home.gif (14354 bytes)   locamisea.bmp (12699 bytes) Camisea Project

GENERALITIES
Camisea recoverable contents:
Gas: 11 TCF
Liquid: 600 MMBls
Camisea is a field located in jungle with two main areas: San Martin and Cashiriari
An old project well known by Shell and Perupetro with 8 well drilled
It exists good documentation about it
There are several possibilities about its development
Despite Shell rupture, Shell showed interest and it participated in Camisea previous information round. Mobil participated too. There were 29 companies interested

MARKET ASPECTS

Two main potential market are power generation and industry
Petrochemical is a market for medium term
Residential/commercial market is the market for long term period
The market grouth is supported by an average interesting PBI (6% average in last 6 years) and sustained historical electricity consumption (4,5%) despite country situation

INDUSTRIAL MARKET

The industry is little but concentrated in Lima and La Oroya
All first 40 companies consumption could be 60-80 MMscfd for 2003 with out considering refineries but with cement industry
Cement industry is a doubtful client because coal support. It means 30 MMcfd for 2003
Fuels industry demand is higher but it is needed the penetration period

POWER GENERATION

Despite competitors supply it is expected 70-100 MMscfd demand for 2003 at least
It already exists two power plants in Lima capable to burn 150 MMscfd of natural gas
The existing grid let electricity supply from Lima to places located far away
Perú Electricity intensity is low, about 700 Kwh/inhabitant. Government is constructing new transmission lines to facilitate the widest electricity arrival

REGULATORY

There are a New Hidrocarbon Law (august 1993)
By License contracts contractors have the extracted hidrocarbon property
Free money dispose of 100%
It lets short depreciation period
Electricity Law (june 1992)
Generation, transmission and distribution activities are separated businesses
Free prices for client consumption more than 1 Mw
COES for System operation
CTE for Regulated market Tariff
Marginal costs foundations

Some regulatory problems

Electricity
Tariff doesn’t consider gas transportation cost. This cost will be low because of some guarantees for transporter.
Distribution
City Gate is far away from clients. It is expected changes
Tariff formula sounds good, but some before assets electrical distributors valuation problem are not a good precedent
Transportation
Tariff generators privileges could push to hydro-thermal companies not to suscribe gas sales contracts

Fields

Size of project associated to liquid recovery strategy because gas production depends on liquid recovery strategy
Liquid recovery depends of reservoir conditions, market and possibilities of a big investment
Camisea is located 500 kms from coast
There are two main fields: San Martin and Cashiriari

Investment

Referential numbers for small and big Project (MMUS$)

Part

Small

Big

Drilling 42 250
Infrastructure 43 100
Processing Plant 85 600
Transportation 560 525
Liquid line   245
Fractionation/storing/dispatch   150
Distribution 60 60
Total 790 1,930

In all cases, the investment is phased. These numbers are cummulated investment.

On summary                                      (MMUS$):

Phase Small Big
Field 170 1,100
Transportation 560 770
Distribution 60 60
Total 790 1,930

transportation and distribution will be presented as only one package

Something else:

It can be presented different choices:
Minor project. In 1988 Shell expoused a smaller project: US$ 1,200 millions. The level of liquid were lower and gas extraction and reinjection too
Cost effective can be improved with new designer and constructors

Transportation

Any route has to cross jungle (250 km), Andes (between 1200 as 4800 m altitude and cold climate - 300 kms) and Coast (50 kms)
In 1988, it was elected "northern route" (Bechtel) to Lima. It pass near two central country companies (mining and cement) with 20 MMscfd potential gas consumption
In 1997, Shell chose "southern route" (Bechtel) with "aggregate value" to Pisco-Pampa Clarita (200 kms from Lima). This route is called the route for future expansion. This route is considered in current Bid

CURRENT SITUATION (after Shell discontinuing decision)

Energy Minister indicates Camisea will be given in separated business
Cepri Comision
After ten months preliminary studies
            Separated business is going on to bid
            Schedule
            Calls by may 31, 1999
            Transportation and distribution next four months.
            Production fields : six month. Contract on december 1999

EXPECTATION

Regulation changes because of country importance project
Some improvements related Shell environment negotiation
Term for execution: 2000-2003

Why Shell abandoned the project?

The regulated market tariff price doesn’t push for high internal rate return
Regulations changes were not enough. Shell wanted more for more market securities.
Prices oil scenario was not good on july 1998
Other Shell priorities

Camisea BidW. Raúl Cornejo (51-1) 965-4903