DECEMBER 16, 2005
(IDG NEWS SERVICE) - Google
Inc. is poised to pay $1 billion for a 5% stake in Time Warner Inc.'s America
Online Inc. unit, The Wall Street Journal reported this afternoon on its
Web site, moments after also reporting that Google and AOL are in exclusive
talks related to an advertising partnership.
The one-sentence "breaking news" item on the Journal
Web site was attributed to "people familiar with the situation." A more detailed
story about the advertising partnership negotiations used the same attribution.
AOL has spent months reportedly in discussions with several
companies over possible deals. At one time, Yahoo Inc. had been one of those
companies, but it then dropped out, and recently AOL has been in discussions
with Google and Microsoft Corp.
Google representatives didn't immediately return calls seeking
comment. Microsoft, through its Waggener Edstrom Inc. public relations agency,
and Time Warner separately declined to comment.
Google and AOL have a years-long relationship for AOL to carry
paid search ads from the Google network, and split the revenue with the search
engine giant.
Also, AOL's general Web search is powered by Google's search
engine.
Microsoft has reportedly been pursuing AOL to get it to
instead carry paid search ads from the new ad network the Microsoft MSN Internet
division is building, and to drop Google's search engine in favor of MSN Search.
Google is interested in retaining AOL as an ad network partner for its paid
search ads and as a licensee of its search engine.
AOL Chairman and CEO Jonathan Miller declined to comment about
the rumored negotiations in October in an appearance at the Web 2.0 Conference
in San Francisco. However, he acknowledged that AOL is a "swing voter" in the
market for sponsored search ads, because of its traffic volume.
Beyond protecting the revenue it gets from AOL's distribution
of its ads and use of its search engine, Google would benefit in other ways from
acquiring a stake in AOL, said Guzman & Co. financial analyst Philip Remek.
"AOL is the leader in various technologies and services in
which Google isn’t a significant player," Remek said. "Just by working [more
closely] with AOL in this fashion Google will learn and gain capabilities that
would have been more difficult to develop on its own."
For example, Google has to diversify its revenue stream, which
is almost totally dependent on paid search ads, and a closer affiliation with
AOL could boost Google's nascent efforts to carry other types of online ads,
such as display/banner ads, Remek said.
In order to have an efficient display/banner ad system, a
company must have a large base of registered users and a deep knowledge of their
online activities to target them with the right ad at the right time. AOL is an
expert and a leader in this area and Google is a nonentity, Remek said.
Becoming an AOL stakeholder might also lead AOL to help Google
further develop its Google Talk instant messaging service and Gmail Web mail
service, as well as other online services, Remek said.
If Microsoft is not at the negotiating table, that represents
a major missed opportunity for the company to boost its fledgling paid search ad
network and strengthen its online advertising activities in general, Remek said.
As part of the deal, the Journal reported that AOL
would be able to sell advertising among the search results provided by Google on
AOL Web properties. AOL would also sell display ads across Google's network of
Web publishers, the newspaper reported.
Another area of collaboration would be the inclusion of AOL's
collection of online videos among Google search results, the Journal
reported. Moreover, Google's arrangement to provide search technology for AOL,
scheduled to end in 2006, would be extended for five years, the newspaper said