Team	Analysis	Likelihood
Ohio State	For all the talk about Ohio State being a BCS lock, their schedule is fairly wimpy if West Virginia and Penn State falter. The only test is vs. Ohio State on November 21... that is, will they beat themselves against Michigan?	Probable
Marshall	After beating a major conference team in South Carolina and laying to waste their toughest MAC competition (Miami of Ohio), Marshall looks prime to win at Ohio next week and roll to the MAC championship game-- their only remaining test.	Probable
Tennessee	None of their wins have looked pretty. The secondary is porous, the offense is schizophrenic, and the coaching is miserable. But Tennessee is the third most likely team to go undefeated. Tests: at Georgia, home against Arkansas and Kentucky, and the championship game of the SEC. Late breaking news Tennessee's one constant, Jamal Lewis, is out for the season.	Possible
Nebraska	This team has been too inconsistent to give them a Probable rating, but they will undoubtedly be heavy favorites in all their remaining games except Kansas State. Still, the road is not easy: at Texas A&M, home vs. Missouri, at Kansas State, and a decent Big 12 chmpionship game.	Possible
Kansas State	Either Nebraska or Kansas State gets upgraded to Probable if they beat the other. Still, K-state will be challenged by Oklahoma State, Colorado, Missouri, and the South champion in the Big 12 game.	Possible
Tulane	Can Tommy do what brother Terry did at Auburn? Run the table? They would even be Probable save two games... what is likely to be a shootout at home against Louisville, and another shootout at home against Louisiana Tech. The home field advantage almost makes Tulane likely to go undefeated. Tulane-- likely-- to go undefeated? What kind of world...?	Possible
Wisconsin	The Badgers have a fairly good schedule down the stretch, and a fairly weak schedule all around. The only tests should be vs. Purdue and vs. Penn State, both in Madison. But the Badgers could also stumble against Michigan, Minnesota, and Iowa... because they just aren't good enough to run the table. Are they?	Possible
UCLA	UCLA has a chance to run the table, but they play in a conference full of teams that can put points on the board. If you look at each game on its own, you have to think UCLA goes 10-0 (or 11-0 if they reschedule Miami). But if you look at the whole schedule, will they really hold off upsets: at Arizona, vs. Oregon, at Cal, and vs. USC? (And maybe at Miami?)	Possible
Arizona	Arizona... ditto. Same comments as UCLA, but Arizona will not be favored in all its games. UCLA, Oregon, Cal and Arizona State will all be testers.	Doubtful
Oregon	I'm getting tired of saying the same thing over and over. These Pac-Ten teams are good, but they are all good, and they play each other. Oregon, in particular, saved all its toughies for the end, including UCLA, USC, Arizona, Washington, and Arizona State.	Doubtful
Virginia Tech	With the exception of the Miami win, Virginia Tech has yet to be tested. To go undefeated, the Hokies have to beat West Virginia, Syracuse, and Virginia-- not bloody likely.	Doubtful
Virginia	Certainly you wouldn't have predicted Virginia could survive November-- at Florida State, vs North Carolina, at Virginia Tech, though now it seems possible they might take two of three. But all three? And they also have Georgia Tech and NC State to contend with. Squeaker wins against Maryland and Clemson do little to boost my confidence in Brooks and co., but I'll give them the benefit of a Doubtful rating.	Doubtful
Georgia	Putting these guys at the bottom of the doubtful list is a bit unfair, because they every bit as good as the other Doubtful teams. Georgia has only one easy win left, though (Vandy); otherwise the games range from hard (at Kentucky, at Auburn, vs. Mississippi, vs. Georgia Tech) to very hard (Tennessee and Florida). The reward for winning all of those games would be a tough west opponent in the SEC championship game. Georgia earns a doubtful rating only because of the minefield that remains, coupled with the youth of their offense.	Doubtful
Arkansas	Arkansas should be 6-0, but then nothing comes easy: Auburn, Ole Miss, Tennessee, Mississippi State, and LSU. And then, Florida, Georgia, or Tennessee again in the SEC Championship. These guys make the doubtful list by the skin of their teeth.	Doubtful
Texas Tech	Unthinkable... but not as unthinkable as you might guess. Although I say unthinkable that these perennial overachievers will go 12-0, they have a fair chance to go 11-1. Why? The easiest schedule in the Big 12. Their northern opponents are Iowa State, Missouri, and Colorado; their non conference slate was UTEP, North Texas, and Fresno State. With a great running game, there is just a chance they could go 11-0. But what is unthinkable is that they could beat Nebraska or Kansas State in the Big 12 championship. No, I just refuse to believe it.	Unthinkable
Colorado	Fresno State by a touchdown, Oklahoma and Baylor by 2 points. When are the wheels going to come off? Take your pick: Kansas State, Texas Tech, Missouri, Iowa State, or Nebraska. The only sure bet is Kansas, but even that one is on the road.	Unthinkable

Team	Analysis	Likelihood
Memphis	Of all the pitiful teams, Memphis has been the most competitive. Or maybe I'm putting a lot of emphasis on a 14-6 defeat at the hands of a good Mississippi State team. But with games to come against Cincinnati and Arkansas State, the Tigers should get a win somewhere.	Doubtful
Cincinatti	I can't believe how bad Cincinnati is. The loss to Army was probably the most surprising result. They could still get a conference win against Memphis, East Carolina, or Houston; and even though Arkansas State is better this year, you have to think the Bearcats can win that one.	Doubtful
Southwestern Louisiana	Maybe the worst team in Division I-A. Even a game against Arkansas State might not save them. Thank goodness for November 21... ever heard of the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers? A Division I-AA foe to close out the year earns the Ragin' Cajun's a Doubtful to go winless rating. But a loss to Northwestern State shakes my confidence a little.	Doubtful
Vanderbilt	Rumor has it the Commodores haven't scored a touchdown on offense in a decade. It doesn't help to be the only truly pitiful team in the SEC. Non-conference games at home against Duke and Western Michigan offer promise, though they are really only even-odds bets. Beating South Carolina is possible.	Possible
UNLV	A really bad team, losing by an average of 31 points in their first 5 games. The only saving grace is their two easiest opponents are both home games: TCU and Tulsa. The problem: both of those teams have big upset wins already this year.	Possible
UTEP	I feel like I'm writing about SEC and Pac Ten teams, only in reverse: it is so hard to picture a MAC or WAC team going winless, because there is so much dead wood in the conference. Still, every team UTEP plays is better than them, with the possible exception of Hawaii.	Possible
Northern Illinois	A fair chance of making it two in a row for 0-11. The 73-7 thrashing at the hands of Kansas State was expected, but the 24-10 loss to Eastern Illinois? And follow that up with a loss to the equally bad Ball State Cardinals. Only the directional Michigans remain as possibilities.	Possible
North Texas	My preseason #111 is panning out. Still, they play in the Big West, which means every conference game is winnable. The most winnable is the season finale vs. New Mexico State.	Possible
Temple	One chance: at Rutgers. Seize it!	Probable
Kent	With a loss to the Youngstown State Penguins and a thrashing at the hands of Central Michigan (Western is the state's best direction), only a game against Akron holds hope that Kent will avoid an 0-11 season. And Akron has shown signs of improvement.	Probable

Appalachian State 30, Wake Forest 27 (OT)

William & Mary 45, Temple 38

Eastern Illinois 24, Northern Illinois 10

Youngstown State 24, Kent 10

Northwestern State 24, Southwestern Louisiana, 22