The Polar Bear's Newspaper: VOL 2000: Monday, September 4, 2000

Realpolitik & Outlook VI

Something Strange Is Going On

What About Those Polls?

It began almost immediately after the Democratic National Convention. Al Gore's preference in the polls began to rise, no they more like exploded, over those for George W. Bush, previously thought to be unstoppable. These poll results were broadcast everywhere, especially across the major television networks and print media with little regard for their soundness. All the usual pundits rushed out with innocent sounding "what's wrongs?" while they were not so secretly hiding their glee that their man, the Red League's candidate, Al Gore, Count of Tennessee or more traditionally esteemed, the Young Poltroon of the same province, actually had a chance to snatch victory from the Prince of Texas, the former President's son, the predicted winner of this Fall's national sweepstakes.

The Polar Bear was not convinced. He began to do some digging and found virtually no honest basis for ANY of the nationally broadcast polling data showing Gore in the lead. The reasons are basic and obvious to anyone with an elementary knowledge of statistics; THE SAMPLES WERE AND ARE ALL TOO SMALL. That fact aside, the mainstream press would all like to conveniently forget about all the rubbish that's been swept under the carpets of the Clinton-GORE administration and act as though there can never be any serious public reprisals. After all, just about everyone would agree that at present most Americans have it pretty good and the current Red League administration is perfectly willing and able to take all the credit for it, despite the fact that they had little or nothing to do with any of it. Bottom line: the polls are faked, the data bogus, the pollsters have been paid and are dupes of the Red League. But that doesn't mean that GW Bush is not in trouble.

Another surprising and deceptive trick of the mainstream press, the paid and fraternal henchmen of the Red League, has been the volume and gravity of conservative invective cast on Gore (here's an excellent example) compared with fairly little in the way of the kind of out and out personal smearing of Bush one might have expected from the liberal journalists of the Washington press corps and elsewhere. The Red League strategy seems to be to fake the American electorate out with phony polling data, while deciding not to attack Bush directly, but instead pull the Blue League onto the much more slippery ground of public policy; the Red League's home turf. This makes Bush look inept rather than making Gore look good, but it accomplishes for the Red League what they want in the end; to fool people into voting for them, usually by scaring them, so they can stay in power and continue the gradual erosion of traditional America.

Will it work? For a tantalizing view of some internet polls in the making, The Polar Bear recommends a visit to www.vote.com a site dedicated to polls on various public policy issues set up by former Clinton pollster Dick Morris. One clear sign is revealed by looking at these polls which all have samples far larger than any claiming the meteoric rise of Al Gore; this is a far more conservative country than it is a liberal one. Some of the polling results are so lopsided that The Polar Bear had to grin in disbelief. These polls reveal a good deal of repressed anger at the shameless doings of Bill and Hillary Clinton as well as AL GORE himself. The Polar Bear is not convinced that only registered Blue League voters or sympathizers fell upon Dick Morris' website and that hardly any Red League supporters contributed to these results.

One big surprise was the level of support for tax cuts of all kinds and by margins of almost TEN TO ONE! The mainstream news media is not doing the average American citizen any favors by suggesting that to most Americans a tax cut is no big deal. What are the mainstream media doing then? Clearly they are deliberately misinforming so as to make it easier for their candidates to win. They want their side to win because they have a vested interest in keeping government big and the individual citizen small. Oh, certain individuals that is. They exclude themselves of course. The same goes for that other hotbed of conceited self importance; Hollywood.

As this game is played, expect the Red League to get real nervous if they think they may lose California or New York. And they just might. The election of President is really made up of fifty state elections. The electoral college elects a President not the popular vote. This is a good thing not a bad thing. It helped Bill Clinton win election in 1992. In fact he couldn't have won without it. It also prevents a few big states from deciding the outcome over the effects of the small states.

Right now, the Red League feels secure in California and New York. They have Oregon and Vermont wrapped up, these two REALLY liberal states as well as Hawaii. They can also count on the upper Midwest states of Minnesota and especially Wisconsin. They can pretty much count on getting Maryland too, though Delaware might not be so easy. They can buy Illinois from the mob as they did in 1960 to put JFK over the top.

They think they can yank Florida away from Bush where his brother is governor. But Bush can and should roust the Cuban population down there who will not long forget their humiliation over the Elian Gonzalez affair. (By the way the vote for continuing sanctions against Castro's Cuba was about TWO TO ONE! A lot more people besides The Polar Bear hate communists!) GW speaks Spanish and should use his voice in this language all across the sun belt to describe how these people are exploited by the Red League for their own "divide and conquer" strategy.

The Red League can count on carrying New England but by slimmer margins than ever before. That's one reason they chose to run Joe Lieberman, to make sure their traditional constituencies; ivy leaguers and Jews stuck with them. Their only other good choice, Massachusetts' Senator John Kerry, was not as strong.

But there are new pressure points developing. The Red League is not as vast as it once was. Organized labor is shrinking as a force. With almost full employment, a lot more people are finding themselves in the middle classes, facing the same pressures from government that traditional Blue Leaguers always have; TAXES. The Blue League has grown as a natural consequence.

About all the people the Red League can count on are those who work directly for government or are dependent on government handouts. The convention revealed for all to see, the naked Liberal ideological truth about them; their liberalism is in fact NOT liberal at all, but fascist; "you can do whatever you please as long as you get our permission and vote for us."

They will use fear tactics whenever possible; "a vote for us is a vote for continued prosperity," despite the fact that better than 70% believe that our present strong economy has nothing to do with the Clinton-Gore administration. They will claim that the Social Security system must never be privatized, despite the fact that in every country where it has been tried it has led to greater prosperity and a larger retirement income for its recipients (Germany and Chile being the most notable examples). GW only wants to allow a fraction of Social Security to be privatized and the Red League howls loudly against it. Why? Because they do not believe in individual liberty. They prefer keeping people victimized as slaves of big government.

The Blue League strategy will keep Texas, Florida, the rest of the deep south and most of the Midwest, plus the interior mountain states; Cheney country. These are areas of the country where individualism, self-reliance and "normalcy" are highly regarded.

But there are key battleground states where all the bombast will be used against a conservative undertow that could further destroy the credibility of the Red League. These states include Missouri and Arkansas, Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania and New Jersey. Look for things to get real snarfy if the Red League feels itself imploding. At the moment their pinning that one on the Bush campaign. But if anyone slips up, look for serious mud to be slung.

As for the Blue League, they can retake the advantage by getting off the largely irrelevant public policy ground and getting back to the issues concerning most Americans; TAXES, the declining quality of public education that has been a Red League province since the teaching profession was unionized thirty years ago, the decline in morale if not materiel of the US military as well as how it has been used by the present administration, and the real public resentment over the inept treatment of lawbreakers, especially those at the top. It's time for a change. Not that it will do much good.

There's been a lot of damage done over the last eight years, mostly the erosion of the public morality. This is a far more decadent and corrupt society than it was just eight years ago and it was heading in that direction even then. Prosperity tends to exacerbate these tendencies anyway. And no we don't need a recession to remind us, even though one is just as likely as bad weather to follow good. A lot of ideas and institutions have lost credibility, old stalwarts are dying and their kind are not being replaced.

There are those who see the vanishing away of moralizing pedagogues as a good thing, as these people often stirred up the swarms of busybodies, self appointed do-gooders and other meddlers that did nothing but get in people's way and cause trouble. Well and good. But we still have these types a plenty. They work for the government in obscure agencies and they have far more sophisticated tools with which to carry out the most thorough surveillance of any ordinary citizen.

We live at the beginning of a new century, a new millenium in which all the furniture assembled to form the present world view is in danger of crashing down or more appropriately flying apart. We are entering a time when it is obvious that the most liberal of motives calls itself conservative while the most fascistic of tenets calls itself liberal and where simple honesty cannot be vouchsafed by either.

Be seeing you... 

The Polar Bear