You have the notion that if you bet on the Come after the come out roll you Insure that you won't lose. Wrong as before with the come out roll the next roll has the same percentages involved but now the rules associated with the Previous roll are the same as they were, dismal. So, after the Come out the Puck is Black only the Eleven is a winner, for Come players this holds true each roll, for a total of 2 ways to win and of course 4 ways to lose and 6 ways to "break even", the Seven , for a total of 12 ways the conclusion is present. Hence one out of three that the decision is made right there, but due again to the notion of conditional probabilities, there in lies the RUB.

12412
12612
12212

That means that 24 of 36 rolls you get a number, 4,5,6,8,9 or 10. each of these number has you at a disadvantage as depicted below.

4 5 6 8 9 10
6/96/106/116/116/106/9

Unless of course it is the number that you had on the pervious roll hence a half win, What About the Don't Come. Here is where you bet the come out roll on the dark side, that is on the Come Out Roll when the Puck is White only the Two and the Three are winners, for Don't Come players . 3 ways to win and of course 8 ways to lose, for a total of 11. Here the twelve is held out of play and no action is taken, you push. Hence eleven to 35 that the decision is made right there, The actual probability for a win in the come out roll is

With of course the seven or eleven. 24 of 36 rolls you get a number, 4, 5, 6, 8, 9 or 10. each of these number has you at an advantage as depicted below. So, you think it's clear bet the come repeatedly, but wait the does it out weigh the other. Let's look at that odds the number comes and apply our observation to this method of play. Firstly, the frequency the number comes is proportional to the number of ways it can happen for instance the four can come 3 ways and the number of ways the seven can come is 6. one would think that the "Come" player's have an advantage, but they had to go through the come out roll, repeatedly. And now that the puck is black the number and the Seven are the only two numbers that mean anything to anybody's bet, right.

Nextly as well the Come player has the probability of getting multiple Numbers, worsening his dilemma, one would think. So, the meld of the probability must take it to consideration the frequency of the come out roll's result as well as their probability.

Come Out
Position
1st
Come
2nd
Come
Result win lose push win lose push
White .0555 .1111 .1666 .0555 .1111 .1666
New Number .66666 less prob of the last # .66666 less prob of the last two #'s
For the Don't 24/35 you get a number

Or,11/35x3/11=33/385= .085714285 you win.

And 11/35x8/11=48/432 = .228571428 you lose

Win ? I don't think so!

Probabilities Associated with

the Come Bet in CRAPS

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