The
Impact of Remittances to the Philippine Economy
Paper presented at the Outrage! Forum
Asian Center, University of the Philippines, Diliman
July 5, 2005
By Lualhati Roque
Executive Director
International Migrant Resource Center (IMRC)
Introduction
For the last thirty years, the Philippine economy, and
all administrations from the time of the dictator Marcos
to the present, have been propped up by the remittances
of overseas Filipinos.
Simply put the country's economy is saved from eventual
collapse by the remittances of Filipinos working and
residing overseas. This is a stark reality that all
Presidents and their different sets of economic managers
know for a fact, and take pains to hide from the general
public.
That general public includes the majority of the increasing
number of families that are dependent on remittances
for them to survive the chronic economic crisis.
Last year, close to 10 million Filipinos overseas remitted
a total of US$8.5 billion to the Philippines. This is
9.2% higher than the US$7.6 billion total of 2003. This
is aided by the government's pursuit of its labor export
program that targets 1 million Filipinos deployed annually.
For the first half of this year, 502,772 OFWs were deployed
abroad compared to the 483,496 OFWs deployed in the
same period in 2004.
The Philippines is the third-biggest recipient of remittances
behind Mexico and India. Government data show that as
of June 2004, annual remittances were three times larger
than ALL the foreign direct investment the Philippines
receives.
According
to an IMF study, aside from exports of goods and services,
remittance is "by some margin" the largest
source of foreign currency for the nation. It sustains
local demand for restaurant meals, motorbikes, pre-paid
mobile phone credits and cinema tickets as exports slump
and debt payments force the government to continue severely
limit social spending.
We must note that the annual remittances (US$8.5 billion
or P467.5 billion) of migrant Filipinos is bigger that
the combined value of the top five Philippine merchandise
exports (semi-conductors, finished electricals, garments,
crude coconut oil, and bars and rods of copper) in the
same year.
The same amount is more than half of the 2005 national
budget (P907 billion); close to 100 times the Foreign
Direct Investments for the year 2003; almost 10 percent
of the Gross National Product in 2004; and 26 times
bigger than the combined total of US military aid to
the Philippines in the 1990-2001 period.
Why is government resolute in the pursuit of its labor
export program? Despite the increasing trend - so far
- of annual remittance inflows to the country, why does
our economy remain generally fragile?
These are some of the questions that can be answered
when we clarify some realities that are already part
of our daily national life.
A backward, fragile economy
We are a nation of 86 million people wherein a third
of the population lives on less than 60 US cents (P33
pesos) a day and actual unemployment is higher than
11 percent.
Ours is an economy that is driven by a heavy dependence
of the import of finished products and export of raw
materials, semi-processed materials and labor.
It is an economy that is backward, mainly agricultural
and without basic industries. It is increasingly dependent
on migrant Filipinos' remittances to keep government
intact.
The current government is currently in a tough bind
by pushing for new taxes and pursuing its labor export
program in the drive to produce more revenues for its
cash-strapped coffers.
Thus, the Philippine government, since the time labor
export was institutionalized in the Marcos years to
the present, cannot do without the remittances of migrant
Filipinos and the revenues it derives from the fees
that it gets from them before they leave the country.
It must also be noted that government raked in P14.4
billion pesos from the government fees charged to all
the 933,588 workers who were deployed in 2004. An OFW
applicant pays an average of P15,400 in government fees
before he or she leaves the country. This does not include
the astronomical charges of recruitment and manning
agencies.
Simply said, labor export is also one big revenue generation
scheme of the government.
Remittances help the economy stay afloat
Generally, there are two modes of sending remittances
available to overseas Filipino workers. These are the
following:
a. formal (banking) channels (Allied Bank, Metro Bank,
Philippine National Bank (PNB), RCBC, Equitable-PCI).
In this mode, the OFW would bring his/her hard-earned
wages in whatever currency to the bank which shall transmit
it its branch in the Philippines specified by the OFW.
The OFW's family or dependent receives the remittance
in its peso equivalent. This is the general picture
that most migrant Filipinos and their families know.
That is not the end of the story though. Remittances
through formal channels are closely monitored by the
Central Bank and multilateral financing agencies.
The inflow of remittances through formal channels are
reported by all banks to the Central Bank, that in turn
tallies this as part of the country's dollar reserves
- the same reserves that are used to show the IMF, World
Bank and other international funding agencies the country's
"capacity to pay its debts."
These dollar reserves are what the Philippine government
uses as part of its "collateral" in getting
new loans. The government cannot do without the remittances
that go through banking channels. It would mean the
loss of investor confidence and worsen the government's
long-term incapacity of possibly fully paying its international
debts.
b. informal channels (door-to-door). This mode is actually
an increasingly extensive network of informal money
remitters that is also called the padala system. This
system is based on personal couriers (usually friends
and relatives) who deliver money door-to-door. In many
cases, this mode is faster, cheaper and is more flexible
with regard to time and proximity to OFWs and their
dependents, especially in the urbanized areas of the
Philippines.
The inflow of remittances through informal channels,
since these do not go through the banking system, are
not monitored and tallied by the Central Bank. Thus,
the US$8.5 billion remittance figure for 2004 and all
Central Bank annual remittance inflow figures for that
matter, only show a narrow part of the actual remittance
figure.
Keeping the economy and government afloat
The World Bank and Asian Development Bank, in their
respective surveys on OFW remittances in 2002 and 2003
have estimated the actual inflows of remittances to
the Philippines as between US$14-21 billion per year.
These remittances that seemingly go straight to migrant
Filipinos' families and dependents and not into government
hands are what keep the economy afloat.
When families and dependents get their remittances from
both formal and informal channels, these are spent for
survival. This generally fuels consumer spending and
shores up the country's dollar reserves.
Remittances are spent by families and dependents primarily
for food, clothing, utilities (electricity, water, communications),
house rent, children's schooling, hospitalization and
other services.
This is what 10 percent of the nation's population living
abroad does, due to the obscene lack of decent jobs
at home.
Government and big business know that the economy is
being saved by the remittances of the overseas workers,
especially in the provinces.
The Philippines is not creating enough jobs for its
swelling population, driving one in 10 people to seek
employment abroad. The one million deployment target
of the current administration and its doctored statistics
on employment and job generation only serve to cover
up the extreme deprivation and grinding poverty being
experienced by our people.
The best and brightest minds, and the sturdiest work
hands of our country are forced by the current government
and current societal set-up to leave and suffer abroad.
The loss of dignity and the humiliation that we suffer
as a nation as stark reality as doctors become nurses,
nurses and teachers become domestic workers, mothers
and daughters end up as entertainers or get caught in
the web of sex trafficking abroad.
This actually denotes that we are losing the capacity
to really build a strong and vibrant economy as our
human resources that are vital components in the production
and service sectors go abroad.
Government is content with the present dispensation.
But this is not going to be the case as labor markets,
on the long term, will constrict as nations that import
migrant labor reel in the world-wide economic crisis.
Reliance on remittances from labor export will not cure
the ills of our economy. It only heightens the stakes
of how hard the country will fall when the remittance
flows fluctuate from the present increasing trend.
Sources:
Asian Development Bank 2004c. Enhancing the Efficiency
of Overseas Workers'
Remittances. Technical Assistance Final Report, July
2004.
Asian Development Bank, Poverty in the Philippines:
Income, Assets and Access, Metro Manila, Philippines.
January 2005.
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
National Statistical Coordination Board
Philippine Overseas Employment Administration
World Bank Case Study on the Philippines, 2003b.
for
more articles, click [here]
|