Market in General
Stocks
Currencies
Last Week's Views
Investment Views (July 24th 2000)
|
Markets in General
Friday was options expiration day. Therefore we're not sure, if
the market will correct seriously next week. But the technicals of the
markets have improved. So we do not expect a long and nasty
correction. The Dow should not fall below 10200 again and the Nasdaq
composite index should hold above the 4000 level. The earnings have
not been bad at all. We remain cautiously optimistic. But the markets will
remain very cautious until after the August Fed meeting.
The European markets have generally followed the US markets' ups and downs
last week. But the upward climb is much more strenguous here than in the
US. The volume is still extremely low. Europe remains in summer doldrums.
The tech stocks in Europe are still in correction. We do not see the stocks
breaking out of their sidewards movements anytime soon.
The Swiss market is becoming tired and doesn't seem to be able to get above
the 8000 level. But with Roche so weak, we wouldn't bet that the market has
much downside momentum either. But the market cannot remain in such a
narrow range forever. It has to breakout one way or the other.
Go to Index
Stocks
Our favorite stocks remains SAP, Nokia, Ericcson,
Cable and Wireless.
|
|
High of the Year | Low of the Year | Price and year of recommend. | Performance since recommend. | Stock | Last Week's
Close | Daily high | Daily low | This Week's Close | 7989.80 | 6968 |
|
| SMI | 7903.70 | 7961.50 | 7900.20 | 7900.40 | E 90 | 50 | 53.5 (2000) | +48.41% | AT&S | 79.40
| 89
| 88.20 | 88.60
| SFr. 4000 | 2475 | 1351(1998) | +180.90% | Bachem | 3795 | 3790 | 3626 | 3750 |
Gbp17.56
|
3.13
|
6.50
|
|
BaltimoreTech
|
6.95
|
7.20
|
6.45
|
6.50
|
|
| 260 (2000) | +5.38% | Biodata | 274
| 274
| 270 | 273 | Gbp 15.77 | 8.28 | 4.9(1998) | +151.02% | C&W | 12.30 | 13.52 | 12.98 | 13.25 | E 368.90 | 210.10 | 140(1998) | +35.21% | Cap Gemini | 189.30 | 214.50
| 198 | 210
| SFr.44.25 | 21.5 | 10(1998) | +252.5% | Ericsson | 35.25 | 35.60 | 32.50 | 33.70 | E190 | 66.40 | 129 (2000) | -18.2% | Epcos | 108.50 | 120.30 | 116.30 | 117.50 | E.199 | E.32 | 28 (1999) | +220.71% | Evotec | 89.80
| 94.50 | 89.10
| 90
| E 97 | 70.25
| 37.8(1998) | +133.33% | LVMH | 88.20
| 91.60
| 89.25 | 91
| Sfr.275 | 133 | 60(1999) | +200% | New Ventur | 180 | 178 | 173 | 174 | E.64.90 | 37.50 | 7.50(1997) | +642.66% | Nokia | 55.70
| 59.25 | 56.80 | 57.81 | SFR.19400 | 17600 | SFr.16900** (2000) | -.06% | Roche GS | 16890 | 15940 | 15735 | 15750 | SFr.456.33 |
| 46.66(1997) | +442.99% | SAP | 244.50 | 313
| 297 | 300
| E 96 | 54 | 17.7(1999) | +180.22% | Sonera | 49.60
| 52.50
| 50
| 50.40
| SFr.850 | 660 | 460(1998) | +80.65% | Syn-Stratec | 831
| 863
| 835
| 850
| SFr1050 | 661 | 703(2000) | +39.4% | Think Tools | 980
| 935 | 922
| 931 | E 73.30 | 16 | 14.9(1999) | +322.82% | Zeltia | 63
| 59.50
| 59.50
| 59.50
|
|
*We decided to calculate the performance since recommendation,
because we have recommended the different stocks
to buy at different times. Since we're convinced
that one should be long term investors, we think the performance
since recommendation is a better reflection of our goals. **adjusted for Givaudan spinoff.
Handset sales has been dispointing for the first half of this year. The management admitted that they
will not be able
to expand their market share, because of components shortage and the product lineup.
On the other hand the
infra-structure side of the business has been excellent and they have expanded their market share. So the shares have
moved downward on Friday, but not punishingly so.
This week we decided to add Baltimore Technologies to our recommended list. Baltimore
technonologies is in the software decoding business. We find that the market correction has
been overdone. We're still optimistic for this part of the internet software business.