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#Written by David Tam, 1999. #
#davidkftam@netscape.net Copyright 1999#
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From tamda@ecf.toronto.edu Mon Jul 12 18:22:48 1999
Date: Tue, 26 Jan 1999 15:36:42 -0500 (EST)
From: David Kar Fai Tam
To: APS 424S
Subject: #8-01/27/99-"Car sales boost retailing"
The Globe and Mail, Saturday, January 23, 1999. B3.
This article reports that retail sales in Canada had
increased by 1.1 % to $20.8-billion in November from October.
This was due mainly to increased sales in automobiles. However,
if automobile sales were excluded, the increase would only be 0.3
%. Industry analysts are warning of tough times for retailers.
Other adverse factors include the fact that household finances
remained strained, disponsible income was fairly weak, and
financial markets volatile.
Canadian retail businesses must find new ways of keeping
their businesses afloat. Appropriate expense cutting mixed with
an appropriate marketing plan can help Canadian retailers weather
the upcoming drought. Fundamental shifts in strategies may be
required. For instance, Eaton's Co. is currently under-going
such changes while being carefully scrutinized by the business
community at large. A better off retailer such as Sears Canada
has implemented several strategies such as the creation of
exclusive home furniture outlets, online catalogues, renovation
of existing outlets, and refusal to participate in prices wars
that have affected Eaton's and the Bay. Sear's strategy and
strong management staff have led to very positive financial
results.
The statistics and analysis presented in this article are a
bit confusing. I would have thought that the boast of automobile
sales is a pretty good indicator of the general economic
direction. Indicators such as construction related stats usually
have this property. I would have thought that the boast of
automobile sales meant that the economy was in a very good
position. Canadians would need a high level of disposable income
to purchase new automobiles, and their outlooks would need to be
very rosy. Otherwise they would hesistate on the expensive
purchase. To sustain such a buying pattern would require a strong
economy with low interest rates, high disposable income, and low
unemployment. Perhaps the 0.3 % component which is non-automobile
is experiencing a delayed increase due to a yet to be considered
factor. Perhaps the numbers will be most accurate in a couple
months once the delay was been attenuated.
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