Market in General
Stocks
Currencies
Last Week's Views
Investment Views (July 31st 2000)
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Markets in General
We had expected a correction, but we were not sure whether the correction
will be a serious one. Well, the correction on the Nasdaq was certainly
a serious one. The 4000 level support did not hold. The market became
oversold again. But because the Fed will meet again mid-August and
because the economic data on GDP for the second quarter was
stronger than expected, we expect the market to remain jittery until
maybe the week before the Fed meeting. The Dow remained stronger
than the Nasdaq. So the support level 10200 is still important. On the
Nasdaq we're quite close to the support level 3600. If that support level
doesn't hold, we might even see 3200 again.
The European markets have generally followed the US markets' ups and downs
last week. But the upward climb is much more strenguous here than in the
US. The volume is still extremely low. Europe remains in summer doldrums.
The tech stocks in Europe are still in correction. We do not see the stocks
breaking out of their sidewards movements anytime soon.
The SMI broke above the 8000 level last week but closed the week below
that level. The volume is still extremely thin. We still feel that the SMI is
overbought and getting tired. We should see some pullback next week, if
Wall Street continues to be so weak. The next support level is 7800.
Go to Index
Stocks
Our favorite stocks remains SAP, Nokia, Ericcson,
Cable and Wireless.
|
High of the Year | Low of the Year | Price and year of recommend. | Performance since recommend. | Stock | Last Week's
Close | Daily high | Daily low | This Week's Close | 8080
| 6968 |
|
| SMI | 7900.40 | 8026.20
| 7994.60 | 7997.80 | E 95.50 | 24.80
| 53.5 (2000) | +63.55% | AT&S | 88.60
| 91.50
| 86.50 | 87.50
| SFr. 4000 | 2475 | 1351(1998) | +172.02% | Bachem | 3750 | 3675 | 3615 | 3675 |
Gbp17.56
| 3.13
| 6.50
| -6% | BaltimoreTech
| 6.50
| 6.31 | 5.92 | 6.11
| E 420
| 207
| 260 (2000) | +4.61% | Biodata | 273
| 277
| 270 | 272 | Gbp 15.77 | 8.28 | 4.9(1998) | +138.77% | C&W | 13.25 | 12.10 | 11.63 | 11.70 | E 368.90 | 210.10 | 140(1998) | +44.28% | Cap Gemini | 210
| 206
| 198.10 | 202
| SFr.44.25 | 21.5 | 10(1998) | +217.50% | Ericsson | 35.70 | 32.25 | 31 | 31.75 | E.205 | E.32 | 28 (1999) | +223.93% | Evotec | 90
| 91 | 90.30
| 90.70
| E 97 | 70.25
| 37.8(1998) | +144.31% | LVMH | 91
| 94.80
| 91.9
| 92.35
| Sfr.275 | 133 | 60(1999) | +198.75% | New Ventur | 174 | 183 | 175 | 179.25 | E.64.90 | 37.50 | 7.50(1997) | +526% | Nokia | 57.81
| 48.20
| 45.90
| 46.95
| SFR.19400 | 17600 | SFr.16900** (2000) | -6.6% | Roche GS | 15750 | 15880 | 15675 | 15770 | SFr.456.33 | 218
| 46.66(1997) | +515.08% | SAP | 300
| 296.50
| 283.50 | 287
| E 97 | 39.70
| 17.7(1999) | +142.37% | Sonera | 50.40
| 44.89
| 42.80
| 42.90
| SFr.850 | 660 | 460(1998) | +91.08% | Syn-Stratec | 850
| 879
| 845
| 879
| SFr1050 | 661 | 703(2000) | +27.88% | Think Tools | 931
| 910 | 885
| 899
| E 73.30 | 16 | 14.9(1999) | +289.26% | Zeltia | 59.5
| 58
| 56.40
| 58
|
|
*We decided to calculate the performance since recommendation,
because we have recommended the different stocks
to buy at different times. Since we're convinced
that one should be long term investors, we think the performance
since recommendation is a better reflection of our goals. **adjusted for Givaudan spinoff.
Nokia announced wonderful numbers for the second quarter: sales increased more than 50%
and profits more than 60%, but the stock
lost more than 20% in one day, because the company
warned that the third quarter numbers will not be as good as the second, because
of a delay in new product introduction. We think that this is a buying opportunity.
Nokia remains the best handset company with
the highest margin in the industry.
This week we decided to take Epcos off of our recommended list, because its stock fell
below the important support level :100 Euros.
Our guideline is cut loss, if a stock lost more than
15-20% of its value. Epcos lost more than 20% since our recommendation.