Structure
The central bank should have a clearly defined mandate that places price
stability as the bank’s number one objective. By price stability, I refer to a positive
but low inflation rate of between 1% and 3%.
The treasury should have the power to override all central bank decisions but this
power should be exercised at cost to the treasury.
The central bank should not be required to finance the government deficit or
manage the public debt.
As in New Zealand the governor should be appointed by the chancellor but from
a short list constructed by the banks board of governors. The tenure of the
governor should last for a longer period than a cycle of government, i.e., five
years.
Conduct
The central bank should set publicly announced medium term inflation targets
and other policy goals.
The central bank should have complete control of monetary policy instruments
for example interest rates and exchange rates. The central bank should be
mindful of government policy and consult with the treasury before implementing
policy. However, the bank should be under no obligation to accept government
advise.
Performance
Due to the undemocratic nature of a highly independent central bank, the bank
must be held accountable for its actions. Firstly, it must be held accountable for
obtaining all the goals set out in its mandate within the specified time period
(unless there is good reason) and it must explain its actions to the public. This
should take the form of a verbal justification, perhaps to parliament and a
periodical Inflation
Report as in the United Kingdom.
It is important to note that a highly independent central bank is not a panacea. It
is not the all “purpose cure” for all monetary problems and certainty cannot
deliver price stability in isolation.
For inflation to kept under control, central bank independence must be co-
ordinated with all political and financial institutions. In fact, the strongest weapon
a nation may have in combating inflation may not be an independent central bank
but instead the inflation aversion of its public. Many commentators hold the view
that Germany has been able to maintain price stability for the last 40 years
because of its inflation adverse public, and it is this public aversion that has
resulted in the establishment of such a highly independent central bank and not
vice-versa. Clearly the structure of the Bundesbank have contributed greatly
towards Germany’s success. As noted by Cukierman (1994), history has shown
us that central bank independence has acted as a shield towards inflation but not
as the cure itself.
Once inflation has been allowed to develop the central bank alone is incapable of
stabilizing this effect. It then takes the concerted efforts of the whole
establishment to control prices. Once inflation has been brought under control,
then an independent central bank can become pivotal in preventing the upsurge
of future inflation.
In conclusion I believe that the precise form of central bank independence is not
the most important factor in the control of prices. However a highly organised
central bank with greater independence coupled with sufficient accountability can
be a valuable tool in combating excessive inflation. Such an institution will be
especially useful in poor credibility countries who have not been able to build
reputation over a sustained period of time. An independent central bank can only
be part of a system to keep inflation under control. It cannot be viewed as the
system itself.