He's obviously got substance, but he's drawing a blank.

(End stream)

Cheers -

Mark



Putting the vote tallying thinking cap on
Wednesday, January 9, 2008 3:04 PM
T.O.C.


and wondering how in evangelical Iowa, where Paul received 10% of the republican vote, and then turning around to the more independently-minded New Hampshire (40% registered indys), he drops to 8%.

Yesterday, the man was defamed, on TV and in print. It was on Tucker Carlson, and it the New Republic, to say the least. Talking heads also commented on how his people and signs were all over the place. That's what they said.

It was voting day.

It occurs to me that the press and the media may not like the "internet guy".

I also don't think he's the "internet guy", I think the internet people have swarmed upon him. He's the constitutionalist. I'm the counterculturalist! (as they say).

Cheers -

Mark



Vote Count - Sutton, NH
Thursday, January 10, 2008 1:13 AM
T.O.C.


The first confirmation of voting problems is in. In the town of Sutton, NH, three people noticed, after having voted for Paul that the Sutton count was zero. 
Link: http://www.ronpaulwarroom.com/?p=655   
Turns out, Paul got 31 votes in Sutton. The votes from Sutton then go to be tallied by Premier.

For those not yet aware, the 2008 vote totalling is being conducted behind closed doors by the staff of Premier, a subsidiary of Diebold. "Behind closed doors" is "for security purposes", say the Diebold experts.

If this vote counting business turns out ugly, I smell revolution. In the Ohio recount of 2004, for example, two people were convicted of falsifying the recount, and there wide-spread statistical and unexplainable anomalies in initial voting results, such as totals 10 times greater in a dozen districts than the number of registered voters. (Example: 400 registered voters, 4000 votes for Bush)

The democrats (in MD) approved of the electronic voting machines years ago, so don't guess dems and repubs are different. The machines are appallingly bad, and no third party worth its salt, such as CREF, would endorse the product. CREF reported security holes to the DHS in 2004, to which the DHS never responded.

When this country was formed, voting was not hammered out at the federal level - it was left up to the individual states to do it however they wanted. We need voting reform - bad. 81% of NH, for example, is using Diebold/LHS electronic equipment that is neither secure nor which leaves any kind of a paper trail. It's also being conducted by a private corp!

If you or anyone you know voted for Paul in New Hampshire, they are working to track down voters who have not signed affidavits to do so. This is a process of going after their own account of actual vote tallies for Ron Paul. Here: http://ronpaulvotecount.com/

We may be seeing a recount. Not sure what Paul wants to do. The org is in the proess, as I say, of trying to reconstruct the NH vote themselves.

The first sign of a voting problem was in Dixville Notch, where 16 votes were counted and 17 votes were cast. This made the news immediately, and appears to be a potential "straw man". In other words, the media is raising an issue which will then be resolved (publicly), thus giving the appearance of having fixed any voting problems in NH.

Straw Men are often deployed to mislead. Charlie Sheen, for example, who is only one celeb who spoke out on 9/11, was plastered all over the news when he came out. No one knows of Ed Begley, Jr. or Ed Asner a'tall (already in on 911 truth at the time). Sheen was a man of very questionable character, and as likely as anything else was being used by media moguls to discredit the movement.

We'll see how the investigations turn in the coming days.

- Mark



last send
Thursday, January 10, 2008 3:13 AM
T.O.C.

Hi,
A curious problem occured, and this is a re-send of the last email. I always send these mailings to myself as well as y'all, and keep copies. Some of these emails are redirected to my BULK folder instead of my inbox, based upon certain strings of characters in them. The following strings, without hyphens, cause my emails (to me) to redirect to my BULK folder.
I used a binary search to locate them...

s-t-r-a-w
s-h-e-e-n
o-r-g

Weird! For giggles, you can try to send one of these words in a message to yourself (using yahoo spam guard), and see if it makes it to your own inbox. The added kicker is that it works fine if I send all of these words from another email account (gmail), but not FROM this account. I receive it. This is a problem with what I send out. 

Cheers -

Mark

p.s.:
Last send:

<re-send not repeated herein>



Obama Sees Change (NH vote)
Thursday, January 10, 2008 10:02 AM
T.O.C.


"Major allegations of vote fraud in New Hampshire" 
Link 

Moving to pre-polling data, such as Zogby, shows the Obama/Clinton votes experiencing the biggest switcharoo. Obama got the short end of the stick.

"Zogby polling numbers had Obama leading Clinton by a whopping 42/29 per cent, yet Clinton eventually took the primary by three per cent."

Mitt Romney also got a boost when contrasted against the pre-polling data.

Cheers -

Mark



Introducing Brad Friedman
Thursday, January 10, 2008 7:56 PM
T.O.C.


For those not aware, if you want to stay on the tip of what is happening with voting, there is a fellow who has dedictaed much of himself to this since the '04 election, including interviews with Diebold insiders who want to talk. Brad has been at the front for some time.

According to Chris Mathews, EXIT POLL data had Obama 8 points over Hillary. Exit Polls are the most accurate polling data, worldwide. Exit polls are what people say after they leave the voting booth.

"MATTHEWS: So what accounts for Hillary Clinton's victory in New Hampshire? What we don't know is why the victory is so much different in fact, then the polling ahead of time, including what we call the Exit Polls were telling us. Obama was ahead in those polls by an average of 8 points, and even our own Exit Polls, taken as people came out of voting, showed him ahead. So what's going on here?"

As pasted from the brad blog... http://bradblog.com/

Cheers -

Mark



Fwd: "Thermate, C4, Nukes & 911 Was Inside Job!", TCN&911WIJ!
Wednesday, January 16, 2008 1:26 PM
T.O.C.


Lots of interesting things to think about here.

- Mark

p.s. Sorry about busted links. Some may need to be pasted back together after breaking across lines. This Ed Ward fellow appears quite dedicated.

--- Kurt wrote:

> Date: Tue, 15 Jan 2008 12:00:10 -0800 (PST)
> Subject: Fwd: "Thermate, C4, Nukes &
> 911 Was Inside Job!", TCN&911WIJ!
>
> "Ed Ward, MD" wrote:  To:
>
> "Thermate, C4, Nukes & 911 Was Inside Job!",
> TCN&911WIJ!
>
> Thermate, C4, Micro Nukes and 911 Was an Inside Job!
> Is The Only Proven
> Theory that Complies with All of the Evidence in One
> Proven Theory. (To
> date, not one valid referenced fact has been
> established to refute a
> single proven fact in about 300 references presented
> in the article, let
> alone the primary evidence for micro nukes in the
> WTC.)
>
> TCN&911WIJ! - Thermate, C4-like explosive, a Nuclear
> device & 911 Was an
> Inside Job!
> http://groups.yahoo.com/group/EdWard-MD/message/216
>
> 1. Three Massive WTC Craters - See us gov LIDAR
> proof: http://www.thepriceofliberty.org/07/03/05/ward.htm
>
> 2. Five Acres of WTC Land Brought to Seering Temperatures in a Few Hours by an 'Anaerobic, Chlorine Fueled "Fire" - Impossible by Basic Laws of Physics. See us gov Thermal Images proof:
> http://www.thepriceofliberty.
> org/07/03/05/ward.htm
>
> 3. Tritium Levels 55 Times (normal) Background Levels assessed a numerical value of 'traces' and 'of no human concern'. See us gov (DOE report) proof:
> http://groups.yahoo.com/group/EdWard-MD/message/141
>
> 4. An Impossible "Fire" (Combustion Process). See Laws of Physics for Fire/Combustion Process and Dr. Cahill's data on 'anaerobic incineration'.
> http://rense.com/general77/newlaws.htm
>
> 5. And More Proprietary Evidence available only in TCN&911WIJ!
>
> Ed Ward, MD - 911 Related Articles - Chronological:
>
> Bombs in the WTC Buildings Proves Nothing to Racist-Fascist Bigots
> http://www.thepriceofliberty.org/06/08/21/ward.htm
>
> Micro-Nukes at the WTC
> http://www.thepriceofliberty.org/06/09/25/ward.htm
> (general evidence for inside job and background of micro nukes)
>
> Update: Micro-Nukes at the WTC
> http://www.thepriceofliberty.
> org/07/03/05/ward.htm (Main micro nuke evidence presented in this article.)
>
> Update: Proves Micro Nukes in the WTC
> http://www.thepriceofliberty.
> org/07/04/16/ward.htm
>
> Verifying the Source of WTC Tritium Levels that Are 55 Times "Background
> Levels" http://www.rense.com/general76/wtc.htm
>
> Prof. Jones Denies, Ignores, Misrepresents Proven Tritium Levels 55 Times Background Levels  http://www.rense.com/general77/levels.htm
>
> Steven Jones Replies To Dr. Ed Ward
> http://www.rense.com/general77/ward.htm
>
> Prof Jones Gladly Assists Testing Unaffected WTC
> Items http://www.rense.com/general77/profjh.htm
>
> Vancouver Conference: Drs Deagle and Jones debate Micro Nukes (video) in
> the WTC http://www.911blogger.com/node/9590
>
> Update: Factual Evaluation of the DOE WTC Tritium Report Data - 911
> http://groups.yahoo.com/group/EdWard-MD/message/141
>
> Breakdown of the WTC Rain and Firehose Water - 4 Million Gallons of Dilution
> http://groups.yahoo.com/group/EdWard-MD/message/136
>
> Prof Jones Accepts Validity of Stable Isotopic Testing for Neutron Activation of Fusion Reactions
> http://groups.yahoo.com/group/EdWard-MD/message/142 
(Note: According to Dr. Deagle, he has been unable to find anyplace in the world that will perform the needed tests on the WTC sample.)
>
> Hello!?! 48,000 Curies of Tritium Would Have to Have Burned to Leave the 3.53/2.83 nCi/L of WTC Tritium Residue
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/EdWard-MD/message/147 
(Note: This is based on evidence in which some of glass Tritium containers were not even
melted by fire. All of the Tritium found was only in/on the unmelted glass.  In any fire that
can melt glass, ALL of tritium escapes into the atmosphere, unless water is poured over the source DURING the initial fire.)
>
> Ed Ward, MD
>



Diphthongs
Wednesday, January 16, 2008 1:58 PM
T.O.C.


Hi,
Mark here.

For years, I've been abbreviating awareness as A (God), existence as E (creation), and individuation/identity as I (a non-real or illusory effect). Respectively, the God, the man, and the devil of all things. I boiled it down to the duality of A and E as the mentally unbeatable paradox of life, and incidentally, where "I" would simply arise as the locus of the other two.

Of A and E, where one is unchanging, the other never changes. Where one is featureless, the other is only featured. These have been A and E. Deists apparently lead to very similar conclusions. The unbeatable paradox, then, is to always know that there are "simultaneous truths", such as "everything matters" and "nothing matters", and by their simultaneity, they
would always both be true. Or perhaps "fate" and "destiny", where once again, simultaneously, these would always both be true. The paradox would always exceed the puny mind capacity.

By accepting an axiomatic or indivisible tandem of A and E in all things, I would say AE. Thoughts outstanding included the wonder as to whether or not a dualistic perspective was the best that any mind could do.

Now... When regarding A and E as a single element, it is to take one step further, and to say that the A and E together form a single axiom. Rather than to say it is a tandem of two axioms, it is to literally say that it is a single thing.

Then I laughed out loud. Thanks, Lary!

I said, "oh my God, it's a diphthong!"

From the Wikipedia...

"In phonetics, a diphthong (also gliding vowel) (Greek äßöèïããïò, "diphthongos", literally "with two sounds," or "with two tones") is a monosyllabic vowel combination involving a quick but smooth movement from one vowel to another, often interpreted by listeners as a single vowel sound or phoneme. While "pure" vowels, or monophthongs, are said to have one target tongue position, diphthongs have two target tongue positions."

It's just got to be one of those crazy coincidences in life.

Cheers -

Mark



NH recount today
Wednesday, January 16, 2008 2:17 PM
T.O.C.


For those who haven't seen, I would be most curious if you have seen news of this.  Today is the day for Dennis Kucinich's NH vote recount.  The following link is just a google search, clearly showing that the major news sources are on it.

http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=kucinich+NH+recount

Did you know that?  If you didn't, I think that's an amazing national phenomenon.  I think it's potentially a phenomenon of, as they say, "the revolution that was not televised".  Editorially, important articles can also wind up on page B-12, so nobodies poop will be stinky.  (nobody reads page B-12)

For example, the "Valley News" hasn't got this in its headlines (local paper)...
http://www.vnews.com/01162008/01162008.htm

Valley News headlines for Wednesday, 1/16/08:

Zoning Proposal Decried in Hanover
Romney Gets Needed Win In Michigan
Fear of Recession Undercuts Markets
Dartmouth Squeaks Past UNH in OT
No School Left Behind The Feds and Funding
School Would Bring Steady Tax Rise
Police: Early-Morning Fire That Awoke Couple May Be Arson
Bill Would Boost Speed Limit in N.H.

Maybe it's just not worthy?

There is also another candidate who requested a recount, but may be getting stuffed by the state. He's a black republican from NH, Albert Howard. Something about the money lost in the wire.

That's why I write political emails.

Cheers -

Mark



Ron Paul and Fascism
Wednesday, January 16, 2008 3:24 PM
T.O.C.


It appears that the width and breadth of claims across the 'net of Ron Paul's association with racism and fascism (anti-black, anti-Jew, white supremacist) is taking my breath away.

The New York Times has issued a retraction (Dec 26), but not alot of people have seen it. The following link provides an article hopefully with some assistance on the matter. I don't really see evidence or a history of fascism in Paul's 40 year congressional career.

http://www.truthnews.us/?p=1431

Cheers -

Mark



NetFlix
Thursday, January 17, 2008 6:39 PM
T.O.C.


Just to casually say, I am loving NetFlix! It's demand-sided (not supply), so I only watch what I order.

What I just also noticed is that any Frontline episode is available (best news tv imho), and I am also finding PBS specials there. Very cool!

I'll be ordering the Medici - "Godfathers of the Renaissance" (PBS) and a frontline episode about Dick Cheney, entitled "The Dark Side".

We also watched the Showtime series "Weeds" (1st season) on two netflix DVDs. TV shows and all!

They work it at a rate of how many DVDs at a time (sets the monthly price), and they just keep recirculating as long as you keep sending them back. All the disks have to do (postally) is get to the local regional post office, and then they fire the next ones off to you.

Cheers -

Mark



Ron Paul the Fascist - logic
Friday, January 18, 2008 1:43 PM
T.O.C.


I have recently been presented with two things. One is to know that David Duke and many other white supremacists, and neo-nazis and "whackos" and such have been supportive of the Ron Paul Campaign. The other has been to hear the argument of Ron Paul's guilt by association.

I have to say that in consideration of a character such as David Duke, that I simply can't condemn the man for doing one thing right in his life. I can easily condemn his bad actions - past, present or future, but I don't find it right or even productive to condemn the one right thing he has done.

I would take money from Charles Manson, in the hopes that he would do something right for once in his life as well. At least there would be some contribution to something that is good in this world.

Cheers -

Mark



Fwd: Congress Cant Read!!!
Friday, January 18, 2008 1:55 PM
T.O.C.

By the way, NIE = National Intelligence Estimate.

Now is as good time as any to pray for the peaceful demise of the people in Washington, and to find loved ones and some bit of heart-felt happiness. I'm serious! When they aint got a heart, they need someone who does, and when they try to run the planet, they just fuck it all up.

new legislation memo attached.

- Mark

Congress dismisses NIE, declares Iran a nuclear threat

Thu, 01/17/2008 - 20:35 - Wire Services
Iran poses a nuclear weapons threat to the United States and its allies, according to the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2008 H R 4986 passed 369-46 by the US House of Representative yesterday, even though the National Intelligence Estimate concluded that that Tehran abandoned its atomic weaponry ambitions in 2003.
Section 229 of the Act states that:
Congress finds that Iran maintains a nuclear program in continued defiance of the international community while developing ballistic missiles of increasing sophistication and range that:
(1) pose a threat to--
(A) the forward-deployed forces of the United States;
(B) North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) allies in Europe; and
(C) other allies and friendly foreign countries in the region; and
(2) eventually could pose a threat to the United States homeland.
HR 4986 mandates that it is the policy of the US to "develop, test, and deploy, as soon as technologically feasible, in conjunction with allies and friendly foreign countries whenever possible, an effective defense against the threat from Iran."
Essentially, this calls for the establishment of the controversial missile defense shield, which is threatening to reignite the cold war and start a new arms race with Russia.
The findings of the Congress contradict the NIE released last month which concluded with “high confidence” that “in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program” and that "Tehran had not restarted its nuclear weapons program as of mid-2007".


Economic Figures
Tuesday, January 29, 2008 1:13 AM
T.O.C.


Hi, 
I think it's been 10 days since any email has come from me. Well, that's how long it took to clear up hardware and virus problems on one of my machines. Frankly, I deserved it, but as they say, some things happen for a reason, and so I appear to have finally started to take modern-day malware seriously. --- It occurs to me that having a general (hit and miss) understanding of economics might not be a bad idea these days. A little history and a better understanding of one or two variables could go a long way in our attempts to navigate present-day economic realities, and in spite of what the talking heads seem to say. I think it's a good idea to know where we are at, and how we got here, especially when I hear those sockpuppets speak.

I think it starts with a fellow by the name of Franklin Delano Roosevelt. When faced with the great depression, he reacted with the "Big Deal" and the "fiat" money system. He took us off the gold standard and created a much larger economy than we had when he entered office.

With the gold standard, our wealth is restricted to (the paltry and meager) Fort Knox, but when switching to the fiat system, larger changes in the overall size of our economy can occur. This was the idea, and the larger economy was put to work employing millions of Americans in government programs that built things like Mount Rushmore and the Blue Ridge Parkway (just to name one or two).

Then there was World War II, which expanded the American economy to the tune of present-day American realities, where literally 5 million American families gain their subsistence by providing arms, munitions, support and services to US Military personnel. Since 1945, the only president I know of to take the big hit and significantly reduce the military machine was George Bush Sr.

The fiat money system is where we create a pile of paper, and say that the total amount of paper is equal to the total amount of actual wealth. What then has to happen is when the total amount of wealth changes, the total amount of paper has to be correspondingly updated, through destruction of existing paper or by the printing and distribution of new money. As long as the paper supply stays comparable to the actual wealth, this system is sound (on paper), and each dollar holds its present value.

In theory, the fiat money system works very well. In theory, capital punishment is justice. Let's take a quick look at what happens with the actual implementation.

The treasury has the task of watching both the money supply and the buying power that we have. There are figures that we must have to know if more money needs to be printed and sent out, or brought in and burned, via the banking system. We have to know what the inflation rate is, because it represents a situation where the paper count and the actual wealth differ. The US Treasury Department does this by calculating the Consumer Price Index (CPI) to see changes in buying power, and the M-1/2/3 money calculators to determine the total paper supply. (Paper isn't just dollars, there are also US Treasury bonds/bills)

Did something go wrong? Let's see. We know that if the inflation rate rises, then either someone has been printing up too much cash, or the amount of economic activity is dwindling. Inflation represents a cycle, wherein the paper and the actuality shift from being different to being the same. Until they get back in tune with one another, there is a known cycle, or lag, or gap, where we experience calculable effects.

Why do we have to have a gap between the two? I think this is a fundamental problem with the introduction of a second system - a system of money, thus creating a place for a lag or a gap wherein the paper isn't exactly real. High inflation appears to be produced by a somewhat "false economy". (And then, derivatives of money, the corporate stock, and derivatives of stocks, such as stock options)

Manipulating the American economy has to be exciting for those who can, don't you think? Ok, so when calculating the CPI, we are going to find out what a 2008 dollar can do. Then, we can compare that to what a 2007 dollar can do, and when we see the difference, we can call up the press and tell them what the inflation rate is between the two. Change in CPI is what we use.

One example that comes to mind is, (quite literally they did this), to say that if a person can buy a 1 GHz computer in 2004 for $500, and a 2 GHz computer in 2005 for $500, then consumer buying power has doubled, or it has experienced a 50% rate of deflation. According to the US Treasury Department in recent years, this is one example of what is being done in the process of calculating changes in CPI. I would like to thank someone for making my computer half the price (in one year), but I can't afford the postage.

What this has also meant is that, according to the official figures, we're not experiencing inflation. It's been around 4%, which aint so bad, since Bush Jr. took office. This is also part of why another economic thing has happened, or has been able to happen.

Since December of 2006, at the very least, the US Treasury has been printing new cash at a rate of $29 Billion each month. It's boosting the economy, because as soon as all that new cash hits the banking system, it becomes available to stimulate new economic growth, with loans for personal and commercial developments. Then again, there is always that nagging "lag" business going on, between the size of the paper, and its adjustment to reality. It's that darned duality between the paper and the reality that gets you, even when the economy is spurred into new growth. At 4% inflation, it's time to print (if you want to).

What is the total US paper supply? This involves applying the money calculators, M1, M2 and M3. M1 is more local, and M3 is the most comprehensive, which tells us the total world-wide amount. Unfortunately, a couple of years ago, the US Treasury reported to us that the M3 calculator was being removed because it costed too much to perform that calculation, and, we don't need that thing anyways. We don't know how big our money supply is. I am starting to feel like a blindfolded barfly, but I can't afford it, so I guess I'll have to home brew instead. That's what they did in the thirties, right?

Once the cause of inflation is underway, a cycle goes with it. I had predicted it would hit the 180 degree point in mid-2006, then I had to push it back to mid-2007, and now we're starting to see that midway point for real at the start of 2008. Some have likened inflation to a rubber band. In the first half, there is more money, and it seems like people make profits everywhere they turn. In the second half, the values adjust, and people have a hard time making a profit it seems no matter what they do.

We are seeing economic stimulus packages, to make it so that we have more buying power, and so that we can experience more spending and a larger economy. The current administration has also taken the federal debt from zero to $9 Trillion in 7 years (actually, they did it in less). Congress has laws about how much debt we can have, a.k.a. the "debt ceiling", but then congress came along and raised that ceiling four times. They'll be doing that again, or we'll have to have them all arrested and thrown in jail.

One thing that strikes me that few folks recollect is who actually sets the federal budget and how much we spend. This is the US House of Representatives. Congress holds the purse strings. When wars get out of hand led by the White House, for example, congress can step in a choke their money supply. Of course, then we can have an Iran Contra affair, such as with the Reagan Administration, where they literally fund their own wars for efforts in places like Nicaragua and Grenada. But it should also be noted that no president ever really ratified a US budget, they just took the cameras and the attention away from everybody else. Oh, how we love the bright lights and the big stars.

Congress seems to have learned how to hide pretty darned well over the decades. For example, up until World War II, they would oversee wars. Since that time, however, they have literally written "blank checks" to the White House by signing over the power to declare war if the president thinks that's needed. Next, when the president declares war, it's not an act of congress. Pretty sneaky, huh? Well, the 20th Century has seen a number of creeping changes.

With hindsight, and with the production of scholarly works on the fall of the Soviet Empire, we come to find that it took about 70 years of all manner of internal corruption to bring that empire down. Dick Cheney tells us that it was the war in Afghanistan, but I think that would be more like the straw that broke the camel's back. I think it's more like one of those joke graphs where the line runs off the bottom of the page. If anything, the biggest contribution may have been by the Reagan administration and it's trillion-dollar SDI (star wars) program, scaring the soviets into an arms race that they couldn't afford. Perhaps comparing Bush Jr. to Reagan is like comparing John F Kennedy and Marilyn Monroe to Bill Clinton and Monica Lewinski.

For more background on Bush Jr. in action, we have the bankrupting of three Texas-based oil companies, all of which he made good money from, followed by the governorship of Texas, which he took from a surplus to a deficit, and left the Texas taxpayers with the bill for Rangers stadium. (Rangers stadium was effectively seized by Bush by way of "eminent domain"). Dubyah has a history of bankrupting the things he touches, so I think that, in light of his present office, we should all be thankful that he is "born again", and therefore, a different man than the one that he was.

When thinking of the present administration, I am reminded of Dwight D. Eisenhower and his speech to the nation as he stepped down from office. He warned us of the might and the power of a phrase that he coined; the "military industrial complex". Ike knew, from being such a great general, that since World War II, the US had become, amongst other things, a huge military machine. In fact, we have military bases in 130 countries at least, and a military presence in 180 countries around the globe. Like the Russian says, "Do we have missiles? Of course we have missiles... We don't know where they are!" Well, I stole that line from Robin Williams, so I have to give him credit. Ike said that we would get into trouble if the MI leaders got into the White House. Thankfully, Rumsfeld is gone, so we only have to deal with Halliburton and the oil barons.

Not unlike Leia Skywalker, there is another. This is a thing called "commodity-based inflation", which we can't really control, and which is created by changes in the supply of limited resources, or commodities, such as oil. When there isn't as much of it, the price for each barrel changes against the same number of dollars in the system. Oil is a toughy, too, since it has a way of affecting the price of everything that gets to you by boat or truck or plane, and for anything burning energy, such as light bulbs, which help workers see what they are doing when they weave baskets or bake bread. We have to realize some kind of adjustment in the period of this administration and to follow, since a barrel of oil has gone from around $20 to four or five times that much. Thankfully, and according to the US Treasury, we are not experiencing high inflation at this time.

We can also expand the present economy to meet the incalculable paper supply we're sitting on, perhaps by way of a war or a really big hurricane or something. An all-out strike on Iran would be very helpful, at least in the short term, to the US economy. Thankfully, congress controls the purse strings, so we don't have to worry about that. They're too wimpy to declare war on anybody.

I have to say, I actually dropped Economics 101 twice in college, and didn't get through it until the third try. They told me that the only good economy was a growing one. My recommendation is to watch out for what these people are saying, because I am still trying to come to grips with what the philosophers are saying, which is is to say that "what goes up must come down". Since economists are not philosophers, it might be a good idea to get a second opinion.

We might also be experiencing a "lag" between what the 20th Century has created, which is global warming, and its actual economic fallout. But when that happens, the dollar will adjust accordingly, and everything will be fine.

Health Care may be the one to incur the tens of trillions of dollars in debt we need to bankrupt the United States. We've got baby boomers retiring, increases in medical technology, and the World Health Organization is telling us that world-wide cancer and disease rates will continue to rise for the foreseeable future. Convert your cash into spinach, and you might just beat the inflation and skip the medical costs.

I am reminded of human psychology and the important concept of "mutually assured destruction". Nobody pushes the nuclear button, because they know they'll die in a matter of hours. The fallout from modern conventional war takes 10 times the lives lost in combat, but only by way of its post-war "lag". We also didn't used to experience the faraway fallout from conventional weapons like we will now, with the expenditures of eternally irradiating Depleted Uranium munitions and such. For example, the fallout from Gulf War I has been measured from Hawaii to the Himalayas.

We often lack compassion. Put another way, all too often we humans seem to have to experience a present day malady directly to then earnestly participate in the creation of a better tomorrow. With pain, we mature. As Willy (Shakespeare) would say, "He laughs at scars who has none". Empires crumble with drunkenness and laughter. All hail the Washington poster children; they're bringing us to our enlightenment!

That's it for me, and thanks for listening. Just a reminder - watch out on the value of your cash and its derivatives in the coming months, because our economy might stop growing.

Cheers -

Mark



Errata
Tuesday, January 29, 2008 12:35 PM
T.O.C.


I should have given 24 hours to proof. The 'economic figures' note receives the following errata, with 24 hours less taint. This was also an email I wrote 10 days ago, but lost to system problems, and I wanted to beat the crash, or crash delay, or whatever.

1) reference to 'cancers and diseases' should be 'cancers'.

2) Reference to the house as the makers of the budget is subject to presidential veto, then requiring 2/3rds to override.

Addendum: Missing paragraph on the "four year economic cycle". There is an oft recurring economic cycle corresponding to the 4-year presidential term, where the economy is better during the election period and worse in between.

Cheers -

Mark



Asimov's Mule
Thursday, January 31, 2008 3:39 PM
T.O.C.


Hi, 
I always write political emails with a personal sense of vision for a better tomorrow, and it makes me stop to wonder who is sharing my optimism. The travesties of our day illustrate the needs to be addressed tomorrow. Is there a sense of hope? Every time I write, I see the solution.

The Wikipedia is one of a collection of new elements on the horizon, all born out of the Internet, but I have reacted to its shortcomings. Important developments to me seem to be coming in the form of informal informational infrastructure. People are sharing information to the extent that they know and trust one another, by “word of mouth”, if you will. There are blogs popping up, and the search engines are giving us truckloads of information for contemporary topics that we might wish to dive into directly, as opposed to burial by way of arcane, sequentially ordered established news and information sources. You can’t dive into a topic with a newspaper these days like you can with an Internet search engine. The information at our fingertips is also accessing volumes of material no one would, by snail mail, subscribe to, or dare to fathom. We do, after all, have lives, don’t we? Perhaps if you read every article of every day’s New York Times, from the front page to the back, you might do Ok.

Our society is highly complex and interdependent. From raw materials to finish product, for example, it takes a million hands to produce a single automobile. We go to the experts and the authorities for every piece of information that we obtain, on virtually every topic, academically or otherwise. All we need is trust, and each one of us may then participate in our own topic or group, and happily depend upon the validity of external sources for news outside of our more immediate domains.

I believe the role of the Internet altogether to be directly analogous to a character from a series of books know as “Foundation” (1950), by Isaac Asimov. In his story, Asimov paints the picture of an established society where science has developed the ability to calculate any and all of the variables, and to then be able to definitively say where you will be, for example, next Wednesday at 8 AM. It gives them total control.

One of the central characters that arises in Foundation is “the Mule”; a human with the head of a mule, he is an incalculable mutation. Society’s scientists experience problems with their ability to determine, at any time, his causal chains. The Mule introduces variables that defy their capacity to calculate his next move, as he relishes in his ability to go wherever he pleases when he pleases and without any detection.

I believe that the Internet itself is a perfect analogy to Asimov’s Mule, where established powers are incapable of predicting what it will produce next. I am thankful to the million or more citizens who have participated through http://savetheinternet.com to stop the established powers from seizing control of this valuable resource and their attempts to gut our Freedom of Information act. May he be free forever!

While still in it’s initial writing, a next generation Wikipedia is being drawn up. A site is being built for discussion, and the documents are being composed. I still have to spit out a few important sections, and develop the development crew. This is simply a structure for people to form their own groups, on the internet, employing 3 branches and a set of checks and balances, as geared for the people’s production of information, by group or by topic, and as capable of acquiring trust in the public eye. In my estimation, the Wikipedia just isn’t cutting it. It’s monolithic, and therefore centralized, and where it appears to gain greater trust, it appears to gain equally in covert contributions.

There was an idea, some years ago now, known as the “Nupedia”, which appears to have failed due its mammoth checks and balances requirements (effectively 9 branches for all information processing). A compromise may be the order of the day, between the prolific Wiki-like contributions, and the systems without contributions, as bogged down by their own infrastructures.

The discussion site for this idea, a.k.a. the “Co-Operative Assembly”, can be found here: http://groups.google.com/group/coopassembly?hl=en, and as I say, it is being written as you read this. Congratulations! You are the first to see it. All are welcome to contribute with their thoughts, reactions, or the things they would like to see.

Cheers –

Mark



Who am I kidding?
Thursday, January 31, 2008 4:54 PM
T.O.C.


I wrote: "I always write political emails with a personal sense of vision for a better tomorrow, and it makes me stop to wonder who is sharing my optimism. The travesties of our day illustrate the needs to be addressed tomorrow. Is there a sense of hope? Every time I write, I see the solution. "

And I didn't give it a day...

No matter what happens, it can't be that exciting. It's just the swirl of the world and everything in it, but for all that is, there is always peace within. It makes my life so much easier when the Assembly, or what happens to be, is just a matter of body and mind. Nothing matters too! May we all find nothing as much as we find something when we seems to be carried away.

Cheers -

Mark


T.O.C.