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Wednesday Night, June 10 #849

As advertised, Christopher Halsted and his colleague Vince Cascone were among the guests. Vince is a Manager in the Financial Management Group in the Toronto office of Deloitte & Touche Consulting Group and he and Chris are currently with a project team working at Nortel, introducing an enterprise-wide system. To accomplish this requires identification of the best practices, streamlining of systems, standardizing software so that fewer people are needed to cover all aspects of transactions.

Isabelle Audet, recently returned from Oxford/Brooks is in Montreal for the summer and hoping to put her knowledge and talents as an urban planner to work.

The evening started with an amusing clip on the World Cup frenzy in Paris which morphed into a segment from "Heads or Tails", Ida Zielenska's film. Ida commented that her talented independent film-maker brother, Raphael Zelinski is planning to come to Montreal to complete his current production "Bohemia" which stars Troy Garity, Jane Fonda's son. His new film firm puplicNEOE a movie company Neo-Modern 57cents first the trade May 6, 1998 go and do see our Wednesday-Night #827 on how to make a movie

The market and the continuing effect of the Asian crisis.

There is no sign of stabilizing. Asian troubles continue to dominate the news. Japan's crisis is deepening, although our friend Hans Black is optimistic, reminding us that the crisis started in Japan long before the Thai and Indonesian problems surfaced and therefore Japan will be the first country to begin to recover. At the Interinvest "Global Review" earlier this week, Hans opined that there are some excellent buys among Japanese stocks for the careful picker.

All about our Canadian DOLLAR with latest stories



67 cents

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Why not lower taxes, suggests one person? Because no politician ever lowers taxes; they won't be raised, but nor will they be cut.

  • December 31, 1997 Low dollar worries exporters Unican president Peter Blaikie "I would prefer to see the dollar above 70 cents."if it goes too low it raises the threat of interest rate hikes by the Bank of Canada to defend the currency and increases the cost of parts the company imports such as electronic components, Blaikie said. ... at 69.81 after hitting a 12-year low of 69.46 yesterday (all time low 69.17)

    IBM - John Jones 4 June 98

    - IBM $117.18 1/M Target: $150.00
    - John reiterates his buy rating on IBM. He points to yesterday's announcement of new storage products as further proof that IBM's business units are firing on all cylinders
    - new storage products will add $2 billion to revenues in 1998
    - EPS EST: 1998E $6.85; 1999E $8.00

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    The Market and the Millenium Bug (Y2K)

    Dr. Ed Yardeni Chief Economist and a Managing Director of Deutsche Bank Securities
    Dr. Ed Yarden of Deutsche Bank

    Ed Yardeni is predicting a recession because of the Y2K problem, well no recession but there are still problems.
  • Moving right along, the debate turned to train service for Montreal. A commuter train test project conducted for the South Shore has identified a cluster of related issues: behaviour - how do people get from their homes to the train? Where do they park cars? Will they give up their freedom from scheduled departures? What about households that work "scattered hours"? Politicians look at job creation and infrastructure creation, but the tendency is to forget about the creation of new patterns in people's lives.

    According to our mayor, politicians are skeptical of the cost/benefit ratio of train services. They remember that British Rail got rid of its feeders, and Canada has done the same.

    The urban planner suggests that huge changes are required in policy, in system design and in advertising. Planners must recognize that transportation systems lead to change (i.e. original suburbs were created because there were local trains to serve them); but, in turn, change (space to park cars, distance from services and city centre) leads to transportation problems (arteries clogged by commuters' cars). Systems must be designed to meet people's needs, appeal to them on a practical basis.

    High speed train for the Triangle? Again, a question of designing for the user, cost efficient for the user, travel time must be competitive with air transportation and schedule must be practical. Once those challenges are met, high speed train can and will successfully compete with short-haul air service AND will contribute to increased efficiency at airports such as Dorval and Pearson.

    Northern Telecom's high-speed modem

    Will this increase productivity? Without a doubt. Speed makes enormous difference to anyone who is researching or working on the Internet. A receent article pointed out that it could take 23 minutes to download a 3 ½ minute video clip. For a lot more see ./westweb/Nortel

    Microsoft and Mergers

    Should the company be broken up? Some feel that Microsoft's corporate strategy is subversive, often innovation is achieved by buying up the competition and/or re-engineering competitive products. Legal agreements are frequently "devious".

    If Microsoft were allowed to swallow up the competition innovation would suffer and the consumer would be ill-served.

    Remember that anti-trust laws were also introduced to keep the stock market honest. There should be new scrutiny of some of the anti-trust laws.

    In Canada we have "regulated free enterprise"; in an oligarchy that becomes an oxymoron. By the same token, in regulated industries like aviation which have now been privatized it is more difficult to address issues of common or public concern (Y2K for example) because there is no central authority to develop standards or serve as a clearing house for information, new technology.

    Bank mergers

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    The issue of the proposed bank mergers is always a controversial subject. Simply put, the Bank of Montreal doesn't have the funds to "grow" the Harris Bank. The issue is not the ability to compete world-wide, the issue is to compete in the U.S. Do see Mr. Paragon on our Banks

    One guest suggested that if Bombardier/Canadair had not been allowed to merge, Canada would not be a world player in the aerospace industry. This was not considered to be a relevant example.

    A letter to the editor this morning raised an interesting suggestion that the banks be allowed to form consortia for foreign lending, but that their domestic operations must remain independent of one another. We are also reminded of Carl Beigie's recommendation that the bank mergers be allowed only on condition that the foreign (Class B) banks be permitted to offer full service in Canada. In the meantime, banks continue to abuse the small client, forcing him/her to pay for and use unwanted services.

    A quick change of subject to the Southern Baptists' declaration on family life - and the submission of women -. On this issue, everyone agreed with David's usual take that Church and State should always be separated! [the law should say 'thow shall not inflict your religion on any other including your youngen' DTN]

    Research suggests that a sizeable segment of the population does not want to join a specific religion, but is attracted to self-help groups, seeking collective aspirations.

    At a local level, the real estate outlook is better and better.

    Bruce Burnett stated that his company is involved in two large deals to be announced within days.

    Friday 12 June 1998 Insurance Exchange building sold our city is on a roll, high-tech, high-value tenants ...Time Equities ... closed a $4-million deal for a 60,000 square-foot office complex ... boasts a measly 5-per-cent vacancy rate, according to Bruce Burnett of Antrev Inc. He is also confident that the new stadium for the Expos will become reality.

    by Diana Thébaud Nicholson



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  • Saturday 13 June 1998 Merged hospitals make offer on land JEFF HEINRICH Goodbye General, goodbye Royal Vic, so long Neuro and Children's. McGill University and its four merged hospitals have made an offer to purchase land for an expensive new, campus-style hospital to be built by 2004. ...What will happen to the four big old hospitals - the Montreal General, Royal Victoria, Montreal Neurological and Montreal Children's, along with the Vic's Montreal Chest Institute - 3 million square feet of real estate? They will be sold and turned into a variety of housing projects, including fancy condominiums in the Royal Vic's historic buildings on Mount Royal. But where to build? Rumour has included three sites: CP Rail's Glen Yards, near Vendome metro in N.D.G. (slated for a condo project); Meadowbrook golf course, between the Cote St. Luc and Ville St. Pierre borders (abandoned as a housing project); and an entire block of vacant federal land below the Molson Centre, at Peel and Notre Dame Sts. ... coveted by the Expos, paid. Their salaries have been frozen since 1991.
    • Viagra Fever Ottawa has yet to approve the potency pill -- but many Canadians are not willing to wait. Macleans pick of the Web on Viagra

    • Saturday, May 30, 1998 What's up in America? Viagra madness ON THE PILL / Doctors are swamped; share prices are soaring; men swear it rekindles that `crazy, blind need.' By Murray Campbell

    • Viagra Rival Stock Jumps

      SEATTLE (Reuters) 30 May 98 - Stock in ICOS, a small Seattle-area biotech company, surged nearly 30 percent Friday after a report that its experimental impotence drug could be as effective as the blockbuster Viagra -- but with fewer side effects. ICOS rose $4.81 to $21.06 on the Nasdaq market, where it was the most active issue with almost 23 million shares changing hands. The 8-year-old company has lost $64 million in the past three years and has never brought a product to market. But investors snapped up shares, hoping ICOS can duplicate the runaway success of Pfizer's little blue pills, which have smashed all sales records in the two months since the drug won U.S. regulatory approval.

    • Saturday 11 April 1998 MD's exit not law's fault: minister Culture Minister Louise Beaudoin says anesthetist Terry Yemen has until July 2000 to pass a French test, and is acting hastily by announcing that he'll return to the U.S.



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      Required Reading

    • Saturday 11 April 1998 MD's exit not law's fault: minister Culture Minister Louise Beaudoin says anesthetist Terry Yemen has until July 2000 to pass a French test, and is acting hastily by announcing that he'll return to the U.S.
    • Friday 30 January 1998 Landry's financial snow job
    • Thursday 5 March 1998 Watch out, Martin set to overhaul seniors' benefit for more see our Budget Night














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