By THERESA W. CAREY
Please fasten your seat belts and keep your hands and feet inside the car. The online broker roller coaster, which had seemed to slow down for a time last year, is taking off again. And as Barron's fifth annual survey shows, online brokers have to keep hurtling forward just to keep up with this fast-moving crowd. Stand still and you fall behind.
Surpassing the most optimistic projections, nearly one in two retail trades was placed online by the end of 1999, according to estimates by US Bancorp Piper Jaffray. But from the standpoint of the online investor, an even more important development emerges this year: We found the largest jump in quality since we started this series in 1996. That's not to say online trading is perfect, or even uniformly good; far from it. But as our survey found, the better online brokers have to work hard for your money -- and not with goofy advertisements or out-and-out bribes.
Sidebar: Now, Ben Graham Fans Can Also Trade Online1 Sidebar: Belt and Suspenders2 |
The improvements that stand out demonstrate the maxim that less is more, especially when it comes to the Internet. In the beginning, in 'Net terms, online brokerage sites were full of gee-whiz bells and whistles intended to attract computer-savvy early-birds. But now that folks who are investors and not PC jockeys are joining the stampede online, brokers are designing sites that attempt to give upscale customers the feel of a plush virtual office.
Not only have full-service stalwarts such as Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley Dean Witter gone online, but discount brokerage leader Charles Schwab recently bought U.S. Trust, an old-line provider of private banking and investment services to the carriage trade. Not to be left behind, J.P. Morgan and Goldman Sachs also recently announced plans for online services. Goldman plans to focus on investors with a mere $1-$5 million in assets when they go online. In contrast, investors who want to deal with carbon-based life forms at the firm generally will need a $10 million net worth. And you know it's got to be a hot concept when James Clark, the serial entrepreneur behind Silicon Graphics and Netscape, gets into the fray. He's backing something called myCFO Inc., which will pull together online financial services for the wealthy, from online brokerage to trusts, estates, tax planning and insurance.
Table: Ranking the Online Brokers3 Table: How The Online Brokers Stack Up4 |
Obviously, a lot has changed since 1996, when Barron's began ranking online brokers. Back then, only 8% of retail trades were placed online, and we found only 12 Internet brokers to examine. Now, according to US Bancorp Piper Jaffray, 48% of trades are done online and over 100 firms are in the business (the total changes almost daily, given new entrants and consolidations). Piper Jaffray figures that almost 13 million online brokerage accounts exist, and that a record 1.8 million were opened in last year's fourth quarter.
Online trading, thanks to extensive advertising, media attention, low brokerage fees and improvements in the Internet-based offerings, has hit the mainstream with a vengeance. And with the unprecedented bull market and the mania for all things tech and Internet-related, online trading has become a part of popular culture.
Granted, much of the trading volume is generated by a small percentage of very frequent traders. But as Bruce Zucker of mydiscountbroker.com notes, "We are beginning to see the second wave of online customers -- those who are less experienced at investing and who seek more online information about investment decisions." Those customers want easily accessible information and education, as well as the ability to make transactions with just a few keystrokes on their computers.
After 1998, when 30% of trades were executed online, it seemed safe to predict a slowdown in the growth of such trading. Well, reality proved us quite wrong. The number of daily transactions nearly tripled over the past year, to just under 900,000 per day -- surging 55% in the fourth quarter of 1999 from the third quarter's level. What could interrupt the constant climb in online trading? "Well, a bear market would slow it down," observes Jason Lind of Piper Jaffray.
Notwithstanding the popular impression, all the growth in electronic investing hasn't come from firms that are newcomers to the brokerage industry. Watching their customers transfer assets to online brokers, Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley reckoned that if they couldn't beat the Internet-based brokers, they'd better join their ranks. Piper Jaffray's Stephen Franco figures that $900 billion in assets are now held in online brokerage accounts, which he says is "a key statistic as many online brokers try to diversify their revenue mix and move away from their heavy dependence on trading volumes."
Martin D. Weiss, chairman of Weiss Ratings, which tracks brokers and calculates a safety rating based on the broker's financial strength, notes, "major firms that had resisted deep-discount commissions for many years are now jumping on the online bandwagon."
Online investors, for their part, are mostly happy with their experience, according to a survey commissioned by Fidelity Investments. The main regret of 10% of the respondents: that they hadn't gotten into the game sooner, or made more trades. The study showed that investors nearly double their trading pace, from 2.7 buys or sells a month to 5.5, in the first three months of going online, but then they slow to an average of 4.5 trades per month after that initial euphoria subsides. And if the current numbers aren't enough for online brokers, Forrester Research expects the number of accounts to quadruple by 2003.
Online brokers are also breaking into the international arena this year, with an increasing number offering access to markets in Europe, Asia and South America. Barron's reader Douglas Makepeace is especially interested in brokers that give access to markets outside the U.S., observing that "online brokerages have a big advantage here because the Internet never sleeps."
Another measure of online trading's growing impact is the recent "hacker attacks" that have plagued numerous electronic commerce sites. Schwab, E*Trade and National Discount Brokers have experienced occasional site slowdowns because of "denial-of-service" attacks on their sites. Any time a brokerage site crashes during the trading day, it makes the news. Nobody seems to care much when an online bank or credit-card company crashes, but let an online broker's site burp and CNBC is in the front row, breathlessly reporting the effects. It's equivalent to the coverage that aviation accidents receive, even though highway disasters take a far higher annual toll.
But if there still are a few bumps on the tracks, Barron's readers let us know. One of them, Richard Haass, a programmer who manages accounts with six different online brokers, is simply disgusted with the state of brokerage applications. He is especially disappointed with portfolio-performance reports, which was also the weakest area overall that we observed in our review of these 27 online brokers.
More to the point, one anonymous correspondent sent us an obscenity-laced missive detailing his frustrating experiences with several online brokers, in which he took the financial media to task for supporting sites that don't work to his standards. "The Internet is kind of like a dancing bear, the fact that it dances at all is amazing, so it has not had to dance well. The first evolution is done -- electronic brokers should now be opened up and the performance discussed."
And, of course, there are the lawsuits and the government agencies working to protect investors from themselves. One of the delights of trading online, for the educated self-directed investor, is the ability to place orders without having to talk to a broker -- who might talk you out of what you want to do, or talk you into something that might benefit the broker's bottom line more than your own. But for some people, the ability to trade cheaply, easily and often online acts like a drug, and these are the people the SEC and a variety of lawyers want to save from themselves. The Securities Industry Association -- an industry trade organization -- formed an online trading group last year, which is working to set up measures by which online brokers can voluntarily regulate their operations without having the visible foot of government slowing the train. And with the highly publicized tragedies of day-traders committing crimes after trading losses, it's important to draw the distinction between such incidents and the vast numbers of investors who are empowered by online access.
There are quite a few cars running on the electronic roller coaster now. We evaluated 27 of the Internet-based trading sites, plus two additional brokers aimed at the buy-and-hold investor (See story5). The brokers we've rated include the top 15 in terms of market share, plus an additional 10 that our readers indicated were of interest. We looked at the brokers from the customer's point of view, executing trades and examining the reports and amenities available. Our sincere thanks go to the approximately 300 readers who responded to our queries about online brokerage experiences. You provided a great deal of food for thought, and gave us ideas of what you really want.
Our focus is on the Internet-based services in this review; in the future, Barron's will take a look at services such as CyBerBroker, TradeCast and Watley Ultimate Trader, which use an Internet connection but one that links them directly to a broker's computers. These services are aimed at more frequent traders. Even though we closely examined the offerings of 27 online brokers, there are about three times that many that we couldn't cover in this article. Of the 27 we examined, there are only three near the bottom of the list that we would actually avoid, a testament to the overall quality of the offerings this year.
Although our roller coaster does occasionally jerk to a stop and remains motionless before starting up again, most online brokers have greatly improved site design and access to research and have provided other creature comforts.
In our study, we developed a profile of a typical Barron's reader and looked at the services through that individual's eyes. Our focus was on benefits for holders with substantial portfolios -- over $100,000 in assets -- who make three round-trip trades per month.
Our readers told us what features would induce them to switch to a different broker. Among them were the ability to specify a particular lot of stock when placing a sell order, and better tracking of cost basis and capital gains, all key features to minimize the tax bite of profitable investing. A frequent complaint was the inability to get in on initial public offerings, even if the client had an account larger than $1 million. Several readers commented that they'd be willing to transfer significant assets if they knew they had access to IPOs more often.
Several wealthy readers expressed dismay at broker policies that limit amenities to frequent traders. Reader Mary Harada comments, "I think we should be entitled to the same bells and whistles as investors with significantly fewer resources who are seeking the Holy Grail of instant riches via account churning." Brokers, please copy.
Customer service isn't used very often, but it had better be good when Barron's readers need it. This year, quite a few brokers (National Discount Brokers, AB Watley and Datek among them) added a "chat with a sales associate" function to their offerings. Click on a button and a chat window opens that lets you talk directly to an associate without tying up another phone line or sitting on hold for a half-hour.
We maintained our rating system from last year, which gives additional weight to the trade experience and to the site's reliability and range of offerings, while decreasing the weight assigned to the commissions charged. We changed the way we rate commissions, in an attempt to take into effect the variety of pricing schemes introduced this year. We have yet to find a five-star broker, at least one that lives up to our high standards.
And now for the envelope, please.
As in years past, nobody's perfect, but three brokers earned four stars. National Discount Brokers came out on top by a hair, mostly owing to its superior trading screens. Last year's champion, DLJdirect, and newcomer Merrill Lynch Direct also earned four stars, primarily thanks to the research and reports they supply.
Seven brokerages earned an admirable score of 3 1/2 stars: American Express, AB Watley's Watley Trader, Morgan Stanley Dean Witter, E*Trade, Muriel Siebert's Siebernet, Charles Schwab and Wall Street Electronica. Each of these sites has strengths that will appeal to knowledgeable investors, but each has a drawback or two that keeps it out of the top tier.
Like Diogenes, who searched in vain for an honest man, we're still searching for the perfect online broker. We'd like to see the order-entry process streamlined, minimizing (or eliminating) the number of verification screens by utilizing field-by-field checking during data entry, while maximizing the amount of data available at the time of the trade. A real-time quote, presented before the order is entered, is essential.
Drop-down list boxes that eliminate the need to do a lot of typing are very helpful. For example, if the trader selects "Sell," there should be a drop-down box that contains the ticker symbols of securities in the account, thus avoiding data entry errors and inadvertent short sales. An easy-to-read verification screen that does more than just echo back the data entered is necessary. Finally, an instant link to the status of the order, followed by real-time updating of the trader's portfolio, is also key. Portfolio analysis reports, with links to news and research, as well as transaction history going back at least 90 days, are important features.
But before you rush off to open accounts at this year's four-star brokers, a caveat: Past winners have experienced difficulties as new customers flooded them with applications and transfers immediately after Barron's published its ratings. Our apologies, in advance, if that happens to you.
We ranked the brokers on a scale of 1-5, 5 being the highest, in five key areas:
Our Four-Star Trio is led by National Discount Brokers. This year's champ rolled out an augmented site in mid-1999, and keeps working at improving it. It's nowhere near being the biggest of online brokers, with approximately 200,000 accounts, or about 10% of E*Trade's customer base. For data-hungry investors, however, the trading screens are packed with information, and customers can have execution reports pop up over their browsers. We heartily approve of the real-time portfolio updates, and portfolio analysis reports that can keep the trader up to date on changes in asset values.
A feature many readers asked for -- access to tax records -- is available through NDB's Tax Center. Their "Schedule D-efense" allows a customer to download account history into an Excel spreadsheet, which is designed to make Schedule D calculations. There's not much proprietary research available from NDB, but the third-party collection they've put together is well organized and includes a Java-based charting application that features 11 technical indicators. NDB customers also can place trades via touchtone phone or live broker as well as on the Web.
Customers with over $1 million in assets at NDB are designated "concierge customers," and are offered a wide range of additional benefits including a dedicated help desk, access to IPOs, streaming Level II quotes and reduced margin rates. NDB also has perks for frequent traders, including the Active Traders' Advantage, with which you can make multiple trades in the same stock on the same side (all buys or all sells) for a single commission. The site is busy, but easy to navigate with the menu bar down the left side of the screen. It takes three clicks at most to get from one place to another in the site.
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