Most Fatal Accidents,
Are NOT "He
Didn't See Me" Problems
I can't
tell you how many times I've heard that most motorcycle accidents are
the result of someone turning left into them from oncoming traffic.
That apparently wide-spread belief has never felt right to me based on
my own half a million miles on the road, and it clearly smacks of an
attempt to rationalize responsibility away from the motorcyclist.
I have
included the complete text of a July 1994 report issued from the
Insurance Institute for Highway Safety at the end of this Tip because
I could not find a URL to let you link to it yourself. [I found a URL
to it after I created this tip: here.]
In summary, however, it makes the following points:
Running off the road, usually in a curve, often involving alcohol,
and almost always a 'single vehicle' accident accounted for a
stunning 41 percent of the total motorcycle
fatalities. This is more than twice the percentage of any
other cause.
The running of a traffic signal in an intersection, most often a
stop sign and most often by the other vehicle, accounted for 18
percent of the total accidents.
Oncoming, head-on crashes accounted for 11 percent of
the total. Very few of these were in intersections and a few were on
divided roads. About half were on straight roads and the other half
on curves. 58 percent of all these crashes were attributed to the
motorcycle rider's failure to stay in lane or using excessive speed.
Left-turn oncoming crashes, as with the oncoming crash type
described above, involve vehicles traveling in opposite directions.
However, for this crash type, one of the vehicles is in the process
of making a left-turn in front of oncoming traffic. This was the
fourth most common crash type accounting for only 8 percent
of the total. The left-turn was almost always being made by the
other vehicle and not the motorcycle. That is, the motorcycle almost
always had the superior right of way. This crash often occurred at
intersections (69 percent) or at driveways and alleys (7 percent).
"Motorcycle down", meaning the motorcyclist loses control
of the bike (including deliberately 'dumping' it) and it goes down
on the roadway, accounted for another 7 percent of the
total. These usually occurred on dry, level, and straight roads.
These
five categories account for about 86 percent of all the fatalities
looked at. "He didn't see me" excuses could only be used in
about half the 'running traffic signal' and 'oncoming' situations as
well as most of those categorized as 'left-turns'. In other words, no
more than about 20 percent of all these fatalities involved a second
vehicle that could have claimed not to see the motorcyclist. That's a
long way from 'most'.
Further,
while the report goes on to make some suggestions about how to reduce
these accidents, it does not read like the writings of a motorcycle
rider. To suggest that an important possible countermeasure is to
'avoid excessive speed when entering an intersection' pales in
comparison to simply insuring that another vehicle is on your right
side as you enter intersections, for example.
Following
is the full text of the cited article:
Analysis
of Fatal Motorcycle Crashes: Crash Typing from FARS Data by David
Preusser, et al (Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, 1005 N
Glebe Road, Arlington, VA 22201; ph 703-247-1500) (July 1994) [HE
5616.5 .P7]
Motorcycles,
which are a small subset of all motor vehicles, are greatly
over-represented in fatal crashes in the United States. The death
rate per registered motorcycle (59 per 100,000) is more than three
times the death rate per registered passenger car (17 per
100,000). Death rates calculated per vehicle, however, do not take
into account the substantially lower mileage traveled by
motorcycles. Per mile traveled, the death rate for motorcycles is
estimated to be 22 times higher than the comparable death rate for
passenger cars.
In
1992 there were 2,074 motorcycle crashes. These were grouped into
11 crash type categories: 10 defined crash types plus one category
for other and unknown. The most frequently occurring crash type
was ran off-road, followed by ran traffic control, oncoming (i.e.,
head-on), left-turn oncoming, and motorcyclist down. Taken
together, these five most frequent types accounted for 86 percent
of the 2,074 crashes.
Ran
off-road crashes involve situations where the motorcyclist leaves
the roadway and overturns or strikes some off-road object. This is
the most frequently occurring motorcycle crash type accounting for
41 percent of the total. These are often late night, weekend
crashes involving a motorcyclist who had been drinking. Off-road
objects struck include: culvert, curb, or ditch (24 percent of the
857 crashes); posts and poles (11 percent); trees (10 percent);
and guardrails (10 percent). This crash type, unlike the other
crash types, most often occurs on a curve in the road (71 percent
at curves versus 21 percent for all other crashes). Most are
single-vehicle crashes though occasionally the motorcycle, the
driver, or debris returns to the roadway and some other vehicle
becomes involved.
Ran
traffic control crashes occur when one vehicle with an obligation
to stop, remain stopped, or yield, fails to do so and thus
collides with some other vehicle. This was the second most
frequently occurring motorcycle crash type accounting for 18
percent (375) of the total. Most occurred at intersections (72
percent), driveways and alleys (7 percent), or interchanges (4
percent). The traffic control device was most often a stop sign
(39 percent) or traffic control signal (18 percent). Nearly all
(97 percent) were "angle" collisions. Of the 375 events,
341 involved just one motorcycle plus one other vehicle. Within
the FARS coding system, variables are defined and coded for driver
and occupant factors as well as for the crash and vehicle.
Analysis of these 341 crashes indicated that it was the driver of
the other vehicle, not the motorcyclist, who was most often
assigned the FARS driver factor "failed to yield" (146
versus 63). That is, in many cases, the motorcycle had the
superior right of way. The driver factor most often assigned to
the motorcycle was "excessive speed" (80 versus 4)
indicating, at least in some of these cases, that the motorcycle
was approaching the intersection at a high rate of speed making it
difficult for the other motorist to detect the motorcycle in time.
Oncoming,
or head-on crashes involve a collision between two vehicles
traveling in opposite directions. This was the third most common
motorcycle crash type accounting for 11 percent (225) of the
total. Few of these crashes occurred at intersections (5 percent
versus 25 percent for all other cash types) and few occurred on
divided highways (7 percent versus 25 percent). About half
occurred on straight roadways and half occurred on curves. Driver
factors, typically failure to remain in established lane and/or
excessive speed, were most often assigned to the motorcycle (158
versus 58).
Left-turn
oncoming crashes, as with the oncoming crash type described above,
involve vehicles traveling in opposite directions. However, for
this crash type, one of the vehicles is in the process of making a
left-turn in front of oncoming traffic. This was the fourth most
common crash type accounting for 8 percent (176) of the total. The
left-turn was almost always being made by the other vehicle and
not the motorcycle (175 of 176 events). That is, the motorcycle
almost always had the superior right of way. This crash often
occurred at intersections (69 percent) or at driveways and alleys
(7 percent).
Motorcyclist
down crashes cover situations where the motorcyclist loses control
of the vehicle and goes down in the roadway. The motorcycles could
have struck something in the roadway or have been struck by some
other vehicle after going down. This was the fifth most common
crash type accounting for 7 percent (152) of the total. Generally,
it could not be determined why the motorcycle went down. The
"loss of control" could have been a deliberate action on
the part of the motorcyclist (i.e., putting the bike down) to
avoid some perceived threat ahead. The crashes occurred on dry (93
percent) level (73 percent) roadways that were straight (56
percent) or curved (43 percent).
The
most important finding in the present study was that five defined
crash types accounted for 86 percent of all of the motorcycle
crash events studied. Two of these types, ran off-road and
oncoming, are predominantly the result of one or more errors
(i.e., FARS driver factors) on the part of the motorcyclist. Both
typically involve a motorcyclist who leaves the appropriate travel
lane(s) either running off the road or colliding with a vehicle
coming from the opposite direction. Both tend to occur more
frequently in rural areas, on higher speed roadways and at curves.
Ran off-road crashes are very often alcohol related.
Countermeasures designed to promote helmet use and reduce drinking
and driving, and excessive speed, would be appropriate.
Ran
traffic control and left turn oncoming involve an interaction
between the motorcyclist and one or more other drivers. Unlike ran
off-road and oncoming crashes, they occur more often at
intersections, on lower speed roadways, in urban areas, during
times of the day when more traffic would be expected, and less
often are alcohol related. Typically, the motorcyclist has the
superior right of way just prior to the crash, and some other
vehicle fails to grant this right of way moving into the path of
the motorcycle.
Possible
countermeasures include improved signal timing, enforcement of
stop and yield obligations, and improved sight distances at
intersections particularly in cases where the smaller motorcycle
may remain blocked from view long after larger vehicles have
become visible. Motorcycle drivers can reduce their chances of
becoming involved in these two crash types by maintaining lane
discipline (not popping out from some unexpected location).
wearing conspicuous clothing, and by avoiding excessive speed when
entering an intersection.
That
some people persist in thinking that most motorcycle accidents occur
in intersections still bothers me. I'm all for being extra careful in
an intersection, if that is what this thinking leads to, but am most
distressed that the evidence suggests that we need to be even more
careful in handling curves and that this is being discounted.
Though
the stats I provided were admittedly fatality related, there simply
must be a correlation between fatal accidents and total accidents.
Still there are other available sources than those that I have
provided.
Consider
this from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration's (NHTSA)
1994 report entitled: TRAFFIC SAFETY FACTS, on all traffic fatalities
in the US during that year:
MOTORCYCLES
The 2,304 motorcyclist fatalities accounted for 6 percent of total
fatalities in 1994. The motorcycle fatality rate per 100 million
vehicle miles traveled is about 20 times that of passenger cars.
Motorcycle operator error was identified as a contributing factor in
76 percent of fatal crashes involving motorcycles in 1994. Excessive
speed was the contributing factor most often noted. 43 percent of
fatally injured operators and 48 percent of fatally injured
passengers were not wearing helmets at the time of the crash.
Approximately one out of every five motorcycle operators involved in
a fatal crash in 1994 was driving with an invalid license at the
time of the collision. Motorcycle operators involved in fatal
crashes in 1994 had a higher blood alcohol concentration (BAC) level
(28.9 percent) than any other type of motor vehicle driver. NHTSA
estimates that 518 lives were saved by the use of motorcycle helmets
in 1994.
Operator
error - 76% of fatal crashes involving motorcycles - and excessive
speed. This is simply NOT descriptive of intersection accidents.
This is
NOT an argument that most two-vehicle accidents occur in curves -
rather it is an argument that most fatal motorcycle accidents do, thus
it is probable that most of all motorcycle accidents resulting in
injury do as well. There is no doubt in my mind that multi-vehicle
accidents tend to occur in intersections.
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