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LAKSAMANA.Net, June 6, 2004 10:57 PM

Review - Politics: Prepared to Lose

Laksamana.Net - Official campaigning for Indonesia's first ever direct presidential election kicked off Tuesday (1/6/04) amid tight security after police warnings that militants might launch attacks to coincide with the polls.

An opinion poll released on the same day shows Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono with 41% compared to 11.2% for incumbent President Megawati Sukarnoputri and 10% for Wiranto, the Golkar candidate.

Also running are Hamzah Haz, Megawati's Vice President, and Amien Rais, a former head of Muhammadiyah, Indonesia's second largest Islamic organization and Speaker of the People's Consultative Assembly. Neither is seen as likely to make the second round.

The five candidates and their deputies, cheered on by hundreds of supporters, stood side-by-side to officially start the campaign for the July 5 ballot. A huge plaque bearing the words: "We are prepared to win, but we are also prepared to lose," hung above their heads.

Whether Megawati, who trails badly in opinion polls, is prepared to lose remains to be seen but she stole a march on her four rivals by launching her re-election bid on Monday (31/5/04).

Struggling to keep her job at the helm of the world's largest Muslim nation, Megawati, at her first ever full press conference since taking office, unveiled a six-page manifesto that promised to create 12.7 million new jobs, halve the poverty rate and appoint half a million new teachers over the next five years.

The policies also include plans for new roads, an expansion of the railway infrastructure, better irrigation, rice and fuel subsidies, improved family planning and local medical clinics, and a pledge to raise civil servants' salaries by 15% every year for the next five years.

Doing it our way

It was left to Hasyim Muzadi, Megawati's new vice presidential candidate, to explain that Indonesia was dealing with terrorism in line with existing laws and will handle the threat of terrorism "its own way". The US should not interfere in this process, Muzadi said at the press conference.

"The US has to let Indonesia deal with terrorism its own way, and trust that the people and the government of Indonesia are all anti-terrorism," Muzadi said, pointing out that perpetrators of terrorist acts in the country have been brought to justice, including the key players in the October 12, 2002, bombings in Bali.

"The terrorism cases in Indonesia will proceed according to due process. I'm sure that will be much better than in other countries," Muzadi said.

Siswono slams bonus

Later in the day the government announced it plans to pay an extra month's salary and pension entitlements to civil servants, pensioners, and military and police personnel.

The windfall, which will cost Rp7.098 trillion ($771.5 million), will be paid out this month along with regular salaries and pensions, prompting Siswono Yudhohusodo, vice presidential candidate from the National Mandate Party (PAN), to slam the decision as a vote-buying gimmick on the part of Megawati.

"I'm convinced that the public will be fully aware that this sort of thing is not becoming," Siswono said.

Siswono also deplored the President's instruction to governors, regents and mayors throughout the country to help ensure the "success" of the presidential election by working for her reelection.

"An instruction to ensure the success of the presidential election is good, but not one that favors a particular candidate," he said.

Rights Groups Under Fire

A group of national figures criticized the government for intimidating and terrorizing non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and individuals campaigning for human rights and democracy.

On the government's "watch list" are ELSHAM, a leading human rights group in Papua, Australian left-wing academic Max Lane, and ELSAM, a Jakarta-based research institute and human rights advocacy group.

Lane, an Australian Social Democrat Party activist and also the first translator of Pramoedya Ananta Toer's works into English, was branded in a confidential report by the National Intelligence Agency (BIN) as a "possible threat to disturb national security".

"Strengthening the spirit of democracy, promoting transparency, and upholding human rights and freedom of expression are things that make us proud to be Indonesians. We should not allow these to be derailed," Muslim scholar Nurcholish Madjid said Tuesday (1/6/04).

A joint statement signed, among others, by noted lawyer Todung Mulya Lubis, journalist Goenawan Mohamad and Tempo news magazine's chief editor Bambang Harymurti, called on the government, legislators and law enforcers to adhere to the goals of reform.

The statement followed the government's threats against a number of NGOs accused of selling out the country through their reports, which the government claims discredit it. Among the NGOs was the Brussels-based International Crisis Group (ICG).

Todung, who is also a director of ICG, said he met National Intelligence Agency (BIN) director A.M. Hendropriyono to ask for clarification over the issue of the work permit of ICG Southeast Asia director, Sidney Jones.

However, late Monday night, Jakarta's decision to expel Jones, 52, and fellow analyst Francesca Lawe-Davies, was confirmed. The pair left Jakarta Sunday (6/6/04).

Jakarta's decision to expel Jones sparked criticism from the US State Department and a rangeof human rights organizations .

Former security minister Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, the front-runner in the presidential race, urged the government to explain its reasons. "If it does not, it will become a problem for democracy," he said Wednesday.

National assembly speaker Amien Rais said Thursday the expulsion "will have a negative impact because Sidney Jones has an international reputation."

Human rights group Amnesty International said the decision was a "serious blow to freedom of expression in Indonesia and the right of the public to access information."

Jones has written extensively on Abu Bakar Ba'asyir, currently under investigation for links with the Indonesian-based Jamaah Islamiyah (JI) terrorist group, which is blamed for the Bali bombings on October 2002 that sparked a crackdown on Muslim militants in Indonesia.

Followers of Ba'asyir, now a confirmed terrorist suspect, expressed delight Wednesday at the decision, calling on the government to revoke the anti-terrorism law, "because the law was enacted with input from Sidney Jones".

Indonesia enacted anti-terrorism laws - making death the maximum penalty for a terrorist act - weeks after the Bali blasts that killed at least 202 people, mostly foreign visitors.

Three Muslim militants, self-confessed members of the al-Qaeda-linked regional terror group Jamaah Islamiyah (JI), have been sentenced to death for their pivotal roles in the Bali bombings, while nearly 30 others were convicted of prison terms ranging from three years to life.

"We call on the government to have Sidney Jones apologize to Abu Bakar Ba'asyir," said Fauzan Al Anshari, spokesman for the Indonesian Mujahidin Council (MMI), an organization set up by Ba'asyir several years ago. "The anti-terrorism campaign in Indonesia has been influenced by the writings of Sidney Jones," said Anshari.

Neutral Military

Military (TNI) chief Gen. Endriartono Sutarto told commanders in the field to prevent soldiers from getting involved in politics before, during, and after the poll or be ready to face stern sanctions.

Speaking at a meeting of top brass Monday, the four-star general also urged retired military officers contesting the election not to mobilize active military members.

"I was serious about keeping TNI neutral during the general elections. And as the direct presidential election approaches, I reiterate the call, urging soldiers to remain neutral," Sutarto told the generals.

He warned senior military officers intent on joining campaign teams not to undermine TNI's structure.

Wiranto's 'Unfinished Business'

Retired general Wiranto, running for the presidency, is unlikely to have neutral feelings towards one of his former aides, Maj. Gen. (ret) Kivlan Zein, after the latter announced Wiranto played a key role in the controversial deployment of 30,000 civilian guards (PAM Swakarsa) during the Special Session of the People's Consultative Assembly (MPR) in November 1998.

The MPR endorsed the appointment of B.J Habibie as president, formally replacing Suharto, who had stepped down six months earlier but clashes erupted between the guards, who were armed with sharpened bamboos, and demonstrating students.

"I've already told Wiranto several times that we have unsettled business. He cannot just contest the presidency," Kivlan said, claiming that Wiranto said it was a secret operation and asked him to cover the expenses himself.

Wiranto's top campaign strategist Lt. Gen. (ret) Suaidi Marasabessy denied the accusation and slammed it as another attempt at character assassination of Wiranto.

Kivlan claimed the operation cost him around Rp5 billion ($543,000) and he has had to sell his two houses and cars to pay the debts, as he had never been reimbursed. Marasabessy said his team was considering a lawsuit against Kivlan.

Wahid Opts Out

Though his National Awakening Party (PKB) is backing Wiranto, former President Abdurrahman Wahid told a Singapore seminar Thursday (3/6/04) that he would not do so personally.

Students, intellectuals and others did not want a leader with a military past, he said. He also gave a low rating to front-runner Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono because of his military past.

Megawati, he said, had little chance of winning another term as her party has insufficient funds. Hamzah Haz had little chance for the same reasons.

He was more scathing about Amien Rais. “In the morning Amien Rais is a soya bean, in the evening he's already bean curd,” Wahid was quoted as saying.

NU Clerics Issue 'Fatwa'

In Wahid's heartland of support, East Java, several influential clerics from the local branch of Nahdlatul Ulama (NU), the country's largest Muslim organization, issued an edict stating that it is forbidden for a woman to be president.

The edict, issued on Thursday (3/6/04) in the East Java regency of Pasuruan, fully supports the decision of the National Awakening Party (PKB) to endorse the candidacy of presidential and vice presidential candidates under the banner of the Golkar Party, Wiranto and Solahuddin Wahid.

It stressed that members should not abstain from voting in the July 5 election and that Muslims were prohibited under Islamic law, or shariah, from choosing a woman leader, except in an emergency.

The Executive Board of the Islamic Students Association (HMI) on Friday (4/6/04) refused to accept the edict.

"We deplore the negative campaigning tendency, which is becoming more and more pronounced," HMI chairman Hasanuddin told journalists.

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