2002 World Cup
Spain

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FOOTBALL IN SPAIN
The pang of nostalgia will be unmistakable: from the very start of the tournament we will all remember the hot and humid days of previousWorld Cups.We were then students, implausibly thin and always hungry, with our loyalties divided between university exams and the national football side. Divided? ‘Yeah, right’: we ended up watching the most uneventful matches with the excuse that one of the sides could play against Spain at the next round, the books in a corner, the breeze of the night coming in through the balcony. Things have not changed: you may not suffer any longer when your team loses in the Liga and you may deride the single-mindedness that players and fans exhibit; but, on Spanish standards, you are a bit weird if you do not get nervouswhenSpain is on the verge of getting through or getting knocked out (especially when the whole thing is decided on a penalty shoot-out – howcan they do it, Imean, to kick the ball within target under such phenomenal pressure?). If suffering or rejoicing for the same thing is what transforms a group of geezers into a nation then we are a nation, no doubt.
THE STATE OF THE ECONOMY
The Spanish economy is doing well, thanks: to know more about it please read the last European Economics Analyst. Macroeconomics is a curious subject: by modelling the aggregate behaviour of agents one gets results that neither the agents nor the economists were aware. Advancements in economics always required two things: a basic insight and a set of simplifying assumptions. So in the benefit of humankind let’s play a bit with a couple of insights and assumptions and see what happens. If we use the suffering/rejoicing test, it is clear that Euroland is not a nation but, rather, a convenientway of organizing money matters. It is also clear, I think, that theECBis not a football team. For the sake of the argument, however, let’s imagine that Euroland is a nation and the ECB a football team. Things now become easier to understand. For example, it takes some time for a newteam to get their act together and to play like that, like a team. In its early years FrankfurtEZBwas a playground team, all its juvenile players, even the goalkeeper, chasing the ball simultaneously. Some time and some goals against later, skipper Duisenberg, a tall Dutchman expert in headers, put down his foot, said ‘I’mthe skipper, it ‘s my ball and I pass it if I want to’ and some order returned to the side. Well done, because the worst thing that can happen to someone with authority is not to use it. Another advantage in this way of looking at the ECB regards new players and transfers. Solid defender Noyer is leaving at the end of the season and the owners of the club have been busy looking for a replacement. They had a long lunch recently in Barcelona, one with brandy and cigars, and they are The World Cup and Economics 44 World Cup 2002
THE 2002 WORLD CUP
There is something encouraging in being called ‘the perennial underachievers’, a sort of implicit acknowledgement that the Spanish side is always a potential winner and that, having always been among the favourites, it is a question of time, or even of justice, for our lads to bring home the elusive trophy. As Don Quixote said in his delightful lectures to Sancho Panza ‘it is impossible for good or evil to last for ever; and hence it followsthat the evil having lasted long, the good must be now nigh at hand’. So, is this the year of Spain? Yes, in fact it’s been always the year of Spain: good players abound and the side has shown, at least in theWorld Cups in the US and France, order and clarity.What is missing then?Well, the first match, the damned first match. Spain has the habit of going through the pre-tournament play-offs with flying colours and, come the first match of the real thing, look bloated, slow and exasperating. It recovers in the second match, when excellence and will to win reappear - but the second match is usually too late.Were they to show a bit of fury from the very start it’s clear that Spainwould take the Cup home. And ifwe do not, who cares, next time, there are more days than sausages, let the sun dawn on Antequera...We will still beamongthe best sides in theworld (and don’t ask for reasoned arguments, you contemptible scoundrel - it was Don Qixote who also said ‘But why do I argue thus? Does a bold determination stand in need of arguments? Surely not’.) said to have set their eyes on a young Greek player. They are already looking forward to the next lunch in which they’ll have to decide who replaces Duisenberg, the skipper and seasoned striker. Frenchman Trichet, who plays as midfielder and has won praised for his no-nonsense approach to football, seems the natural successor.At any rate, it is not easy to find world-class players. Aware of this and of the class and talent of Swedish, Danish and British footballers, the rich owners of EZB Frankfurt have opened doors and rolled down red carpets for them several times, only to get a respectful cough and a ‘thank you but not yet’.As a result, it seems the search has shifted eastwards.
STATE OF THE NATION
Perhaps Spain, as a nation, is not doing as well as it used to but is not doing too bad either. For more on this please refer to the same source quoted above. Because our incursion in basic economics is taking us to unsuspected philosophical depths and it is not time to argue if Spain could be doing better than it is. ‘Is it possible a currency without state?’ they say the English chopper George, known at home as Steady Eddie, asked EZB Frankfurt Duisenberg. The Dutchman had to bring the ball to the ground and pulled himself together before looking into George’s eyes intensely; and he asked ‘Is it possible a central bank with four different football teams?’. Steady Eddie lost a bit of his steadiness and went away wondering what that question could mean, a sign he was not aware of the latest research, both theoretical and experimental. Because, unknown to many, we at Goldman Sachs had put theory to the practice and organized a football tournament last spring during a Department retreat near London, in which EZB Frankfurt was put to the test. The synergies among nations proved to be a success and the team won not without difficulties.
Previous Appearances: 10
1934, 1950, 1962, 1966, 1978, 1982, 1986, 1990, 1994, 1998
Honours
Semifinalists: 1950 (4th)
Hosts: 1982